该行预计网易云音乐2025年下半年以及2026年毛利率扩张及效率提升将持续。网易云音乐目前毛利率及 销售费用率(2025年上半年分别为36%和4%)仍有较大改善空间，尤其是在中国音乐行业相对稳定的竞争 格局下。该行将2025-2027财年年营运利润预期上调至17/19/21亿元，主要反映其营运费用的控制及毛利 率改善。 招银国际发布研报称，上调网易云音乐(09899)目标价63%，从202.5港元升至330港元，维持"买入"评 级。网易云音乐上半年总营收38.3亿元人民币(下同);经调整运营利润润同比增35%至9.05亿元，相当于 该行全年预期的57%，主要得益于音乐业务商业化程度的提升、毛利率的改善及销售费用的有效控制， 将估值窗口更新至2026年。 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the resilience at the bottom of the cycle, with the successful advancement of the Alashan Phase II project for Boyuan Chemical [4][7] - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16%, and a net profit of 740 million yuan, down 39% year-on-year [4][5] - The core product prices and gross margins for soda ash declined, but the increase in production and sales volume helped mitigate the impact of price drops [5][6] Group 2 - The company has successfully acquired multiple electronic gas projects, enhancing its position in the electronic gas market [9][10] - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.114 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.56%, while net profit decreased by 13.44% [9][10] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 26.37%, down 3.69 percentage points year-on-year, but operating cash flow increased significantly by 84.34% [10] Group 3 - 361 Degrees reported H1 2025 revenue of 5.7 billion yuan, an increase of 11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 860 million yuan, also up 8.6% [12][13] - The e-commerce segment saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.82 billion yuan, a 45% increase year-on-year [13][14] - The company opened 49 new stores, enhancing its retail presence and brand image [15] Group 4 - Tencent Holdings reported Q2 2025 revenue of 184.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, with a net profit of 55.6 billion yuan, up 17% [17][18] - The gaming segment experienced a robust 22% year-on-year growth, with significant contributions from both domestic and international markets [18][19] - The marketing services business grew by 20% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for advertising within the WeChat ecosystem [19] Group 5 - The report indicates that the chromium salt industry is experiencing significant growth, with Zhihua Co. achieving H1 2025 revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a 10.2% increase year-on-year [29][30] - The company’s gross margin improved to 28.81%, up 3.16 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost management [29][30] - The effective release of production capacity contributed to a notable increase in sales volume, particularly in chromium oxide and alloy additives [32][33] Group 6 - Yonghe Co. reported H1 2025 revenue of 2.445 billion yuan, a 12.39% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 271 million yuan, up 140.82% [35][36] - The refrigerant segment benefited from favorable supply-demand dynamics, leading to a 26.02% increase in revenue [37] - The company is actively pursuing the development of fourth-generation refrigerants and high-end fluorinated fine chemicals [39] Group 7 - The coal industry showed signs of improvement, with July 2025 coal production at 380 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8% [40][41] - The report notes that the overall coal production growth rate has slowed due to adverse weather conditions and regulatory checks [42] - The performance of major coal companies varied, with some showing production increases while others faced declines [42]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's online subscription revenue shows steady growth, with effective control over costs and expenses driving a significant increase in adjusted operating profit [2][6] - The company's H1 2025 performance exceeded market expectations, with a notable impact from tax credits on adjusted net profit [6][8] - The company is focusing on enhancing its content offerings and user experience to drive growth in paid subscriptions [10][12] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.83 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 6.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.89 billion yuan, up 132.7% year-over-year [5][8] - Adjusted operating profit was 910 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 35.0%, and adjusted net profit was 1.95 billion yuan, up 121.0% year-over-year [8] - The decline in revenue was primarily due to a more cautious operational strategy in online social entertainment services, which saw a 43% year-over-year drop [8] Revenue and Cost Analysis - Online music business revenue for H1 2025 was 2.967 billion yuan, an increase of 15.9% year-over-year, with subscription revenue contributing 2.47 billion yuan, up 15.2% [8][12] - The company maintained a gross margin of 36.4%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-over-year, and an adjusted operating margin of 23.7%, up 7.2 percentage points year-over-year [8] - Content service costs decreased by 10.5% year-over-year, accounting for 47.1% of revenue, while promotional and advertising expenses dropped by 67.1% [9][12] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.326 billion yuan in 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to reach 2.866 billion yuan [11][12] - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 is 3.006 billion yuan, with corresponding adjusted P/E ratios of 18 for 2025, 23 for 2026, and 20 for 2027 [11][12] - The company aims to enhance its content library and user engagement, which is expected to drive long-term growth in paid subscriptions [10][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [8] Core Insights - The online music platforms, Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music, reported strong mid-year performance for 2025, with Tencent Music achieving a revenue of 8.44 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%, and an adjusted net profit of 2.57 billion yuan, up 37.4% [3][12] - NetEase Cloud Music's revenue for H1 2025 was 3.83 billion yuan, down 6% year-on-year, but its adjusted net profit surged by 121% to 1.95 billion yuan, primarily due to the recognition of deferred tax assets [3][12] - The online music industry is characterized by a stable competitive landscape with strong user stickiness, indicating long-term investment potential [3][22] Summary by Sections Online Music Platforms - Tencent Music's online music service revenue reached 6.85 billion yuan in Q2 2025, reflecting a 26.4% increase year-on-year, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of 11.7 yuan per month, up 9.3% [12][16] - NetEase Cloud Music's subscription revenue for H1 2025 was 2.47 billion yuan, a 15.2% increase year-on-year [16] Home Appliance Sector - The home appliance sector saw a weekly increase of 1.9%, with white goods, black goods, and small appliances rising by 1.0%, 4.2%, and 1.7% respectively, while kitchen appliances decreased by 1.1% [4][29] - The report suggests that the home appliance sector will benefit from policies supporting domestic demand recovery, particularly through trade-in programs [5][23] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on major home appliance companies such as Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric Appliances, and TCL Electronics, which are expected to benefit from trade-in programs [5][23] - The pet industry is highlighted as a resilient sector during economic downturns, with companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. recommended for investment [5][23] - The report also emphasizes the potential for recovery in small appliances and branded apparel due to low baselines, suggesting companies like Bear Electric and Anta Sports for consideration [5][23] Global Manufacturing Trends - The report notes that Chinese manufacturers maintain a significant advantage in global markets, particularly in major appliances and tools, with companies like Midea Group and Haier Smart Home recommended for their global market share [6][28]

Group 1 - The company achieved operating revenue of 3.83 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.89 billion yuan, a significant increase of 132.8% [1] - Adjusted operating profit for H1 2025 was 910 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35%, and adjusted net profit was 1.95 billion yuan, up 121% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin improved to 36.4% in H1 2025, compared to 35% in H1 2024, driven by a large deferred tax credit of 850 million yuan and reduced advertising expenses [1] Group 2 - The company continues to enhance its monetization capabilities centered around music, with online music revenue reaching 2.97 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.9% [1] - Subscription service revenue amounted to 2.47 billion yuan, up 15.2% year-on-year, attributed to improved user experience and enriched music community content [1] - The number of active users and paying users has shown stable growth, with the ratio of daily active users to monthly active users remaining above 30% [1] Group 3 - The company is expanding its music copyright portfolio by establishing agreements with popular K-Pop labels such as RBW and StarShip, and is focusing on genres like rap, Japanese ACG, and Western music [2] - As of June 2025, the platform has 819,000 registered independent musicians, an increase of 11.9% year-on-year, with approximately 4.8 million tracks uploaded, reflecting a 33.3% year-on-year growth [2] - The company has introduced innovative features in its app, such as the "Shen Guang Player," and is leveraging AI to enhance music creation, which has received positive feedback from users [2]

Group 1 - The company expects adjusted net profits for 2025-2027 to be 27.58/22.22/24.58 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of +62.3%/-19.5%/+10.6% [1] - The company maintains a target price of 312 HKD for 2026, with a PE ratio of 28X, and continues to hold an "overweight" rating [1] - The company reported a revenue of 3.83 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 6.0% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.4%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points [1] Group 2 - Online music revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.97 billion CNY, an increase of 15.9% year-on-year, with subscription revenue growing by 15.2% to 2.47 billion CNY [2] - The company has over 819,000 registered independent musicians and approximately 4.8 million music tracks uploaded as of June 2025 [2] - The company has implemented a more cautious promotional strategy, resulting in a 55.8% reduction in sales and marketing expenses for the first half of 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by growth in online music services despite a decline in overall revenue [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.827 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.885 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 132.8% [1] - Online music service revenue was 2.967 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.9% [1] - Membership subscription revenue accounted for over 80% of online music service revenue, totaling 2.470 billion yuan [1] - Operating profit for H1 2025 was 845 million yuan, showing significant growth due to reduced promotional and advertising expenses [1] - The gross profit margin improved to 36.4%, an increase of 1.4% year-on-year [1] Cost Management - Sales and marketing expenses decreased by 55.8% to 163 million yuan [1] - General and administrative expenses increased by 3.6% to 93 million yuan, primarily due to higher legal and professional fees [1] - R&D expenses decreased by 4.2% to 379 million yuan, attributed to improved operational efficiency [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on enhancing its content ecosystem and optimizing user experience in music consumption [1] - It has strengthened partnerships with copyright holders, adding content from popular K-Pop labels and expanding into diverse music genres [1] - The platform has over 819,000 independent musicians and approximately 4.8 million music tracks uploaded [1] - The company aims to develop high-quality, original music content and improve user music discovery and listening experiences [1]

Core Viewpoint - NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue of 3.827 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6%, while adjusted net profit reached 1.946 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 121%, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus median expectation of 839 million yuan, primarily due to effective cost control [1][2] Revenue Performance - Online music revenue grew by 15.9% year-on-year to 2.967 billion yuan, with subscription revenue at 2.470 billion yuan, up 15.2%, driven by an increase in subscription membership, slightly offset by a dilution in monthly ARPU due to changes in membership structure [1] - Non-subscription revenue increased by 19.7%, likely driven by growth in advertising revenue and album sales [1] - Social entertainment business revenue decreased by 43.1% due to product interface optimization, but is expected to stabilize moving forward [1] Profitability and Cost Control - Gross margin improved by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year to 36.4%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus median of 35.4%, mainly due to a decline in social entertainment revenue sharing and effective content licensing cost control [2] - Selling expenses decreased by 55.8% year-on-year from 369 million yuan to 163 million yuan, with promotional and advertising expenses dropping significantly due to a more cautious promotional strategy [2] - Operating profit increased by 40.8% year-on-year to 845 million yuan, confirming sustainable profitability [2] Future Outlook and Valuation - Adjusted net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected to be 3.091 billion yuan, 2.656 billion yuan, and 2.983 billion yuan, reflecting upward revisions of 61%, 29%, and 36% respectively [2] - The company is switching from DCF to PE valuation, assigning a target price of 360.42 HKD based on a 26.86x PE for 2026 adjusted net profit, maintaining a "Buy" rating [2]

Core Insights - The company reported 1H25 performance with revenue of 3.827 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 6%, aligning closely with expectations [1] - Non-IFRS net profit reached 1.946 billion yuan, significantly increasing due to the recognition of deferred tax assets from accumulated tax losses [1] - The company maintained a strong control over sales expenses, leading to a tax pre-profit of 1.068 billion yuan, exceeding expectations [1] Revenue Breakdown - Online music revenue for 1H25 was 2.967 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.9%, driven by a growth in paid user numbers [1] - Subscription revenue grew by 15.2%, while non-subscription revenue increased by 19.7%, although some dilution occurred due to changes in membership structure [1] - Social entertainment and other revenues fell by 43.1% to 860 million yuan, attributed to a cautious operational strategy focusing on core music business [1] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for 1H25 improved to 36.4%, up 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Sales expenses are expected to increase to 225 million yuan in 2H25, while management and R&D expenses remain stable [2] - The company anticipates a tax rate of 15% for 2H25 and 2026, impacting profit levels [2] Strategic Focus - The company is committed to enhancing its core music ecosystem and expanding long audio content offerings [2] - User engagement metrics such as DAU/MAU remained stable above 30%, with a focus on user experience and innovative features [2] - The company aims to solidify its differentiated position in the industry, supporting long-term growth in music revenue [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The Non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 60% and 10% to 2.85 billion yuan and 2.13 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The target price has been increased by 39% to 324 HKD, indicating a 20% upside potential from the current price [2] - The current price corresponds to a 24 times P/E ratio for 2026 Non-IFRS earnings [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase Cloud Music (9899.HK) [4] Core Insights - The company reported a slight revenue miss but exceeded profit expectations due to a reduction in sales expenses. Revenue for 1H25 was RMB 38.3 billion, down 6% year-over-year, compared to Bloomberg's consensus estimate of RMB 39.1 billion. Gross profit reached RMB 13.9 billion, with a gross margin of 36.4%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-over-year. Operating profit was RMB 8.45 billion, up 40.8% year-over-year, primarily due to reduced sales expenses. Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 19.5 billion, a significant increase of 121% year-over-year, mainly due to the recognition of deferred tax assets amounting to RMB 8.5 billion [1][4] Revenue Breakdown - Online music service revenue for 1H25 was RMB 29.7 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15.9%. Subscription revenue grew by 15.2% to RMB 24.7 billion, driven by an increase in membership subscriptions, while social entertainment services and other revenues fell by 43.1% to RMB 8.6 billion due to the closure of the live streaming entry after the 2024 year-end version update [2][3] User Engagement and Product Development - The platform continues to enhance user engagement through product innovation and community ecosystem improvements. The NetEase Cloud Music app has introduced features such as personalized recommendations and AI functionalities, maintaining a daily active users to monthly active users ratio (DAU/MAU) above 30% [3] Cost Management - The company has effectively controlled costs, with sales expenses decreasing by 55.8% year-over-year to RMB 1.63 billion, attributed to a cautious promotional strategy. Management expenses increased by 3.6% to RMB 930 million, while R&D expenses decreased by 4.2% to RMB 3.79 billion [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised to RMB 29.4 billion, a 55% increase from previous estimates. The adjusted net profit for 2026 and 2027 is also revised upward to RMB 25.9 billion and RMB 28.6 billion, representing increases of 19% and 17% respectively [4][5]