Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices have not hindered the profitability of gold companies, which are reporting significant revenue and profit increases in their third-quarter results. Company Performance - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit of 37.86 billion yuan, up 55.45% year-on-year. Gold production reached 65 tons, a 20% increase year-on-year, with Q3 production at 24 tons, up 7% from Q2 [1][5]. - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 3.8 billion to 4.1 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an increase of 83.9% to 98.5% year-on-year [5]. - Zhaojin Mining reported approximately 12.43 billion yuan in revenue, a 53.73% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of about 2.12 billion yuan, up 140.43% year-on-year [5]. - Zhaojin Gold achieved revenue of 340 million yuan, a 119.51% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 82.16 million yuan, compared to a loss of 90.08 million yuan in the previous year [5]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining announced a revenue of 8.64 billion yuan, a 38.91% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.06 billion yuan, up 86.21% year-on-year [5]. Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs maintains a forecast for gold prices to reach $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, while JPMorgan views gold as a top long-term investment, predicting prices to hit $5,055 per ounce by Q4 2026 and $6,000 by 2028 [5]. Cost Factors - Zijin Mining noted that factors such as declining ore grades, increased transportation distances, and higher stripping ratios at open-pit mines have led to an increase in unit sales costs [7]. - Zhaojin Gold attributed its profitability to product structure adjustments, increased sales prices, and reduced production costs, resulting in a gross profit margin increase of 38.12% year-on-year [7]. Stock Performance - As of October 24, 2023, Zijin Mining's A-shares have risen over 100% year-to-date, Chifeng Jilong Gold's A-shares have increased over 85%, Shandong Gold's A-shares have risen over 60%, and Zhongjin Gold's A-shares have increased over 90% [9].

Core Viewpoint - The construction of the 1500 tons per day tailings processing plant by Hong Kong Fulin Company is currently underway and is expected to be completed by the end of 2025 according to the original schedule [2] Company Summary - Zhaojin Gold responded to investor inquiries on October 24, confirming the ongoing construction of the tailings processing plant [2] - The project is significant for the company's operational capacity and future production capabilities [2] Industry Summary - The tailings processing plant is part of a broader trend in the mining industry focusing on sustainable practices and resource recovery [2] - The completion of such projects is crucial for enhancing the efficiency and environmental impact of mining operations [2]

Group 1 - The recent volatility in the gold market has seen spot gold prices drop below $4060 per ounce, with a daily decline exceeding 1% on the 24th [1] - Prior to this, spot gold experienced a significant correction, with a drop of 6.3% on the 21st, marking the largest daily decline since April 2013 [2] - Analysts from Guojin Securities attribute the rapid correction in gold prices to technical adjustments and changes in the macro environment, while maintaining that the long-term upward trend in gold remains intact due to structural erosion of the dollar's credit system [2] Group 2 - Haitong Securities highlights that the ongoing trend of de-dollarization, geopolitical risks, and the need for diversified investment portfolios are driving central banks and institutional investors to increase their gold allocations, providing solid support for gold prices [2] - The restructuring of the global order positions gold as the most suitable safe-haven asset [2] - The high gold prices have positively impacted the performance of gold-related listed companies, with significant profit increases reported [2] Group 3 - Shandong Gold expects to achieve a net profit of 3.8 billion to 4.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 83.9% to 98.5% [4] - Zhaojin Gold reported a net profit of 82.16 million yuan for the first three quarters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 191.2% [4] - Zijin Mining's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters reached 37.864 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 55.45% [4]

Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a decline of 1.08% on October 24, with Hunan Silver leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3950.31, up 0.71%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.18, up 2.02% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Hunan Silver closed at 6.40, down 2.59%, with a trading volume of 1.35 million shares and a transaction value of 867 million [2] - Other notable declines include: - Shandong Gold down 1.11% to 36.50 with a transaction value of 1.14 billion [2] - Hunan Gold down 0.74% to 20.13 with a transaction value of 917 million [2] - The only gain in the sector was seen in Chifeng Gold, which rose 0.35% to 28.88 with a transaction value of 1.17 billion [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 1.026 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.101 billion [3] - Key stocks with significant capital flow include: - Hunan Silver with a net outflow of 134 million from institutional investors [3] - Shandong Gold with a net outflow of 142 million [3] - Chifeng Gold with a net outflow of 644 million [3]

Group 1: Industry Performance Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has seen significant performance reports from various sectors, including non-ferrous metals, insurance, and telecommunications, with leading companies in non-ferrous metals and insurance showing rapid growth, while telecommunications leaders maintain stable performance [1] - Resource stocks, particularly in the rare earth sector, have reported substantial increases in earnings, with Jinli Permanent Magnet achieving a revenue of 5.373 billion yuan, up 7.16%, and a net profit of 515 million yuan, up 161.81% [2][3] - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, a 10.33% increase, and a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan, up 55.45%, with its gold business being a significant profit driver [2][3] Group 2: Insurance Sector Growth - Major insurance companies have reported rapid earnings growth, with China Pacific Insurance expecting a net profit increase of 40% to 60% for the first three quarters of 2025 [6] - China Life Insurance anticipates a net profit of approximately 156.785 billion to 177.689 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 50% to 70% [7] - New China Life Insurance expects a net profit of 29.986 billion to 34.122 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45% to 65% [7] Group 3: Telecommunications Sector Stability - The three major telecommunications operators, China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, reported stable growth, with China Mobile achieving a revenue of 794.7 billion yuan, up 0.4%, and a profit of 115.4 billion yuan, up 4% [8][9] - China Telecom's revenue reached 396.998 billion yuan, a 0.6% increase, while China Unicom reported a revenue of 293 billion yuan, up 1% [9] Group 4: Retail Sector Losses - High-end retail giant Gao Xin Retail reported a projected net loss of 110 to 140 million yuan for the six months ending September 30, 2025, compared to a profit of 186 million yuan in the same period last year [10][11] - The loss is attributed to increased market competition and weak consumer demand, leading to a decline in average transaction value and revenue [11]

金价：回调藏富路，理性看调整 20251023 摘要 短期内，地缘政治风险缓解和前期超买导致黄金价格大幅回调，首个支 撑位预计在 3,950 美元左右，若跌破则可能下探至 3,700 美元。投资者 应关注市场情绪变化，避免追涨杀跌。 长期来看，全球政治经济不确定性及央行购金需求增加支撑金价，中长 期黄金价格仍具备上涨潜力。投资者不应轻易抛售黄金，可关注地缘政 治事件对金价的扰动。 黄金股与金价出现背离，金价上涨时黄金股未同步上涨，金价下跌时黄 金股跌停。投资者应避免情绪亢奋时追涨，关注长期趋势和基本面。 黄金股投资策略：避免追涨，在金价大幅下跌时关注估值较低的股票， 如资源量大的龙头公司山东黄金，以及估值低于 15 倍的标的，关注山 金国际等成长性公司。 金价回调周期受流动性挤兑和基本面影响，前者调整时间较短（约两 周），后者较长（调整约 4 周，盘整约 13 周）。量化指标可参考 CBOE 黄金 ETF 波动率和价格偏离均值标准差。 Q&A 最近黄金价格波动较大，市场对未来金价走势有何看法？ 近期黄金价格波动显著，尤其是 10 月 21 日国际金价和银价出现了近 12 年以 来的最大单日跌幅。黄金价格下跌了 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector experienced a decline of 0.55% on October 23, with Zhaojin Gold leading the drop. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index both saw a slight increase of 0.22% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The closing prices and performance of key stocks in the precious metals sector showed varied results, with Hunan Silver rising by 1.70% to 6.57 and Zhaojin Gold falling by 4.37% to 12.47 [1][2]. - The trading volume for Hunan Silver reached 1.8258 million shares, with a transaction value of 1.17 billion yuan, while Zhaojin Gold had a trading volume of 713,600 shares and a transaction value of 896 million yuan [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 882 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 687 million yuan [2][3]. - Zhaojin Gold experienced a significant net outflow of 166 million yuan from major funds, accounting for 18.46% of its total capital [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks experienced a decline, with several companies reporting significant drops in their stock prices [1] Company Performance - Lingbao Gold, Zhaojin Mining, and China Gold International all fell by over 4% [1] - Shandong Gold and Tongguan Gold saw declines of more than 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks continue to decline, with significant drops in major companies, reflecting a broader trend in the precious metals market as gold and silver prices experience a downturn [1] Group 1: Market Performance - China Silver Group saw a sharp decline of 6%, while Zhaojin Mining and Shandong Gold fell nearly 4%, with Shandong Gold's cumulative drop exceeding 20% over the past eight days [1] - Other companies such as China National Gold and Zhu Feng Gold also experienced declines of over 3%, while Tongguan Gold, Zijin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Lingbao Gold all dropped more than 2% [1] Group 2: Price Movements - In the Asian market, gold prices continued to adjust, reaching $4,070 per ounce, down 0.77%, while silver prices fell by 1% to $47.96 per ounce [1] - The Sukdun Financial Research team noted that the decline in precious metal prices may reflect profit-taking and a decrease in safe-haven fund flows rather than movements in U.S. Treasury yields [1] Group 3: Market Reactions - Many gold retailers expressed shock at the volatility of gold prices, reporting a decrease in transaction volumes due to the recent price adjustments [1] - The recent drop in gold prices has also cooled the previously active gold recycling market, with some retailers noting a lack of interest in silver products following a significant price drop [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in gold prices has triggered significant reactions in the market, affecting both stock prices of gold-related companies and consumer behavior in the retail gold market [2][3][4]. Market Reaction - On October 22, A-share gold stocks experienced a collective drop, with companies like Hunan Silver and Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit down, while others like Xiaocheng Technology and Zhaojin Gold fell over 9% [3]. - The precious metals sector became the largest declining sector in A-shares that day, with the three major indices collectively falling and trading volume decreasing by 202.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [3]. Retail Market Adjustment - The domestic gold retail market saw a significant adjustment, with major jewelry brands reducing their gold prices sharply. For instance, Chow Tai Fook's gold price dropped by 57 yuan to 1235 yuan per gram, while Lao Miao Gold saw a decrease of 83 yuan to 1211 yuan per gram [3]. - Despite the price drop, there was an increase in consumer purchases, with many taking advantage of lower prices to buy gold jewelry [4]. Factors Behind Price Drop - Analysts attribute the recent volatility in gold prices to a combination of technical corrections after a rapid increase, easing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe, and potential resolutions to the U.S. government shutdown crisis [5]. - The rapid rise in gold prices had created an overheated market, leading to profit-taking by institutions, which further accelerated the price decline [5]. Long-term Outlook - Despite the short-term price drop, several international investment banks remain optimistic about the future of gold prices. HSBC forecasts that gold's upward momentum could continue until 2026, with a target price of $5000 per ounce [6]. - Long-term bullish sentiment on gold remains intact, driven by concerns over U.S. fiscal deficits and the weakening of the dollar, positioning gold as a hedge against these risks [6].