公告送出日期：2025年12月23日 1、公告基本信息 ■ 2、其他需要提示的事项 天弘基金管理有限公司 二〇二五年十二月二十三日 （1）本公司决定自2025年12月30日起，调整天弘招利短债债券型证券投资基金（以下简称"本基金"） 大额申购（含转换转入及定期定额投资）业务金额限制，调整为暂停本基金全部基金份额单笔金额10万 元以上（不含10万元）的申购（含转换转入及定期定额投资）业务申请，且单个基金账户单日累计申购 全部基金份额的金额不得超过10万元（不含10万元）。如单日累计申购全部基金份额金额超过10万元， 本公司有权拒绝。 （2）自2026年1月5日起，本基金取消个人投资者单个基金账户单日累计申购全部基金份额的金额不超 过10万元（不含10万元）的限制；公募资产管理产品投资者调整为暂停全部基金份额单笔金额2000万元 以上（不含2000万元）的申购（含转换转入及定期定额投资）业务申请，且公募资产管理产品投资者单 个基金账户单日累计申购的全部基金份额的金额不得超过2000万元（不含2000万元）。如公募资产管理 产品投资者单日累计申购全部基金份额的金额超过2000万元，本公司有权拒绝。 （3）其余投资者 ...

Summary of Semiconductor Equipment Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The semiconductor equipment industry is expected to experience a slowdown in order growth in 2025, followed by a significant acceleration in 2026, with order growth projected to reach 50% driven by the global AI wave and demand for advanced AI chip processes [1][3] - Domestic storage manufacturers, Changchun and Changxin, are actively expanding production with a target market share of 20%-30%, adding approximately 150,000 wafers of new capacity annually [1][5] Key Insights and Arguments - The valuation of the semiconductor equipment sector should shift focus from current profits to next year's order situation, utilizing the Price-to-Sales (PS) valuation method, which currently indicates a reasonable range for the sector [1][6] - Conservative predictions suggest that some stocks in the sector could see over threefold growth potential [1][6] - Short-term catalysts to watch include the IPO progress of Changchun and Changxin, as well as global storage price trends, which are expected to rise at least until the end of 2026 [1][7][8] Investment Recommendations - Investors should prioritize stocks with high certainty and strong connections to Changchun and Changxin, such as North Huachuang and Zhongwei Company, while also considering emerging companies with significant potential like Tuojing Technology and Weidao Nano [1][9] - The semiconductor equipment sector is projected to see significant growth due to the rapid increase in demand for AI chips, with a need for at least 5 million AI chips domestically, compared to the current production of 1 million [5] Market Dynamics - The domestic market for NAND and DRAM is seeing increasing localization rates, with NAND reaching over 80% and DRAM close to 50% [3][10] - The domestic production rate for dry etching equipment is expected to rise to 40%-50% by 2026-2027, while thin film deposition equipment is projected to increase to 30%-40% [10][11] Company-Specific Developments - North Huachuang is expected to achieve revenues of 10 billion yuan next year, with a market valuation potentially reaching 450 billion yuan [3][13] - Zhongwei Company has competitive advantages in core technologies and aims to achieve over 60% market coverage by 2030, with significant growth potential [14] - Tuojing Technology has established a leading position in the thin film deposition market and is expected to gain market share in advanced packaging and 3D integration [15][16] - Weidao Nano is focusing on atomic layer deposition products, which are anticipated to grow significantly, with a current market share of 3% expected to increase [17] Future Outlook - The semiconductor industry is viewed as having reasonable valuations, with profits in 2025 influenced by order levels, and a trend of accelerated order releases expected in 2026 [21] - Companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei Company are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to their certainty and potential for growth, alongside other emerging firms [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of China's chip technology is expected to lead to a "DeepSeek moment" around 2026 or 2027, potentially disrupting Nvidia and its supply chain [4] Group 1: Semiconductor ETFs Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETFs have shown significant daily gains, with the Semiconductor Equipment ETF rising by 4.93% and the Chip Equipment ETF by 4.92% [2] - Year-to-date performance for these ETFs indicates strong growth, with the Semiconductor Equipment ETF up 55% and the Chip Equipment ETF up 56% [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Projections - Chinese chip manufacturers are accelerating their IPOs to secure funding essential for achieving technological self-reliance and competing globally in AI [4] - The semiconductor equipment ETF tracks an index where over 90% of the components are from the equipment, materials, and integrated circuit design sectors [4] - Major holdings in the semiconductor equipment ETFs include leading companies such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, and SMIC, which collectively account for nearly 80% of the index [4] Group 3: Investment Insights - According to招商证券, the domestic storage manufacturers are expected to continue expanding production, benefiting companies with strong market positions and high shares in storage equipment [5] - The equipment sector is currently in an upcycle, driven by increased demand for advanced processes due to AI, with a positive outlook for orders and production from leading equipment companies [5] - The trend towards self-sufficiency in the semiconductor supply chain in China is seen as a core theme with long-term investment value, supported by government policies and strong domestic demand [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a surge in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) within the semiconductor sector, driven by policy incentives and the need for industry upgrades, particularly among leading companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][2][3] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board has seen the accumulation of 125 companies in the integrated circuit field, covering essential areas such as design, manufacturing, and testing, as well as supporting sectors like equipment and materials [1] - Notable transactions among leading firms like SMIC and Hua Hong are progressing steadily, indicating a shift in the Chinese semiconductor industry from quantity accumulation to qualitative leaps, reflecting the strategic goal of becoming globally competitive [1] Group 2 - Recent terminations of some semiconductor M&A transactions have raised market concerns, but this is viewed as a natural outcome of a more rational market approach rather than a cooling of industry consolidation [2] - Since the release of the "Eight Articles" policy, over 150 M&A transactions have been disclosed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with more than 70% successfully completed, while a number of others are actively progressing [2] - The innovative mechanisms introduced by the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, such as differentiated valuations and multi-payment tools, have facilitated complex industry integrations, removing institutional barriers for companies [2] Group 3 - The current phase of industry consolidation is characterized by optimizing resource allocation in the new productivity sector, rather than mere scale accumulation, and is crucial for nurturing leading "chain master" enterprises [3]

消息面上，彭博社周一发文称，中国芯片技术发展迅速，有望在2026年或2027年迎来"DeepSeek时刻"，对英伟达及其供应链产生颠覆性影响。 12月22日，三大指数集体高开，芯片产业链多股拉升，存储和上游半导体设备板块表现活跃。半导体设备ETF（561980）高开拉涨3.60%，成交额迅速突破 1.5亿；成分股珂玛科技封涨停板，京仪装备涨超10%，上海新阳、长川科技、联动科技、中科飞测、立昂微等多股涨超8%。 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 年内最大上涨(%) | 年内涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 931865. CSI | 中证半导 | 80. 39 | 54. 82 | | 931743. CSI | 半导体材料设备 | 68. 13 | 47. 70 | | 980017. SZ | 国证芯片 | 71. 64 | 35. 67 | | 990001. CSI | 中华半导体芯片 | 73.01 | 37. 58 | | H30184. CSI | 半导体 | 73.78 | 39. 02 | | H30007.CSI | 芯片产业 | 72. 29 | 3 ...

证券研究报告 摩尔、沐曦接踵而至，国产算力 群星闪耀 电子行业 强于大市（维持） 平安证券研究所 TMT团队 核心摘要 摩尔、沐曦接踵而至，国产算力群星闪耀。2025年12月以来，国产算力大厂摩尔线程-U，C沐曦-U接连登陆A股科创板，为 AI产业发展及投资注入新的活力。在当前全球智能化时代的新一轮产业竞争过程中，AI算力已然成为兵家必争之地，虽然 英伟达为代表的美国算力厂商正处于执全球之牛耳的地位，然而国产算力厂商经过最近数年的磨砺，同样具备与之争锋的 潜力。除寒武纪、海光信息、昇腾之外，沐曦、摩尔线程、壁仞、天数、燧原、昆仑芯等也在快速进步中，ASIC、通用 GPU齐发力，共同推动AI算力芯片的国产进程。 根据沐曦股份招股说明书（12月10日），截止其报告期末，沐熙GPU累计销量已超过25000 颗，部署于10余个智算集群， 在国内AI算力芯片市场拥有一定的市场份额。根据摩尔线程招股说明书（11月27日），基于其自主研发的MUSA架构，公司 率先实现了单芯片架构同时支持AI计算加速、图形渲染、物理仿真和科学计算、超高清视频编解码的技术突破，有力推动 了我国GPU产业的自主可控进程。随着摩尔、沐曦为代表的算 ...

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant rally, with major stocks in the chip supply chain seeing substantial gains, particularly in the storage and upstream equipment sectors [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) rose nearly 3.8% at one point, closing with a gain of 3.19% and a trading volume of 200 million yuan [1] - Key stocks such as Kema Technology hit the daily limit, while Shanghai Xinyang surged over 15%, and several other stocks increased by more than 7% [1] Group 2 - Bloomberg reported that China's chip technology is advancing rapidly, potentially leading to a "DeepSeek moment" by 2026 or 2027, which could disrupt Nvidia and its supply chain [1] - Domestic chip manufacturers are accelerating their IPOs to secure funding essential for achieving technological self-reliance and competing globally in AI [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, with over 90% of its components coming from the equipment, materials, and integrated circuit design sectors [2] Group 3 - AI demand is driving global storage and advanced process capacity expansion, with expectations for accelerated domestic expansion in 2026-2027 [2] - Domestic equipment manufacturers are seeing a positive trend in orders, and companies with strong market positions in storage equipment are likely to benefit [2] - The storage sector is experiencing price increases, and major companies expect positive performance trends in Q4, indicating structural opportunities despite limited output next year [2]

Summary of AMEC (688012.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: AMEC (Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc.) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing Key Points Acquisition Announcement - AMEC plans to acquire Hangzhou Sizonetech, a local 12-inch CMP (Chemical Mechanical Polishing) supplier, through a private placement of share issuance on December 18 [1][2] - This acquisition aims to expand AMEC's product offerings from etching, deposition, and ion implantation tools to include CMP equipment, enhancing its platform strategy for comprehensive client solutions [1][2] Strategic Focus - The acquisition is seen as strategically positive, aligning with the trend of local semiconductor equipment suppliers focusing on core product development and expanding into other tools through in-house development or acquisitions [3] - Other suppliers in the sector, such as Hwatsing and ACMR, are also diversifying their product lines, indicating a broader industry trend towards enhancing capabilities amid rising semiconductor capital expenditure in China [3] Earnings Revision - AMEC has revised its earnings estimates upward by 4% for 2027 and 2% for 2028, reflecting increased revenues from etching and deposition tools due to a product mix upgrade driven by rising client demand [4] - The operating expense ratio for 2026 is expected to increase by 0.2 percentage points due to higher R&D spending, but this is offset by a 0.5 percentage point improvement from higher efficiencies [4] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2026E are raised to Rmb17.349 billion, with net income estimates for 2027E increased to Rmb5.565 billion [8] - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 43.9% for 2027E, with operating margins improving to 26.5% [8][11] Valuation and Price Target - The 12-month target price for AMEC is revised to Rmb424, based on a discounted P/E methodology with a target multiple of 40.5x for 2029E [12][14] - This target price reflects a potential upside of 55.5% from the current price of Rmb272.72 [14] Risks - Key downside risks include potential trade restrictions that could affect demand for AMEC's products, particularly if they expand to mature node fabs [13] - The company's ability to supply advanced node products could also be hindered, impacting its market position [13] - Weaker-than-expected capital expenditures from major foundries in China pose additional risks [13] Additional Insights - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing a shift towards advanced nodes, with AMEC's strategic moves positioning it well to capitalize on this trend [1][3] - The focus on comprehensive solutions through acquisitions and product diversification is a critical strategy for maintaining competitiveness in a rapidly evolving market [3][4]

Macro Strategy - The report highlights that export control measures on key metals have become a crucial advantage for China in the context of major power competition, particularly against the US and EU [8][9] - China's leading position in key metals is attributed to its resource advantages and a complete industrial system, which is difficult for developed economies to replicate in the short term [8] Fixed Income - The bond market is expected to face challenges in 2026, with less likelihood of a one-sided decline in interest rates as seen from 2022 to 2024, suggesting a need for a more flexible trading strategy [10] - The report notes that the 10-year government bond yield increased slightly to 1.8425% during the week, reflecting market reactions to policy announcements [10] Industry Analysis Minshi Group (敏实集团) - Minshi Group is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural parts, benefiting from the acceleration of electric vehicle adoption in Europe, particularly in the battery box business [22][24] - The company is expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling for servers, which are expected to open new growth opportunities [22][24] - Profit forecasts for Minshi Group indicate net profits of 2.753 billion, 3.257 billion, and 3.878 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.34, 2.76, and 3.29 yuan, and P/E ratios of 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 respectively [22] Zhongwei Company (中微公司) - Zhongwei Company plans to acquire Hangzhou Zhonggui to enhance its capabilities in CMP equipment, which is crucial for semiconductor manufacturing [7] - The acquisition aims to strengthen Zhongwei's competitiveness in complete process solutions, complementing its existing dry process equipment [7] - Profit forecasts for Zhongwei Company remain at 2.44 billion, 3.41 billion, and 4.46 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with dynamic P/E ratios of 70, 50, and 38 respectively [7]

近日，半导体设备龙头中微公司披露公告，公司正在筹划发行股份收购杭州众硅电子科技有限公司控股 权并募集配套资金。这是科创板头部企业进行产业整合的缩影。 在设计、IP与EDA等领域，企业并购需求迫切，高度关注标的"含科量"与"稀缺性"。上述领域市场被海 外全品类龙头垄断，国内专精型小企业居多。以模拟芯片行业为例，国内有超过400家企业，但本土企 业与国外大厂在规模、体量和核心能力上存在明显差距，外延并购无疑已成为企业补全产品矩阵的关键 路径。为达成预期整合效果，相关企业开展并购时也更注重研发资源、客户渠道、供应链的实质性协 同。如晶丰明源拟收购国内无线充电领域的头部企业易冲科技，夯实公司在消费领域的市场地位和技术 能力；概伦电子拟收购锐成芯微、纳能微两家IP公司，构建"EDA工具+半导体IP"双引擎。 理性看待交易终止 繁荣背后彰显产业定力 近期，半导体领域部分并购交易终止引发市场关注，但这并非产业整合遇冷，而是市场化并购回归理性 的必然表现。 结合实际数据看，"科八条"发布以来，科创板公司累计新披露并购交易150余单，超七成已顺利完成， 另有20余单正在积极推进。业内人士指出，随着披露案例基数扩大，终止案例自然 ...