Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a significant rally on July 21, with both the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index reaching new highs for the year, driven primarily by infrastructure-related stocks and a surge in trading volume [1][2][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.87% [1]. - Over 4,000 stocks in the market saw gains, with more than a hundred stocks hitting the daily limit up [2]. Sector Highlights - Infrastructure stocks, particularly in cement and building materials, saw a collective surge, with companies like Conch Cement hitting the daily limit up [3][8]. - High-voltage power transmission and grid concept stocks also performed strongly, with companies such as Guodian Nanzi reaching the daily limit up [4][8]. - The robotics sector maintained its strength, exemplified by Changsheng Bearing hitting the daily limit up [5]. Trading Volume and Key Stocks - The total trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.7 trillion yuan, an increase of 128.9 billion yuan from the previous trading day [5]. - Notable stocks by trading volume included Northern Rare Earth at 14.664 billion yuan, followed by Dongfang Fortune, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Ningde Times with trading volumes of 11.143 billion yuan, 10.910 billion yuan, and 9.047 billion yuan respectively [5]. Specific Events - The launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, has sparked a rally in related stocks [9]. - An unusual trading incident occurred with Dongfang Electric, where a transaction at an inflated price led to a temporary spike of over 700% in its stock price before stabilizing [11][12]. Foreign Investment Sentiment - Foreign institutional investors are increasingly optimistic about Chinese core assets, with a focus on sectors such as domestic consumption and technology [14][15]. - Recent engagements with foreign sovereign funds and large asset management firms indicate a positive outlook on A-shares, with a shift in interest towards Hong Kong markets as a financial hub [14].

Group 1 - XJ Electric experienced a trading limit increase today, with a transaction volume of 3.052 billion yuan [1] - The data from the post-trading dragon and tiger list indicates that the Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 178 million yuan and sold 50.6479 million yuan [1] - A single institutional seat had a net purchase of 29.1846 million yuan, while five institutional seats collectively sold 492 million yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electrical equipment industry [10]. Core Insights - Recent advancements in nuclear fusion technology have garnered significant attention from the capital markets, driven by breakthroughs such as China's "East Super Ring" achieving high-confinement plasma operation and substantial increases in industry capital expenditures [4][7]. - Major countries have introduced supportive policies, leading to a surge in social capital inflow, indicating that the nuclear fusion sector is approaching a pivotal point [4][30]. - The value proportion of power supply equipment is high, with significant technical barriers, particularly in magnet power supply parameters and converters being core devices [4][8]. Summary by Sections Nuclear Fusion Progress and Commercialization - The nuclear fusion sector is witnessing positive developments, with commercial viability becoming increasingly attainable. Key milestones include the successful operation of high-confinement plasma and increased capital expenditures in the industry [7][26]. - The plasma physics research institutes have reported a significant year-on-year increase in contract amounts since 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory [29]. Importance of Power Supply in Fusion - Achieving a certain threshold in fusion triple product is crucial for effective power output, highlighting the importance of providing sufficient energy input [8]. - The power supply for tokamak devices is categorized into pulsed and steady-state loads, with pulsed loads having higher value proportions and technical requirements [8]. Competitive Landscape and Early Mover Advantage - The nuclear fusion development is still exploratory, with no unified standards for power supply parameters, creating high technical barriers [9]. - Companies that have been deeply involved in this field for years are likely to benefit from their early mover advantages as more capital flows into the nuclear fusion sector [9][30]. Investment Trends and Policy Support - The investment in nuclear fusion has seen a turning point since 2020, with the U.S. leading globally, followed closely by China. The cumulative investment in private fusion companies has surged from €1.5 billion to €9.9 billion [35]. - Various countries, including the U.S., Germany, the U.K., and China, have launched initiatives to support nuclear fusion technology development, reflecting a global commitment to advancing this field [30][31]. Focus on High-Value Equipment - The report emphasizes the need to focus on high-value equipment in the nuclear fusion sector, particularly in the context of the ITER project, where core equipment constitutes a significant portion of the investment cost structure [47][48].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the photovoltaic industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly enhance electricity supply and contribute to carbon neutrality goals. The project will utilize abundant hydropower resources and promote the development of solar and wind energy in the surrounding areas [3]. - The project has an installed capacity of nearly 70 million kilowatts and an annual power generation capacity of 300 billion kilowatt-hours, which can meet the annual electricity needs of 300 million people and replace 90 million tons of standard coal, reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 300 million tons [3]. - The project is anticipated to strengthen the synergy between computing and electricity, benefiting the AIDC computing power industry chain [3]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project involves the construction of five cascade power stations and is expected to take about 10 years to complete, with production anticipated to start after 2035 [3]. - The project will enhance the utilization of "West-to-East Power Transmission" and support the national strategy of "East Data West Calculation" [3]. Investment Insights - The total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan may be adjusted upwards, with the investment in power transmission and transformation estimated to reach between 189 billion to 315 billion yuan [3]. - The report suggests that the actual investment may exceed initial estimates due to construction difficulties and uncertainties related to interest rates [3]. Beneficiaries in the Industry - The hydropower equipment supply chain is expected to benefit, with key players including Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and Harbin Electric, among others [3]. - The report highlights the stable demand for high-voltage transmission equipment and identifies major suppliers such as State Grid NARI, China XD Electric, and others as potential beneficiaries [3]. - The GIL (Gas Insulated Transmission Line) segment is entering a long-term growth cycle, with companies like China XD Electric and Pinggao Electric expected to benefit from the Yarlung Zangbo project [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the hydropower equipment and high-voltage equipment supply chains, specifically mentioning companies like Dongfang Electric, Shanghai Electric, and State Grid NARI [3]. - It also suggests monitoring the AIDC industry chain, including companies like Megmeet and Jinpan Technology [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the energy sector, specifically for hydropower equipment and new energy [6]. Core Insights - The launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to create significant investment opportunities, particularly benefiting leading companies in hydropower and transmission equipment [1][2]. - The project is anticipated to generate over 720 billion yuan in new orders for hydropower equipment and around 500 billion yuan for transmission equipment, positively impacting companies like Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric [1][4]. - The construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo project is projected to last over 10 years, with new orders expected to peak around 2028-2029, providing a steady revenue stream for involved companies [3]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo project will have an installed capacity exceeding 60 million kilowatts and an annual generation capacity of approximately 300 billion kilowatt-hours, which is three times that of the Three Gorges project [1][2]. - The total investment for the Yarlung Tsangpo project is estimated at 1.2 trillion yuan, five times that of the Three Gorges project [1]. Equipment Demand - The project is expected to drive demand for hydropower equipment, with an estimated 720 billion yuan in new orders, benefiting companies like Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric [1][3]. - The focus on long-distance power transmission will lead to increased demand for ultra-high voltage direct current (UHVDC) transmission lines, with an estimated investment of 500 billion yuan in related equipment [4]. Timeline and Revenue Impact - The timeline for the Yarlung Tsangpo project indicates that equipment tenders will begin 2-3 years after the project starts, with order confirmations occurring in the following years [3]. - The expected annual revenue from the project could average 14.4 billion yuan from 2031 to 2035, which is double the combined revenue of Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric in 2024 [3]. Recommended Companies - The report highlights several companies as key beneficiaries of the Yarlung Tsangpo project, including: - Harbin Electric (1133 HK) with a target price of 10.50 yuan - Dongfang Electric (600875 CH) with a target price of 18.22 yuan - Guodian NARI (600406 CH) with a target price of 27.04 yuan - China XD Electric (601179 CH) with a target price of 8.16 yuan - Pinggao Electric (600312 CH) with a target price of 21.28 yuan - XJ Electric (000400 CH) with a target price of 26.41 yuan [8][24].

Core Insights - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index (932037) has seen a strong increase of 2.20%, with constituent stocks such as China Power Construction (601669) rising by 10.04% and Dongfang Electric (600875) by 9.98% [3] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced in Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, which is expected to boost the local economy and energy structure [3] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Central Enterprise Modern Energy ETF (561790) has increased by 2.55%, marking its third consecutive rise, with the latest price at 1.13 yuan [3] - Over the past two weeks, the ETF has accumulated a rise of 1.20%, ranking in the top third among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's trading volume showed a turnover rate of 8.27% with a transaction value of 3.9067 million yuan, and it ranked first in average daily trading volume over the past week at 746.33 million yuan [3][4] Group 2: Market Outlook - CITIC Securities anticipates that the ongoing construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project will benefit long-term suppliers of hydropower equipment and core components for power grid transmission [4] - The report highlights a shift in the central government's approach to managing "involution" competition, which is expected to facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity and improve profitability in the solar and lithium battery sectors [4] Group 3: Index Composition - The China Securities National New Central Enterprise Modern Energy Index is designed to reflect the overall performance of 50 listed companies involved in modern energy industries, including green energy and fossil energy [5] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 49.93% of the total, with notable companies including China Yangtze Power (600900) and China Nuclear Power (601985) [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5]. Core Insights - The approval of the first cross-province green electricity direct connection project in Inner Mongolia and Ningxia is expected to boost the demand for distribution equipment. This project, initiated by the State Power Investment Corporation, features a renewable energy installation capacity of 3 million kilowatts and aims to connect directly to aluminum production facilities in Ningxia [1][2]. - The project introduces an innovative short-distance cross-province "point-to-point" supply model, enhancing resource complementarity between the two regions and providing new ideas for inter-provincial electricity complementarity and expanding renewable energy consumption channels [2]. Company Summaries - **Sifang Co., Ltd. (601126.SH)**: Market capitalization of 14.3 billion RMB, with projected net profits of 720 million RMB in 2024, 850 million RMB in 2025, and 990 million RMB in 2026. The PE ratios are 19.9x for 2024, 16.8x for 2025, and 14.4x for 2026, with a PB ratio of 2.9 [4]. - **Teruid (300001.SZ)**: Market capitalization of 25.1 billion RMB, with projected net profits of 920 million RMB in 2024, 1.22 billion RMB in 2025, and 1.53 billion RMB in 2026. The PE ratios are 27.4x for 2024, 20.6x for 2025, and 16.4x for 2026, with a PB ratio of 3.3 [4]. - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)**: Market capitalization of 22.5 billion RMB, with projected net profits of 1.12 billion RMB in 2024, 1.46 billion RMB in 2025, and 1.88 billion RMB in 2026. The PE ratios are 20.1x for 2024, 15.4x for 2025, and 12.0x for 2026, with a PB ratio of 1.9 [4].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects in the domestic power equipment sector, with a notable slowdown in project approvals until late June when two UHV projects were approved in quick succession. [1] - The expectation is for a significant acceleration in project approvals in the second half of the year, presenting a potential investment opportunity in related power equipment stocks. [1] Key Insights and Arguments - The total market size for domestic power grid equipment companies is estimated at approximately 1.8 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of about 13%. [3] - The investment from the State Grid and Southern Grid is projected to be around 800 billion yuan, with UHV investments expected to range between 100 billion to 140 billion yuan annually. [3][4] - The UHV sector is highlighted as having high attention compared to other investment demands, with a simplified research framework focusing on three keywords: ideal, reality, and deviation. [4][5] - The UHV investment for 2023 is expected to exceed 500 billion yuan, with significant project approvals anticipated in the latter part of the year. [6][9] Future Projections - For 2025, the UHV investment is projected to surpass 1.5 trillion yuan, indicating a growth trajectory from the 1.2 trillion yuan level in 2023. [9][10] - The contribution of major companies like Pinggao, Xudong, and NARI to profits is expected to increase, with profit contributions from UHV projects projected to rise by about 10% from 2023 to 2027. [11] Risks and Considerations - Several risks were identified, including regional challenges due to the length and complexity of the projects, environmental assessments, limited manpower from the State Grid, and potential changes in financing schemes. [13][14][15] - The approval and construction timelines are critical, with expectations that projects approved by October could lead to significant bidding for equipment by the end of the year. [9][11] Additional Important Points - The conference emphasized the importance of monitoring the approval pace and the subsequent impact on equipment orders and profit contributions for companies involved in UHV projects. [2][12] - The overall sentiment is optimistic regarding the UHV sector, with recommendations for investment in companies that are currently undervalued. [15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the AIDC power equipment and grid industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The global AI computing load is expected to grow significantly, with new AI computing loads projected at 9.7/15.9/20.2/22.3/23.4/24.6 GW from 2025 to 2030. This translates to a demand for AIDC power equipment of 29/48/60/67/70/74 GW, with an average annual growth rate of 20% [5][13] - The market potential for dry-type transformers, medium and low voltage switchgear, UPS, HVDC, and solid-state transformers is estimated to reach 85/341/41/380/239 billion yuan by 2030 [5][12] - The domestic data center industry is expected to see increased capital expenditure from major cloud providers, with 2025 anticipated to be a pivotal year for AIDC construction [5][18] Summary by Sections AIDC Power Equipment - The AIDC power equipment sector has shown a diverse range of products, with major global players like Vertiv, Eaton, and Schneider Electric having established strong product lines and solutions [5] - Domestic companies are gaining competitive advantages in various segments, with leading firms gradually building their solution-providing capabilities [5] - The recent performance of the AIDC power equipment sector has been mixed, with notable declines in backup diesel power sources and lead-acid batteries [5][24] Grid Industry - The grid sector has seen significant investment growth, with national grid engineering investment reaching 632 billion yuan in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33.3% [31][32] - The bidding results for high-voltage equipment have shown a strong performance, with a total bid amount of 211.89 billion yuan in July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.1% [64] - The grid industry is expected to benefit from the maturation of new business models such as electricity trading and virtual power plants, with a focus on high-voltage orders and deliveries in the second half of 2025 [5][58]

Group 1: Photovoltaic Silicon Material Industry - The photovoltaic silicon material industry is expected to accelerate capacity consolidation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizing the need for high-quality development in the solar industry [1] - By 2027, the industry is projected to enter a stable development phase, with significant advantages in the silicon material segment due to differences in capacity costs and financial strength among companies [1] - Key companies to watch include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and TBEA [1] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery industry is witnessing continuous advancements, with equipment from Winbond Technology successfully delivered to major domestic clients [2] - Material production is ramping up, with significant capacity in oxide electrolytes and expectations for sulfide electrolytes to achieve ton-level shipments by 2025 [2] - Companies of interest in this sector include Xiamen Tungsten, Tianqi Lithium, and others involved in the solid-state battery supply chain [2] Group 3: Offshore Wind Power Development - The central government is promoting the orderly development of offshore wind power, with a focus on enhancing the marine economy and encouraging private investment [3] - Goldwind Technology has secured over 7.7GW of international orders for 2024, with significant revenue growth reported for its international subsidiary [3] - Key players in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, and Dajin Heavy Industry [3] Group 4: Data Center Investment - Global data center investments are accelerating, with Amazon planning to invest AUD 20 billion (approximately USD 13.1 billion) in Australia and SK Telecom collaborating with Amazon Web Services for a significant data center project in South Korea [4] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems is underway, indicating a growing demand for AI computing resources [4] - Companies to monitor in the AIDC power equipment sector include Jinpan Technology, Xinte Electric, and others [4] Group 5: Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, with Goldwind Technology rated "Outperform" and projected to have an EPS of 1.28 in 2025 [5] - Jinpan Technology and other companies also received "Outperform" ratings, indicating positive market sentiment [5] Group 6: Industry Performance Overview - The electric power equipment sector outperformed the market in June, with a 6.68% increase compared to a 2.5% rise in the CSI 300 index [13] - The sector's PE ratio at the end of June was 30.3, reflecting a slight recovery in valuations [13] - The report highlights that the electric power equipment industry has shown strong performance across various sub-sectors, including lithium battery materials and wind power [23]