Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 229 million yuan for Q1 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.8% at the end of the quarter. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.5%, and a net profit of 687 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][8] - The total cost of pig farming has been continuously decreasing, reaching 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025. The average cost for 2024 was approximately 13.9 yuan per kilogram, with Q4 dropping to 13.7 yuan per kilogram [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 43.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 687 million yuan, reflecting a significant turnaround [10] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36%, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, also indicating a turnaround from losses [4][10] Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced its pig farming costs, with the complete cost dropping to 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025. This is attributed to several factors, including the optimization of management and the implementation of health-focused development strategies [5][6] Production and Sales Forecast - The company expects to achieve pig output of 3.5 million heads in 2025, 4.5 million heads in 2026, and 5 million heads in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 54%, 29%, and 11% [8] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 6.537 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.1%, and a net profit of 1.005 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 46.4% [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation rating for the pig farming industry [5] Core Insights - The pig farming sector continues to show profitability in Q1 2025, with major companies reporting significant revenue growth [3][19] - The price of commodity pigs is expected to exhibit a weak cyclical trend, with seasonal fluctuations not being pronounced [21][23] - Under the backdrop of tariff negotiations, the weak substitute product, chlortetracycline, has significant price increase opportunities [22][25] - A strategy of selecting strong stocks during weak cycles is recommended, emphasizing cost advantages and growth potential [24] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - In Q1 2025, leading companies in the pig farming sector reported substantial revenue increases, with top performers including Zhengbang Technology, Dongrui Co., Juxing Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, and Shennong Group [3][19] - The average price of commodity pigs as of April 30, 2025, was 14.79 yuan/kg, showing a slight decrease from the previous week [21] - The report anticipates a weak cyclical trend for pig prices in 2025, influenced by production capacity and disease impacts [21][23] - Companies with cost advantages are expected to perform better in a weak cycle, while those with outdated capacities may face losses [24] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include Dekang Agriculture, Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Bangji Technology, with a focus on companies that possess both cost and funding advantages [4][24] - Attention is drawn to Jinhe Biology, which is expected to capitalize on price increases for chlortetracycline due to tariff changes [25] Pet Economy - The pet food sector is projected to see strong growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with companies like Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Peidi Co. showing significant revenue increases [26][27] - The pet medical market is expanding, with a focus on the development of chain pet hospitals [28] Outdoor Sports Footwear - The sports footwear sector is experiencing steady growth, supported by domestic consumption policies [29][30] - Key brands such as Anta Sports, 361 Degrees, and Xtep International are highlighted for their performance in Q1 2025 [29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit, with 2024 revenue reaching 5.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 43.5%, and a net profit of 687 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][10] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.47 billion yuan, a 36% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 229 million yuan, also indicating a return to profitability [4][10] - The company's total asset-liability ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 27.8%, a slight increase of 0.4 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4] Financial Performance - The company’s total cost of pig farming has been decreasing, with the complete cost dropping to 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025 [5][6] - The average complete cost for 2024 was approximately 13.9 yuan per kilogram, with Q4 2024 seeing a reduction to 13.7 yuan per kilogram [6] - The company aims to increase its pig output to 3.5 million heads in 2025 and 5 million heads in 2027, with expected revenue of 6.537 billion yuan, 7.818 billion yuan, and 8.935 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][10] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.005 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 46.4% [10] Operational Insights - The company has implemented several strategies to reduce costs, including optimizing management, upgrading hardware, and enhancing health standards in pig farming [6] - The company’s breeding strategy has been continuously improved, leading to better genetic indices and reduced health costs [6] - The company plans to increase its breeding sows by approximately 40,000 heads annually, aiming for a total of 160,000 by the end of 2025 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Shennong Group has shown significant financial recovery and growth in 2024, with a revenue of 5.584 billion yuan, a 43.51% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 687 million yuan, compared to a loss of 401 million yuan in the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Shennong Group achieved a net profit of 229 million yuan, marking a continued turnaround from previous losses [1] - The company has reported five consecutive quarters of substantial improvement in net profit since Q1 2024 [1] Group 2: Feed Business Expansion - Shennong Group operates six feed production bases in Yunnan and Guangxi, with a total annual production capacity exceeding 1.5 million tons [2] - In 2024, the company sold 600,500 tons of feed, with 689,000 tons for export and 531,600 tons sold to its internal breeding enterprises [2] Group 3: New Production Facilities - The newly completed Shilin feed production base has a designed annual capacity of 180,000 tons, making it the largest premix feed and teaching feed production facility in Yunnan [3] - The integration of complex feed production into this facility allows other plants to focus on simpler feed types, enhancing overall production efficiency [3] Group 4: Digital Transformation - Shennong Group has implemented an SAP system to improve internal operational efficiency in the feed business, enhancing planning and execution across various stages of production [4] Group 5: Livestock Breeding Profitability - The livestock breeding segment generated 3.798 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 81.34%, accounting for 68.02% of total revenue [5] - The company sold 2.2715 million pigs in 2024, a 49.40% increase from 2023 [5] Group 6: Cost Management - The complete cost of breeding in March 2024 was approximately 12 yuan per kilogram, lower than many comparable listed companies [6] - The company plans to expand its breeding scale to 3.2 to 3.5 million pigs by 2025, with expectations of further cost reductions [7] Group 7: Slaughtering and Food Processing - Shennong Group has established a full industry chain from feed production to slaughtering and food processing, which helps mitigate the impact of the "pig cycle" on operations [8] - In 2024, the slaughtering and food processing segment generated 1.473 billion yuan in revenue, a 19.6% increase, representing 26.38% of total revenue [8]

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3、《神农集团（605296）：养殖成 本行业领先，出栏量快速增长》 2024-08-07 —神农集团（605296.SH）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cf ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 养殖成本保持优势地位，产能规模有望延续增长 势头 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：娄倩 | S1050524070002 | | --- | --- | | louqian@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：卫正 | S1050124080020 | | weizheng2@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-04-29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 29.21 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 总股本（百万股） | 525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 24.81-44.99 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 123.21 | 市场表现 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 (%) 神农集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《神农集团（605296）：成本优 势地位稳固，定增扩产维持独一档 负债率表现》2025-04-14 2、《神农集团（605296）：业绩实 现高增长，成本优势持续巩固》 2024-08-29 3 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Alcohol Industry - The liquor industry is showing a stable recovery with major companies like Moutai setting a 9% revenue growth target, Wuliangye aligning with macro indicators, and Luzhou Laojiao emphasizing steady growth. The supply-side pressure in the industry has significantly eased, and channel feedback is expected to improve [1][3]. - Moutai and Wuliangye have reported double-digit growth, slightly exceeding market expectations, while Luzhou Laojiao's cash flow performance is better than its apparent data [3]. Beer Industry - The beer sector performed well in Q1 2025, with small breweries like Zhujiang and Yanjing showing outstanding results. Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer met expectations, and structural improvements are noted despite pressure on ton prices [4][5]. Beverage Industry - The beverage sector continues to trend towards health and functionality, with Dongpeng Beverage showing high growth and new products like health water from Lululemon gaining attention. Nongfu Spring is also highlighted as a company to watch [6]. Dairy Industry - The dairy sector is experiencing supply-side adjustments, with Yili's Q1 report showing positive revenue growth. The improvement in demand is expected to resonate with the raw milk cycle, while Mengniu is noted for its defensive attributes [7]. Snack Industry - The snack sector is exhibiting a new consumption growth trend, with companies like Weilong and Yuyou revising their forecasts upward. Yuyou has entered new channels, and Ganyuan's overseas market prospects for Q2 are promising [8]. Textile and Apparel Industry - The textile and apparel industry is showing a trend of low performance followed by high recovery, particularly in sports apparel. Anta Sports is effectively managing multiple brands, while home textile companies like Luolai and Mercury Home Textile are seen as defensive investments [11][12]. Key Recommendations - **Liquor**: Recommended stocks include Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and regional leaders like Fenjiu and Wuliangye [10]. - **Beer**: Focus on Qingdao Beer and its strong dividend yield [5]. - **Dairy**: Yili and Mengniu are highlighted as key players [10]. - **Beverages**: Nongfu Spring and Lululemon are recommended [10]. - **Snacks**: Weilong, Yuyou, and Ganyuan are noted for their growth potential [10]. - **Textiles**: Anta Sports and home textile brands like Luolai are recommended for their defensive qualities [11][12]. Additional Insights - The pig farming sector is currently valued highly, with pig prices remaining elevated, but the breeding sector's outlook is cautious due to limited capacity recovery. Key companies to watch include Muyuan, Shennong Group, and Dekang [2][20]. - The poultry industry, particularly yellow feathered chickens, is facing challenges with prices down from last year, but companies like Lihua and Wens continue to expand [21]. - The retail sector is experiencing rapid growth, especially in the snack segment, with companies like Liangpinpuzi expected to open numerous new stores [33][34]. - The home appliance industry is focusing on tariff adjustments and new consumption trends, with companies like Vanward Electric and TCL Electronics showing strong performance [37][38].

重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 05 月 12 日（星期一）09:00-10:00； 证券代码：605296 证券简称：神农集团 公告编号：2025-055 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 会 议 召 开 地 点 ： 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 上 证 路 演 中 心 （ 网 址 ： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/）； 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 4 月 29 日发布公司 2024 年年度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2024 年度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 5 月 12 日（星期一）上午 09:00-10:00 举行 2024 年度业绩说明会，就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 一、说明会类型 本次投资者说明会以网络互动召开，公司将针对 2024 年度的经营成果及财 务指标的具体情况与投资者进行互动交流和沟通，在信息披露允许的 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shennong Group reported significant growth in both revenue and net profit for 2024, primarily driven by rising pig prices and reduced breeding costs [2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Shennong Group achieved an operating income of approximately 5.584 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.51% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was about 687 million yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 271.16% [3]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was approximately 697 million yuan, up 275.62% year-on-year [3]. - Total assets reached around 6.655 billion yuan, a 16.66% increase from the end of 2023 [3]. - The net assets attributable to the parent company were about 4.833 billion yuan, growing by 15.19% compared to the end of 2023 [3]. Business Segments - Revenue from pig products in 2024 was approximately 3.798 billion yuan, an increase of 81.53% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 23.42%, up 20.81% [5][8]. - The company sold a total of 2.2715 million pigs in 2024, marking a 49.40% increase year-on-year [5]. - The feed business generated significant revenue, with a total of 600,500 tons sold, of which 68,900 tons were for export [10]. Cost Management - The breeding cost in January 2024 was below 14 yuan per kilogram, with a total cost of approximately 14.6 yuan per kilogram [5]. - By February 2025, the company aims to reduce the total cost to 12 yuan per kilogram, down from 13.2 yuan per kilogram in December 2024 [6][5]. - Specific cost reductions included a decrease of about 0.4 yuan per kilogram in feed costs and 0.2 yuan per kilogram in livestock costs [5]. Strategic Focus - Shennong Group is committed to a full industry chain development strategy in pig farming, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement through various measures [5][2]. - The company plans to enhance feed formulation research to improve nutritional content and economic benefits, supporting both its breeding segment and end customers [11].

Summary of Shennong Group's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shennong Group - **Industry**: Livestock and Feed Production Key Financial Performance - **2024 Financials**: Revenue increased from over 3 billion to over 5 billion, with net profit reaching 6.87 billion. The debt-to-asset ratio remained healthy at approximately 27% [3] - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Net profit of 2.28 billion, with the breeding business contributing 2.13 billion and other segments generating a combined profit of 1.5 billion. The debt-to-asset ratio slightly increased to 28% [2][3] Profit Contribution by Segment - **Breeding Business**: Contributed 6.9 billion in 2024 and 2.13 billion in Q1 2025 [2][3] - **Feed Business**: Achieved a profit of 500 million in 2024 and maintained profitability in Q1 2025 [3][13] - **Food Business**: Generated a profit of 300 million in 2024, with improvements noted in Q1 2025 [3][13] - **Other Segments**: Experienced a loss of 1 billion in 2024, with losses continuing in segments like planting and trading [3][13] Cost Control Measures - **Cost Reduction**: Q1 2025 average cost was 12.4 yuan/kg, down from 13 yuan/kg at the end of 2024, with a target to reduce it below 12 yuan/kg by year-end [2][5] - **Breeding Costs**: Average cost for weaned piglets was approximately 270 yuan, with selling prices over 500 yuan, yielding significant profits [2][6] - **Operational Efficiency**: Implemented measures such as genetic improvement of breeding pigs, enhancing herd health, and optimizing raw material procurement [2][5] Future Expansion Plans - **Breeding Stock Goals**: Plans to increase breeding sows to 160,000 by year-end, with land reserved for 5 million and 10 million head capacity [2][7][8] - **Production Targets**: Aim to achieve over 5 million head by 2027 and 10 million by 2030 [8] Market Dynamics - **Pig Prices**: Expected to remain stable in 2025, with opportunities for profitability despite potential fluctuations [24] - **Feed Material Prices**: Anticipated to show limited volatility, with the company having secured two months' worth of supply [24] Operational Strategy - **Light Asset Model**: The company will not significantly increase self-owned capacity, maintaining a self-breeding ratio of about 10% for future targets [4][16] - **Cost Control Leadership**: Positioned as a leading player in cost control within the industry, with a low debt ratio [4][26] Investment Considerations - **Valuation**: Despite being in a down cycle, the company is viewed as a quality investment opportunity due to its low valuation and strong performance metrics [26] - **Employee Incentives**: Plans to implement stock buybacks for employee stock ownership and incentives to enhance management and employee motivation [25] Additional Insights - **Regional Operations**: Breeding operations are concentrated in Yunnan and Guangxi, with plans to expand capacity in these regions [9] - **Slaughtering Business**: The slaughtering segment has returned to normal profitability levels, with expectations for continued improvement in the food processing sector [20][21] This summary encapsulates the key points from Shennong Group's conference call, highlighting financial performance, operational strategies, market dynamics, and future growth plans.