Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [9] Core Insights - The communication equipment industry has shown a recovery in revenue growth, with Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 revenues increasing by 2.9% and 12.9% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a successful transition to new growth drivers, particularly AI computing power [2][3] - The net profit for the communication equipment sector saw a decline of 141% in Q4 2024, followed by a 24% increase in Q1 2025, reflecting a positive trend in profitability as the industry adapts to new growth dynamics [2][3] - Key segments such as optical devices and IoT are experiencing significant growth, with optical devices showing revenue growth of 52.6% and 67.5% in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively, driven by global AI demand [2][3][4] Financial Analysis Communication Equipment - The overall revenue for the communication equipment sector in Q4 2024 was 61.94 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 9.5%, while Q1 2025 saw a recovery with a 9.1% increase [41] - The net profit for the main equipment sector dropped by 66% in Q4 2024 but showed a smaller decline of 11.9% in Q1 2025, indicating ongoing challenges but potential for recovery [41][39] Optical Devices - The optical device segment has shown remarkable growth, with revenues increasing by 52.6% and 67.5% in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively, and net profits growing by 124.4% and 114.3% [2][3] IoT Sector - The IoT sector continues to validate its recovery, with good revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, benefiting from the ongoing trend of interconnected devices [2][3] IDC & CDN - The traditional IDC sector faces challenges, but the AIDC market is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for computing power driven by AI applications [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on "AI + Overseas Expansion + Satellite" as core investment opportunities, particularly in areas like optical modules, liquid cooling, and domestic computing power lines [5][6] - Specific stocks recommended include Zhongji Xuchuang, Tianfu Communication, and China Mobile, among others, with a focus on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the AI and digital economy trends [6][13]

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant fluctuations in its business performance, particularly in Q4 2024, due to a decrease in revenue influenced by the domestic operator investment environment and a decline in gross margins from changes in revenue structure and lower margins in servers and storage [1] Group 1: Q4 2024 Performance - In Q4 2024, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was negative, primarily due to reduced revenue from domestic operators and declining gross margins [1] Group 2: 2025 Outlook - The company anticipates revenue growth in 2025, mainly driven by server and computing products, with a significant increase in government and enterprise business revenue in Q1 2025 [2] - The company aims to capitalize on the growing demand for computing infrastructure, particularly from leading internet companies and domestic operators, as the market shifts from training to inference in computing needs [2] - The company expects stable performance in international operator network revenue, supported by ongoing wireless modernization and fiber construction opportunities in regions like South Asia and Africa [3] Group 3: AI and Consumer Market Developments - The company plans to upgrade its AI home terminal offerings, projecting over 100 million units shipped globally in 2024, with a focus on AI-enhanced home networks, computing, smart screens, and companion robots [4] - The company is increasing efforts to expand its international consumer smartphone market, with a projected 60% year-on-year growth in international 2C smartphone shipments in 2024 [4]

Group 1 - The communication index has shown a strong increase of 1.23%, with notable stocks such as Qiyu Technology reaching the daily limit increase and Cambridge Technology rising by 7.18% [1] - The communication ETF has seen a weekly increase of 5.11%, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - The trading volume of the communication ETF was 4.34%, with a transaction value of 4.74 million yuan [3] Group 2 - The communication ETF has experienced a significant growth in scale, increasing by 2.26 million yuan over the past two weeks, leading among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's share count has grown by 22 million shares in the last three months, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - Zhongji Xuchuang, a leading company in optical communication, reported a revenue of 23.862 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 122.64%, and a net profit of 5.171 billion yuan, up 137.93% [3] Group 3 - The first quarter of 2025 saw Zhongji Xuchuang achieve a revenue of 6.674 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.82%, and a net profit of 1.583 billion yuan, up 56.83% [3] - Predictions indicate that global AI spending will reach 500 billion dollars in 2025, suggesting sustained high growth in revenue and profit for related companies [3] - Companies in the server and connector sectors are expected to perform well due to increased AI demand and capital expenditure growth from domestic and international internet firms [3] Group 4 - The top ten weighted stocks in the communication index account for 58.92% of the total, including major players like China Telecom, ZTE, and China Mobile [4] - Investors can access optical communication investment opportunities through the communication ETF linked fund [4]

Group 1: Market Performance - The Zhongzheng Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) rose by 1.05% as of May 12, 2025, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Guangdong Hongda (002683) up 6.04%, China Shipbuilding Defense (600685) up 4.54%, and Huada Gene (300676) up 3.93% [1] - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) increased by 0.85%, with a latest price of 1.19 yuan, and has seen a cumulative rise of 2.34% over the past week as of May 9, 2025 [1] Group 2: Fund Performance - The State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF (159719) rose by 0.20% as of May 12, 2025, with a latest price of 1.49 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 1.02% over the past week as of May 9, 2025 [2] - The State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF has achieved a net value increase of 44.07% over the past three years, ranking 77 out of 1747 index stock funds, placing it in the top 4.41% [2][3] - The fund has a year-to-date relative drawdown of 0.15%, the smallest among comparable funds [3] Group 3: Fee Structure - The management fee for the Greater Bay Area ETF is 0.15% and the custody fee is 0.05% [1] - The management fee for the State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF is 0.25% and the custody fee is 0.05%, which is the lowest among comparable funds [3] Group 4: Strategic Insights - The State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the need for state-owned enterprises to enhance their capabilities in key technological areas and integrate artificial intelligence into critical business processes [3] - Analysts believe that the ongoing benefits from state-owned enterprises present long-term investment value, with potential opportunities in debt reduction and mergers and acquisitions, as well as investments in undervalued sectors with high dividends [3] Group 5: Index Composition - The State-Owned Enterprise Win-Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China State-Owned Enterprises Open Win-Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong [4] - The top ten constituent stocks of the Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index include BYD (002594), China Ping An (601318), and China Merchants Bank (600036), collectively accounting for 53.49% of the index [4][8]

Group 1: 5G-A Network Overview - The transition from "5G" to "5G-A" indicates a significant upgrade in network capabilities, with 5G-A offering peak download speeds of up to 10Gbps compared to 1Gbps for standard 5G [1] - To access 5G-A speeds, users must have compatible devices, activate a 5G-A data plan, and be within the coverage area of 5G-A base stations [1] - 5G-A is crucial for industries requiring high-speed connectivity, such as drones and smart driving, enhancing the overall user experience in various applications [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - 5G-A enhances multiple dimensions including capacity, speed, latency, positioning accuracy, and connection stability, supporting advanced applications like XR and 3D without glasses [2] - In the smart driving sector, 5G-A's low latency and high precision enable real-time traffic signal reception and obstacle warnings, improving safety [3] - The integration of 5G-A with satellite navigation systems allows for centimeter-level vehicle positioning, facilitating advanced driving applications [3] Group 3: Industry Growth and Opportunities - The low-altitude economy is experiencing rapid growth, coinciding with the commercial rollout of 5G-A, which enhances operational efficiency in the drone industry [3] - Major telecommunications companies are actively expanding their 5G-A networks, with China Mobile planning to cover over 300 cities by the end of 2024 [5] - China Telecom and China Unicom are also increasing their 5G-A deployments, with significant investments and plans for extensive coverage [6] Group 4: Policy and Future Projections - Local governments are supporting 5G-A applications, with initiatives launched in provinces like Shandong and Chongqing to enhance network infrastructure [6] - By 2025, the information and communication industry aims to achieve comprehensive commercial deployment of 5G-A, with projections indicating that China will account for over 50% of global 5G-A users [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The report suggests that the long-standing trade friction between China and the U.S. may ease, leading to potential benefits for the Chinese industry [10][11] - It highlights that Chinese manufacturers are becoming indispensable in the international supply chain, particularly in the IoT module market and AI hardware supply [11] - The report anticipates adjustments in AI chip export restrictions, which could alter the competitive landscape in the AI sector [12][13] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - **U.S.-China Trade Relations**: The report indicates that U.S.-China negotiations may begin, with expectations of tariff reductions, particularly on the current 145% tariffs imposed by the U.S. [10] - **Chinese Industry Benefits**: It notes that Chinese firms dominate the global IoT module market, holding over 50% market share among the top three manufacturers [11] - **AI Chip Export Regulations**: The report discusses potential relaxations in AI chip export restrictions by the U.S., which could significantly impact American companies, especially in the context of the growing Chinese AI market projected to reach $50 billion [12][13] Industry News - **Low-altitude Economy in Wuhan**: Wuhan plans to establish 1,000 low-altitude takeoff and landing sites, aiming for a 20% increase in the low-altitude economy [14] - **Alibaba's ZeroSearch**: Alibaba has open-sourced the ZeroSearch model, significantly reducing costs by over 87% while enhancing search capabilities [15] - **Starlink in India**: Starlink has received approval to provide satellite communication services in India, which may accelerate satellite internet development globally [16] - **Shenzhen's 5G Network**: Shenzhen is constructing a comprehensive "5G + millimeter wave + satellite" network, aiming for full coverage and improved infrastructure [17] Weekly Review and Focus - **Market Performance**: The telecommunications sector saw a slight increase of 0.02%, underperforming compared to major indices, with notable gains in optical modules and low-altitude economy sectors [18][21] - **Investment Recommendations**: The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the overseas supply chain, such as Yiyuan Communication and Industrial Fulian, as well as long-term attention on major telecom operators and infrastructure providers [22]

Core Viewpoint - The communication industry is experiencing significant growth in Q1 2025, particularly in sectors such as optical modules, Beidou navigation, and AI supply chains, while some traditional sectors are facing declines in profitability [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - In 2024, the communication industry (A-shares) with 170 companies achieved a net profit of 208.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. Excluding the three major operators, the net profit was 27.88 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.2% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the same 170 companies reported a net profit of 52.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 88.3%. Excluding the three major operators, the net profit was 10.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7% [2]. Sub-industry Performance in 2024 - The sub-industry net profit growth rates for 2024, ranked from highest to lowest, are as follows: - Optical Modules: 12.30 billion yuan, +113% - IoT: 1.18 billion yuan, +69% - AI Supply Chain: 43.59 billion yuan, +37% - Operators: 180.41 billion yuan, +6% - Server Supply Chain: 14.69 billion yuan, +3% - Fiber Optics and Cables: 6.28 billion yuan, -4% - Main Equipment: 8.85 billion yuan, -7% - Connectors and Cables: 7.49 billion yuan, -7% - IDC: 5.01 billion yuan, -9% - Switches: 1.61 billion yuan, -30% - Enterprise Communication: 3.25 billion yuan, breakeven - Beidou Navigation: -0.05 billion yuan, N/A - Network Visualization: -0.33 billion yuan, N/A - Antenna RF: -0.005 billion yuan, N/A - Satellite Communication: -0.49 billion yuan, N/A - Private Networks: -3.33 billion yuan, N/A [3]. Sub-industry Performance in Q1 2025 - The sub-industry net profit growth rates for Q1 2025, ranked from highest to lowest, are as follows: - Beidou Navigation: 0.13 billion yuan, +193% - Optical Modules: 4.50 billion yuan, +110% - AI Supply Chain: 12.82 billion yuan, +65% - IoT: 0.34 billion yuan, +18% - Fiber Optics and Cables: 1.34 billion yuan, +11% - Server Supply Chain: 3.94 billion yuan, +4% - Operators: 42.10 billion yuan, +4% - Enterprise Communication: 0.68 billion yuan, +0% - Connectors and Cables: 1.90 billion yuan, -6% - Main Equipment: 2.35 billion yuan, -10% - Switches: 0.38 billion yuan, -16% - IDC: 1.11 billion yuan, -20% - Satellite Communication: 0.07 billion yuan, -31% - Private Networks: -0.03 billion yuan, -112% - Network Visualization: -0.17 billion yuan, N/A - Antenna RF: -0.036 billion yuan, N/A [4]. Top Companies by Profit in Q1 2025 - The top 10 companies by net profit in Q1 2025 are: - China Mobile: 30.63 billion yuan, +3% - China Telecom: 8.86 billion yuan, +3% - China Unicom: 2.61 billion yuan, +7% - ZTE: 2.45 billion yuan, -11% - Zhongji Xuchuang: 1.58 billion yuan, +57% - Runze Technology: 0.43 billion yuan, -9% - Unisplendour: 0.35 billion yuan, -16% - NewEase: 1.57 billion yuan, +385% - Zhongtian Technology: 0.63 billion yuan, -1% - Yilian Network: 0.56 billion yuan, -1% [5][8]. Top Companies by Year-on-Year Growth in Q1 2025 - The top 10 companies by year-on-year growth in net profit for Q1 2025 are: - Bochuang Technology: 0.09 billion yuan, +322652% - Ruijie Networks: 0.11 billion yuan, +4544% - Guangha Communication: 0.0009 billion yuan, +1034% - Shijia Photon: 0.093 billion yuan, +1004% - Yongding Co.: 0.29 billion yuan, +961% - NewEase: 1.57 billion yuan, +385% - Pingzhi Information: 0.011 billion yuan, +287% - Yiyuan Communication: 0.21 billion yuan, +287% - Gongjin Co.: 0.022 billion yuan, +268% - Xingwang Ruijie: 0.042 billion yuan, +265% [9].

Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The communication industry achieved high growth in Q1 2025, with notable performance in optical modules, Beidou navigation, and AI supply chains. In 2024, 170 companies in the A-share communication sector reported a total net profit attributable to shareholders of 208.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. Excluding the three major operators, the net profit was 27.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.2%. In Q1 2025, the same 170 companies reported a net profit of 52.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 88.3%. Excluding the three major operators, the net profit was 10.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7% [3][4][5]. Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - The communication industry is divided into 16 sub-industries, with the highest net profit growth rates in 2024 being: optical modules (12.30 billion yuan, +113%), IoT (1.18 billion yuan, +69%), AI supply chain (43.59 billion yuan, +37%), and operators (180.41 billion yuan, +6%). Other sectors like optical fiber and cable, main equipment, and IDC showed declines [4]. Q1 2025 Sub-Industry Performance - In Q1 2025, the sub-industry net profit growth rates were led by Beidou navigation (128 million yuan, +193%), optical modules (4.50 billion yuan, +110%), and AI supply chain (12.82 billion yuan, +65%). The operators reported a net profit of 42.10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4% [5][6]. Top Companies by Net Profit - The top companies by net profit in Q1 2025 included China Mobile (30.63 billion yuan, +3%), China Telecom (8.86 billion yuan, +3%), and China Unicom (2.61 billion yuan, +7%). Notably, New Yi Sheng reported a significant increase of 385% in net profit [6][7][8]. Investment Recommendations - The communication sector still presents structural opportunities, particularly in operators like China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom. Certain growth segments are expected to perform well, suggesting a focus on these areas for investment [8][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company reversed the trend of declining revenue, with government and enterprise business doubling year-on-year, leading to a quarter-on-quarter revenue increase. The company is focusing on growth driven by its second curve business, particularly in computing power and terminal sectors [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.45 billion yuan, down 11% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.96 billion yuan, a decrease of 26%. The operating cash flow net amount was 1.85 billion yuan, down 38% year-on-year [6][12]. Business Growth - The company’s government and enterprise business saw a year-on-year doubling, contributing to the revenue growth. The second curve business revenue accounted for over 35% of total revenue, with government business making up over 20%. The company aims to deepen its investment in AI, leveraging opportunities in communication and computing infrastructure [12][12]. Margin and Cost Control - The overall gross margin for Q1 2025 was 34.27%, a decrease of 7.75 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the rapid growth of low-margin government business. The net profit margin was 7.5%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year. The company maintained good cost control, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 7.0%, 2.9%, 18.0%, and -1.0% respectively [12][12]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue focusing on its second curve business, particularly in computing power and terminal sectors. Forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 8.73 billion yuan, 9.13 billion yuan, and 9.72 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 4%, 5%, and 7% [12][12].

Group 1 - The Terahertz concept sector increased by 2.90%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 22 stocks rising, including Sifang Electronics which hit the daily limit, and others like Leike Defense and Yaguang Technology showing significant gains of 7.69% and 7.46% respectively [1] - The top gainers in the Terahertz concept sector included Sifang Electronics, ZTE Corporation, and Yaguang Technology, with net inflows of 9953.89 million, 7174.28 million, and 4470.21 million respectively [2][3] - The overall market saw a net inflow of 2.02 billion into the Terahertz concept sector, with 13 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 3000 million in net inflows [1] Group 2 - The leading stocks by net inflow ratio included Sifang Electronics at 17.39%, Tongfang Co. at 10.47%, and Yaguang Technology at 9.35% [2] - The trading volume and turnover rates for the top stocks in the Terahertz concept sector were notable, with Sifang Electronics showing a turnover rate of 7.20% and ZTE Corporation at 1.79% [2][3] - The stocks with the largest declines included Juguang Technology and Shuo Beid, with declines of 0.80% and 0.07% respectively [1]