Core Viewpoint - The GPU index experienced a strong rally, with a daily increase of 2.01% on October 21 [1] Company Performance - Beijing Junzheng saw an increase of 3.85% [1] - Tongfu Microelectronics rose by 3.49% [1] - SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) increased by 3.27% [1] - Chipone Technology gained 3.03% [1] - Changdian Technology experienced a rise of 2.02% [1]

Group 1 - A-shares indices collectively rose on October 21, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.56%, driven by gains in energy equipment, heavy machinery, and precious metals sectors [1] - Chip technology stocks showed strong fluctuations, with the Chip ETF (159995) rising by 1.10% and notable increases in component stocks such as Zhaoyi Innovation (up 5.11%), Wente Technology (up 4.91%), and Beijing Junzheng (up 3.04%) [1] Group 2 - Due to U.S. export controls, NVIDIA's CEO confirmed a complete exit from the advanced AI chip market in China, resulting in a market share drop from 95% to zero, which is expected to facilitate the rise of Chinese manufacturers like Huawei and lead to a split in the global AI ecosystem [3] - According to招商证券, the evolution of global trade patterns has elevated the importance of self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry as a key strategic focus for China's industrial development, with ongoing government support for this sector [3] - The AI innovation cycle, combined with tariff implications, is expected to strengthen the outlook for self-sufficiency, marking the beginning of a new upward cycle for the semiconductor industry [3] - The Chip ETF (159995) tracks the Guozheng Chip Index, which includes 30 leading companies in the A-share chip industry across materials, equipment, design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing, such as SMIC, Cambrian, Changdian Technology, and Northern Huachuang [3]

Core Viewpoint - Longji Technology's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a slight increase of 2.02% on October 21, 2023, while the company has experienced a year-to-date decline of 0.79% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Longji Technology reported a revenue of 18.605 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.14%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.98% to 471 million yuan [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 1.533 billion yuan, with 805 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 1.37% to 319,000, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 1.39% to 5,608 shares [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 101 million shares, and various ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and Huaxia National Semiconductor Chip ETF, all of which have increased their holdings [3] Market Activity - On October 21, 2023, Longji Technology's stock traded at 40.39 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 72.274 billion yuan and a trading volume of 441 million yuan [1] - The stock has seen a 6.88% increase over the past 20 days and an 18.65% increase over the past 60 days [1] Business Overview - Longji Technology, established on November 6, 1998, specializes in integrated circuit packaging and testing services, with 99.59% of its revenue coming from chip packaging and testing [1] - The company operates within the semiconductor industry, focusing on integrated circuit packaging and testing, and is associated with various concepts such as advanced packaging and IGBT [1]

Group 1 - The semiconductor leader ETF (159665) opened with a gain of 1.25%, priced at 1.775 yuan [1] - Key holdings in the ETF include: - SMIC up 1.74% - Haiguang Information up 2.96% - Cambrian up 2.04% - North Huachuang up 1.64% - OmniVision up 1.41% - Lattice Semiconductor up 2.88% - Zhongwei Company up 2.33% - Zhaoyi Innovation up 3.24% - Changdian Technology up 1.90% - Unisoc up 1.71% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return, managed by ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management Company, with a return of 75.25% since its establishment on December 22, 2022, and a return of 0.36% over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective rise in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.49%, driven by gains in sectors such as communication equipment, electronic components, and forestry, while precious metals and banking sectors experienced declines [1] - Chip technology stocks showed significant strength, with the chip ETF (159995) rising by 2.35% and notable increases in constituent stocks such as Silan Microelectronics up by 9.99%, China Resources Microelectronics up by 6.03%, and others [1] Group 2 - Micron Technology plans to cease supplying server chips to Chinese data centers, following a ban on its products in critical infrastructure in 2023, which has not allowed its business to recover [3] - Zheshang Securities views this event as a misunderstanding of market sentiment, suggesting that the impact on the market is minimal and instead indicates a worsening shortage in the storage industry, which is a positive signal for the sector [3] - The chip ETF (159995) tracks the Guozheng Chip Index, comprising 30 leading companies in the A-share chip industry across various segments, including materials, equipment, design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing [3]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic junction box is a critical component of solar photovoltaic systems, responsible for power output and circuit protection, acting as the "control center" for current in photovoltaic modules [1][10] - The Chinese photovoltaic junction box market is projected to grow from 1.758 billion yuan in 2019 to 3.862 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.05% [1][13] - The demand for photovoltaic junction boxes is primarily driven by large solar power plant constructions, with an expected surge in demand from residential and small commercial users due to the growth of distributed photovoltaics [1][13] Industry Overview - The photovoltaic junction box industry is experiencing significant growth, with China's photovoltaic module production capacity expected to reach 1,156.5 GW and output 627.5 GW in 2024, representing year-on-year increases of 25.7% and 21.1% respectively [1][10] - The global photovoltaic junction box market is also expanding, with demand projected to rise from 418 million units in 2022 to 821 million units in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 40.15% [11][12] Industry Development Stages - The industry has undergone multiple iterations, improving in sealing performance, size, and automation, transitioning from complex sealing ring junction boxes to more efficient encapsulated types [8][9] - The industry chain includes upstream raw materials and components, midstream manufacturing, and downstream applications primarily in the photovoltaic sector [8][9] Market Dynamics - The rapid growth of the photovoltaic industry, driven by carbon neutrality strategies and supportive policies, has led to a record increase in solar power installations, making photovoltaic junction boxes essential for system efficiency and safety [10][11] - The Chinese photovoltaic junction box market is expected to reach 4.389 billion yuan by 2025, indicating continued growth and innovation in the industry [1][13] Key Companies - Major companies in the photovoltaic junction box sector include Tongling Co., Ltd., Kuake Electronics, and Zairun New Energy, among others, with a significant presence in the Yangtze River Delta region [2][14] - These companies are increasingly focusing on technological advancements and quality certifications to compete with international players [14][16] Industry Trends - The industry is moving towards smart technology integration, enhancing monitoring and control capabilities through advanced components [17] - Efficiency improvements are being prioritized, focusing on reducing energy transmission losses and enhancing performance under high current conditions [18] - Environmental sustainability is becoming a core focus, with efforts to use eco-friendly materials and manufacturing processes [19]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a correction last week, but certain stocks within the brand index showed resilience, indicating potential investment opportunities in sectors like electronics, new energy, new consumption, and real estate as uncertainties ease [1][4]. Market Performance - The market indices saw declines: Shanghai Composite Index down 1.47%, Shenzhen Component down 4.99%, ChiNext down 5.71%, and CSI 300 down 2.22%. The brand index fell 3.58% to 1956.62 points [2]. - Notable gainers in the brand index included Shanghai Jahwa up 9.42%, Changbai Mountain up 7.19%, and Darentang up 5.34%. Other stocks like Luzhou Laojiao and Yiling Pharmaceutical also saw gains exceeding 4% [2]. Stock Performance Since H2 - Since the beginning of the second half of the year, Zhongji Xuchuang has surged 156.40%, leading the gains, followed by Sunshine Power at 114.27%. Other significant performers include Lanke Technology and Yiwei Lithium Energy, both up over 60% [3]. Market Outlook - Looking ahead, the market is expected to maintain upward momentum as uncertainties gradually diminish. Liquidity is anticipated to remain supportive, with domestic interest rates low and overseas liquidity remaining loose, encouraging investment in Chinese equity assets [4][5]. - The current market environment is characterized by a shift in investment styles, with a focus on sectors that offer higher investment certainty, particularly in electronics, new energy, new consumption, and real estate [5].

Core Insights - The global semiconductor market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a total market value of $717 billion by 2025, driven by various segments including memory and GPGPU chips [9][10]. Market Growth Projections - The total world semiconductor market is expected to reach $697.184 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.2% from 2024 [5]. - The Americas will see a substantial increase, with projections of $215.309 billion in 2025, marking a 15.4% growth [5]. - The Asia Pacific region is anticipated to grow to $376.273 billion by 2025, with a growth rate of 10.4% [5]. Segment Analysis - The memory market is expected to grow by 20.5% to reach $196.3 billion, with NAND flash and DRAM segments projected at $75.5 billion and $115.6 billion respectively [9]. - GPGPU chips are forecasted to grow by 27%, reaching $51 billion, with HBM expected to increase to $21 billion [9]. - Integrated circuits will dominate the market, projected to reach $600.069 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 12.3% [5]. Foundry Market Insights - The global foundry market is expected to grow approximately 20%, reaching $170 billion, with TSMC continuing to lead the market [10][13]. - Advanced packaging is projected to grow at a rate of 11%, reaching $69.5 billion by 2029 [14]. Equipment and Material Market - The semiconductor manufacturing equipment market is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2027, with significant growth in wafer fabrication equipment [19][20]. - The semiconductor materials market is projected to reach $67.7 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.52% [25]. Regional Developments - China is expected to see a significant increase in 300mm wafer fabs, growing from 29 to 71 by 2027, indicating a strong focus on expanding semiconductor manufacturing capabilities [26]. - TSMC plans to build multiple new fabs globally, including in the U.S., Japan, and Europe, to enhance its production capacity [32][31]. Advanced Packaging and Technology - Advanced packaging technologies, including 2.5D and 3D packaging, are gaining traction, with significant investments in new facilities and technologies [41][54]. - The focus on AI and high-performance computing is driving the demand for advanced packaging solutions, with companies like TSMC and ASE leading the charge [54][41].

江苏长电科技股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 10 月 27 日（星期一）下午 15:30-17:00 会议召开地点：上证路演中心（网址：https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/）、 进门财经（网址：https://s.comein.cn/be49w89c） 会议召开方式：进门财经电话会议、上证路演中心转播及网络文字互动 投资者可于 2025 年 10 月 24 日（星期五）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网 站首页点击"预征集问答"栏目或将需要了解的情况和关注的问题发送至公司邮 箱 IR@jcetglobal.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进 行回答。 证券代码：600584 证券简称：长电科技 公告编号：临 2025-046 江苏长电科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）将于 2025 年 10 月 24 日在 《上海证券报》《证券时报》及上海证券交易所网站（www ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Chinese Semiconductors, specifically focusing on AI-related Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) and Outsourced Assembly and Test (OSAT) companies [1][3][17] Core Insights and Arguments - **Positive Outlook on AI Development**: The development of China's AI ecosystem is expected to drive sustained investment in 28nm and below logic and memory technologies, particularly in AI-related applications [1][3][17] - **Earnings and Revenue Forecasts**: - Earnings and price targets for covered WFE and OSAT companies have been raised for 2026-27, reflecting a revenue CAGR of 34% from 2025-27 [1][3][17] - Combined revenue for covered WFE companies is projected to reach US$11.7 billion by 2027, implying a 30% market share in China [17] - **Valuation Comparisons**: Current valuations for leading WFE and OSAT companies remain below historical averages, indicating potential for re-rating as AI technology advances [21][23] Notable Developments - **Huawei's AI Roadmap**: Huawei has publicly presented its AI accelerator roadmap through 2028, showcasing a series of AI chips and a super-cluster solution, marking a significant shift in its semiconductor capabilities [2][9][10] - **Investment in AI Accelerators**: Other Chinese companies, including T-head, Baidu, and MetaX, have also unveiled new AI accelerators, indicating a robust competitive landscape [2][10] - **Supply Chain Improvements**: The localization of AI accelerators is expected to ease supply constraints by 2026, benefiting domestic semiconductor manufacturers [2][10] Stock Picks and Recommendations - **Top Picks**: Recommended stocks in AI infrastructure include AMEC, NAURA, and JCET, with a preference for Horizon Robotics in edge AI [4] - **Price Target Adjustments**: - AMEC's price target raised from Rmb255.50 to Rmb351.50, reflecting a higher earnings forecast and improved valuation metrics [27] - NAURA's price target increased from Rmb470 to Rmb564, driven by a higher mid-term ROE forecast [35] - ACMR's price target raised from Rmb163.50 to Rmb222, based on improved earnings expectations [40] Additional Insights - **Geopolitical Risks**: The impact of geopolitical tensions, particularly related to export controls, is becoming more manageable, allowing for better domestic supply chain reliance [23] - **Long-term Growth Drivers**: Generative AI is expected to be a structural growth driver for Chinese semiconductor companies over the next decade, with significant room for localization and technological advancement [23][24] Financial Metrics and Changes - **Earnings Revisions**: - AMEC's earnings for 2025-27 have been adjusted upwards by 1% to 5% [26] - JCET's domestic revenue for 2026-27 has been raised by 7.6% to 10.6% due to stronger demand from AI-related chips [20][50] - **Valuation Metrics**: - Current PE ratios for AMEC and NAURA are significantly below their historical peaks, suggesting potential for future valuation expansion [21][24] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the optimistic outlook for the Chinese semiconductor industry driven by advancements in AI technology and the associated financial implications for leading companies in the sector.