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警惕!主力资金出逃前,“K线”必现的2个危险信号,不懂别炒股!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 23:01
昨天下午,中信证券股价突然直线跳水。 别看跌幅只有不到1%,盘面却惊现31亿元压盘大单,仿佛一只无形的手死死按住了股价。 不仅中信证券,国泰君 安卖一压单7.6亿元,招商证券卖一压单2.2亿元,多家头部券商同时出现相似走势。 有投资者在股吧调侃:"这大概是某些资金怕券商涨太快,一把将指数带飞吧? "毕竟,券商板块突然启动带动大盘猛冲的情况在A股并不少见。 去 年"9·24"新政后,就是券商率先激活市场人气,中信证券甚至连续三天涨停。 但这次,剧情似乎反着来了。 这种走势往往让散户误以为是"洗盘",实际上却是主力在零散派发。 当股价经过一段上涨后,出现"黄昏之星"K线组合,通常意味着趋势可能反转。 这个组合由三根K线组成:第一天是实体较大的阳线;第二天实体缩短,形成星的主体部分;第三天则是一根实体较长的阴线,它不仅吞没了前一天的星 体,甚至深入第一根阳线的实体内部。 这种形态表明空方力量已经占据上风。 "倾盆大雨"组合同样看跌。 如果你手中的股票某天突然快速拉升,五分钟内涨幅超过7%,随后却像没了力气一样缓慢下跌,分时均线根本跟不上,这时候就要高度警惕了。 这种形态叫做"钓鱼线",是经典的出货信号。 主力快速拉 ...
流动性深度研究(二十六):美联储重启降息,如何影响A股和港股?
CMS· 2025-09-18 14:04
Group 1 - The report discusses the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts on A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, indicating that the current environment is favorable for these markets due to improved dollar liquidity [1][4] - The report categorizes the Federal Reserve's rate cuts into two types: preventive rate cuts and crisis rate cuts, with different implications for asset performance [1][6] - Historical data shows that A-shares and Hong Kong stocks tend to benefit from preventive rate cuts, with a 100% probability of A-shares rising in the three months following such cuts [3][28] Group 2 - The report highlights that during the preventive rate cut cycles, global stock markets, including the Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng Index, generally experience upward trends [3][21] - It notes that the current bull market phase for A-shares is driven by several factors, including low penetration rates in key sectors such as AI, humanoid robots, solid-state batteries, and semiconductors [4][1] - The report emphasizes that the upcoming phases of rate cuts may lead to repeated trading expectations, which could further enhance the liquidity environment for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [4][1]
“全球最贵声音”发出,15家券商解读美联储降息
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-09-18 12:13
| | | 15家券商解读"美联储降息25个基点" | | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 券商 | 主题观点 | | 1 | 招商证券 | 降息指引低于预期 | | 2 | 华泰证券 | 上调降息预测,年内降息次数从2次上调至3次 | | 3 | 中金公司 | 美联储在供给症结下克制降息 | | র্ব | 中信建投 | 短期落地,中期延续 | | 5 | 中泰证券 | 全面看好非银板块 | | ୧ | 粤开证券 | 为中国货币政策打开操作空间 | | 7 | 财通证券 | 发布会发言偏鹰 | | 8 | 国盛证券 | 整体基调偏中性 | | ರಿ | 中信证券 | 如期落地,明年利率路径尚不清晰 | | 10 | 华西证券 | 矛盾纠结下的预防性降息 | | 11 | 浙商证券 | 风险管理式降息,宽松预期未必一帆风顺 | | 12 | 开源证券 | 美联储在分歧中寻找合适的降息路径 | | 13 | 湘财证券 | 降息25bp符合预期 | | 14 | 国泰海通 | 新- 轮预防式降息周期正式开启 | | 15 | | 东吴证券 基本符合预期,指引明年还有额外1次降息,相比预期偏鹰 | ...
朗坤科技跌5.17% 2023上市见顶募15.4亿招商证券保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-18 09:09
中国经济网北京9月18日讯朗坤科技(301305)(301305.SZ)今日股价下跌,截至收盘报21.09元,跌幅 5.17%。 朗坤科技于2023年5月23日在深交所创业板上市,发行数量为60,892,700股,发行价格为25.25元/股,保 荐人(主承销商)为招商证券股份有限公司,保荐代表人为李寿春、王玉亭。 朗坤科技首次公开发行股票募集资金总额为153,754.07万元,募集资金净额为142,499.56万元。公司最终 募集资金净额比原计划多30,269.62万元。朗坤科技于2023年5月17日发布的招股说明书显示,该公司拟 募集资金112,229.94万元,分别用于中山市南部组团垃圾综合处理基地有机垃圾资源化处理项目、研发 中心及信息化建设项目、补充流动资金。 朗坤科技首次公开发行股票的发行费用合计11,254.51万元,其中,保荐及承销费用8,630.54万元。 上市第三日,即2023年5月25日,朗坤科技盘中创下上市以来最高价29.57元。该股目前处于破发状态。 ...
超175亿元“红包”在路上!上市券商中期分红来了
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-18 08:39
Core Viewpoint - The cash dividends from A-share listed brokerages for the first half of 2025 are being distributed, supported by improved operating performance in the sector [1][2][4]. Group 1: Cash Dividends Distribution - On September 18, 2025, China Merchants Securities distributed a cash dividend of 0.119 yuan per share, totaling 1.035 billion yuan [2]. - Nanjing Securities plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.05 yuan per share, totaling 184 million yuan, with the payment date set for September 19 [1][2]. - First Capital's cash dividend distribution plan includes 0.01 yuan per share, totaling 42.024 million yuan, with the payment date on September 24 [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, China Merchants Securities reported operating income of 10.52 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.186 billion yuan, both showing over 9% year-on-year growth [2]. - Nanjing Securities achieved operating income of 1.578 billion yuan, a nearly 6% decline year-on-year, while net profit increased by 13.65% to 621 million yuan [2][3]. - First Capital's operating income reached 1.832 billion yuan, with a net profit of 486 million yuan, both exceeding 20% year-on-year growth [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Investment Value - The positive performance of the A-share market in the first half of 2025 has provided a solid foundation for mid-term equity distribution among listed brokerages [4]. - The brokerage sector is expected to continue benefiting from increased trading activity and improved earnings, with a focus on brokerage, margin financing, and investment business revenues [4]. - Investment opportunities are suggested in brokerages with high revenue contributions from brokerage and margin financing, those with significant year-on-year performance improvements, and potential merger targets [4].
兵临3900点再回落,指数突破看券商?机构提示回调布局机会,顶流券商ETF(512000)跌超2%
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-18 08:10
Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high of 3899.96 points on September 18, before retreating in the afternoon [1] - The brokerage sector declined alongside the market, with the 300 billion yuan leading brokerage ETF (512000) experiencing a price drop of over 2% at one point, currently down 1.82% with a real-time transaction volume of 1.76 billion yuan, surpassing the previous day's total [1] Fund Flows - The brokerage ETF (512000) saw a net inflow of 359 million yuan on the latest trading day, accumulating a total net inflow of 5.191 billion yuan over the past 15 trading days [2] - The latest scale of the brokerage ETF (512000) exceeded 34 billion yuan, setting a new historical high, with an average daily transaction volume of 957 million yuan this year [4] Valuation Metrics - As of September 15, the price-to-book (PB) ratio of the brokerage sector was 1.58 times, positioned at the 43.84 percentile over the past decade [4] - Institutional holdings in the sector were at 0.90%, which, while higher than the previous year's third quarter, remains below the benchmark of 4.26% [4] Market Outlook - Analysts from China Merchants Securities suggest that the brokerage sector, as a "flag bearer" of the bull market, deserves more attention and allocation in portfolios [4] - Yingda Securities indicates that the A-share market is likely to continue a trend of oscillating upward, with the brokerage sector benefiting from increased market activity and direct profits from brokerage and margin financing businesses [4]
招商证券:维持复宏汉霖(02696)“强烈推荐”评级 看好HLX43的成药潜力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 07:39
公司此次更新的HLX43患者数据来自于Ia期与Ib期2.0 mg/kg剂量组及2.5 mg/kg剂量组。共计56例NSCLC 患者入组Ia期及Ib期2.0和2.5 mg/kg剂量组,其中29例(51.8%)为鳞状,27例(48.2%)为非鳞状。其中,非 鳞状NSCLC患者中位既往治疗线数为2,鳞状NSCLC患者中位既往治疗线数为3。在四线及以后的鳞状 NSCLC患者(n=28)中,HLX43的ORR为28.6%,DCR为82.1%,较标准治疗药物多西他赛(ORR=12.8%) 展现出显著的临床获益。值得关注的是,既往接受过多西他赛治疗的三线及后线NSCLC患者 (n=10)ORR达30.0%,DCR为80%;接受2 mg/kg剂量HLX43治疗患者(n=15)ORR达40.0%,DCR为73.3%, 提示HLX43在肺鳞癌后线治疗中的重要潜力。在三线及以后的非鳞状NSCLC人群中(n=26),ORR达 46.2%,DCR为96.2%。 (原标题:招商证券:维持复宏汉霖(02696)"强烈推荐"评级 看好HLX43的成药潜力) 智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研报称,维持复宏汉霖(02696)"强烈推荐"评级。 ...
招商证券:维持复宏汉霖“强烈推荐”评级 看好HLX43的成药潜力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 07:38
值得关注的是,EGFR野生型非鳞状NSCLC患者(n=15)的经确认客观缓解率(cORR)为46.7%,DCR达 93.3%。接受2.5mg/kg剂量HLX43治疗的患者(n=5)cORR高达60.0%,DCR为80%,彰显HLX43在非鳞状 NSCLC患者人群中更为显著的疗效优势。安全性方面,最常见的≥3级治疗相关不良事件(TRAEs)为贫血 (19.6%)、白细胞计数减少(19.6%)、中性粒细胞计数减少(16.1%)及淋巴细胞计数减少(12.5%),血小板计 数减少仅3.6%。与此前在2025ASCO上披露的安全性一致,HLX43血液学毒性较低,延续了良好的安全 性,支持未来扩展至一线疗法及联合治疗方案。 该行指,目前复宏汉霖正全力推进HLX43的临床开发进程,已在全球入组超过300例患者,并在中国、 美国、日本等多国顺利推进患者入组。同时公司正在积极探索HLX43在多种实体瘤中的治疗潜力,包 括宫颈癌、肝细胞癌、食管鳞癌、头颈鳞癌、鼻咽癌、结直肠癌、胃癌/胃食管交界部癌等,持续挖掘 治疗潜力。单药之外,HLX43联用其他产品的临床试验也正在进行中,进一步探索"ADC+IO"的协同抗 肿瘤疗效。 公司此 ...
XD招商证成交额创2024年12月11日以来新高
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-18 06:46
(文章来源:证券时报网) 数据宝统计,截至14:21,XD招商证成交额18.79亿元,创2024年12月11日以来新高。最新股价下跌 1.56%,换手率1.47%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为18.78亿元。 据天眼查APP显示,招商证券股份有限公司成立于1993年08月01日。注册资本869652.6806万人民币。 (数据宝) ...
AI进行时,如何掘金港股科技?|2025招商证券“招财杯”ETF实盘大赛
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 06:32
Group 1 - The "Zhaocai Cup" ETF live competition series aims to enhance investors' asset allocation and risk management skills, promoting the healthy development of the ETF market [1] - The recent probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut has increased, which may lead to a more favorable liquidity environment for the Hong Kong stock market, particularly benefiting the Hang Seng Technology Index [1][19] - Investors with limited time for industry and company analysis are encouraged to consider index products, especially those interested in both technology and pharmaceutical sectors [1][28] Group 2 - The Hong Kong technology sector experienced two significant market rallies this year, driven by factors such as valuation attractiveness and the emergence of DeepSeek technology [2][3] - DeepSeek's R2 model has positioned China as a core competitor in the AI field, leading to a revaluation of Chinese tech assets and increased investor confidence [2] - The first rally in Q1 was primarily driven by valuation and the success of DeepSeek, while the second rally from late April to early June was fueled by liquidity conditions and significant inflows from southbound funds [3][21] Group 3 - The domestic AI industry has advantages in application, with a growing number of companies and a market size nearing 600 billion yuan, indicating a robust ecosystem for AI applications [5][6] - China has a unique market advantage due to its large population and demand for AI applications, which supports rapid innovation and commercialization [5] - The AI chip sector, while lagging, is seeing the emergence of strong domestic players, with companies like Alibaba preparing for future developments in AI chips [7][12] Group 4 - AI applications are entering a phase of accelerated commercialization, with companies like Kuaishou and Meitu reporting rapid revenue growth from AI products [8][9] - The government has set ambitious goals for AI integration across various sectors by 2035, indicating a strong push for AI adoption [8] - AI programming is expected to be one of the first core applications to achieve widespread adoption, driven by advancements in large models [9] Group 5 - The Hong Kong stock market's technology sector is currently undervalued compared to global peers, with the Hang Seng Technology Index trading at a PE-TTM of less than 22 times, indicating potential for upward movement [24][26] - The anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are expected to improve liquidity conditions, benefiting the technology sector in Hong Kong [25][26] - Southbound funds have significantly increased their investments in Hong Kong stocks, particularly in technology and high-dividend assets, reflecting strong demand from mainland investors [21][23] Group 6 - The performance of major companies like Alibaba and Tencent in the AI sector has exceeded market expectations, with significant growth in cloud services and AI-related revenues [16][17] - Alibaba's cloud business reported a 26% year-on-year revenue increase, while Tencent's AI investments have become a core driver of its business growth [16][17] - The overall positive performance of these companies is likely to enhance the valuation sentiment for Chinese assets in the global market [18]