Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to rise, with companies such as Shengda Resources, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Yuguang Gold Lead, and Huafeng Aluminum reaching new highs during trading [1] - Silver Industry has achieved a seven-day consecutive increase, indicating strong market performance [1] - Companies like Zinc Industry Co., Yiqiu Resources, Electric Alloy, Pengxin Resources, Northern Copper, China Aluminum, and China Nonferrous Metals are also experiencing significant gains [1]

Group 1 - The industrial metals sector is expected to enter a golden window in 2026, driven by macroeconomic factors and fundamental demand, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and domestic policies boosting liquidity and demand [1] - Supply constraints are evident due to insufficient long-term capital expenditure, declining ore grades, and frequent mine production cuts, leading to sustained pressure on copper and aluminum supplies [1][5] - Demand remains resilient in traditional sectors while emerging fields like AI data centers and energy storage are experiencing explosive growth, becoming key drivers of marginal demand [1][2] Group 2 - The copper market is characterized by a structural shortage, with refined copper expected to face a shortfall of 380,000 tons in 2026, leading to an upward price trend [1][5] - The aluminum sector is in a tight balance phase, with domestic production capacity nearing its limit and new capacity additions constrained by high costs and power supply issues in regions like Indonesia [2][5] - Demand for aluminum is significantly improving, particularly in transportation and power electronics, with a projected domestic aluminum shortfall increasing from 150,000 tons in 2025 to 1,070,000 tons by 2027 [2][5] Group 3 - The financial attributes of copper are strengthened by the ongoing interest rate cuts, while its commodity attributes are constrained by supply-side tensions [5] - The demand for copper in data centers is projected to reach 268,000 tons by 2026, driven by the growth of AI and energy storage applications [1][24] - The aluminum demand in data centers is estimated at 78,000 tons globally and 20,000 tons domestically by 2026, with aluminum primarily used in structural and electrical applications [39][40] Group 4 - Investment recommendations focus on companies in the copper sector with sustainable growth, including Zijin Mining, Minmetals Resources, and China Nonferrous Mining, while also highlighting aluminum companies with strong dividend yields and profit elasticity [5][52] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain risks related to bauxite, as the industry remains highly dependent on external sources [5][55]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share non-ferrous metal market has shown a comprehensive strengthening trend since 2026, with the non-ferrous metal index rising by 24.31%, significantly outperforming the broader market. Precious metals (silver, gold) and minor metals (tungsten, tin) have performed particularly well, with price increases notably higher than industrial metals (lead, aluminum) [2][6]. Market Overview - The report titled "Comprehensive Analysis of the Non-Ferrous Metal Industry" systematically reviews the current non-ferrous metal market from multiple dimensions, including macro strategic environment, industry chain dynamics, competitive landscape, and industry trends, providing a reference for market decision-makers [2]. Price and Production Changes - Certain metals have entered an upward price channel, indicating a structural increase rather than a comprehensive recovery. The industry is transitioning from a low point to recovery, with a clear differentiation between strong and weak products [6][10]. - Global major metal varieties face significant supply constraints due to declining resource grades, insufficient capital expenditure, and geopolitical disturbances. Export restrictions from resource-rich countries are tightening, impacting the industry's international trade dynamics [10]. Demand Resilience - Emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles, energy storage, and AI computing centers are becoming core drivers of demand. For instance, China's new energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 16.49 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.17%, boosting demand for copper, aluminum, and rare earths [11][22]. Market Price Support - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for China's non-ferrous metal manufacturing is expected to rise to 117.200 in 2025, up from 113.200 in 2024, indicating robust industry demand [12]. Policy Environment - The policy environment is shifting from "cyclical adjustment" to "strategic resource management," accelerating industry upgrades. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has outlined plans for the non-ferrous metal industry to achieve an average annual growth of around 5% in value added from 2025 to 2026 [13][16]. Industry Integration and Technological Support - Policies encourage mergers and acquisitions among large smelting enterprises and support the technological research and industrial application of high-end new materials like magnesium alloys and tungsten [14]. Resource Recycling - The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is pushing for greener production of high-energy-consuming metals. By the end of 2025, 30% of the electrolytic aluminum industry's capacity is expected to meet benchmark energy efficiency levels [15]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape in the industrial metals sector is stable, with leading companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum Company maintaining strong positions through global resource layouts and price elasticity [43][44]. - In the energy metals sector, companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium are leading with a dual drive of resources and technology, while Huayou Cobalt leads in the nickel sector with a collaborative model [47][48]. Long-term Trends - The non-ferrous metal industry is expected to maintain a structurally tight balance in supply and demand, with resource-constrained metals remaining tight in the long term. However, the supply-demand gap will exhibit differentiation across varieties and phases, indicating significant structural opportunities rather than systemic trends [54][55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [6][6][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over the independence of U.S. Federal Reserve policies are expected to boost gold prices in the short term [6][6]. - The copper market is facing supply constraints due to incidents at major mines, which is likely to support copper prices despite high prices potentially suppressing actual consumption [36][36]. - The aluminum sector is expected to see price support due to downstream inventory demand, while the lithium market is anticipated to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply expectations [6][6][6]. Summary by Sections Steel - The steel industry is expected to improve profitability as growth policies are implemented, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3][3]. - Current steel prices are showing seasonal trends, with expectations of price fluctuations following raw material prices [19][19]. - As of January 23, 2026, the total steel inventory has increased by 0.79% compared to the previous week, indicating a potential accumulation ahead of the Spring Festival [26][26]. Copper - The copper market is experiencing a tightening supply due to strikes affecting production at key mines, which may provide price support [36][36]. - The copper smelting processing fees remain negative, indicating pressure on the supply side, while demand is expected to rise in sectors like electric power and new energy vehicles [36][36]. Aluminum - The aluminum market is characterized by stable supply and high operating rates at alumina plants, with expectations of price support from downstream inventory needs [46][46]. - As of January 23, 2026, the average price of alumina is reported at 2,657.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [50][50]. Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions and economic data are influencing gold prices, with a notable increase in prices observed recently [54][54]. - As of January 23, 2026, gold prices have risen by 8.30% on COMEX and 8.07% on SHFE compared to the previous week [54][54]. Lithium and Cobalt - The lithium market is expected to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply conditions, with battery-grade lithium prices increasing by 12.46% recently [58][58]. - Cobalt supply is constrained due to limited export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand is driven by the electric vehicle and consumer electronics sectors [6][6].

截至1月26日，市场融资余额合计2.71万亿元，较前一交易日增加18.81亿元，其中，沪市融资余额 13667.99亿元，较前一交易日增加13.82亿元；深市融资余额13323.04亿元，较前一交易日增加5.73亿 元；北交所融资余额89.19亿元，较前一交易日减少7343.29万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，具体到个股，1月26日共有1936只股获融资净买入，净买入金额在千万元以 上的有707只，其中53只融资净买入额超亿元。中国平安融资净买入额居首，当日净买入4.44亿元，其 次是北方稀土、中国铝业，融资净买入金额分别为4.17亿元、4.16亿元，融资净买入金额居前的还有西 部矿业、迈为股份、东方财富等。 | 代码 | 简称 | 1月26日涨跌幅 | 融资净买入额 | 最新融资余额 | 占流通市值比例 | 所属行 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （万元） | （万元） | （%） | 业 | | 601318 | 中国平 | 0.38 | 44408.15 | 3316709.51 | 4.85 | 非银金 | | | ...

Group 1 - The total margin balance of A-shares reached 27,254.40 billion yuan on January 26, increasing by 19.65 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.62% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The trading volume of margin transactions on the same day was 3,114.07 billion yuan, an increase of 79.37 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 9.48% of the total A-share trading volume [1] Group 2 - Among the 31 primary industries, 17 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the non-ferrous metals industry leading with a net inflow of 3.235 billion yuan [3] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows included electric power equipment, pharmaceutical biology, basic chemicals, and non-bank financials [3] Group 3 - A total of 53 stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with China Ping An leading at a net inflow of 444 million yuan [3] - Other notable stocks with high net financing inflows included Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Western Mining, Maiwei Co., Oriental Fortune, Luoyang Molybdenum, Heng Rui Medicine, TBEA, and Industrial Bank [3][4]

A股1月26日共有3764只个股获融资资金买入，有706股买入金额超亿元。其中，航天电子、紫金矿业、 特变电工融资买入金额排名前三，分别获买入24.34亿元、20.14亿元、19.91亿元。从融资买入额占当日 总成交金额比重来看，台华新材、朗鸿科技、中创股份融资买入额占成交额比重排名前三，分别为 26.84%、26.28%、26.13%。从融资净买入金额来看，有53只个股获融资净买入超亿元。其中，中国平 安、北方稀土、中国铝业融资净买入金额排名前三，分别获净买入4.44亿元、4.17亿元、4.16亿元。 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Greater China Materials, specifically alumina and related sectors [1] - **Market Sentiment**: The industry view is considered attractive by Morgan Stanley [6] Core Insights - **Alumina Production Cuts**: An alumina plant in Guizhou is planning production cuts in January and February, indicating a potential shift in supply dynamics [8] - **Government Actions**: China has issued its first batch of ultra-long special treasury bonds amounting to Rmb93.6 billion for equipment upgrading, which may impact the materials sector positively [8] - **Safety Inspections**: There is a potential nationwide safety inspection in the iron and steel industry due to a recent explosion, which could affect production and operational costs [8] Price and Inventory Movements - **Base Metals**: - Shanghai copper prices decreased by 0.8% WoW, with inventories increasing by 25.1% [2] - Shanghai aluminum prices increased by 0.4% WoW, while inventories rose by 37.0% [2] - **Steel Prices**: - Shanghai HRC and CRC prices both fell by 0.6% WoW, while rebar prices dipped by 0.2% [3] - Tangshan billet prices declined by 1.3% WoW [3] - **Cement Prices**: Remained stable at Rmb340/t as of January 23 [3] - **Coal Prices**: QHD5500 price decreased by 0.3% WoW to Rmb686/t, with inventory rising by 5.8% to 5.82 million tons [3] - **Glass Prices**: - Glass fiber prices remained flat at Rmb3,883/t [4] - Float glass prices unchanged at Rmb1,198/t [4] Battery Metals - **Price Increases**: - Domestic industrial-grade and battery-grade hydroxide prices rose by 3.5% and 4.0% WoW, respectively [2] - Industrial- and battery-grade lithium carbonate prices both increased by 3.5% WoW [2] Gold Market - **Price Surge**: Gold prices increased by 6.9% WoW to US$4,936/oz, indicating strong demand [2] Additional Observations - **Inventory Trends**: - Long steel inventories at traders increased by 2.0% WoW, while flat steel inventories decreased by 0.9% WoW [3] - **Market Dynamics**: The increase in inventories for copper and aluminum suggests a potential oversupply situation, which could impact future pricing [2][3] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state of the Greater China materials sector, particularly focusing on alumina and related industries.

Group 1 - Hong Kong aluminum stocks collectively strengthened, with Rusal rising nearly 13% [1] - Rongyang Industrial increased by over 10% [1] - Xingfa Aluminum rose by over 5% [1] Group 2 - Innovation Industry and Nanshan Aluminum International both increased by over 2% [1] - China Aluminum also saw an increase of over 2% [1] - China Hongqiao rose nearly 2% and reached a historical high [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metals and oil sectors, driven by rising commodity prices and geopolitical tensions [1] - Spot gold has reached a historical high of $5080.60 per ounce, with a 2% increase, while spot silver briefly surpassed $108 per ounce, showing a daily increase of over 4.6% [1] - The cash flow index's focus on "strong cyclical resources" like non-ferrous metals and chemicals reflects its structural advantages and precise value in the market [1] Group 2 - The CSI All-Share Free Cash Flow Index (932365) has risen by 0.81%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as silver non-ferrous (up 10.03%), Nanshan Aluminum (up 7.08%), and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (up 5.86%) [1] - The CSI All-Share Free Cash Flow ETF (512130) has increased by 1.84%, marking its sixth consecutive rise, with the latest price at 1.33 yuan [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI All-Share Free Cash Flow Index include China National Offshore Oil Corporation, SAIC Motor, and Gree Electric Appliances, collectively accounting for 53.78% of the index [2]