中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心，定位和去年相似。但对于股票市场而言，内需品种 和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在巨大差异：去年底，投资者对外需普遍谨慎，对内需充满期待，但最终外 需的表现大超预期；今年是重仓布局外需敞口品种，预期相对充分，但对内需品种欠缺信心。实际上，明年外 需继续超预期的难度在加大，但内需可期待的因素在增多。 从这些角度来看，海外敞口品种业绩兑现力强，但估值继续提升难度大；内需敞口品种景气度一般，但一旦超 预期修复，估值弹性不小。配置上要寻求交集，即海外敞口为基底、内需积极变化也会产生催化的品种。 国泰海通：当下是布局春季行情的重要窗口 对于后市，我们比市场共识更乐观：部分投资者以政策表述从"超常规"到"跨周期"解读政策不积极，但这存在 谬误，2025年超常规是相较于2024年尾部风险暴露而言。面向2026年，中央经济工作会议明确"巩固拓展经济 稳中向好势头"，并要求财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主导"，首次提出"推动投资止跌回稳"，并时隔十年重提 房地产"去库存"；中财办副主任韩文秀表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策，继续实施"国补"与靠前实 ...

【大河财立方消息】2025年A股已进入收官倒计时，步入年末，市场正处于全年业绩兑现与2026年开局 衔接的关键节点。来年如何布局？跨年行情怎么看？大河财立方记者梳理了6家券商最新解读。 中信建投：跨年行情蓄势待发 中信建投分析师夏凡捷、何盛发表研报认为，从9月初至12月初，AH两地市场经历了较长时间的调整， 投资者情绪趋于谨慎，而近期，多项关键事件与数据相继公布，整体基调符合或略好于市场预期。 中信建投认为，牛市底层逻辑仍在，主要由结构性行情和资本市场改革政策推动。目前市场已经基本完 成调整，叠加基金排名基本落地，跨年有望迎来新一波行情。 中期行业配置方面，中信建投建议重点关注具有一定景气催化的有色金属和AI算力，主题上以商业航 天为主，可控核聚变和人形机器人为辅；港股也具有投资机会，潜在热点板块主要有互联网巨头、创新 药。重点关注：有色、商业航天、AI、人形机器人、可控核聚变、创新药、非银金融等。 中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 中信证券裘翔、刘春彤等人发表研报认为，从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心， 定位和去年相似。 研报中提到，但对于股票市场而言，内需品种和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the insurance sector, recommending specific companies such as China Pacific Insurance, China Ping An, China Life (H), and China Taiping, while also recommending New China Life Insurance [4][17]. Core Insights - The financial industry experienced a mixed performance, with the non-bank financial index rising by 0.81%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.89 percentage points. The insurance sector showed a notable increase of 2.36%, while the banking sector declined by 1.77% [2][11]. - The central economic work conference emphasized a proactive fiscal policy, which is expected to benefit the insurance sector by increasing infrastructure asset supply and improving credit risk perceptions [14][15]. - The report highlights the potential for valuation recovery in the brokerage sector, driven by regulatory changes that align public fund interests with long-term investor returns [18][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Performance and Sector Insights - The non-bank financial index rose by 0.81%, with the insurance sector outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.44 percentage points [2][11]. - The banking sector underperformed, with a decline of 1.77%, attributed to macroeconomic policy expectations [3][21]. 2. Insurance Sector Data Tracking - The insurance sector's premium income showed steady growth, with life insurance and property insurance premiums increasing by 9.6% and 4.0% year-on-year, respectively [17][26]. - The report notes that the 10-year government bond yield decreased to 1.84%, which is favorable for the insurance sector's investment strategies [31]. 3. Brokerage Sector Data Tracking - The brokerage sector's PB valuation stands at 1.37x, indicating potential for valuation recovery as earnings improve [19][42]. - Regulatory changes in public fund sales are expected to enhance the industry's focus on long-term investor interests [18][19]. 4. Banking Sector Data Tracking - The banking sector's PB valuation is at 0.54x, suggesting it remains undervalued [21][25]. - The central economic work conference's focus on domestic demand and flexible monetary policy is expected to support the banking sector's growth [22][23].

Group 1: Market Outlook - The report indicates that after a prolonged period of sideways movement, China's "transformation bull market" is expected to regain momentum and reach new heights, with a cross-year offensive already underway [1][3][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell to 3,800 points on November 24, which was seen as a critical position for market recovery, with the ChiNext Index having recently regained lost ground [7][9] - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to consolidate and expand the positive momentum of the economy, calling for a more proactive fiscal policy and a focus on domestic demand [4][8] Group 2: Spring Market Trends - Historical analysis shows that spring market trends typically occur from December of the previous year to April of the current year, with a significant start point around 10-15 trading days before the Spring Festival [9][10] - The report notes that large-cap stocks tend to perform better before the Spring Festival, while small-cap stocks often outperform after the festival due to seasonal liquidity improvements [10][12] - The current market environment, characterized by significant prior adjustments and supportive policies, presents an important window for positioning ahead of the spring market [10][12] Group 3: Industry Comparisons - The report highlights a positive outlook for technology, financial services, and consumer sectors as the market transitions into a cross-year offensive [4][8] - In the technology sector, advancements in AI models and applications are accelerating, with a recommendation for investments in internet, media, computing, and competitive manufacturing sectors [4][8] - The financial sector is expected to benefit from deepened capital market reforms, with recommendations for brokerage and insurance stocks [4][8] - The consumer sector is showing signs of recovery after three years of adjustment, with recommendations for low-priced, low-inventory consumer stocks such as food and beverage, agriculture, and tourism services [4][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant changes at Dongfang Securities under the leadership of Gong Dexiong, who implemented a complete overhaul of the executive team and leadership in asset management and fund companies, resulting in increased revenue and profit by 2025 [1][20] - The company experienced a nearly 40% reduction in asset management scale, raising concerns, but by the third quarter, asset management income began to recover, indicating that the reform measures were starting to take effect [3][20] - Gong Dexiong's sudden departure from Dongfang Securities has raised questions about the sustainability of the company's performance and the future direction of its reforms [3][20] Group 2 - Gong Dexiong has taken on a new role as Deputy Secretary and President of Shanghai International Group, which oversees major banks and insurance companies, indicating a shift to a higher level of responsibility [5][22] - Shanghai International Group is focused on financial state-owned asset integration, emphasizing collaboration among its subsidiaries in securities, banking, insurance, and financial markets, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency [7][24] - The merger of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities, supported by a significant financial investment from Shanghai International Group, illustrates Gong's capability to manage not only his own company but also to participate in broader financial resource integration [9][26] Group 3 - Industry experts speculate that Gong's appointment may accelerate the integration of Shanghai's financial system, leveraging his experience with local core brokerages to navigate the complexities of the sector [11][28] - The changes in leadership are expected to impact not only the industry landscape but also the services available to ordinary investors, enhancing the professionalism and personalization of financial services [14][30] - The departure of a decisive leader like Gong may lead to short-term adjustments within Dongfang Securities, but the reforms implemented over the past two years have already transformed the company's structure and culture [16][32] Group 4 - Gong Dexiong's transition is seen as a critical move in Shanghai's financial landscape, with expectations for new developments in state-owned asset integration and collaborative services that could lead to significant changes in the market [18][34]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that capital strength has become a key factor influencing the operations and development of securities firms, leading them to actively issue bonds to supplement capital and enhance competitiveness in a favorable market environment [1][2]. Group 2 - Securities firms have significantly increased their bond issuance this year, with a total of 925 bonds issued, amounting to 1.8 trillion yuan, representing a 44.79% increase compared to the same period last year [2]. - The issuance includes 502 corporate bonds totaling 1.08 trillion yuan, 311 short-term financing bonds amounting to 540.87 billion yuan, and 112 subordinated bonds totaling 181.29 billion yuan [2]. - Factors driving this increase include a strong desire for business expansion, a low-interest-rate environment reducing financing costs, and the need to continuously supplement capital in response to increasing industry competition [2][3]. Group 3 - A total of 54 securities firms have successfully issued 70 technology innovation bonds this year, raising 82.44 billion yuan, with Guotai Junan leading at 18 billion yuan [2]. - The issuance of technology innovation bonds reflects the firms' commitment to supporting the real economy and aligning with national strategies [3]. Group 4 - Among the 75 firms that issued bonds, four major firms led the market with issuance exceeding 100 billion yuan, including China Galaxy at 146.9 billion yuan, Guotai Junan at 135.3 billion yuan, Huatai Securities at 125.6 billion yuan, and CITIC Securities at 102.7 billion yuan [3]. - Additionally, seven firms have issued 30 bonds in overseas markets, raising a total of 4.703 billion USD, a 33.12% increase from the previous year [3]. Group 5 - The industry is focusing on improving debt financing mechanisms and enhancing capital efficiency, with firms like Dongwu Securities and CITIC Securities implementing strategic frameworks for financing and capital management [4]. - The overall financing pace in the securities industry is expected to accelerate, with a shift towards high-capital and high-return businesses, potentially enhancing overall profitability and driving high-quality development [4].

（原标题：国泰海通大宗交易成交1852.47万元，买方为机构专用席位） 国泰海通12月12日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量91.12万股，成交金额1852.47万元，大宗交易成 交价为20.33元。该笔交易的买方营业部为机构专用，卖方营业部为瑞银证券有限责任公司上海花园石 桥路证券营业部。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生2笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为2080.97万元。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示，国泰海通今日收盘价为20.33元，上涨0.79%，日换手率为1.22%，成交额为 33.46亿元，全天主力资金净流入3.28亿元，近5日该股累计上涨3.04%，近5日资金合计净流出6114.83万 元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为72.55亿元，近5日减少1.45亿元，降幅为1.95%。 据天眼查APP显示，国泰海通证券股份有限公司成立于1999年08月18日，注册资本1762892.5829万人民 币。（数据宝） 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 12月12日国泰海通大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当日 | | | | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - The event "I am a Shareholder" provided investors with an opportunity to gain in-depth insights into the leading industrial drone company, Zongheng Co., through factory visits and discussions, highlighting the growth potential in the low-altitude economy supported by national policies and technological advancements [1][8]. Company Overview - Zongheng Co. was established in 2010, focusing on the research and development of drone flight control navigation systems and complete systems, participating in major national aircraft projects and setting multiple industry standards [3][10]. - The company has developed four main product lines: vertical take-off and landing fixed-wing drones, multi-rotor drones, unattended systems, and sliding fixed-wing drones, with the unattended system allowing remote autonomous flight across the country [3][10]. Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Zongheng Co. reported revenue of 322 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57%, and a quarterly profit of 16.52 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [4][11]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters reached 48.9%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points compared to the previous year [4][11]. Technological Advancements - The company developed a smart air traffic control system in 2022, which won a special award from the Transportation Association, and the UTMIS system, co-developed with the Civil Aviation Second Institute, has become the national air traffic control baseline version [4][11]. - Zongheng Co. holds nearly 500 intellectual property rights, including over 100 invention patents, and has participated in the formulation of numerous industry standards [4][11]. Future Outlook - Zongheng Co. plans to increase R&D investment, enhance its product portfolio, and expand its applications in smart governance, with expectations for overseas business to gradually account for one-third or more of its operations [6][13]. - The company aims to focus on the low-altitude digital economy and logistics sectors, leveraging unattended systems and AI technology to promote the large-scale development of the low-altitude economy [6][13].

每经记者｜王海慜 每经编辑｜叶峰 日前，深交所在《关于对中节能铁汉生态环境股份有限公司及相关当事人的监管函》中披露，2023年12 月8日，深交所受理节能铁汉发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金申请，标的公司为大地修复。根据当时 披露的交易报告书草案，大地修复对环境修复项目按履约进度确认收入，履约进度按照各项目实际累计 发生成本占合同预计总成本的比例确定，且有供应商产值确认表、客户或监理确认单双重佐证。节能铁 汉在回复深交所审核问询时，声称大地修复收入确认相关内控制度健全且有效执行。 然而，深交所核查结果却与节能铁汉披露内容存在显著偏差。经查，大地修复部分项目存在提前确认收 入的情况，对其2022年、2023年财务数据产生直接影响：2022年、2023年营业收入的影响金额分别为 6638.64万元、-473.77万元，占其当期营业收入的比例分别为11.35%、-0.81%，对其当期利润总额的影 响金额分别为1695.41万元、-63.49万元，占其当期利润总额的比例分别为46.98%、-1.13%。与此同时， 大地修复2022年和2023年前十大项目之一曾于2022年12月调整了项目预算，2022年全年及之后的履约 ...

Core Insights - The event "I am a Shareholder" provided investors with an opportunity to gain in-depth knowledge about the leading industrial drone company, Zongheng Co., through factory visits and discussions [1][2] Company Overview - Zongheng Co. has focused on the research and development of drone flight control navigation systems and complete systems since its establishment in 2010, participating in major national aircraft projects and setting multiple industry standards [2] - The company has developed four main product lines: vertical take-off fixed-wing drones, multi-rotor drones, unattended systems, and sliding fixed-wing drones, with the unattended system allowing remote autonomous flight across the country [2][3] - As of now, Zongheng Co. holds nearly 500 intellectual property rights, including over 100 invention patents, and has participated in the formulation of dozens of industry standards [2] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Zongheng Co. reported an operating income of 322 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57%, and a quarterly profit of 16.52 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters reached 48.9%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - Zongheng Co. plans to increase R&D investment, enhance its product portfolio, and expand its applications in smart governance, while also aiming to grow its overseas market share to one-third or more [3] - The company’s core competitiveness lies in its deep technical accumulation and full industry chain layout, focusing on low-altitude digital economy and logistics [3] - The ongoing support from national policies and continuous technological advancements are expected to provide Zongheng Co. with more development opportunities in the low-altitude economy [3]