消息面上： 今日航运板块与磷化工板块联袂走强，中远海能四天三板，招商轮船、招商南油涨停，带动交通运 输ETF(159666)涨2.32%，云天化两连板，石化ETF(159731)涨1.99%，今年合计净流入15.19亿元，居同 标的第一。 ①伊朗局势紧张，带动海运运价飙升，2月24日 波罗的海干散货指数(BDI)报2129点，创2026年1月 30日以来新高水平，VLCC中东至中国航线日租金突破17万美元，较年初翻涨3倍。 ②航空板块迎来人民币升值+出行回暖的双重红利，人民币汇率强势升值突破6.90关口，以及春节 后商务与旅游出行持续复苏，航空客运量与客座率稳步提升。 ③2月18日，美国宣布将磷和草甘膦列入战略资源，以及随着美伊冲突加剧，国际原油价格持续上 涨，WTI原油主力合约累计涨超5%。 相关产品： 唯一覆盖A股运输全产业链：交通运输ETF(159666)，标的指数覆盖物流、铁路公路、航运港口、 航空机场等全产业链，权重聚焦中远海控(全球集运龙头)、中远海能(全球油轮运力龙头)、招商南油(成 品油轮龙头)、招商轮船(油运业务)、三大航(东航+南航+国航)。 石化ETF(159731)跟踪石化产业指数，基 ...

February 24, 2026 04:01 PM GMT China Transportation | Asia Pacific CNY Holiday: Tourism - A Consumption Bright Spot Key Takeaways CNY Public Holiday: 2026 Feb 15-23, 9 days; vs. 2025 Jan 28-Feb 4, 8 days. MoT Data: In the CNY holiday (9 days in total), average daily air pax grew 7.4% YoY, while total air pax grew 21% YoY with one extra day. National Immigration Administration: Daily cross-border travellers grew 10.1% YoY (+24% YoY growth in total with one extra day). On a daily basis: | M | | | | --- | --- ...

集运股全线走高，截至发稿，中远海发（601866）(02866)涨6.09%，报1.22港元；中远海控（601919） (01919)涨2.82%，报14.96港元；东方海外国际(00316)涨2.52%，报146.6港元；海丰国际(01308)涨 0.73%，报33.22港元。 消息面上，2月3日，航运集团赫伯罗特与马士基将调整双方一项共享航线服务的航行路线，重新经由红 海及苏伊士运河运输。然而本应首次实现复航红海的"Maersk Detroit"号，在实际执行中转向南下绕行非 洲好望角。公司解释：改道系因西地中海恶劣天气造成船期延误，公司因此决定调整航行计划，经好望 角绕行。 申万宏源发布研报称，此次绕行意味着红海复航仍无法在短时间内落地。此外，市场已经进入3月初船 期，随着春节假期后工厂的复工复产，预计需求有望得到改善。关注节后航司选涨、挺价等相关动作。 ...

春节期间，海外贵金属、原油价格集体上涨，现货黄金向上触及5200美元/盎司，WTI原油期货3月合约 收涨1.9%，布伦特原油期货4月合约收涨1.86%。消息面上，美伊谈判反复波动，全球地缘局势升温。 国金证券指出， 原油市场当前脱离供需，转为地缘政治风险驱动。预计未来一个月内价格的高波动率 将不可避免。在美伊局势尚未明朗化前，原油价格处于易涨难跌的状态。短期原油价格如因地缘问题继 续上行，建议关注拥有油气资源的上游企业以及长期受益于行业高景气度的海上油气服务工程板块。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证全指自由现金流指数(932365)前十大权重股分别为中国海油、格 力电器、上汽集团、中国铝业、中远海控、TCL科技、牧原股份、白银有色、宝钢股份、正泰电器，前 十大权重股合计占比51.19%。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 截至2026年2月24日 10:02，中证全指自由现金流指数(932365)强势上涨2.22%，成分股白银有色上涨 9.93%，招商南油上涨9.89%，云天化上涨7.18%，中国海油，春风动力等个股跟涨。全指现金流ETF鹏 华(512130)上 ...

Group 1 - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasizes the importance of safety and service during the Spring Festival holiday, urging central enterprises to ensure a peaceful and safe celebration for the public [1][2] - SASAC leaders, including Zhang Yuzhuo and Tan Zuojun, conducted inspections and communicated with staff to understand the arrangements for duty and safety during the holiday period [1][2] - Central enterprises are reminded to strengthen risk assessments in key areas and maintain efficient operations to support public festivities [1][2] Group 2 - Tan Zuojun, on behalf of Zhang Yuzhuo, connected with 11 central enterprises via video to check on energy, power supply, major project operations, and communication services [2] - The focus is on tightening the safety production responsibility chain to ensure the stability of essential services such as energy, communication, and transportation during the holiday [2] - The implementation of the Central Eight Regulations is emphasized to ensure a frugal and civilized holiday atmosphere [2]

福地码头副总裁陆洲即将度过在这里的第二个春节。"春节期间照常工作，主要是围绕码头资源为相关 船舶公司做好服务，以及仓库区管理、揽货等。"陆洲说，这里60%的货物由中远海运运输。 中国农历春节在即，德国汉堡港福地码头一派繁忙景象。"春节前后将有一批从中国发出的货船陆续抵 达，货船基本都是满载。这也是一个货运小高峰。"中远海运集运德国公司总经理林峥曦对本报记者 说。 作为连接中国与欧洲腹地最重要的物流门户之一，汉堡港是德国对华贸易的核心门户，约40%的德国对 华贸易（按吨位计）经由汉堡港完成。"中国是汉堡港最大和最重要的贸易伙伴。"汉堡港营销协会媒体 总监马蒂亚斯·舒尔茨对本报记者表示，德中贸易近年来持续增长，2025年前9个月，汉堡港德中间集装 箱贸易同比增长7.9%，达到180万标箱。 "在海上过春节，心里也很踏实" 作为汉堡港四大码头之一，福地码头是汉堡和中远海运合作的起点。1982年，第一艘来自中国的班轮就 停泊在这里。40多年来，码头见证着中德双方长期稳固的互信合作。2023年，中远海运集运德国公司正 式收购福地码头24.99%的股权。在舒尔茨看来，码头层面的股权合作实现了典型的互利结构：汉堡港 获得稳 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information regarding the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The pre - holiday freight rate drive is weak, and the near - term 04 contract is expected to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to whether the shipping companies' price - holding measures are implemented after the holiday. The cancellation of VAT export tax rebates for products such as photovoltaics may disrupt the shipping rhythm and the pricing strategies of shipping companies. It is necessary to monitor whether the freight volume from the Far East to Europe in February and March can increase significantly and whether the actual freight rate will be firmer than in normal years. The 04 contract's volatility is expected to increase, and investors are advised to participate with caution. Shipping companies usually issue price - increase letters in March and April to stabilize prices. As of now, it is still unclear whether the price increase in March will succeed. If the price increase is successful in early March, the valuation bottom of the EC2604 contract may rise. The long - term contracts face intense speculation on the resumption time, and the volatility is expected to remain high. The resumption of the Suez Canal is expected to be a gradual process. If it does not resume in the first half of 2026, the pressure on the shipping capacity in the first half of the year will be relatively controllable, and higher freight rates can be expected. Investors can consider the arbitrage opportunity of going long on EC2606 and short on EC2610 [5][6][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs I. Futures Prices - As of February 12, 2026, the total open interest of all container shipping index European line futures contracts is 54,481.00 lots, and the daily trading volume is 42,518.00 lots. The closing prices of EC2604, EC2606, EC2608, EC2610, and EC2512 contracts are 1258.90, 1566.10, 1632.00, 1131.10, and 1425.40 respectively [8]. II. Spot Prices - On February 6, the SCFI (Shanghai - Europe route) price was 1403 US dollars/TEU, the SCFI (Shanghai - West Coast of the United States) price was 1801 US dollars/FEU, and the SCFI (Shanghai - East Coast of the United States) price was 2530 US dollars/FEU. On February 9, the SCFIS (Shanghai - Europe) was 1657.94 points, and the SCFIS (Shanghai - West Coast of the United States) was 1155.66 points [8]. III. Container Ship Capacity Supply - **Static Supply**: As of January 31, 2026, 6 container ships with a total capacity of 46,950 TEU have been delivered in 2026. Among them, 2 ships with a capacity of 12,000 - 16,999 TEU and 1 ship with a capacity of over 17,000 TEU have been delivered. In terms of delivery expectations, for ships with a capacity of 12,000 - 16,999 TEU, 737,400 TEU (50 ships) are expected to be delivered in the remaining months of 2026, 944,600 TEU (64 ships) in 2027, 1,212,000 TEU (82 ships) in 2028, and 415,400 TEU (29 ships) in 2029. For ships with a capacity of over 17,000 TEU, 192,900 TEU (8 ships) are expected to be delivered in the remaining months of 2026, 862,800 TEU (40 ships) in 2027, 1,603,000 TEU (80 ships) in 2028, and 1,261,500 TEU (77 ships) in 2029. The delivery pressure of ultra - large ships in 2026 is relatively small, and only 4 ships with a capacity of over 17,000 TEU will be delivered in the first half of 2026 [3]. - **Dynamic Supply**: In the remaining three weeks of February, the average weekly capacity is 271,600 TEU, with capacities of 366,600 TEU, 259,800 TEU, and 188,300 TEU in Weeks 7, 8, and 9 respectively. In March, the average weekly capacity is 288,400 TEU, with capacities of 158,300 TEU, 365,200 TEU, 304,700 TEU, 320,400 TEU, and 293,500 TEU in Weeks 10 - 14 respectively. In April, the average weekly capacity is 274,700 TEU, with capacities of 295,500 TEU, 294,400 TEU, 263,500 TEU, and 245,400 TEU in Weeks 15 - 18 respectively. There are 13 blank sailings in February (6 by the OA Alliance, 6 by the PA Alliance, and 1 by the Gemini Alliance), 7 blank sailings and 3 TBNs in March, and 1 blank sailing and 4 TBNs in April [4]. IV. Supply Chain - The resumption of the Suez Canal is expected to be a gradual process. COSCO management indicates that there is still no clear schedule for the full resumption of the Red Sea route. It may take 3 - 5 months from the attempt to full resumption. Multiple conditions need to be met for the resumption of the Red Sea route, including industry association assessment, insurance premium reduction, customer recognition of safety, and internal consensus within the alliance. Currently, the detour has become the new normal for the customer supply chain, and COSCO is cautious about returning to the Red Sea. Since mid - February 2026, Maersk's ME11 route will be structurally adjusted to transit through the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. If possible, Maersk will also adjust the AE12 and AE15 services in the subsequent stage to pass through the Red Sea and the Suez Canal [7]. V. Demand and European Economy No specific content related to demand and European economy is provided in the given text other than the figures mentioned in the catalog.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the shipping rates are expected to remain weak before the holiday, with the April and October months typically being the lowest for shipping rates in a normal year [2][9] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation announced the cancellation of VAT export rebates for photovoltaic products on January 8, 2026, which may disrupt the shipping schedule and pricing strategies of shipping companies [2][9] - Shipping companies are expected to issue price increase notices in March and April, with MSC's March rate rising to $1800/3000, CMA's to $1750/3100, HPL's to $1835/2935, and ONE's to $1620/2535 [2][9] Group 2 - The resumption of the Suez Canal is expected to be gradual, with COSCO management indicating that a full resumption in the Red Sea lacks a clear timetable, potentially taking 3-5 months [3][10] - The current detour has become a new normal for customer supply chains, and COSCO is cautious about returning to the Red Sea [3][10] - In the first half of 2026, only four ultra-large vessels over 17,000 TEU are expected to be delivered, suggesting manageable capacity pressure if the Suez Canal does not resume operations [3][10] Group 3 - There are opportunities for arbitrage between EC2606 and EC2610 contracts, with historical data indicating that the highest shipping rates typically occur in July or August [4][10] - The adjustment of contract months will be implemented starting February 10, 2026, with new contracts EC2605, EC2607, and EC2609 being added [4][10] - The market is expected to trade with July as the peak for annual shipping rates based on historical trends [4][10]

Group 1 - The 800 Cash Flow ETF managed by Huatai-PineBridge opened at 1.317 yuan, experiencing a decline of 1.42% [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) down 2.93%, SAIC Motor Corporation down 0.14%, and China Aluminum Corporation down 1.82% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Free Cash Flow Index, with a return of 33.50% since its inception on April 30, 2025, and a return of 5.17% over the past month [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current valuation of the 04 contract is neutral. In the medium term, the recommended strategy is to short on rallies [3]. - For far - month contracts, it's difficult to anchor the valuation of peak - season contracts, and it's hard to predict shipping companies' price - adjustment behavior. So, cautious operation is advised. The 10 - contract valuation is moderately high, and the strategy of shorting on rallies should be maintained [3]. - For new contracts, referring to historical seasonality and the valuation of old contracts, the reasonable valuation ranges of the 09 and 07 contracts are 1100 - 1300 and 1600 - 1800 points respectively. The subsequent strategy is mainly to short the 09 contract and long the 07 contract, but the valuation given by the market is already relatively reasonable. The 05 contract is at the off - peak to peak season transition point, and attention should be paid to the 4 - 5 reverse spread form [3]. - Before the Spring Festival holiday, frequent position - closing operations by funds are expected to cause large market fluctuations. Prudent operation is advised this week [3]. Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Futures Contract Information - EC2604 closed at 1179.0 with a - 4.77% change, EC2605 at 1273.0, EC2606 at 1499.8 with a - 3.43% change, EC2608 at 1576.3 with a - 2.38% change, EC2610 at 1110.9 with a - 1.35% change, and EC2612 at 1380.0 with a - 3.19% change [2]. - The trading volume of EC2604 and EC2605 combined was 29560, and the open interest was 33899 with a change of 2767. The trading volume of EC2606 was 4155, and the open interest was 14740 with a change of 14. The trading volume of EC2608 was 340, and the open interest was 1416 with a change of 2. The trading volume of EC2610 was 1093, and the open interest was 8071 with a change of 178. The trading volume of EC2612 was 38, and the open interest was 127 with a change of - 11 [2]. - The month - spread of EC2604 - 2606 was - 320.8 (day - on - day change: - 5.8, week - on - week change: - 34.4), and the month - spread of EC2606 - 2610 was 388.9 (day - on - day change: - 38.0, week - on - week change: 5.8) [2]. Spot Market Information - The spot price (European line) on 2026/2/9 was 1657.94 points, a - 7.49% change from the previous period [2]. - The SCFI (European line) on 2026/2/6 was 1403 dollars/TEU, a - 1.06% change from the previous period [2]. - In Week 7, MSK's opening price was 1950 dollars (a decrease of 100 dollars compared to the previous period), PA was around 2000 dollars, MSC was 2140 dollars, OA was 2300 dollars. The central price was 2130 dollars, equivalent to 1500 points on the futures market. In Week 8 - 9, MSK's opening price remained at 1950 dollars. In March, MSC led a price - increase notice, followed by CMA, COSCO, and HPL, with the European line price expected to rise to 3000 - 3100 dollars. On Tuesday, MSK's opening price for Week 10 remained at 1950 dollars [4]. Related News - On February 10, Israel's Defense Forces were formulating a plan to launch a new offensive in the Gaza Strip to disarm Hamas [5]. - On February 11, the US military in Qatar loaded missiles onto mobile platforms. Since January, as the tension between the US and Iran escalated, the US military at the Al - Udeid Air Base in Qatar loaded missiles onto mobile launch platforms this month [5].