花旗分析师在一份报告中称，中国铝业或将受益于铝价和利润率在更长时间内保持高位。该金属的价格 可能会在较长时期内保持高位，同时煤炭价格不断下降。这些分析师补充说，在中国推动碳中和之际， 作为中国国有铝生产商的中国铝业也可能具有相对优势，因为其项目已获得所有必要的批准，且运营符 合环保要求。花旗将其2025-2027年净利润预测上调2%-7%。该行还将中国铝业H股目标价从12.41港元 上调至15.94港元。中国铝业仍是花旗在该板块的首选股。该股收盘下跌0.7%，报13.37港元。 ...

本报讯 （记者袁传玺）天眼查工商信息显示，近日，中铝绿材（文山）铝基新材料有限公司成立，注 册资本2.5亿元，经营范围为常用有色金属冶炼、有色金属铸造、有色金属压延加工、有色金属合金制 造、有色金属合金销售、高性能有色金属及合金材料销售。股东信息显示，该公司由中国铝业 （601600）旗下中铝（云南）绿色先进铝基材料有限公司全资持股。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth of China's alumina production, indicating a significant increase in output and projecting future trends in the industry [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - As of November 2025, China's alumina production reached 8.14 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.6% [1] - From January to November 2025, the cumulative alumina production in China totaled 84.657 million tons, marking an 8.4% increase compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Companies Involved - Listed companies in the alumina sector include China Aluminum (601600), Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Zhongfu Industrial (600595), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), Hongchuang Holdings (002379), Minfa Aluminum (002578), and Ningbo Fubang (600768) [1] Group 3: Research and Analysis - The report titled "Analysis of Development Models and Future Prospects of China's Alumina Industry from 2026 to 2032" was published by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China [1] - Zhiyan Consulting has over a decade of experience in industry research, providing in-depth reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has updated its model for China Aluminum (601600)(02600) to reflect the latest forecasts for aluminum and alumina prices, resulting in increased net profit projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 [1] Financial Projections - Net profit forecasts for China Aluminum have been raised by 2%, 4%, and 7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reaching RMB 14 billion, RMB 19.1 billion, and RMB 21.9 billion respectively [1] - The target price for H-shares has been revised upwards from HKD 12.41 to HKD 15.94 [1] Market Outlook - Citigroup anticipates that China Aluminum will benefit from the continuously rising aluminum prices and profit margins [1] - The company remains a preferred recommendation by Citigroup [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has updated its model for China Aluminum (02600) to reflect the latest forecasts for aluminum and alumina prices, resulting in increased net profit predictions for the company from 2025 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Net profit forecasts for China Aluminum have been raised by 2%, 4%, and 7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reaching RMB 14 billion, RMB 19.1 billion, and RMB 21.9 billion respectively [1] - The target price for H-shares has been revised upwards from HKD 12.41 to HKD 15.94 [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Citigroup anticipates that China Aluminum will benefit from the continuously rising aluminum prices and profit margins [1] - The company remains a top pick recommendation by Citigroup [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citigroup has updated its model for China Aluminum to reflect the latest forecasts for aluminum and alumina prices, leading to increased net profit projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 [1] - Citigroup raised the net profit forecast for China Aluminum by 2%, 4%, and 7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, resulting in projected profits of 14 billion, 19.1 billion, and 21.9 billion yuan [1] - The target price for China Aluminum's H-shares has been increased from 12.41 HKD to 15.94 HKD, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [1] Group 2 - Citigroup expects China Aluminum to benefit from the continuously rising aluminum prices and profit margins, maintaining its recommendation as a top pick [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report Core View - On the night of January 7th, the JM05 contract of coking coal futures jumped up by 6.95% to 1,215 yuan/ton, mainly due to the rising market risk - preference, the rotation of futures and stocks, and the fundamentals and futures market conditions [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalog Reasons for the sharp rise in coking coal futures - The Shanghai Composite Index (000001) breaking through a ten - year high indicates that the overall market risk preference is rising [1] - After the bulls in the futures market have snapped up various metals, they noticed that coking coal futures hadn't risen [1] - The sharp rise of stocks in the non - ferrous sector and the rise of the CSI Coal Index (399998) by 3.73% show the rotation of stock sectors and the linkage between futures and stocks [1] Fundamentals and futures market conditions - The inventory of Qinhuangdao thermal coal has decreased from 7.37 million tons on December 22nd, 25 to 5.25 million tons on January 7th, and the CCTD Bohai Rim 5500 - calorie thermal coal index has found support at 680 yuan/ton [2] - The first - quarter long - term contract price of imported Mongolian coal is about 66 - 69 US dollars, equivalent to 800 - 830 yuan/ton in the spot market and 920 - 950 yuan/ton in the futures market [2] - On January 3rd, the JM futures increased positions by 53,000 contracts, and the small decline of 34.5 yuan at the close indicates that the resistance to long - position trading is the smallest, and the potential upward price movement (300 yuan) is greater than the downward movement (100 yuan) [2] Policy analysis - Policies such as the over - production inspection in July 25 and the capacity verification of coal - supply guarantee mines in Shaanxi in 26 do not conflict with the increase in coal production [2]

个股方面，87只个股获融资净买入额超1亿元。北方稀土获融资净买入额居首，净买入8.38亿元；融资净买入金额居前的还有航天发展、紫金矿业、香农芯 创、中国铝业、招商银行、澜起科技、信维通信、珂玛科技、中钨高新等。 | 序号 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 证券代码 ◆ | 证券简称 = | 交易日期÷ | 融资净买入额(万元) ◆ | | 1 | 600111.SH | 北方稀土 | 2026-01-07 | 83,805.36 | | 2 | 000547.SZ | 航天发展 | 2026-01-07 | 77.192.41 | | 3 | 601899.SH | 蒙美矿业 | 2026-01-07 | 54,104.59 | | ব | 300475.SZ | 香农芯创 | 2026-01-07 | 53,010.37 | | 5 | 601600.SH | 中国铝业 | 2026-01-07 | 50,680.43 | | 6 | 600036.SH | 招商银行 | 2026-01-07 | 43,869.23 | | 7 | 688008.S ...

Group 1 - As of January 7, the margin trading balance in A-shares reached 26,047.42 billion yuan, an increase of 248.42 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.55% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The margin trading transaction volume on the same day was 3,312.32 billion yuan, which is an increase of 23.26 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 11.49% of the total A-share transaction volume [1] Group 2 - Among the 31 primary industries in Shenwan, 27 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics industry leading at a net inflow of 6.393 billion yuan [3] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows include non-ferrous metals, defense and military industry, pharmaceutical and biological, machinery equipment, and communication [3] Group 3 - A total of 87 individual stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Northern Rare Earth leading at a net inflow of 838.54 million yuan [3][4] - Other notable stocks with high net financing inflows include Aerospace Development, Zijin Mining, Shannon Chip Creation, China Aluminum, China Merchants Bank, Lanke Technology, XW Communication, Kema Technology, and Zhongtung High-Tech [3][4]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened down 0.59%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.44%. Bank stocks strengthened, with China Merchants Bank rising nearly 1%, while the non-ferrous metals sector weakened, with China Aluminum dropping over 2%. Tech stocks were sluggish, with Alibaba and Baidu both declining by more than 1% [1] - CITIC Securities believes that due to the internal "14th Five-Year Plan" catalyst and external major economies' "fiscal + monetary" dual easing, the Hong Kong stock market is expected to welcome a second round of valuation repair and further earnings recovery by 2026. It suggests focusing on technology, healthcare, resource products, essential consumer goods, paper, and aviation sectors [1] - Everbright Securities indicates that with domestic policy efforts and a weaker US dollar, the Hong Kong stock market may continue to experience a volatile upward trend. The overall profitability of the Hong Kong market is relatively strong, and assets in the internet, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals are relatively scarce. Despite several months of consecutive gains, the overall valuation remains low, making long-term allocation cost-effective [1] - Dongwu Securities believes that the Hong Kong stock market is entering a volatile upward phase, emphasizing the need to maintain dividends as a base and seize the technology growth market in the first half of the year. Potential incremental funds from southbound investments will continue to increase allocation to value dividends. Considering valuations and the AH comparison perspective, southbound funds will generally increase allocation to Hong Kong tech growth stocks, although the tech market will still be influenced by overseas interest rate cuts and US tech market trends, requiring dynamic observation [1] Group 2 - Industrial Securities suggests actively going long, as the Hong Kong stock market is expected to start a spring offensive led by the Hang Seng Tech Index. In the medium term, the bull market in Hong Kong stocks will continue into 2026, with earnings and liquidity likely to drive the market. Changes in risk appetite may present a pattern of "rise first, then fall, and rise again" [2] - In the first quarter of 2026, the risk appetite for Hong Kong stocks is expected to "rise first" [2]