贵州茅台成交额达100亿元，现跌1.49%。 ...

第三，现金流稳如磐石——近4%股息率+零负债+年年分红，比银行存款香太多。 更绝的是，段永平去年还以父母名义向高校捐赠1万股茅台，要求"只花分红，永不卖出"——这哪是投资？分明是 对商业模式的终极信任投票。 但现实不容盲目乐观：公募仓位创历史新低，年轻人白酒渗透率不足15%，春节动销仍是关键试金石。段永平能 扛住50%下跌，是因为他千亿身家无需变现；而普通散户若用生活费梭哈，恐怕等不到"十年后"。 当公募基金把白酒仓位砍到不足4%，当年轻人纷纷转向威士忌和果酒，当飞天茅台批发价跌破1500元——整个市 场都在唱衰白酒。可就在此时，投资"扫地僧"段永平却逆势出手：2026年1月21日，以1365元/股加仓2万股贵州茅 台，并放话："拉长十年看，现在真不贵！" 这操作，堪称"众人恐惧我贪婪"的教科书级示范。 一边是机构集体撤退、消费断层加剧、库存高企；一边是段永平淡定增持，人民币账户持仓已达4万股（约5360万 元），甚至表示"若跌到1200，还会继续买"。他凭什么如此笃定？ 答案藏在他对茅台的底层逻辑判断中： 第一，护城河无人能复制——赤水河的微生物、12987工艺、91.3%的毛利率，让茅台不是酒，而是"液体 ...

Group 1 - Guizhou Moutai's stock price has been on a downward trend since the beginning of the year, recently hitting a new low for 2024 [1][4] - Notable investor Duan Yongping has expressed that, when viewed over a longer time frame, the current stock price is "really not expensive" [1][2] - Public funds have reduced their allocation to the liquor sector, with current positions below 4%, indicating a relatively low level of investment [1] Group 2 - Duan Yongping is optimistic about Guizhou Moutai's direct sales through the iMoutai App, believing it addresses issues of counterfeit products and high prices, potentially releasing significant purchasing power [2] - He emphasizes that while macroeconomic conditions can impact sales, strong companies like Moutai tend to recover faster due to their inherent health [2] - Duan Yongping holds 40,000 shares of Moutai and plans to buy an additional 20,000 shares at a price of 1,365 yuan, although he later deleted this post [2]

主力资金早间净流入有色金属、基础化工、石油石化、建筑装饰等板块，净流出电力设备、国防军工、 医药生物、汽车等板块。 具体到个股来看，中国铝业、网宿科技、省广集团获净流入33.76亿元、29.54亿元、21.27亿元。 净流出方面，阳光电源、贵州茅台、航天电子遭抛售19.11亿元、15.44亿元、15.12亿元。 (本文来自第一财经) ...

市 场 研 究 研报精选 食饮重仓比例持续下降，除酒类外的细分板块重仓比例回升 1 月游戏版号过审 182 款，腾讯《彩虹六号：攻势》强化 FPS 细分赛 道 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2026 年 01 月 28 日 星期三 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周二 A 股三大指数集体收涨，截止收盘，沪指收涨 0.18%，深成指收 涨 0.09%，创业板指收涨 0.71%。沪深两市成交额 28947.28 亿元。申 万行业方面，电子、通信、国防军工领涨，煤炭、农林牧渔、钢铁领 跌；概念板块方面，培育钻石、汽车芯片、国家大基金持股概念涨幅 居前，动物疫苗、禽流感、煤炭概念跌幅居前。港股方面，恒生指数 收涨 1.35%，恒生科技指数收涨 0.5%；海外方面，美国三大指数涨跌 不一，道指收跌 0.83%，标普 500 收涨 0.41%，纳指收涨 0.91%。 【重要新闻】 【2025 年全国规上工业企业利润总额同比增长】国家统计局公布数 据显示，2025 年全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额 7.4 万亿元， 同比增长 0.6%，扭 ...

Group 1 - Guizhou Moutai's stock price has been fluctuating downwards since the beginning of the year, with notable investor Duan Yongping expressing that the current price is "really not expensive" when viewed over a longer time frame [2] - Duan Yongping plans to increase his holdings in Guizhou Moutai by purchasing 20,000 shares at a price of 1,365 yuan, amounting to approximately 27.3 million yuan, demonstrating his confidence in the company's long-term value [2] - Public funds' allocation to the liquor sector is currently low, with their holdings in Guizhou Moutai decreasing to 1,919,970 shares, down from 1,964,840 shares at the end of the third quarter of 2025 [2] Group 2 - The allocation of public funds in the liquor sector has dropped from a peak of 16% in 2020 to the current 3.93%, which is below historical levels and indicates a potential for recovery in the sector [3] - Active equity funds have maintained a low allocation to the liquor sector for six consecutive quarters, with the current allocation at a historically low level, suggesting a potential for future increases [3] - The overall liquor industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth and structural optimization due to factors such as rational consumer behavior, regulatory policies, and excess production capacity [3] Group 3 - Institutions predict that the actual sales of liquor during the 2026 Spring Festival will remain stable, considering various factors such as the extended holiday and consumption scenarios [4] - The liquor industry is expected to benefit from upcoming Spring Festival marketing activities, with channels learning from leading companies' experiences in reforming channels and products [4] - The industry may refocus on market cultivation and consumer education to promote sales and reduce burdens on distributors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The current stock price of Kweichow Moutai is perceived as undervalued by notable investor Duan Yongping, despite a general decline in public fund allocations to the liquor sector, which are currently below 4% [1] Group 1: Company Insights - Kweichow Moutai has begun direct sales of its Flying Moutai liquor through the iMoutai App, which is seen as a significant market reform and is expected to enhance its long-term value [1] - Duan Yongping plans to increase his stake in Kweichow Moutai by purchasing 20,000 shares at a price of 1,365 RMB, amounting to approximately 27.3 million RMB, reflecting his confidence in the company's long-term prospects [1] - The average retail price of top ten liquor products in China shows a weak divergence, with a total price of 8,889 RMB, indicating a slight decline in market prices [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Public fund allocations to the liquor sector have decreased from a peak of 16% in 2020 to 3.93%, which is below historical levels and suggests a potential for recovery in the sector [2] - The liquor industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth and structural optimization due to factors such as rational consumer behavior, regulatory policies, and overcapacity [2] - The top 20 A-share liquor companies reported a revenue of 3,177.79 billion RMB in the first three quarters, a year-on-year decline of 5.9%, with net profits down 6.93% [2] - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to stabilize liquor sales, with industry players implementing measures to control inventory and support distributors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a mixed trend in retail prices for the top ten products, with an overall decline in average prices, indicating potential market volatility and changing consumer behavior [1][5]. Price Trends - The total retail price for a package of the top ten liquor products is 8866 yuan, down 20 yuan from the previous day, marking a new low in the past five days [1]. - Among the ten products, four saw price increases while six experienced declines, with notable changes including a 6 yuan increase for premium Moutai and a 17 yuan decrease for Qinghua Lang [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of the i-Moutai platform has begun to influence the retail prices of Moutai products, with the standard Moutai priced at 1499 yuan and the premium Moutai at 2299 yuan [5]. - The A-share liquor sector has seen a decline, with the China Securities White Liquor Index dropping to 8293.16 points, the lowest since September 19, 2024, and a continuous six-year decline in annual performance [5]. Stock Performance - The average decline for 20 stocks in the white liquor sector over the past 11 trading days is approximately 8.5%, with a median drop of 6.6% [5]. - Six stocks have seen declines exceeding 10%, representing nearly 30% of the sector's total stocks, including Shanxi Fenjiu and Yanghe [5]. Financing Trends - Despite the market downturn, there has been an increase in financing activity, with Guizhou Moutai seeing a net buy of 3.166 billion yuan over the past ten trading days, reaching a new high in financing balance [5].

| 2 | 习酒君品 | 639/瓶 | -3元' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720/瓶 | -17元▼ | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 100 | 水晶剑南春 | 391/瓶 | 3元 ▲ | | | 52度/500ml | | | 来源：酒业内参 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月28日呈 放量分化走势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为8866元，较昨日下跌20元，创近五 日以来价格新低。今日市场四涨六跌：上涨端，精品茅台领涨6元/瓶；水晶剑南春上涨3元/瓶；国窖 1573和梦之蓝M6+均上涨2元/瓶。下跌端，青花郎显著回调17元/瓶，调整幅度居前，此前该酒品曾五 连涨获利回吐压力日增；飞天茅台终端零售价受i茅台平台常态化供应影响，环比下跌9元/瓶；习酒君 品和古井贡古20分别下跌3元/瓶、2元/瓶；青花汾20和五粮液均微跌1元/瓶，走势相对平稳。 【点击进入酒价内参，查看真实酒价】 白酒业的重要新闻方面，昨日（27日）A股白酒板 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a mixed trend in retail prices, with the average price of the top ten liquor products showing a decline, indicating potential market volatility and shifts in consumer demand [1][5]. Price Trends - As of January 28, the total retail price for a package of the top ten liquor products is 8866 yuan, down 20 yuan from the previous day, marking a new low in the past five days [1]. - The market shows four price increases and six decreases today, with premium Moutai leading the increase by 6 yuan per bottle, while Qinghua Lang saw a significant drop of 17 yuan per bottle [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of the iMoutai platform selling Moutai at 1499 yuan per bottle and premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle has begun to influence market prices, reflecting a magnetic effect on retail prices [5]. - The A-share liquor sector has seen a decline, with the China Securities White Liquor Index dropping to 8293.16 points, the lowest since September 19, 2024, and the sector has experienced a continuous six-year decline [5]. Stock Performance - Within the liquor sector, 20 constituent stocks have averaged a decline of nearly 8.5% over the past 11 trading days, with a median drop of 6.6% [5]. - Six stocks have seen declines exceeding 10%, representing nearly 30% of the sector's total stocks, including Shanxi Fenjiu and Yanghe Brewery [5]. Financing Activity - Despite the market downturn, there is a trend of increased investment from financing clients, with Guizhou Moutai seeing a net purchase of 3.166 billion yuan over the last ten trading days, reaching a new high in financing balance [5].