Summary of Guodian Power's Conference Call Company Overview - Guodian Power is undergoing asset restructuring by divesting non-core assets and acquiring high-quality thermal and conventional energy assets, significantly improving profitability quality. The non-recurring ROE is projected to increase from -1.15% in 2020 to 9.28% in 2024 [2][3][7]. Key Points Industry and Asset Management - Guodian Power is positioned as the integration platform for conventional power generation within the State Energy Group. The company has implemented several market value management measures since the second half of 2020, including asset buybacks and divestitures of underperforming thermal power assets [3][7]. - The potential asset injection from the State Energy Group includes approximately 35GW of coal power in Ningxia and Xinjiang, and an additional 70.91GW of high-quality coal power assets. If fully injected, this would increase Guodian Power's coal power capacity by 96% [2][3][6]. Future Growth and Production Cycles - The new production cycle in the Dadu River Basin includes multiple power stations, with an expected total capacity of 3.52 million kW to be operational by 2025-2026, significantly enhancing the company's profitability and valuation [2][5][10]. - The operation of the Shuangjiangkou Hydropower Station is expected to generate an additional profit of approximately 618 million yuan for downstream power stations in 2025 and 2026, further improving overall profitability [2][12]. Financial Projections - The anticipated net profit contribution from all uncommissioned units in the Dadu River Basin is projected to be 1.564 billion yuan, enhancing the company's competitiveness in hydropower [2][14][15]. - The overall net profit for Guodian Power is expected to grow by 31% to 2.735 billion yuan in the first phase (2025-2026) and by 37% to 2.858 billion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [14][15]. Cost Management and Pricing Strategy - Guodian Power has effectively controlled the cost of coal through adjustments in procurement structure, increasing the proportion of spot and imported coal, and negotiating long-term coal prices, which enhances profitability during coal price fluctuations [3][26][28]. - Despite a decline in electricity prices, Guodian Power maintains stable profitability, with a projected earnings per kWh of around 0.03 yuan in early 2025 [29]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Guodian Power's strong market position is supported by its long-term coal supply agreements and a significant presence in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, which helps maintain profitability even during price declines [28][29]. - The company is expected to benefit from additional asset injections and hydropower growth, providing a solid foundation for future development [29][32]. Challenges and Industry Outlook - The renewable energy sector faces industry-wide challenges, but Guodian Power's water assets are expected to enhance its valuation and provide a stable growth outlook [30][32]. - The cancellation of fixed pricing policies in Sichuan has led to price fluctuations, but the overall market remains stable, alleviating concerns about potential market collapse [22][32]. Conclusion - Guodian Power is strategically positioned for growth through asset restructuring and the integration of high-quality energy assets. The company's focus on improving profitability and managing costs effectively positions it well for future challenges and opportunities in the energy sector. Long-term investors are encouraged to consider Guodian Power due to its improving asset quality and growth potential in hydropower [32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guodian Power and a "Hold" rating for Longyuan Power and Chuanwei Energy, with expected EPS for 2025E at 0.42, 0.79, and 1.05 respectively [1][6]. Core Views - The report highlights a 4.4% year-on-year increase in national electricity consumption in May 2025, with total consumption reaching 809.6 billion kWh [3][33]. - The report notes that the public utility sector index has seen a slight increase of 0.09% during the week of June 23-29, 2025, ranking 28th among 31 sectors [2][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new energy policies, which are expected to stabilize expected returns and improve existing projects, while also increasing the scale of new projects [6][38]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The public utility sector index PE (TTM) is at 17.04, slightly down from 17.09 the previous week, and down from 18.16 a year ago [1][20]. - The sector's PB remains stable at 1.71, unchanged from the previous week and down from 1.89 a year ago [1][23]. - The report indicates that the sector's performance is lagging behind major indices, with a 1.82 percentage point deficit compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [2][9]. Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration reported a total installed power generation capacity of 3.61 billion kW by the end of May 2025, marking an 18.8% year-on-year increase [33][34]. - The report details that the average utilization hours for power generation equipment have decreased by 132 hours compared to the previous year [34]. - New pricing mechanisms for electricity in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia are introduced, with competitive bidding ranges set for new projects [35][38]. Key Data Tracking - As of June 30, 2025, the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) is reported at 615 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week change of 0.82% [40]. - The report tracks green certificate trading, with a total of 88.16 and 82.35 thousand transactions for wind and solar power respectively during the week of June 23-29, 2025 [41][44]. - The report also notes the CEA trading volumes for the week, with a total of 138.6 thousand tons traded on June 27, 2025, at an average price of 74.96 RMB/ton [46][48].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Modern Energy of State-Owned Enterprises has shown mixed performance, with a slight increase recently but a year-to-date decline, reflecting the overall trends in the modern energy sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The index closed at 1284.8 points, with a trading volume of 20.648 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 1.23%, and over the last three months, it has risen by 1.36%, while it has decreased by 4.08% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index is composed of 50 listed companies involved in green energy, fossil energy, and energy transmission and distribution, reflecting the performance of modern energy theme companies [1]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index include: - Changjiang Electric Power (10.02%) - Guodian NARI Technology (7.44%) - China Nuclear Power (6.4%) - Three Gorges Energy (5.1%) - Aluminum Corporation of China (4.68%) - Guodian Power (3.71%) - China Power Construction (3.49%) - China Shenhua Energy (3.08%) - State Power Investment Corporation (3.01%) - China National Petroleum Corporation (2.97%) [1]. Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 81.96% of the index's holdings, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange represents 18.04% [1]. - In terms of industry distribution, the index's sample shows: - Utilities: 44.88% - Industrials: 22.59% - Energy: 17.31% - Materials: 14.35% - Communication Services: 0.88% [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Fund Tracking - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Public funds tracking the index include: - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Link A - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Link C - ICBC CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF - Bosera CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company, backed by the State Energy Group, is a leading state-owned power generation enterprise in China, with a total installed capacity of 111.7 GW by the end of 2024, comprising 67% thermal power, 13% hydropower, and 20% renewable energy [1] Group 1 - The company has shown significant market value management results since the second half of 2020, with a potential for substantial asset injection from the group [1] - The company's stock price has increased by 165% from July 15, 2020, to June 27, 2025, with a projected return on equity (ROE) of 9.28% for 2024, a notable improvement from -1.15% in 2020 [1] - The State Energy Group announced ongoing asset integration, with potential coal power assets injection that could provide 96% flexibility in coal power installed capacity [1] Group 2 - The Dadu River project is set to enter a new production cycle in 2025-2026, which is expected to enhance the company's profitability and valuation [2] - The hydropower capacity is projected to increase by 43% by the end of 2024, with downstream hydropower stations benefiting from increased annual power generation and improved electricity pricing [2] - The projected installed capacity of 3.52 million kW from the Dadu River project is expected to increase the company's net profit from hydropower by 31% to 2.735 billion yuan in 2024 [2] Group 3 - The company differs from market views that suggest lower allocation value due to declining coal prices, arguing that potential asset injections and new hydropower production will provide profit elasticity [3] Group 4 - The target price for the company's stock is set at 6.69 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 7.556 billion, 8.911 billion, and 9.375 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company’s expected price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025 are 14.5 and 1.80, respectively, with a target market value of 119.3 billion yuan [4]

Group 1 - The event "China-Turkey Cooperation: Building the Future Together" was held in Istanbul, focusing on deepening economic and cultural exchanges between China and Turkey [1][2] - The Chinese Consul General in Istanbul, Wei Xiaodong, highlighted the significance of the 15th anniversary of the China-Turkey strategic partnership and the 10th anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative [1] - The event aimed to provide a platform for Turkish media and Chinese enterprises to exchange views and promote cooperation, enhancing mutual understanding between the two nations [1][2] Group 2 - The Chairman of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Turkey) and President of the Chinese Enterprises Association, Hou Qian, expressed gratitude for the event, emphasizing the expansion of economic cooperation channels [2] - The event provided valuable opportunities for Turkish institutions to understand China better and explore collaboration avenues [2] - Representatives from major Chinese enterprises, including China Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Huawei, and State Power Investment Corporation, presented their core business operations [2]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rose throughout the day, with the CSI 300 Utilities (secondary industry) index reported at 2669.83 points [1] - The CSI 300 Utilities index has decreased by 1.10% over the past month, increased by 5.80% over the past three months, and has declined by 1.36% year-to-date [1] - The CSI 300 index categorizes its 300 sample stocks into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries, providing a comprehensive analysis tool for investors [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings in the CSI 300 Utilities index are: Changjiang Electric (49.31%), China Nuclear Power (10.16%), Three Gorges Energy (8.03%), Guodian Power (5.52%), State Power Investment (4.65%), Huaneng International (4.17%), Chuanwei Energy (4.09%), China General Nuclear Power (3.81%), Zhejiang Energy (2.82%), and Huadian International (2.5%) [1] - The market share of the CSI 300 Utilities index is dominated by the Shanghai Stock Exchange at 95.87%, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 4.13% [2] - In terms of industry composition, hydropower constitutes 60.36%, thermal power 15.01%, nuclear power 13.97%, wind power 8.36%, and gas power 2.31% of the index [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the regular sample adjustments, which occur at the same time as the index sample adjustments [2] - Temporary adjustments to the index samples occur when the CSI 300 index undergoes changes, and special events affecting sample companies may also lead to corresponding adjustments in the CSI 300 industry index [2]

Group 1 - The core index of the China Mainland Enterprises Global Public Utilities Composite Index (CN Public Composite) is reported at 2593.80 points, with a recent decline of 2.72% over the past month, an increase of 2.15% over the past three months, and a year-to-date decrease of 1.15% [1] - The index is based on the classification of China Mainland Enterprises according to the China Securities Index industry classification standard, reflecting the overall performance of different industry securities [1] - The index has a base date of December 31, 2004, with a base point of 1000.0 [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the CN Public Composite Index include: Changjiang Electric Power (22.5%), China Nuclear Power (4.68%), Three Gorges Energy (3.65%), Xin'ao Energy (2.75%), Guodian Power (2.52%), China Resources Power (2.14%), Guotou Power (2.14%), Huaneng International (1.95%), Chuan Investment Energy (1.88%), and Kunlun Energy (1.84%) [1] - The market segment distribution of the index shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 66.03%, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 18.03%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 15.72%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange for 0.22% [2] - The industry composition of the index indicates that electricity and grid account for 76.17%, gas for 14.13%, water services for 5.52%, heating and others for 2.75%, and municipal sanitation for 1.43% [2] Group 3 - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, particularly when there are changes in the industry classification of sample companies or if a sample company is delisted [2] - Events such as mergers, acquisitions, spin-offs, and suspensions of sample companies are handled according to calculation and maintenance guidelines [2]

Core Viewpoint - The power industry plays a crucial role in the global energy system, with significant impacts on climate change, energy transition, and environmental quality. Major Chinese power companies have released their 2024 ESG reports, highlighting their greenhouse gas emissions and sustainability efforts [1]. Group 1: Greenhouse Gas Emissions - Three companies disclosed their total greenhouse gas emissions, with China Guodian Power leading at 31,463.27 thousand tons of CO2 equivalent, showing an 11.7% decrease from the previous year [2][3]. - Datang Power reported total emissions of 21,092.55 thousand tons of CO2 equivalent, a 7% increase year-on-year, primarily due to a rise in Scope 1 emissions [5]. - China Power's total emissions were the lowest at 5,030.2 thousand tons of CO2 equivalent, reflecting a 2.4% increase, with a significant 43% rise in Scope 2 emissions attributed to increased electricity purchases [3][5]. Group 2: Clean Energy Capacity - China Power has the highest clean energy capacity ratio at 80.12%, while Datang Power, Huaneng International, and Guodian Power have ratios of 40.37%, 35.82%, and 33.19% respectively [7][8]. - Huaneng International's total installed capacity is 14,512.5 million kW, followed by Guodian Power at 11,170 million kW, Datang Power at 7,911 million kW, and China Power at 4,939 million kW [8]. Group 3: Environmental Investments - Huaneng International invested the most in environmental protection at 1.78 billion yuan, followed by Huaneng International at 1.087 billion yuan, Datang Power at 747.9 million yuan, and Guodian Power at 730 million yuan [10]. - China Power had the lowest investment in environmental protection at 594 million yuan [10]. Group 4: Research and Development Investments - Datang Power led in R&D investments with 2.436 billion yuan, followed by Huaneng International at 2.389 billion yuan, and Guodian Power at 977 million yuan [12]. Group 5: Waste Management - China Power reported the highest hazardous waste generation at 128,000 tons, while Guodian Power significantly reduced its hazardous waste to 860 tons from 551,700 tons the previous year [14]. - Huaneng International reported hazardous waste generation of 610 tons, while Datang Power did not disclose this data [14]. Group 6: Green Power Trading - China Power sold 13.6119 million green certificates and participated in green electricity trading generating 5.198 billion kWh, resulting in revenue of 325 million yuan [15]. - Guodian Power achieved a historical high in green electricity trading volume at 3.51 billion kWh, with over 2.91 million green certificates obtained [15]. - Datang Power's new renewable energy project is expected to produce over 4.1 billion kWh of green electricity annually, significantly reducing CO2 emissions [15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [47]. Core Insights - In May, the total electricity consumption in society increased by 4.4% year-on-year, reaching 809.6 billion kilowatt-hours [3][41]. - The public utility index rose by 0.1% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.0 percentage points, ranking 8th among 31 industries [10][12]. - The report highlights significant price movements in various sub-sectors, with the heating service sector up by 2.9% and the gas sector up by 2.6% in the last two weeks [12][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of June 19, the public utility index has decreased by 1.0% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.3 percentage points [10]. - Among the 131 listed companies in the public utility index, 46 saw stock price increases, with notable gains from Shouhua Gas (44.2%), GCL-Poly Energy (38.0%), and Tianhao Energy (18.6%) [14]. 2. Industry Valuation - The public utility sector's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 18.4 times, with the solar power sector having a notably high P/E ratio of 711.2 times [17][18]. - The heating service sector's P/E ratio stands at 31.9 times, while the gas sector's P/E ratio is 19.1 times [17]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - The average price of Shanxi Yulin thermal coal (Q6000) was 582 yuan per ton, a 3.9% increase from the previous value [30]. - The average price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) was 610 yuan per ton, a 0.3% decrease from the previous value [30][33]. 4. Key Industry News - A significant financing product combining carbon assets and transformation finance was successfully launched, achieving a financing scale of 300 million yuan [39]. - The first remote intelligent operation system for large bridge cranes at hydropower stations has completed its first annual maintenance, marking a technological advancement in the industry [39]. 5. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huadian International (600027) and Guodian Power (600795) in the thermal power sector due to the decline in average coal prices [41]. - In the gas sector, companies such as Xin'ao Co. (600803) and Jiufeng Energy (605090) are recommended for their orderly price linkage in natural gas [41].

Group 1 - The coal-water pool sludge treatment project by Guodian Power's Jinjie Company has officially entered the trial operation phase, aiming to efficiently process and recycle sludge, thus addressing environmental concerns related to sludge accumulation [1] - The project utilizes an integrated treatment process that includes wastewater collection, high-frequency coarse interception, efficient concentration, sludge dewatering, and water reuse, replacing traditional outdoor drying methods [1] - The technology allows for the separation of sludge and clean water, achieving a stable sludge moisture content of below 20%, which meets boiler co-firing standards, while the quality of recycled water exceeds industry reuse standards [1] Group 2 - Guodian Power emphasizes ecological priority and proactive governance, focusing on pollution reduction and carbon reduction, while promoting the principles of solid waste reduction, resource utilization, and harmlessness [2] - The company is exploring new models and pathways for solid waste governance and utilization in the coal-based energy sector, systematically addressing the reduction and disposal of coal-based solid waste [2] - Guodian Power aims to enhance the comprehensive utilization and disposal levels of solid and hazardous waste, supporting high-quality development of ecological environment and social economy [2]