人民财讯9月6日电，徐工机械（000425）近日在业绩说明会上表示，受益于行业全球化布局、技术创新 及新兴市场拓展，预计下半年行业出口持续保持10%以上增长。下半年政策红利、更新周期与新能源智 能化三重叠加，预计内销持续回暖。公司表示，公司预计海外市场继续保持良好态势，出口收入依然能 保持较好的增长。首先，对国产品牌来说海外市场具有成长性特征，海外市场需求持续释放；其次，随 着国产产品品质的不断提升，国内企业在海外的渠道布局的日趋完善，服务后市场建设的提速，国产品 牌综合竞争力在提升，海外市场渗透率在提高；再次，从主要区域市场占比情况看，大部分产品仍有很 大的提升空间；最后，国内重点企业纷纷调整全球产能规划，落地本地化战略，加速全球化布局。总体 来说，今年国产品牌行业海外市场销量有望保持增长趋势。 ...

Core Viewpoint - XCMG Group reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating a positive outlook for the engineering machinery industry driven by government policies and market demand [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, XCMG achieved operating revenue of 54.8 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.417 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.39% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.6% [1] - The non-recurring net profit reached 4.467 billion yuan, showing a substantial increase of 35.57% [1] - Operating cash flow was 3.73 billion yuan, up 108% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points [1] Industry and Market Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is entering a deep transformation phase, supported by recent government initiatives such as urban renewal and major infrastructure projects [1] - XCMG is well-positioned to leverage its advancements in new energy and intelligent technology to capture market opportunities [1] - The industry is expected to see continued export growth of over 10% in the second half of the year, driven by global market expansion and technological innovation [1] Domestic and International Demand - Domestic sales are anticipated to recover due to policy benefits, renewal cycles, and advancements in new energy and intelligent technology [1] - XCMG has a strong international presence, with a marketing network covering over 190 countries, and is expected to maintain good growth in export revenue [1] - The excavator export trend is positive, supported by enhanced competitiveness of domestic brands and increased investment in infrastructure and green energy projects globally [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a strategy of "stabilizing prices, reducing costs, and adjusting structures" to improve gross margins, with expectations of annual growth in gross margin in the coming years [1] - XCMG's mining machinery segment is positioned as a leader domestically and among the top five globally, focusing on integrated solutions for open-pit mining [1] - The company has established a comprehensive new energy product line, achieving an 18% penetration rate in new energy products, and is actively involved in major hydropower projects [1] Major Project Participation - XCMG has a significant presence in major projects, with a high winning rate in tenders, capturing about half of the total tender amount in the first half of the year [1] - The company is collaborating with power station contractors to develop green construction equipment solutions and has launched over 20 types of electric and intelligent products [1] Shareholder Return Plan - The new management team is focused on enhancing shareholder returns through digital transformation and organizational restructuring, with a commitment to distribute at least 40% of annual distributable profits as cash dividends over the next three years [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that XCMG Machinery is optimistic about the growth prospects of both domestic and international markets, driven by globalization, technological innovation, and expansion into emerging markets [1] - The company expects a sustained export growth of over 10% in the second half of the year due to favorable policies, renewal cycles, and advancements in new energy and intelligent technologies [1] - Domestic demand for excavators is anticipated to recover due to infrastructure investments, the recovery of the mining sector, and the acceleration of major projects, leading to a rebound in demand for medium and large excavators [1] Group 2 - In terms of mining machinery product structure and planning, the integration of the wide-body truck business will enhance the company's competitive position, providing a comprehensive solution for open-pit mining machinery [2] - The company is currently the leading player in domestic mining machinery and ranks among the top five globally, with plans to continue integrating its industrial segments and enhancing its international presence [2] - The overseas market is expected to maintain a positive trend, with export revenues growing due to the improvement in product quality, enhanced channels and services, and the advancement of domestic companies' global strategies [2]

Group 1: Market Outlook - The industry is expected to maintain over 10% growth in exports in the second half of the year due to global expansion, technological innovation, and emerging market development [2] - Domestic sales are projected to recover, driven by policy benefits, renewal cycles, and advancements in new energy and smart technology [2] Group 2: Excavator Demand - Domestic demand is supported by ongoing infrastructure investment, recovery in the mining sector, and acceleration of major projects, leading to a rebound in demand for medium and large excavators [2] - Export trends for excavators are positive, attributed to improved competitiveness of domestic brands and increased global infrastructure investments [3] Group 3: Mining Machinery Strategy - The integration of wide-body trucks into the company’s portfolio aims to create a comprehensive solution for open-pit mining, enhancing competitiveness in the mining machinery sector [3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic market and among the top five globally in mining machinery, with a focus on enhancing international presence and contributions from new energy [3] Group 4: International Market Expansion - The company has a robust global marketing network covering over 190 countries, facilitating comprehensive product and service offerings [3] - The overseas market is expected to continue its positive trend, with growth in export revenue driven by increasing demand for domestic brands and improved product quality [3]

Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 54.8 billion CNY, with a net profit of 4.417 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.39% [2] - The attributable net profit was 4.36 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 16.6% [2] - The non-recurring attributable net profit reached 4.467 billion CNY, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 35.57% [2] - Operating cash flow was 3.73 billion CNY, up 108% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 22%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points [2] Industry Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is entering a deep transformation period, with new policies and projects expected to accelerate recovery [2] - The company anticipates a sustained growth of over 10% in exports for the second half of the year, driven by policy benefits and market recovery [3] - The demand for mining machinery is expected to grow due to stable increases in global mineral resource development and ongoing equipment upgrades [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on stabilizing prices and reducing costs through various measures, including procurement and production cost reductions [3] - A comprehensive product series for open-pit mining machinery is being developed, positioning the company as a leading competitor globally [3] - The company has established a complete industrial chain for new energy products, achieving an 18% penetration rate in the new energy sector [5] Market Expansion - The company has a global marketing network covering over 190 countries, with expectations for continued growth in overseas markets [4] - The export revenue is projected to maintain a positive growth trend, supported by improved product quality and competitive pricing [5] - The company has maintained a leading position in various machinery categories, including cranes and concrete machinery, with significant market shares [5] Shareholder Returns - The company emphasizes investor returns, with a commitment to distribute at least 40% of the annual distributable profits as cash dividends over the next three years (2025-2027) [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 54.808 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.04%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.358 billion yuan, up 16.63% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 4.467 billion yuan, an increase of 35.57% year-on-year [2][6]. - Domestic sales have shown recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, while overseas sales continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 16.6%. The gross profit margin for both domestic and international sales has improved, and asset quality has significantly enhanced, with off-balance-sheet guarantees reduced by approximately 9 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024 [2][11]. - The company expects better growth rates in both domestic and international sales in the second half of the year, driven by cost reduction, quality improvement, and the increasing profitability of new energy products [2][11]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a revenue of 54.808 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting an 8.04% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.358 billion yuan, marking a 16.63% increase year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 4.467 billion yuan, up 35.57% year-on-year [2][6]. Domestic and International Sales - Domestic sales have shown a recovery trend, with a 1.5% year-on-year increase, benefiting from the growth in the earth-moving machinery sector. International sales grew by 16.6% year-on-year, with overseas revenue accounting for approximately 47% of total revenue, an increase of 3 percentage points [11]. Gross Margin and Asset Quality - The gross profit margin reached 22.0%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The company has also improved its asset quality, with off-balance-sheet guarantees reduced by about 9 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024 [11]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that both domestic and international sales growth will exceed the first half of the year, supported by cost reduction, quality enhancement, and improved margins for new energy products. The projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are 7.402 billion yuan and 9.578 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15 times and 12 times [11].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - A total of 135 stocks received buy ratings from institutions today, with 17 stocks receiving initial attention from institutions, indicating a strong interest in the market and potential investment opportunities [1]. Institutional Ratings - 140 buy rating records were published today, with 29 of these providing future target prices. 13 stocks have an upside potential exceeding 20%, with AVIC Optoelectronics showing the highest potential at 61.62% [1]. - Notable stocks with high upside potential include Noli Shares at 48.46% and United Imaging Healthcare at 37.22% [1]. - 17 stocks received initial buy ratings from institutions, including Haimeixing and Hengli Hydraulic [1]. Market Performance - Stocks rated with buy ratings saw an average increase of 3.27%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index. 119 stocks experienced price increases, with several hitting the daily limit up [1]. - Stocks with significant declines included Noli Shares, Agricultural Bank, and Shoufang Environmental Protection, with declines of 3.23%, 2.93%, and 1.26% respectively [1]. Industry Focus - The most favored industries include power equipment and machinery, each with 17 stocks listed in the buy rating category. The pharmaceutical and communication sectors also attracted attention, with 15 and 6 stocks respectively [2]. - Specific stocks receiving multiple buy ratings include Betaini, Kebo Da, AVIC Optoelectronics, and Yunnan Baiyao, each with two buy ratings [2][3]. Detailed Stock Information - A selection of stocks with buy ratings includes: - Betaini (2 ratings, +2.22% today, PE 40.30) in beauty care - Kebo Da (2 ratings, +10.00% today, PE 27.44) in automotive - AVIC Optoelectronics (2 ratings, +0.57% today, PE 28.83) in defense and military [2][3]. - Other notable stocks include: - Yunnan Baiyao (2 ratings, +1.06% today, PE 14.56) in pharmaceuticals - Zhonglian Heavy Industry (2 ratings, +0.41% today, PE 11.39) in machinery [2][3]. Additional Stock Ratings - Additional stocks with single buy ratings include: - Xuji Electric (1 rating, +2.09% today, PE 18.44) in power equipment - Xugong Machinery (1 rating, -0.20% today, PE 13.29) in machinery - China Rare Earth (1 rating, +2.33% today, PE 174.07) in non-ferrous metals [3][4].

Market Performance - The engineering machinery sector rose by 1.59% on September 5, with Changling Hydraulic leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.51, up 1.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12590.56, up 3.89% [1] Top Gainers in Engineering Machinery - Changling Hydraulic (code: 605389) closed at 45.04, up 6.20% with a trading volume of 31,800 lots and a turnover of 141 million yuan [1] - Hangcha Group (code: 603298) closed at 24.59, up 5.76% with a trading volume of 156,200 lots and a turnover of 378 million yuan [1] - Zhongji United (code: 605305) closed at 38.70, up 5.33% with a trading volume of 148,900 lots and a turnover of 570 million yuan [1] Market Capital Flow - The engineering machinery sector experienced a net outflow of 96.58 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 104 million yuan [2] - The top stocks with significant net inflows from retail investors include Changling Hydraulic and Zhongji United [2][3] Individual Stock Performance - Yichang Heavy Industry (code: 600031) had a net inflow of 39.30 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 29.07 million yuan [3] - Liugong (code: 000528) saw a net inflow of 25.38 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 18.96 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Group 1 - The manufacturing PMI in August showed a slight recovery, increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 49.4%, indicating a modest improvement in market demand [1] - The production and new orders indices were reported at 50.8% and 49.5%, respectively, with increases of 0.3 and 0.1 percentage points, suggesting a warming in manufacturing market demand [1] - The company observes structural opportunities in AI infrastructure and new consumption, with expectations for improved profitability in downstream manufacturing by the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Excavator sales, both domestic and international, saw significant year-on-year growth of 17% and 32% respectively, indicating a positive outlook for external sales and improving profit margins for manufacturers [2] - Companies such as XCMG, Liugong, and Zoomlion are recommended for investment due to their potential in the improving market [2] Group 3 - Leading companies in lithium battery equipment, such as Sieng and Hanke Technology, have shown a turning point in revenue, profit, and cash flow, confirming the timely release of downstream demand [3] - An investment of approximately 6 billion yuan is expected for solid-state battery research, with potential short-term catalysts anticipated from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's project acceptance [3] - Long-term trends indicate increasing battery penetration rates in Europe and the U.S., with recommendations for companies like Sieng, Hanke Technology, Lianying Laser, and Keda Li [3] Group 4 - The PCB equipment and materials sector is entering a new innovation and expansion cycle, with capital expenditure expected to accelerate from the fourth quarter of 2024 [4] - The PCB industry's capital expenditure is projected to increase monthly, with potential for upward revisions in industry orders [4] - In the liquid cooling segment, demand is expected to rise due to overseas capital expenditure expansion, with recommendations for companies like Invec and Tsugami Machine Tool [4]

Core Viewpoint - The new energy tractor truck market in China has been experiencing explosive growth since 2025, with monthly sales consistently exceeding 10,000 units, particularly highlighted by the rapid increase in new energy tractor trucks, which have outpaced the overall growth of new energy heavy trucks [1][2]. Market Performance - In August 2025, the new energy tractor truck market added 13,100 units, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 196%, despite a slight month-on-month decrease of 1% [5][23]. - The year-to-date cumulative sales of new energy tractor trucks reached 78,300 units by the end of August, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 252% [15][18]. Regional Insights - In August, 29 provincial-level administrative regions in China reported new energy tractor truck additions, with 25 regions adding over 100 units each. Shanghai led with over 3,000 new units [6][8]. Company Performance - Six companies achieved monthly sales exceeding 1,000 units in August, with XCMG leading at 2,342 units, followed by Jiefang with 2,040 units and SANY with 1,680 units [10][11]. - The top ten companies in the new energy tractor truck market all experienced significant year-on-year growth, with XCMG, SANY, and Jiefang being the top three companies, each surpassing 10,000 cumulative sales [15][18]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the new energy tractor truck market remains intense, with companies frequently changing positions in sales rankings. The market dynamics suggest that further shifts may occur in the upcoming months [22].