Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has seen a rise, but it underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a weekly increase of 0.77% against the CSI 300's 1.28% [2] - Inventory levels are increasing due to supply policies, while coal prices are declining rapidly. Despite increased production, supply constraints are expected to persist, leading to potential coal shortages in certain regions [6][32] - The report anticipates a rise in the coal price center in the fourth quarter, with current coal asset dividends being reasonable [6][32] Summary by Sections Coal Market Performance - As of December 5, 2025, the coal sector's performance was 0.77% up, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 0.51 percentage points. A total of 21 stocks rose, while 14 fell, with New Dazhou A showing the highest increase of 14.98% [2] Key Data on Coal Sales and Inventory - The average daily coal sales for monitored enterprises from November 28 to December 4, 2025, were 6.98 million tons, down 5% week-on-week and down 9.5% year-on-year. Total coal inventory was 24.67 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% week-on-week and 20.5% year-on-year [2][30] Price Trends in Coal Types - As of December 5, 2025, the price of thermal coal (Q5500K) was 706 CNY/ton, up 1.15% week-on-week, while the price of imported thermal coal fell by 4.69% to 874 CNY/ton. Prices for coking coal and anthracite also showed declines [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in high-dividend thermal coal companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others. For coking coal, companies like Huaibei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal are recommended. Additionally, companies with improved profits in the coking sector are highlighted [6][32]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal price has upward momentum in December, driven by seasonal demand increases and supply constraints [4][7] - The coal mining industry is characterized by high asset quality and strong cash flow among leading companies, indicating a favorable long-term outlook for coal prices [7] Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Coal - As of December 5, the price of thermal coal at northern ports is 785 RMB/ton, a decrease of 31 RMB/ton week-on-week [14] - Production in the Sanxi region has seen a slight decrease in capacity utilization, down 0.61 percentage points [14][21] - Coastal and inland power plants have increased daily coal consumption by 7.3 and 35.3 thousand tons respectively [14][23] - The inventory of power plants in 25 provinces is 136.12 million tons, down 115 thousand tons year-on-year [14][34] 2. Coking Coal - The capacity utilization rate for coking coal mines has decreased by 0.17 percentage points to 84.5% [5][40] - The average crossing volume at Ganqimaodu port has increased, indicating stable import levels [5][44] - The price of main coking coal at ports is 1,630 RMB/ton, down 40 RMB/ton week-on-week [5][41] 3. Coke - The production rate of independent coking plants has increased slightly to 72.66% [53][59] - The average profit per ton of coke has decreased to approximately 30 RMB/ton, down 16 RMB/ton week-on-week [57] - The price of coke at Rizhao port is 1,630 RMB/ton, a decrease of 50 RMB/ton week-on-week [54] 4. Anthracite - The price of anthracite remains stable, with the small block price at 930 RMB/ton [69] 5. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, all rated as "Buy" [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Viewpoints - Indonesia plans to impose a coal export tax starting in 2026 to increase national revenue, which has faced strong opposition from the coal mining association [2][8] - The report recommends companies with strong earnings elasticity such as Yancoal Energy, Jinkong Coal Industry, and focuses on Keda Automation in the smart mining sector [2] - Key companies to watch include major state-owned enterprises like China Coal Energy and China Shenhua, as well as turnaround candidates like China Qinfa [2] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Global energy prices have shown mixed trends, with Brent crude oil futures at $63.75 per barrel (+0.87%) and WTI at $60.08 per barrel (+2.61%) as of December 5, 2025 [1] - Coal prices have seen slight adjustments, with Newcastle coal at $109.5 per ton (-1.44%) and South African Richards Bay coal at $90.8 per ton (+5.13%) [1][36] Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - China Coal Energy: Buy with EPS estimates of 1.46, 1.21, 1.29, and 1.39 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - China Shenhua: Buy with EPS estimates of 2.95, 2.56, 2.71, and 2.86 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - Jinkong Coal Industry: Buy with EPS estimates of 1.68, 1.23, 1.47, and 1.62 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - Yancoal Energy: Buy with EPS estimates of 1.44, 0.99, 1.18, and 1.37 for 2024A to 2027E [7] - China Qinfa: Buy with EPS estimates of 0.20, 0.06, 0.27, and 0.47 for 2024A to 2027E [7] Market Trends - The coal industry is facing challenges due to the proposed export tax, which may impact its competitiveness in the global market [2][8] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring coal demand and pricing trends as the industry navigates these changes [2][36]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.51% on December 3rd, with six industries experiencing gains, led by transportation and non-ferrous metals, which rose by 0.69% and 0.63% respectively [1] - The coal industry ranked third in terms of gains for the day, while the media and computer sectors saw the largest declines, down 2.86% and 2.26% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The main capital flow showed a net outflow of 57.883 billion yuan across the two markets, with only three industries seeing net inflows: non-ferrous metals (4.407 billion yuan), coal (0.235 billion yuan), and transportation (0.00533 billion yuan) [1] - The computer industry had the largest net outflow, totaling 9.185 billion yuan, followed by the electronics sector with an outflow of 8.163 billion yuan [1] Coal Industry Performance - The coal industry rose by 0.57% with a net inflow of 0.235 billion yuan, comprising 37 stocks, of which 27 increased in value and 3 hit the daily limit [2] - Among the stocks in the coal sector, Dazhong Energy led with a net inflow of 2.47 billion yuan, followed by Huayang Co. and New Dazhou A with inflows of 0.76697 billion yuan and 0.58399 billion yuan respectively [2] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included Yongtai Energy, Electric Power Investment, and Baotailong, with outflows of 0.771815 billion yuan, 0.404823 billion yuan, and 0.348684 billion yuan respectively [2][3] Individual Stock Highlights - Dazhong Energy saw a significant increase of 10.05% with a turnover rate of 6.15% and a main capital flow of 247.48 million yuan [2] - Other notable performers included Huayang Co. (up 2.34%, 7.6697 million yuan) and New Dazhou A (up 10.00%, 5.83993 million yuan) [2] - Conversely, stocks like Yongtai Energy and Electric Power Investment experienced substantial outflows, indicating potential concerns among investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The ownership structure between the controlling shareholder and the actual controller of Shanxi Huayang Group New Energy Co., Ltd. is being simplified, with the transfer of 53.8051% equity from Shanxi State-owned Capital Operation Co., Ltd. to the Shanxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, but this will not change the direct controlling shareholder or actual controller of the company [2][4]. Group 1 - The transfer of ownership involves the Shanxi Provincial Government's decision to transfer 53.8051% of Huayang Group's shares from Shanxi State-owned Capital Operation Co., Ltd. to the Shanxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [2][4]. - The direct controlling shareholder remains Huayang Group, and the actual controller continues to be the Shanxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [2][5]. - This change does not involve a takeover bid and will not affect the stability of the company's control or its normal operations and development [3][5]. Group 2 - The ownership change is pending the completion of relevant business registration procedures [6].

| 证券代码：600348 | 证券简称：华阳股份 | | | 公告编号：2025-037 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：240807 | 债券简称：华阳 | YK01 | | | | 债券代码：240929 | 债券简称：华阳 | YK02 | | | | 债券代码：241770 | 债券简称：24 | 华阳 | Y1 | | | 债券代码：241771 | 债券简称：24 | 华阳 | Y2 | | | 债券代码：241972 | 债券简称：24 | 华阳 | Y4 | | | 债券代码：244056 | 债券简称：25 | 华阳 | Y1 | | | 债券代码：244057 | 债券简称：25 | 华阳 | Y2 | | | 债券代码：244293 | 债券简称：25 | 华阳 | Y3 | | 山西华阳集团新能股份有限公司 关于控股股东与实际控制人之间产权层级减少的 提示性公告 | 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 | | --- | | 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 1.本次控 ...

沪指12月2日下跌0.42%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有7个，涨幅居前的行业为石油石化、轻工制 造，涨幅分别为0.71%、0.55%。煤炭行业今日上涨0.21%。跌幅居前的行业为传媒、有色金属，跌幅分 别为1.75%、1.36%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出464.99亿元，今日有7个行业主力资金净流入，轻工制造行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨0.55%，全天净流入资金6.79亿元，其次是农林牧渔行业，日 跌幅为0.34%，净流入资金为5.85亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有24个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金80.48亿元，其次 是电力设备行业，净流出资金为59.57亿元，净流出资金较多的还有通信、计算机、有色金属等行业。 煤炭行业今日上涨0.21%，全天主力资金净流入2.53亿元，该行业所属的个股共37只，今日上涨的有20 只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有16只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有20只，其 中，净流入资金超千万元的有6只，净流入资金居首的是安泰集团，今日净流入资金2.01亿元，紧随其 后的是华阳股份、中国神华，净流入资金分别为8101.84万 ...

Core Insights - The coal mining sector experienced a slight increase of 0.16% on December 2, with Xindazhou A leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.71, down 0.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13056.7, down 0.68% [1] Coal Mining Sector Performance - Xindazhou A (000571) closed at 5.90, up 4.24% with a trading volume of 577,500 shares and a transaction value of 338 million [1] - Other notable performers included: - Biaoyang Co. (600348) at 8.12, up 3.57% with a transaction value of 694 million [1] - Dayou Energy (600403) at 8.36, up 3.21% with a transaction value of 846 million [1] - The overall trading volume and transaction values for various coal stocks indicate active market participation [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The coal mining sector saw a net inflow of 10.685 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 107 million [2][3] - Notable net inflows from institutional investors included: - Biaoyang Co. (600348) with 10.21 million [3] - Xindazhou A (000571) with 27.276 million [3] - China Shenhua (601088) with 23.929 million [3] - Retail investors showed significant outflows in several stocks, indicating a shift in market sentiment [2][3]

Market Overview - On December 2, the A-share market saw a collective decline in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.42%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.68%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.69% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 1,593.43 billion yuan, a decrease of about 280.51 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Out of the total stocks, 1,544 rose while 3,740 fell, with 54 hitting the daily limit up and 7 hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - The sectors that performed well included Fujian state-owned assets, forestry, prepared dishes, coal mining, airports, and light manufacturing [1] - Conversely, sectors that saw declines included non-ferrous metals, antimony, MLCC, lithium mining, energy metals, precious metals, and bioproducts [1] Commodity Futures - In the domestic commodity futures market, there were mixed results, with BR rubber rising by approximately 4%, and silver and pulp increasing by over 2% [1] - Other commodities such as coking coal and soda ash saw increases of over 1%, while asphalt and platinum fell by more than 2% [1] Shanxi Sector Analysis - In the Shanxi sector on December 2, there were 41 stocks, with 12 rising and 27 falling, indicating a significant number of declines [2] - Among the rising stocks, Antai Group led with a peak increase of 9.96%, while Taiyuan Iron & Steel rose by 7.06% [2] - Other notable gainers included Huayang Co. with a 3.57% increase, Jinbo Biological with a 2.42% increase, and Yongtai Energy with a 1.23% increase [2] - The leading decliner was Dongjie Intelligent, which fell by 3.62%, followed by Beifang Copper, Pailin Biological, Keda Automation, and Kuaijingtong with respective declines of 2.69%, 2.32%, 2.01%, and 1.72% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Huayang Co., Ltd. has seen a stock price increase of 5.1% on December 2, reaching 8.24 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 29.726 billion CNY, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the company [1] Company Overview - Huayang Co., Ltd. was established on December 30, 1999, and listed on August 21, 2003. The company is primarily engaged in coal production, washing and processing, electricity generation, solar power generation, and the manufacturing of photovoltaic equipment and components [1] - The revenue composition of Huayang Co., Ltd. includes: - Raw coal: 52.34% - Other (supplementary): 13.21% - Washed block coal: 9.84% - Purchased coal: 9.50% - Electricity supply: 7.39% - Washed raw coal: 6.05% - Coal slurry: 1.35% - Heating supply: 0.33% [1] Shareholder Activity - Guotai Fund's Guotai Zhongzheng Coal ETF (515220) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Huayang Co., Ltd., having increased its holdings by 43.32 million shares in the third quarter, now holding a total of 71.33 million shares, which represents 1.98% of the circulating shares [2] - The ETF has generated a floating profit of approximately 28.53 million CNY today, with a cumulative floating profit of 22.11 million CNY over the past three days of stock price increases [2][4] Fund Performance - The Guotai Zhongzheng Coal ETF (515220) was established on January 20, 2020, with a current size of 11.413 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 0.8%, ranking 4117 out of 4206 in its category, while the one-year return is 0.81%, ranking 3800 out of 4012 [2] - The fund manager, Wu Zhonghao, has been in charge for 3 years and 310 days, with the fund's total asset size at 25.391 billion CNY. The best return during his tenure is 73.59%, while the worst is -18.06% [3]