易峘还提到，自1970年以来美元历经五次调整，当前投资者要警惕美元法币公信力的下降，在资产配置 中以更开放的态度，更加积极配置有稀缺性的资产、包括股权资产。 8月27日至28日，华泰证券2025年秋季投资峰会在上海举行，本届峰会以"谋划长远，破卷立新"为主 题，探讨2025年下半程全球宏观与市场展望。 为期两天的会程由主论坛以及10场行业分论坛构成，聚焦数字资产、香港市场配置、AI+、新消费3． 0、创新药出海等成长领域机遇。 中国宏观经济研究院决策咨询部主任孙学工，中国金融四十人论坛研究院执行院长郭凯，中国社会科学 院国家全球战略智库国际政治研究部主任赵海等专家，围绕十五五规划前瞻、全球贸易和金融体系的结 构性变化，以及当前国际态势等热点议题发表主题演讲。 华泰证券机构业务委员会主席梁红在致辞中表示，过去半年，中美博弈经历了多轮激烈对撞，步入了相 对稳定的战略相持阶段，全球资产配置正逐步形成更多元化和分散化的趋势。国内方面，一系列务实政 策推动经济企稳与市场信心恢复，Deepseek引发全球对中国科技创新潜力的重估，并在权益、债券、汇 率等资产价格上逐步演绎。10月份即将召开的二十届四中全会和推出的"十五五 ...

Group 1 - The market experienced a V-shaped rebound in the afternoon, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, and the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.97 trillion yuan [2] - The securities sector index reached a new high in the first half of August, with the average P/B ratio recovering from approximately 1.50 times to over 1.65 times by the end of the month, surpassing the average valuation of 1.55 times since 2016 [2] - The overall operating environment for the securities industry continues to improve, with expectations for the securities index to maintain a steady recovery and oscillating upward trend if the equity market expands further [2] Group 2 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Securities Leading Index accounted for 78.84% of the index, including major firms like CITIC Securities and East Money [3] - The Guozheng Securities Leading Index is designed to reflect the market performance of high-quality listed companies in the securities theme and provides investors with more diversified index investment tools [2]

Group 1 - Some brokerage stocks experienced an increase, with Xinda Securities rising over 5% [1] - Great Wall Securities and Guosheng Jinkong both saw increases of over 3% [1] - Jinlong Co. rose over 2%, while several other securities firms, including GF Securities, First Capital, and Everbright Securities, increased by over 1% [1]

Group 1 - A-share market sees a rise in several brokerage stocks, with Xinda Securities increasing by over 5% [1] - Changcheng Securities and Guosheng Financial Holdings both rise by over 3% [1] - Jinlong Co., Ltd. experiences an increase of over 2% [1] Group 2 - Other notable gains include GF Securities, First Capital, Everbright Securities, Xiangcai Securities, CITIC Securities, Changjiang Securities, Dongwu Securities, Huatai Securities, and Founder Securities, all rising by over 1% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth in the user activity of securities apps, driven by a bullish A-share market and the increasing demand for diversified wealth management solutions among investors [1][6]. User Activity Growth - As of July 2025, the number of active users of securities apps reached 167 million, marking a 20.89% year-on-year increase [6]. - The top ten securities apps accounted for 63% of the market share, with Tonghuashun leading at 35.01 million active users, followed by Dongfang Caifu and Dazhihui with 17.14 million and 11.91 million users respectively [7]. Competitive Landscape - The competition among securities apps is becoming increasingly differentiated, with Tonghuashun and Dongfang Caifu leveraging their unique features to attract users [9]. - Smaller brokerages like Guohai Securities and Chengtong Securities have also seen rapid growth in user activity, indicating a competitive market environment [10]. AI Integration - The integration of AI technology into securities apps is a key trend, with firms like Guangfa Securities and Guotai Haitong leading the way in developing AI-native applications [12][13]. - AI-driven features are expected to enhance user experience and operational efficiency, providing personalized investment advice and improving customer interaction rates [14]. Market Dynamics - The article notes a shift from traditional tools to intelligent solutions in the securities app market, reflecting a broader trend towards digital transformation in financial services [13]. - The increasing preference for comprehensive and mature platforms among investors indicates a strengthening of the "Matthew Effect," where leading apps continue to dominate the market [7][10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the securities sector is experiencing an upward trend due to supportive government policies aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting the capital market, alongside a favorable liquidity environment and improved investor confidence [2] - As of August 28, 2025, the National Securities Leading Index (399437) rose by 0.34%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Xinda Securities (4.04%) and Huatai Securities (0.79%) [1] - The Securities ETF Leader (159993) has seen a continuous inflow of funds over the past three days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 162 million yuan, totaling 264 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The top three brokers by ETF trading volume in July were Huatai Securities, CITIC Securities, and Guotai Junan, maintaining their positions from June, with market share percentages of 10.8%, 10.67%, and 6.66% respectively [1] - The PB valuation of the securities sector is at 1.58x as of August 22, 2025, which is in the 35th percentile since 2010, indicating a high safety margin for investments in this sector [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Leading Index account for 78.84% of the index, with major players including CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities [2]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities reports that Gu Ming's strong performance in the first half of the year is attributed to takeout subsidies, accelerated product innovation, and an optimized competitive landscape [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue growth rate outpaced the growth rate of Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), primarily due to increased equipment procurement and a higher proportion of core ToB sales [1] - The report indicates that the takeout channel subsidies, extended operating hours for some stores, and the introduction of coffee products are expected to enhance single-store cup volume and average GMV per store [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - It is anticipated that in the second half of this year and into 2026, the further diversification of coffee SKUs and an increase in the number of stores equipped with coffee machines will demonstrate operational resilience, even with a reduction in takeout subsidies [1] - Given the company's current potential for store expansion and profitability, a target price of HKD 34.57 is set based on a 30 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, with a "buy" rating assigned [1]

华泰证券发表研究报告指，受益于外卖补贴、产品推新加速和竞争格局优化，古茗上半年公司经营表现 亮丽，其中收入按年增速快于商品交易总额(GMV)增速，主要是设备集采量提升及部分核心品类ToB销 售占比有所提高。该行认为，外卖渠道补贴、部分门店营业时间按年延长、以及部分门店引入咖啡产品 有望增厚单店杯量和店均GMV，预计今年下半年及2026年随咖啡SKU进一步丰富及配备咖啡机门店数 量提升，即使外卖补贴退坡，亦有望展现较优经营韧性。考虑到公司当前兼备开店空间与盈利能力，给 予公司2026年30倍市盈率，该行对其目标价为34.57港元，评级"买入"。 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a significant drop in the afternoon, with both the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index falling over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.17 trillion, an increase of 486.5 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.76%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.43%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.69% [1] Small-cap Growth Stocks - CITIC Securities indicated that small-cap growth stocks exhibit greater resilience, especially after December 2023 when market confidence was low and funds were tight [2] - From January 2024, sectors like AI and smart vehicles have shown repeated activity, shifting market focus back to small-cap and growth stocks [2] - Following May 2024, geopolitical and macroeconomic factors are expected to further dampen market sentiment, leading to a shift back to large-cap value stocks, which are seen as more stable [2] AI Applications and Policy Impact - Guojin Securities highlighted six key directions for innovative applications that could accelerate the implementation of AI, including product realization on intelligent computing platforms [3] - The optimization and improvement of processes can occur in three dimensions, driving medium to long-term equipment upgrade investments [3] - Specific areas of focus include the optimization of microbial fermentation processes, new material applications, and the development of innovative pesticide products [3] AI and AR Glasses Industry - Huatai Securities noted that the Meta Connect conference is set to take place on September 17-18, where Meta is expected to unveil new smart glasses and redefine AI glasses through hardware and software innovations [4] - Other companies like Xiaomi, Rokid, and Xreal have also launched AI/AR glasses, while major international firms such as Google, Samsung, Apple, and Amazon are clarifying their plans for AI/AR glasses [4] - The long-term potential of glasses as an "Always-on" interaction interface is emphasized, alongside the short-term catalysts from new product launches by leading companies [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the "anti-involution" policy is effectively reducing pig production capacity, leading to a stable pig price outlook for the year, while low-cost companies are expected to achieve good profitability [1] Group 1: Pig Farming Industry - In July, the national breeding sow inventory showed a negative month-on-month change, and the average weight of slaughtered pigs continued to decline [1] - The average prices of national pigs and white feather chicken in major production areas fell year-on-year by 4.24% and 6.26% respectively in the first half of 2025 [1] - Leading breeding companies have achieved significant year-on-year performance growth due to excellent cost control and advantages in products and channels [1] Group 2: Financial Performance and Investment Outlook - Some leading agricultural and animal husbandry companies have entered a "high-quality" development stage, demonstrating strong profitability and cash flow capabilities [1] - New capital expenditures have significantly decreased, with some leading companies' capital expenditures in 2024 being lower than fixed asset depreciation [1] - There is an increased emphasis on shareholder returns among leading agricultural and animal husbandry companies, with a noticeable rise in dividend rates, highlighting long-term dividend value [1] Group 3: Market Trends - Recent price recovery in white chicken is anticipated to continue, driven by ongoing capacity reduction due to long-term industry losses [1] - The report suggests ongoing attention to the breeding sector, particularly companies with low-cost and comprehensive profitability advantages, as well as those with increasing dividend value [1]