中信证券研报称，预计2026年新增地方债发行规模仍有所扩容，供给整体靠前发力。化债资金方面，预 计置换隐债专项债仍前置发行，特殊新增专项债于二三季度接续发力，呈现错峰接续的特征。此外，地 方债的发行节奏应与地方政府融资成本变化和市场承接能力相匹配，因此在地方债扩张时期，适度宽松 的货币政策基调延续，也可以期待流动性市场维持宽松格局。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy issued by the All-China Federation of Trade Unions aims to activate the consumption potential of union members, injecting new momentum into the cultural and sports industries [1] Group 1: Policy Impact - The policy is expected to create an annual increase of 500 to 1650 billion yuan in the domestic tourism market by 2026, based on the current scale of approximately 330 million union members [1] - The policy establishes a complete consumption promotion loop through dual guarantees of funding and time, along with innovative supply and consumption scenarios [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Investment focus should be on three main lines: first, scenic spots and destinations that directly benefit from the policy [1] - Second, the hotel industry that accommodates team accommodation needs [1] - Third, OTA platforms that may participate in digital platform construction and team travel products [1] Group 3: Future Expectations - The policy is seen as a good start for stimulating service consumption, with expectations for subsequent supporting measures [1]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability as capital expenditure continues to weaken year-on-year, alongside the domestic push against "involution" [1] Investment Strategy - Focus on high-energy-consuming products such as calcium carbide, caustic soda, and yellow phosphorus, which may become effective tools in the "anti-involution" strategy [1] - Attention to segments where the initial effects of industry self-discipline are evident and steadily progressing [1] - Some products have already fallen below or are close to the industry cash cost line, which may accelerate capacity clearance, particularly for products from leading companies with significant cost advantages [1] - Chemical products with sustained price increase potential driven by new demand or strong downstream demand [1] - Chemical products related to new materials and new applications [1]

责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 香港联交所最新资料显示，1月6日，中信证券-云帆单一资产管理计划增持中广核电力（01816）2888.6 万股，每股作价2.999港元，总金额约为8662.91万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为5.79亿股，最新持股 比例为5.18%。 香港联交所最新资料显示，1月6日，中信证券-云帆单一资产管理计划增持中广核电力（01816）2888.6 万股，每股作价2.999港元，总金额约为8662.91万港元。增持后最新持股数目约为5.79亿股，最新持股 比例为5.18%。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 责任编辑：卢昱君 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of real estate price declines on different buyer groups, highlighting that those who purchased properties in 2021 suffered the most significant losses, while earlier buyers generally did not experience asset depreciation [1][4][7]. Investment and Financial Performance - In 2021, the total sales area of commercial housing in China was 1.794 billion square meters, an increase of 1.9% year-on-year, with sales revenue reaching 18.19 trillion yuan, up 4.8% year-on-year [5]. - The average housing price in cities exceeded 10,000 yuan in only 77 cities in 2021, indicating that the most significant losses were incurred by buyers of large units in first-tier cities [6][7]. - The company Fuanna invested 120 million yuan in a financial product in 2021, which primarily funded real estate projects, leading to substantial losses when the real estate market collapsed [15][21]. Financial Results - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.627 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 13.80%, and a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 45.52% year-on-year [25]. - The decline in performance is attributed to three main factors: inventory clearance efforts leading to reduced gross margins, a significant drop of 43.34% in revenue from franchise channels, and limited improvement in online channel gross margins despite a 2.9 percentage point increase [26]. - The sales expense ratio increased to 35.1%, up 5.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased support for franchisees, with a 148% rise in advance payments [26]. Operational Concerns - The company experienced a net decrease of 58 franchise stores, a decline of 3.9%, while the overall inventory turnover days increased by 31 days to 285 days, indicating potential inventory accumulation risks [30]. - Accounts receivable decreased by 8.87% to 242 million yuan, but the turnover days increased by 19 days to 65 days, suggesting declining collection efficiency [29].

Core Viewpoint - Xizi Health has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CITIC Securities as the sole sponsor [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Xizi Health is a sports nutrition and functional food company focused on providing high-quality health products and promoting a healthy lifestyle [1] - The company's main product offerings include protein powder, compound whey protein powder, creatine, functional gummies, and coffee [1] - Xizi Health has established a brand matrix that covers professional training, health and wellness, weight management, and daily nutritional needs, featuring four proprietary brands: FoYes, fiboo, GuBen Diary, and HotRule [1]

| 製糖牙裝 | 大短更值到版高行政人員名稱 作出張關的 真人/寶出版#灵蛇版;而發的平均價 | | 转动量线的股份股目 这已發行的 ,有關要在的日期 相聚到置於它 攝像這個交 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CONSULTION OF | | Total Value of | (财争履工程,任制) 试题集团范《白人民人士》 解读 | | | | | | HERE | | | CS20260107E00476 中体证券-云机单一资产管理计 1001(L) | | And And States of School Station of Children 28,886,000(L) | Concession Concession Comparis of Children 578.604.000(L) 5.18(L)06/01/2026 D668 Z CDHH | | | | | | | CANNE | 增持后，中信证券-云帆单一资产管理计划最新持股数目为578,604,000股，持股比例由4.92%上升至 5.18%。 | 股份代號: 01816 | | | --- | ...

Core Insights - The total number of employees in the securities industry is projected to decrease to 328,900 by the end of 2025, a reduction of nearly 7,800 from the end of 2024, marking a shift in talent dynamics within the industry [1][2] - The number of investment bankers, specifically sponsors, is expected to decline for the first time in eight years, contrasting with the growth of investment advisors and analysts [1][3] Industry Overview - The total number of employees in the securities industry has fluctuated between 320,000 and 360,000 since 2017, peaking at 354,500 in 2022 [1] - By the end of 2025, five major brokerages will employ over 10,000 people each, accounting for nearly 20% of the total workforce in the industry [2] - Some large and medium-sized brokerages are experiencing workforce reductions due to mergers, restructuring, and the establishment of subsidiaries [2] Talent Dynamics - Internet-based brokerages such as Dongfang Caifu, Guojin Securities, and Maikao Securities are actively hiring, with Dongfang Caifu increasing its workforce by 630 to reach 3,334 employees [2] - The number of investment bankers has decreased to 8,519 by the end of 2025, down 293 from the previous year, marking the first annual decline in eight years [3] - The decline in investment bankers is attributed to a slowdown in equity financing and stricter regulatory environments [3][4] Growth in Advisory Roles - The number of investment advisors has reached a record high of 86,100 by the end of 2025, an increase of 5,782 from 2024, reflecting a shift towards high-quality talent strategies [5][6] - The number of securities brokers has significantly decreased from 90,400 in 2017 to 22,900 in 2025, indicating a transition away from traditional brokerage roles [5] Analyst Trends - The number of analysts has surpassed 6,056 by the end of 2025, marking a growth of 338 from the previous year, with a notable increase since 2022 [6][7] - High-profile analysts are increasingly changing firms, indicating a competitive environment for talent acquisition among brokerages [7] - The demand for research and analysis is supported by the expansion of listed companies and the growth of institutional investors, despite challenges in commission income [7]

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage sector experienced a collective decline, with all 43 listed brokerages falling on January 8, indicating a potential correction after a rapid increase in stock prices [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 8, the brokerage index dropped by 2.7%, with notable declines including Huayin Securities hitting the daily limit down, Hu'an Securities and Huatai Securities falling over 5%, and several others like Xinyi Securities and Guotai Haitong dropping over 4% [4][5]. - Huayin Securities closed at 16.92 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 4.28%, and a total market capitalization of 45.684 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - The trading data showed that Huayin Securities was heavily traded, with a net sell of 205 million yuan, indicating significant investor activity despite the price drop [5][6]. - Major selling came from Guotai Haitong and Aijian Securities, while buying interest was noted from Dongfang Securities and China Galaxy Securities [5][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current pullback in the brokerage sector is a normal phenomenon following rapid price increases, with a long-term upward trend expected in a slow bull market [5]. - The brokerage sector is anticipated to see improved performance due to factors such as enhanced industry structure, balanced internal business growth, and increased return on equity (ROE) [8]. - By 2025, the brokerage sector is projected to achieve significant earnings growth, driven by a booming capital market and increased brokerage and credit business performance [8][9].

Core Insights - The securities industry is undergoing a significant structural transformation in its workforce, with total employment dropping to 328,900 by the end of 2025, a decrease of nearly 7,800 from the previous year [1] - Despite the overall reduction in workforce, key positions such as investment advisors and securities analysts are experiencing growth, indicating a shift in focus from traditional channel and investment banking services to wealth management and research-driven pricing capabilities [1] Group 1: Employment Trends - The total number of employees in the securities industry has fluctuated between 320,000 and 360,000 since 2017, with the current figures suggesting a new round of contraction [1] - Investment advisors have increased to 86,100, while the number of securities analysts has reached a record high of 6,056 [1] - Conversely, the number of sponsor representatives has declined for the first time in eight years, highlighting a shift in business focus [1] Group 2: Performance of Listed Securities Firms - Among 41 listed securities firms, 37 have expanded their investment advisor teams, with a total net increase of 5,815 investment advisors across the industry [1] - Notable increases in investment advisor numbers include Guotai Junan with a net gain of 2,192, Huatai Securities with 431, and CITIC Securities with 388 [2] - The analyst positions also saw growth, with 26 listed firms increasing their analyst headcount, resulting in a total net increase of 479 analysts [3]