自4月3日美国总统特朗普正式宣布"对等关税"以来，中美之间多次互相提高关税，目前双方相互加征的关税都已在100%以上。且随着贸易摩擦的升温，中美两国 之间的角力有着进一步向其他领域扩散的风险。 值得关注的是：① 近日美国财政部长曾表示， 不排除以在美上市的中概公司强制退市，作为两国间谈判的筹码之一；② 2月21日， 白宫发布了"America First Investment Policy"备忘录中，也提及了在一定情况下限制美国资金投资于部分中国公司/资产的可能性。 虽然上述两条潜在的风险截至目前仅停留在口头阶段，美国政府尚没有进行任何实质性的动作。但历史上，中概退市威胁并非没有先例： 2020年~2022年间美国政 府就曾以HFCAA法案下，无法获得中概上市公司的审计监管权的原因，正式推进过中概在美退市。 尽管后续中美两国政府达成了协议，中概从美股全面退市并没真正发生，但仍有中移动等公司在争端期间被美政府强制退市，后有如中国石油等在争端缓解后仍 主动选择退市。 由此可见，无论是 强制中概从美股退市、抑或禁止美国资金投资中国资产，虽然最终落地的概率应当非常小，但属于存在先例、不能视而不见的"黑天鹅"风险。 海 ...

Market Overview - External disturbances have peaked, and the market is gradually returning to fundamentals [1][21] - U.S. stock markets saw a broad increase, with the Dow Jones up 1.07%, Nasdaq up 2.50%, and S&P 500 up 1.67% [3] - Notable individual stock performances include Tesla rising 5.37% despite a 71% drop in quarterly net profit, and Boeing increasing 6.04% due to better-than-expected quarterly losses [3] Commodity Prices - International oil prices weakened, with WTI crude down 2.20% to $62.27 per barrel and Brent crude down 1.96% to $66.12 per barrel, amid rumors of OPEC+ potentially increasing production [4][7] - Gold prices significantly declined, with COMEX gold futures dropping 3.66% to $3276.30 per ounce [4] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book indicated little change in U.S. economic activity since early March, with several regions experiencing a "significant deterioration" in outlook amid increasing economic uncertainty [4] Corporate Developments - The People's Bank of China introduced a plan to enhance cross-border financial services in Shanghai, aiming to optimize financial service policies [5] - Xiamen's government announced an upgrade to its housing compensation policy, expanding the range of housing options for those affected by property acquisition [6] - Apple was fined €500 million by the EU for antitrust violations under the Digital Markets Act, marking a significant regulatory action against major tech companies [8] Company Earnings - Wens Foodstuff Group reported a net profit of 2 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reversing a loss from the previous year, primarily due to profitability in the pork sector [11] - Nutrien reported a 374% increase in net profit for Q1 2025, driven by increased sales and prices of potash [12] - Zhongke Electric's Q1 net profit surged 465.8% year-on-year, attributed to increased sales and improved gross margins [13] - Tianqi Lithium expects a net profit of 82 million to 123 million yuan for Q1 2025, a significant recovery from a loss in the previous year [14] Strategic Partnerships - CATL announced the launch of 10 battery swap models in collaboration with major automotive companies, expanding its battery swap network [9] - Four-dimensional Map Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Volcano Engine to enhance automotive intelligence technology [10]

Group 1 - The core index of the China Securities Hong Kong Technology Index reflects the overall performance of leading technology companies listed in Hong Kong, selected based on market capitalization, R&D investment, and revenue growth [1][2] - The China Securities Hong Kong Technology Index has seen a decline of 15.90% over the past month, an increase of 13.74% over the past three months, and a year-to-date increase of 13.70% [1] - The top ten holdings of the index include Xiaomi Group-W (12.3%), Alibaba-W (11.35%), Tencent Holdings (9.92%), BYD Company (8.16%), Meituan-W (7.21%), JD Group-SW (6.39%), NetEase-S (5.66%), Baidu Group-SW (4.24%), SMIC (4.0%), and BeiGene (3.22%) [1] Group 2 - The industry composition of the index shows that consumer discretionary accounts for 41.51%, communication services for 23.64%, information technology for 22.87%, healthcare for 11.57%, and industrials for 0.41% [2] - The sample of the China Securities Hong Kong Technology Index is adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Public funds tracking the Hong Kong technology sector include the Southern China Securities Hong Kong Technology ETF and the China Merchants China Securities Hong Kong Technology ETF [3]

Financial Performance - NetEase reported a net revenue of RMB 105.3 billion for the year ended December 31, 2024, representing a 1.6% increase from RMB 103.5 billion in 2023[7] - Gross profit for 2024 was RMB 65.8 billion, up from RMB 63.1 billion in 2023, indicating a growth of 4.3%[7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was RMB 29.7 billion, a slight increase of 1.0% compared to RMB 29.4 billion in 2023[7] - The company reported a projected net income of RMB 30.26 billion for 2024, indicating a forecasted growth of approximately 3% from 2023[36] - Net profit for the year ended December 31, 2023, reached RMB 29,357,223, representing a 47.5% increase from RMB 19,843,290 in 2022[38] - The company plans to maintain a steady growth trajectory with a projected net profit of RMB 30,256,347 for 2024, representing a 2.4% increase from 2023[38] Assets and Liabilities - Total current assets increased to RMB 153.3 billion in 2024 from RMB 142.7 billion in 2023, reflecting a growth of 7.4%[7] - Total liabilities decreased to RMB 53.5 billion in 2024 from RMB 57.8 billion in 2023, showing a reduction of 7.5%[7] - The total assets of NetEase reached RMB 196.0 billion in 2024, up from RMB 185.9 billion in 2023, marking an increase of 5.7%[7] - Cash and cash equivalents rose significantly from RMB 21.43 billion in 2023 to RMB 51.38 billion in 2024, an increase of approximately 140%[32] - The total liabilities for 2024 are projected to be RMB 21,883,761, an increase from RMB 20,060,196 in 2023[51] Equity and Investments - NetEase's total equity increased to RMB 142.4 billion in 2024 from RMB 128.0 billion in 2023, representing a growth of 11.2%[7] - The total equity attributable to shareholders increased from RMB 124.29 billion in 2023 to RMB 138.69 billion in 2024, a growth of about 11.5%[35] - The group has long-term equity investments with a consolidated balance of RMB 11 billion as of December 31, 2024, which do not have easily determinable fair values[18] - Management regularly conducts impairment tests on these investments, assessing qualitative indicators against their carrying values to identify potential impairment signs[18] Revenue Recognition - Revenue recognition is based on the transfer of control of goods or services to customers, with estimates for returns, discounts, and VAT deducted from the recognized amount[73] - The company's revenue primarily comes from online gaming services, tutoring services, smart hardware sales, online music services, live streaming services, advertising services, e-commerce, and other paid value-added services[73] - Mobile game revenue is generated through the sale of virtual items, with revenue recognized proportionally based on the estimated average gaming time of paying players[75] - The group provides various integrated educational services through Youdao, including tutoring courses, digital learning content, and IT skills training, with revenue recognized proportionally during the estimated average learning time[79] Audit and Compliance - The board of directors is responsible for preparing consolidated financial statements that are free from material misstatement due to fraud or error, and for maintaining necessary internal controls[22] - The audit committee oversees the financial reporting process of the group[23] - The auditor's goal is to obtain reasonable assurance that the consolidated financial statements are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error[24] - The independent auditor's report was issued by PwC on April 15, 2025[30] Cash Flow and Financing - Operating cash flow for 2023 was RMB 35,331,275, up 27.5% from RMB 27,709,233 in 2022[41] - The company’s cash flow statement indicates a strong liquidity position, supporting ongoing investments and operational needs[40] - The company has established multiple guarantee agreements for credit facilities totaling USD 2.7 billion, with USD 1.5 billion remaining undrawn as of December 31, 2024[183] Employee and Incentive Expenses - Employee benefits expenses increased from RMB 3.18 billion in 2023 to RMB 3.19 billion in 2024, showing a slight growth of 0.04%[191] - The total equity incentive expenses for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2023, and 2024 were RMB 32 billion, RMB 32 billion, and RMB 39 billion, respectively, indicating a 21.9% increase in 2024[194] - The company expects to recognize RMB 402.1 million (approximately RMB 2.9 billion) in unrecognized incentive expenses related to the 2019 equity incentive plan by December 31, 2024[196] Regulatory and Legal Risks - The company believes its VIE agreements comply with Chinese law, although uncertainties in the legal framework may pose risks to enforcement[66] - The company may face significant costs and resource expenditures if VIE entities fail to fulfill their obligations under current agreements[66] - Any penalties imposed by the Chinese government could severely impact the company's ability to operate its business and may result in the loss of control over VIE entities[69] Research and Development - Research and development expenses increased from RMB 15.04 billion in 2022 to RMB 16.48 billion in 2023, marking a rise of about 9.7%[36] - Research and development expenses primarily include employee-related costs and technical service fees for online game development and other products[94]

Core Insights - In March 2025, Chinese mobile game publishers generated a total revenue of $2 billion, accounting for 36.9% of the global top 100 mobile game publishers' revenue, with 36 Chinese companies making the list [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Tencent maintained its dominance with four games, including "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite," occupying the top four positions in the Chinese App Store revenue rankings for March [4]. - Point Interactive surpassed NetEase to claim the second position in the Chinese mobile game publisher revenue rankings, with its game "Whiteout Survival" achieving a historical monthly revenue high [8]. - The new game "Heroes Never Flash" and "Dragon Valley World" entered the top 20 revenue list, significantly boosting their respective publishers' rankings [5]. Group 2: Game-Specific Achievements - "Whiteout Survival" reached a cumulative global revenue of $2.25 billion, becoming one of the fastest mobile games to surpass $2 billion in revenue within five years of its launch [8]. - "Mobile Legends: Bang Bang" from ByteDance's subsidiary, Moonton, saw a 53% revenue increase in March after launching a new version and new heroes, elevating its ranking from 8th to 5th in the overseas mobile game revenue list [9]. - "Gossip Harbor" from Lemon Microfun also achieved a historical monthly revenue high, driven by seasonal events and new content [8]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The mobile gaming market is entering a stable cycle, with publishers focusing on high-quality operational strategies to enhance user retention and engagement amid intense competition [5]. - The overseas market for Chinese mobile games is characterized by significant fluctuations in rankings, providing opportunities for new entrants while posing challenges for established titles [10].

随着美元回落，国际油价企稳反弹，WTI原油近月合约涨2.39%，报61.50美元/桶。布伦特原油近月合约涨2.26%，报64.76美元/桶。 国际金价续创历史，纽约商品交易所4月交割的COMEX黄金期货合约涨2.12%，报3222.20美元/盎司。 机构指出，A股市场有望逐步摆脱短期扰动，受益于扩内需、促消费政策的行业值得关注，包括家用电器、食品饮料、社会服务、商贸零售等行业。 【财经日历】 中国3月贸易帐； 世界互联网大会亚太峰会； 第三届中国国际通用航空与无人机发展大会。 | 〜 盘前必读 | // 外盘怎么样 // | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | 道琼斯工业指数 | 40212.71 c 619.05 | | 1.56% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 16724.46 c 337.15 | | 2.06% | | 标普500 | 5363.36 c 95.31 1.81% | | | 截至上周五收盘，道指上涨619.05点，涨幅1.56%，报40212.71点，纳指涨2.06%，报16724.46点，标普500指数涨1.81% ...

以下文章来源于定焦One ，作者定焦One团队 定焦One . 深度影响创新。 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 各家的财报，也印证着这一趋势。 作者丨 刘毓航 编辑丨 魏佳 来源丨 定焦One 游戏厂商的"新品焦虑症"得到缓解。 就 在 厂商 们 苦于 二次元类游戏（以下简称"二游"） 吸引不动年轻人，就连品类头部《原神》和《崩铁》等都不可避免地迎来数据下滑之际 ，"叔系 手游"正在成为游戏行业的隐形金主。 这里的"叔系"，包含两重含义： 其一，指产品层面运营时间相对较长。像腾讯的《王者荣耀》《和平精英》，网易的《梦幻西游》都上线超过8年，且一直贡献着稳定的流水。 Sensor Tower发布的《2025移动游戏市场报告》显示，2024年，在大多数游戏类型中，老牌游戏的消费者支出占比超过80%。 其二，指玩家群体相对更成熟。这种成熟并不是完全指年龄更长，而是去圈层化且社交方式上相对更成熟。 当行业哀叹"年轻人玩不动了"，这些"叔系手游"的闷声发财，或许正是游戏行业逐渐醒悟的信号：不再一窝蜂模仿爆款，而是以长线运营为王。 "叔系手游" ，高歌猛进 这一轮在用户数量及流水方面创下好成绩的手游，可以被 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index opened up 1.66%, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 3.31%. Notable tech stocks such as NetEase, JD Group, Xiaomi, and Alibaba saw significant gains of 6.8%, 6.49%, 5.76%, and 4.34% respectively [1] Future Outlook for Hong Kong Stocks - According to a report from Founder Securities, the current rally in Hong Kong stocks is supported by the recovery of the Chinese economy, a rebound in corporate earnings, a favorable liquidity environment, and the catalytic logic of the tech industry. The overall market valuation is near historical averages, indicating potential for continued upward movement [1] - CICC's latest report emphasizes that the long-term pricing of Hong Kong stocks is dependent on earnings prospects. If earnings materialize, stock prices may rise while valuations decrease. Short-term fluctuations may occur for stocks that have already seen significant gains, but the long-term revaluation logic for Chinese tech assets remains unchanged [1] Investment Themes - Galaxy Securities identifies three main investment themes for the Hong Kong market: 1. The technology sector, which is expected to transition from valuation uplift to earnings realization due to policy support and technological advancements in AI [2] 2. The consumer sector, which is prioritized by the government to boost consumption, indicating potential for further supportive policies [2] 3. High dividend sectors that offer stable investment returns [2] Economic and Policy Environment - Analysts from Singapore Bank note that while overseas interest rate cuts are slowing, they will gradually decline, alleviating pressure on Hong Kong stocks. The Chinese government's focus on promoting consumption and supporting technological innovation is expected to benefit the stock market [2] - The market is also influenced by U.S. trade policy, with potential tariffs on 15 to 20 countries impacting stock market dynamics. This could lead to shifts in global capital flows and affect Hong Kong's market performance [3] Sector Rotation and Investment Strategy - The market is experiencing sector rotation, with funds flowing into sectors less affected by tariffs. Short-term operations may shift based on the implementation of trade policies [3] - Huatai Securities suggests that the relative return potential for Hong Kong stocks remains, supported by expanding domestic PMI, signs of real estate stabilization, and continuous inflow of southbound funds. Recommended sectors for investment include domestic consumption, hard tech with solid earnings expectations, and dividend stocks with stable earnings [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformative impact of AI on the gaming industry, highlighting the evolution of NPCs and the emergence of AI-native games, while questioning the current state and future direction of AI in gaming [1]. Group 1: AI in NPC Development - The initial demand for AI in gaming is to mimic human behavior, particularly in NPCs, which are crucial for player interaction [3][4]. - Traditional NPC design relied on behavior trees and finite state machines, but these methods are limited in creating truly human-like interactions [5]. - The integration of large language models into NPC behavior aims to enhance their expressiveness and interaction capabilities [6][7]. - Major gaming companies in China, such as NetEase and Tencent, are rapidly adopting AI for NPCs, enhancing their conversational and behavioral realism [9][11]. Group 2: Rise of Text-Based AI Native Games - Character.ai has emerged as a leading platform for AI-driven text-based games, achieving significant user growth, with MAU increasing from 30 million to 63 million within a year [13][16]. - The platform appeals particularly to younger audiences, with 66% of users aged 18-24, indicating a strong demand for emotional companionship through AI [16]. - Text-based adventure games are well-suited for AI integration, allowing for deep interaction with NPCs, which aligns with current AI capabilities [17][21]. Group 3: Challenges in Game AI Development - The gaming industry lacks high-quality, stable, and quantifiable datasets necessary for training specialized AI models, which hampers the development of vertical AI tools for gaming [25][30]. - The dynamic and interactive nature of games complicates the quantification of gameplay experiences, making it difficult to create effective AI models [29][30]. Group 4: AI as a Development Tool - AI is increasingly being used as a production tool in game development, with 52% of companies reportedly utilizing generative AI tools [33]. - Companies like Roblox and Tencent are leading in the development of AI-generated 3D assets, enhancing the efficiency of game development processes [34][38]. Group 5: Future of AI in Gaming - The article suggests that the next generation of gamers, who are growing up with AI technologies, will shape the future of AI-native games and potentially become developers and investors in this space [42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase-S (09999.HK) [1] Core Views - The strong recovery in PC gaming has led to a positive turnaround in gaming revenue, with the game "Marvel Duel" exceeding expectations [2][22] - The company is expected to continue its growth in gaming revenue in Q1, driven by new product launches [3][23] - The valuation model suggests a target price range of HKD 175-207 for 2025, based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation approach [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the full year, gaming and related services generated revenue of CNY 836 billion, a year-over-year increase of 2.5%, with PC game revenue at CNY 219.46 billion (up 16.56%) and mobile game revenue at CNY 584.96 billion (up 2.7%) [2][22] - In Q4, gaming and related services revenue reached CNY 212 billion (up 1.54% year-over-year), with online gaming revenue at CNY 205.41 billion (up 5.12%) [2][22] - The gross margin for the gaming business in Q4 was 66.70%, reflecting a slight decrease [2][22] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is CNY 311.99 billion, CNY 339.94 billion, and CNY 361.22 billion, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 15.0 for 2025, 13.8 for 2026, and 13.0 for 2027 [4] - The report highlights the importance of new product launches for future revenue growth, with several titles in the pipeline [3][23] Key Financial Metrics - Main revenue for 2024 is projected at CNY 105,295 million, with a year-over-year growth rate of 1.8% [5] - Net profit for 2024 is estimated at CNY 29,698 million, with a growth rate of 1.0% [5] - The report indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.30% [6]