有色金属全线上涨，消息面上，伦敦金属交易所（LME）三个月期铝期货上涨2.7%，至每吨3293.50美 元。现货黄金突破5250美元/盎司，再创历史新高，现货白银向上触及116美元/盎司，日内上涨3.63%。 此外，渣打银行预计铜价上半年平均价格为12950美元/吨，而下半年为11475美元/吨。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、华友钴业、中国铝业、赣锋锂业、云铝股份、山东黄金、中金黄金、天齐锂业，前十 大权重股合计占比51.65%。 有色ETF鹏华(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886)。 截至2026年1月28日 14:22，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨6.05%，成分股白银有色上涨 10.04%，中国铝业上涨10.02%，铜陵有色上涨10.01%，中金黄金，华峰铝业等个股跟涨。有色ETF鹏 华(159880)上涨6.57%，最新价报2.58元。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) has seen significant gains, driven by geopolitical risks and macroeconomic factors, leading to a bullish outlook for precious metals and industrial metals [1][2][3]. Non-Ferrous Metals Sector Overview - The non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 6.78%, with a trading volume of 3.385 billion yuan, reflecting strong investor interest [1]. - The ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 17 days, indicating robust demand [2]. Precious Metals - Precious metals are entering a historic bull market due to multiple factors, including the sell-off of dollar assets, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and increased central bank gold purchases [3]. - Central banks, including the People's Bank of China, have been increasing gold reserves for 14 consecutive months, providing strong support for gold prices [3]. - Despite expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in the second half of 2026, current demand for safe-haven assets is dominating the market [3]. Industrial Metals - Industrial metals are facing seasonal inventory accumulation but are supported by extreme shortages at the mining level and low global inventories [3]. - Copper prices are resilient due to strong pre-holiday stocking by downstream industries, with a significant supply gap expected in the first half of the year [3]. - Aluminum prices are expected to rebound due to low global inventories and strong demand driven by investments in power grids and solar energy [3]. New Energy and Minor Metals - Strategic resource attributes of metals like lithium and cobalt are becoming more prominent due to geopolitical tensions [4]. - The Democratic Republic of Congo's submission of a list of strategic assets, including copper, cobalt, and lithium, underscores the importance of these resources [4]. - Although cobalt prices have slightly declined, the structural supply tightness remains, supporting a long-term bullish outlook [4]. Overall Sector Logic - The logic of the non-ferrous metals sector is shifting from a simple supply-demand dynamic to a focus on macroeconomic risks and strategic resource security [5]. - The index for non-ferrous metals reflects the performance of 50 listed companies in the sector, with major constituents including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Aluminum [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metal sector driven by rising risk aversion and the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to overall strength in the sector [1] - The PCE data is described as moderate, which, along with expected interest rate cuts within the year, supports precious metal prices [1] - The copper and aluminum downstream operating rates have shown a recovery, with an increased acceptance of higher prices [1] Group 2 - Tin prices are being suppressed by high prices, necessitating ongoing attention to demand conditions [1] - Antimony supply remains tight, providing price support [1] - As of January 28, 2026, the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) has surged by 5.78%, with individual stocks such as silver and aluminum companies seeing increases of over 10% [1] Group 3 - The Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) has risen by 5.95%, with a latest price of 2.56 yuan, closely tracking the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals [1] - The National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, based on a selection of 50 securities with significant scale and liquidity [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum [1]

新华财经北京1月28日电大宗商品看涨情绪不断蔓延，28日，资金涌入沪铝期货，推动这一"生性稳 重"的有色品种盘中大涨超5%至25500元／吨附近，创出历史新高。 国信期货首席分析师顾冯达表示，近期有色金属板块整体处于高位震荡之中，而铝市场放量上涨的异军 突起，或是金融市场在博弈中的押注选择。另外，"以铝代铜"概念给予铝价需求长期增长的预期，且目 前国内铜铝比虽已回调至4.2附近，但仍处于历史较高区间，铜铝比异常对于铝价补涨的指引驱动力依 旧存在。 不过顾冯达也提示，整体来看，金融市场对于铝的多头配置属性大幅提升，切忌以下游实际需求衡量铝 价波动，同时建议保持多头进攻性，适当控制仓位，谨防春节敏感时点前的市场异动和冲高回落风险。 （文章来源：新华财经） 高盛周二将上半年铝价预期从每吨2575美元上调至3150美元，理由是全球库存低位、印尼新冶炼厂电力 供应担忧以及全球需求强劲增长。 同时，美元连续几日大幅走弱，推动金融属性较强的金属价格显著走强。 股市方面，1月28日盘中，中字头大宗资源品板块集体拉升，铝行业龙头企业中国铝业快速触及10%涨 停板，创历史新高，股期联动效应明显。 ...

早盘有色金属领涨市场，贵金属、氧化铝持续走高。消息面上，现货黄金首次突破5200美元/盎司， LME期铝主力合约盘中触及3250美元/吨，创2022年4月以来新高。 东北证券指出，铝股票红利价值凸显，仍有估值上修空间。电解铝行业产能增长受限，行业普遍不再进 行大额资本开支，上市公司盈利和现金流强劲，具备分红能力和意愿，部分上市公司分红比例仍有进一 步提高空间，板块股息吸引力突出。 有机构指出，随着1月底年报业绩预告披露期临近，市场定价逻辑从估值扩张向业绩验证切换。具备造 血能力与盈利质量的现金流资产，仍是应对结构性分化、承接跨年行情回归基本面的确定性之锚。 截至2026年1月28日 13:32，中证全指自由现金流指数(932365)强势上涨2.32%，成分股白银有色上涨 10.04%，中国铝业上涨10.02%，浙江龙盛上涨9.99%，菜百股份，云铝股份等个股跟涨。全指现金流 ETF鹏华(512130)上涨2.45%，最新价报1.34元。 全指现金流ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证全指自由现金流指数，中证全指自由现金流指数选取100只自由现金 流率较高的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映现金流创造能力较强的上市公司证券的整 ...

中国铝业在港交所股价飙升13%。 ...

Group 1 - The aluminum sector in Hong Kong has seen a significant rise, with notable increases in stock prices for several companies [1] - China Aluminum (02600.HK) experienced a surge of 13.32%, reaching HKD 15.14 [1] - Nanshan Aluminum International (02610.HK) rose by 7.74%, trading at HKD 72.4 [1] - China Hongqiao (01378.HK) increased by 6.99%, with a price of HKD 40.1 [1] - Innovation Industry (02788.HK) saw a gain of 2.78%, priced at HKD 28.14 [1]

1月28日午后， 现货黄金延续强劲涨势，现突破5260美元/盎司，日内涨近80美元。 A股有色金属板块集体大涨，截至发稿，晓程科技20%涨停，白银有色、中国铝业、招金黄金、北方铜 业、四川黄金等近20股涨停。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300139 | 晓程科技 | 70.60 | 20.01% | 11.77 | | 920634 | 新威凌 | 34.88 | 14.36% | 4.38 | | 301026 | 浩通科技 | 37.73 | 11.10% | 3.77 | | 002160 | 常铝股份 | 6.77 | 10.08% | 0.62 | | 000751 | 锌业股份 | 7.11 | 10.06% | 0.65 | | 601212 | 白银有色 | 13.81 | 10.04% | 1.26 | | 000758 | 中国股份 | 9.00 | 10.02% | 0.82 | | 601600 | 中国铝不 | 14.60 | 10.02% | 1.33 | | 002237 | 恒 ...

消息面上，因特朗普"美元溜溜球"言论及美日干预汇市预期，美元跌至四月新低，铝价升至近四年来新 高。兴业证券近期研报指出，需双线主导，铝进入紧缺周期，叠加较低的库存，支撑铝价中枢抬升。中 国电解铝企业具备全球竞争力、正将行业红利转化为股东回报。看好铝价中枢抬升，铝价每上涨10%， 将带来约30%的EPS增厚，质量与周期共振，看好电解铝板块价值重估。推荐公司中国宏桥、中国铝 业，关注创新实业、南山铝业国际。 铝业股再度走高，截至发稿，中国铝业（601600）(02600)涨13.32%，报15.14港元；南山铝业 （600219）国际(02610)涨7.74%，报72.4港元；中国宏桥(01378)涨6.99%，报40.1港元；创新实业 (02788)涨2.78%，报28.14港元。 ...

消息面上，因特朗普"美元溜溜球"言论及美日干预汇市预期，美元跌至四月新低，铝价升至近四年来新 高。兴业证券近期研报指出，需双线主导，铝进入紧缺周期，叠加较低的库存，支撑铝价中枢抬升。中 国电解铝企业具备全球竞争力、正将行业红利转化为股东回报。看好铝价中枢抬升，铝价每上涨10%， 将带来约30%的EPS增厚，质量与周期共振，看好电解铝板块价值重估。推荐公司中国宏桥、中国铝 业，关注创新实业、南山铝业国际。 智通财经APP获悉，铝业股再度走高，截至发稿，中国铝业(02600)涨13.32%，报15.14港元；南山铝业 国际(02610)涨7.74%，报72.4港元；中国宏桥(01378)涨6.99%，报40.1港元；创新实业(02788)涨2.78%， 报28.14港元。 ...