中航证券指出，当前"十四五"规划已步入收官冲刺阶段，八一建军节的余温尚未褪去，九三阅兵的脚步 便已悄然临近，多重时间坐标的叠加，正推动军工板块迎来前所未有的格局重塑。从市场表现来看，军 工板块近期呈现月线三连阳的强势走势，叠加"九三"阅兵的催化效应，板块短期出现冲高行情。在连续 上涨后，部分资金或将短期获利了结、资金落袋为安，板块短期内或将面临一定的波动压力。但抛开短 期市场情绪扰动，军工行业的长期逻辑依旧坚实且清晰。行业的核心驱动力源于"把人民军队建成世界 一流军队"这一战略定性，这构成2027、2035、2050年三阶段目标的底层逻辑，标志着军工又一个黄金 时代的序幕开启。在这一战略指引下，军工行业或将彻底告别此前单纯依靠事件驱动的周期性波动模 式，进入成长与价值并重、景气度持续提升的发展新阶段。 国防ETF紧密跟踪中证国防指数，中证国防指数选取隶属于十大军工集团公司旗下的上市公司证券，以 及为国家武装力量提供武器装备，或与军方有实际装备承制销售金额或签订合同的相关上市公司证券作 为指数样本，以反映国防产业上市公司证券的整体表现。目前跟踪国防军工类的13只ETF中（名字带航 天、国防、军工的ETF），国防 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the military trade equipment sector, particularly focusing on aircraft engines as high-value consumables, which are expected to see increased demand due to long-term maintenance and replacement needs [10][15]. - The potential for domestic aircraft, such as the C919, to penetrate Southeast Asian markets is emphasized, with countries like Malaysia and Pakistan showing interest in adopting these aircraft [38][41]. - The report discusses the strategic positioning of companies like Huayin Technology in stealth materials and the anticipated growth in the ceramic-based composite materials sector [84][86]. Summary by Sections Military Trade Equipment - Aircraft engines hold a primary position in military trade, with their export share decreasing from 3.6% (2014-2018) to 2.0% (2019-2023) [14]. - The demand for maintenance and replacement of aircraft engines is driven by the long service life of military aircraft, which often exceeds the lifespan of the engines themselves [15][18]. C919 Aircraft - The C919 is expected to gain traction in Southeast Asia, with significant interest from Malaysian and Pakistani airlines [41][47]. - The global demand for commercial aircraft remains robust, with Airbus and Boeing having backlogs that exceed their annual delivery rates, indicating a favorable market for the C919 [47][55]. - The C919's production capacity is projected to increase significantly, with plans to reach 200 aircraft per year by 2029 [54][76]. Stealth Materials - Stealth technology is becoming a standard feature in advanced military aircraft, significantly enhancing their operational capabilities [86]. - The report identifies Huayin Technology as a key player in the stealth materials market, focusing on the development of ceramic-based composites [84][86]. Maintenance and Aftermarket - The military aircraft engine aftermarket is projected to exceed 428.7 billion yuan over the next 20 years, with an average annual market value of 21.44 billion yuan [25][28]. - Companies involved in the maintenance and aftermarket services for aircraft engines are expected to see substantial revenue growth as the market expands [28][31]. Supply Chain and Domestic Production - The report outlines the potential for increased domestic production and supply chain development for the C919, with a focus on enhancing the localization rate of components [77][80]. - The growth of domestic suppliers is anticipated to benefit from the increasing demand for locally produced aircraft and components [80][82].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Military Industry Index has shown a decline of 1.21% recently, but it has experienced significant growth over the past months, indicating a mixed performance in the military sector [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The Shanghai Military Industry Index decreased by 1.21% to 8305.87 points, with a trading volume of 33.054 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 1.89%, and over the last three months, it has risen by 20.48%. Year-to-date, the index has grown by 15.11% [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index comprises companies primarily engaged in the military industry, selected from the top ten military groups and other related firms [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index are: China Shipbuilding (9.35%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (8.46%), Aero Engine Corporation (6.78%), China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (6.51%), AVIC Avionics (3.68%), Aerospace Electronics (3.19%), China Power (3.17%), Western Superconducting (3.02%), Ruichuang Micro-Nano (2.93%), and AVIC High-Tech (2.69%) [1]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with an industrial sector allocation of 77.69%, information technology at 11.89%, materials at 5.78%, telecommunications at 3.26%, and consumer discretionary at 1.37% [1]. Group 4: Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December, with a sample adjustment ratio not exceeding 10% [2]. - Weight factors are fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2].

8月1日，华安旗下新品航天ETF（159267）正式登陆深交所上市交易。 （图源：华安基金） 华安国证航天航空行业ETF（认购代码：159267）紧密跟踪国证航天航空行业指数，该指数精选航空装备、军工电子、地面兵装、航天装备领域的优质企 业，在国防军工行业占比高达98.2%，是市场上纯度最高的军工主题指数之一。国证航天成分股覆盖航空航天军贸的龙头企业如中航沈飞（权重8.37%，截 至2025年7月30日，下同）、中航西飞（权重5.36%）等。 | 代码 | 简称 | 权重(%) | 总市值(亿) | 申万二级行业 | 代表产品线 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600760 | 中航沈飞 | 8.37 | 1824.10 | 航空装备Ⅱ | 歼 15、16、35 | | 600893 | 航发动力 | 8.27 | 1132.34 | 航空装备Ⅱ | "太行"发动机 | | 002625 | 光启技术 | 8.18 | 886.18 | 航空装备II | 隐身材料 | | 000768 | 中航西飞 | 5.36 | 799.58 | 航空装备II | AR ...

从指数持仓来看，上证优势制造产业指数十大权重分别为：江淮汽车（5.6%）、隆基绿能（5.1%）、 三一重工（5.08%）、中国船舶（5.01%）、中国中车（4.73%）、中航沈飞（4.56%）、特变电工 （4.5%）、国电南瑞（4.45%）、通威股份（3.79%）、航发动力（3.64%）。 金融界7月31日消息，上证指数低开低走，上证优势制造产业指数 (优势制造，000146)下跌1.71%，报 6624.04点，成交额442.33亿元。 数据统计显示，上证优势制造产业指数近一个月上涨7.96%，近三个月上涨13.02%，年至今上涨 2.73%。 据了解，上证优势产业指数系列分别选取符合优势资源、优势制造和优势消费概念的证券作为指数样 本，以反映沪市相关优势产业公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2003年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基 点。 从上证优势制造产业指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比100.00%。 从上证优势制造产业指数持仓样本的行业来看，工业占比100.00%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调 ...

数据统计显示，中证航空航天指数近一个月上涨2.97%，近三个月上涨19.87%，年至今上涨9.41%。 据了解，中证航空航天指数选取50只航空航天领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映航空航天主题 上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基点。 金融界7月31日消息，上证指数低开低走，中证航空航天指数 (CS航空航天，H30213)报10440.45点。 从中证航空航天指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比52.90%、深圳证券交易所占比 47.10%。 从中证航空航天指数持仓样本的行业来看，航空航天占比78.74%、国防装备占比15.81%、通信设备占 比2.73%、软件开发占比2.72%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。每次调整的样本比例一般不超过20%。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本 定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临 时调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照 计算与 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including Beike-W, China Resources Land, New China Life Insurance, Qilu Bank, Sungrow Power Supply, and others [54]. Core Insights - The report highlights the investment outlook for the financial and manufacturing industries, emphasizing the recovery of corporate earnings and the potential for stock price appreciation in the context of macroeconomic conditions and policy expectations [5][10][11]. Financial Sector Summary - The financial sector is expected to see a continuation of performance recovery in Q2, with a focus on high-elasticity stocks. The insurance sector is projected to benefit from improved new business value and investment returns [20][21]. - Qilu Bank is noted for its strong growth in credit market share and improving asset quality, with a projected net profit growth of 16.5% in the first half of 2025 [22][26]. Real Estate Sector Summary - The real estate sector is anticipated to experience a rebound due to policy easing and potential for price recovery. Key companies like Beike-W and China Resources Land are highlighted for their strong fundamentals and growth potential [11][12][19]. Manufacturing Sector Summary - The manufacturing sector, particularly in machinery and electrical new energy, is expected to benefit from global competitiveness and accelerated overseas expansion. Companies like Haitian International are positioned to gain from increased export demand [27][35]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new technologies and market trends in the electrical new energy sector, with a focus on storage and solar energy [27][29]. Environmental Sector Summary - The environmental sector, particularly waste incineration and water services, is highlighted for its long-term investment value, with companies like Hanlan Environment and Beijing Water Group recommended for their stable cash flow and growth potential [46][50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the aerospace and defense sector, including 航发动力, 图南股份, 华秦科技, 航亚科技, 航材股份, and 应流股份 [10]. Core Insights - The aerospace engine market is expected to experience significant growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, leading to a substantial aftermarket potential exceeding 400 billion yuan over the next 20 years, driven by the high-value consumable nature of military engines [2][6][7]. - The maintenance market for military aerospace engines is projected to account for over 50% of the total lifecycle cost, indicating a strong demand for repair and maintenance services [6][25]. - The report highlights that the aftermarket for aerospace engines is approximately four times larger than the new engine market, with a significant portion of costs attributed to materials and maintenance [7][60]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The military aerospace engine's consumable nature necessitates multiple repairs throughout its lifecycle, with the lifespan of military aircraft often exceeding that of their engines [17][19]. - The report emphasizes the increasing frequency of engine replacements due to operational demands and technological advancements [21]. Aftermarket Potential - The future aftermarket space for military aerospace engines is estimated at approximately 428.74 billion yuan over the next 20 years, with an average annual market value of 21.44 billion yuan [7][57]. - The breakdown of the aftermarket includes approximately 5% for spare engines, 22% for engine repairs, and 51% for spare parts [60]. Industry Dynamics - The report indicates that the demand for maintenance and repair services will enhance the revenue and profitability of engine manufacturers, particularly as domestic production rates increase [8][14]. - The control systems segment of aerospace engines is expected to benefit significantly from the expansion of the maintenance and replacement market [8][16]. Company Performance - The report notes that key companies like 航发动力 have shown robust revenue growth in their aerospace engine and derivative product segments, with projected growth rates of 19% to 22% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [39][40].

资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样 本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。 跟踪空天军工的公募基金包括：鹏华中证空天军工C、鹏华中证空天军工A。 从指数持仓来看，中证空天一体军工指数十大权重分别为：中航沈飞（9.45%）、航发动力 （7.41%）、中航光电（6.42%）、中航西飞（5.33%）、菲利华（4.5%）、中航机载（3.9%）、航天电 子（3.56%）、海格通信（3.43%）、中航成飞（3.34%）、西部超导（3.23%）。 从中证空天一体军工指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比56.17%、深圳证券交易所占比 43.83%。 从中证空天一体军工指数持仓样本的行业来看，工业占比71.88%、原材料占比14.41%、信息技术占比 7.72%、通信服务占比5.99%。 金融界7月29日消息，上证指数低开高走，中证空天一体军工 ...

Group 1 - The company,航发动力, has established a strategic partnership with a research institute for the development of new engine technologies [1] - The company is involved in the research and development of new engines, including product trials and testing validation [1] - The necessary research funding is primarily provided by the research institute [1]