通富微电成交额达100亿元，现涨0.12%。 ...

Summary of TongFu Microelectronics (002156.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: TongFu Microelectronics (TFME) - **Ticker**: 002156.SZ - **Date of Report**: January 20, 2026 Key Financial Highlights - **FY25 Preliminary Net Profit**: Rmb1,100-1,350 million, indicating a **4Q25 net profit** of Rmb240-490 million (mid-point Rmb365 million), which is a **191% YoY increase** but **7% below Bloomberg consensus** [1] - **Revenue Growth**: 4Q25 revenue expected at Rmb6.8 billion, with a **YoY growth of 7%** [2] - **Gross Profit Margin**: 4Q25 gross profit margin at **16.1%**, with a **YoY increase** from previous quarters [2] - **Operating Expenses**: Operating expenses for 4Q25 at Rmb767 million, representing **11.3% of revenue** [2] - **Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)**: EBIT for 4Q25 at Rmb366 million, with an EBIT margin of **5.4%** [2] Management Insights - **Earnings Growth Drivers**: Management attributed strong earnings growth to: - Improved capacity utilization - Increased revenue from higher-end products - Effective cost control measures [1] - **Future Outlook**: TFME expects solid momentum to continue in 2026, driven by: - Increased demand for CPUs - GPU testing from key customer AMD [1] Capital Raising and Expansion Plans - **Private Share Placement**: TFME announced a plan to raise up to **Rmb4.4 billion** to fund capacity expansions in: - Memory chips (Rmb800 million) - Automotive and emerging applications (Rmb1.055 billion) - Wafer-level packaging and testing (Rmb151 million) - High-performance computing and communication (Rmb620 million) - Working capital and debt repayment (Rmb1.230 billion) [5] - **Total Investment**: Rmb4.686 billion planned for capacity expansion [5] Market Performance - **Stock Performance**: TFME shares have rallied **37% in the past month**, outperforming the SZSE Index which increased by **6%** [1] - **Market Capitalization**: As of January 20, 2026, TFME's market cap is **Rmb77.413 billion** (approximately **US$11.108 billion**) [3] Valuation and Risks - **Target Price**: Set at **Rmb48**, based on a **4.3x 2026E P/B** ratio, reflecting significant re-rating potential from advanced packaging for logic and memory products [10] - **Key Risks**: - Disappointing development of domestic advanced memory products - Market share loss at key customers due to exclusion of AI-related business - Geopolitical tensions affecting overseas operations - Falling utilization rates post-industry capacity expansion - US export restrictions limiting supply of back-end equipment [11] Conclusion - TFME is positioned for continued growth in 2026, supported by strong demand in the semiconductor sector and strategic investments in capacity expansion. However, potential risks related to market dynamics and geopolitical factors could impact future performance.

| 特变电工 | -3.01 | -5.54亿元 | 电网设备 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 晶瑞电材 | -9.11 | -4.87亿元 | 电子化学 | | 南大光电 | -3.56 | -4.86亿元 | 电子化学 | | 德明利 | 2.4 | -4.49亿元 | 未营体 | | 洛阳钼业 | -2.58 | -3.97亿元 | 小金属 | | 蓝思科技 | -2.54 | -3.95亿元 | 消费电- | | 中科曙光 | -1.11 | -3.95亿元 | 计算机设 | | 江西铜业 | -3.51 | -3.86亿元 | 有色金属 | | 亿纬锂能 | -2.2 | -3.47亿元 | 电池 | *数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议 | 股票名称 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 主力资金流向 | 所属行) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 三花智控 | -2.8 | -12.28亿元 | 家电行业 | | 兆易创新 | -1.67 | -9.61亿元 | 未营体 | | 通富微电 | -0.25 | -7.88亿元 | 未营体 | | 湖南白银 | 1. ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% to close at 4116.94 points, with a daily high of 4135.96 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.7% to close at 14255.12 points, reaching a peak of 14320.94 points [1] - The ChiNext Index gained 0.54%, closing at 3295.52 points, with a maximum of 3329.5 points [1] Margin Trading and Securities Lending - The total margin trading and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 27119.75 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 26945.23 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 174.52 billion yuan [2] - This represents an increase of 115.92 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - The Shanghai market's margin trading balance was 13746.08 billion yuan, up by 101.13 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 13373.67 billion yuan, increasing by 14.8 billion yuan [2] Fund Issuance - Seven new funds were launched yesterday, including: - E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Mixed A - E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Mixed C - Huitianfu Gain Return Bond A - Huaxia CSI 500 Free Cash Flow ETF Link C - Huitianfu Gain Return Bond C - Huaxia CSI 500 Free Cash Flow ETF Link A - E Fund Shanghai Composite ETF [4] Top Net Purchases on the Dragon and Tiger List - The top 10 net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list included: - Zhongtung High-tech with a net purchase of 57664.7 million yuan - Longxin Technology with 26946.73 million yuan - Dazhu CNC with 25319.57 million yuan - Zhongrong Electric with 21762.39 million yuan - Tongfu Microelectronics with 20382.62 million yuan [6]

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a structural rally with over 3,000 stocks rising and more than 80 stocks hitting the daily limit up, particularly in sectors like GPU, advanced packaging, gold, and semiconductors [1][2] - As of January 21, 587 listed companies have disclosed their 2025 earnings forecasts, with over 50% showing positive profit growth expectations, leading to significant stock price increases for companies like Jinhaitong and Baiwei Storage [1][2] - Analysts suggest that as earnings forecasts are released, market focus on fundamentals is increasing, with recommendations to invest in cyclical and technology sectors [1][3] Group 2 - The performance of large-cap stocks is mixed, with the Shanghai 50 Index down 0.11% while the CSI 300 Index is up 0.09%, indicating stronger performance in small-cap stocks [2] - Notable stocks that have surged following their earnings forecasts include Baiwei Storage and Tongfu Microelectronics, with increases of 65.83% and 48.83% respectively since January [2] - The correlation between stock prices and earnings forecasts has increased significantly in January, with sectors like electronics, new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals showing strong earnings [3][4] Group 3 - Analysts recommend focusing on large-cap growth stocks and suggest sector allocations based on the spring market and earnings previews, particularly in power equipment, machinery, non-bank financials, electronics, and basic chemicals [4]

当前存储缺货涨价行情有望向CPU品类蔓延，甚至被视为"下一个存储的机会"。1月21日，A股CPU概念 股启动，龙芯中科涨停，海光信息涨超13%创历史新高，中国长城（000066）涨停。 消息面上，机构KeyBanc数据显示，由于超大规模云服务商"扫货"，英特尔与AMD在2026全年的服务器 CPU产能已基本售完。为了应对供需极端失衡并确保后续供应稳定，两家公司均计划将服务器CPU价格 上调10—15%。 截至记者发稿，上述涨价消息未获官方确认。英特尔与AMD分别将于当地时间1月22日与2月3日披露财 报，日前华尔街多家投行上调公司目标价。市场观点认为，本轮涨价主要由于AI推理规模的扩大提高 了CPU需求，加上先进制程与先进封装等关键资源扩张慢，加之GPU等芯片产能挤压，CPU厂商向下传 导价格。 在CPU涨价消息催化下，A股CPU板块强势上涨。相比之下，美股AMD股价微涨，英特尔上涨3.41%。 另外，中国长城最新业绩预告显示，2025年归属上市公司净利润亏损约3500万元至7000万元，比上年同 期大幅减亏。据介绍，公司优化业务结构与产品矩阵，实现营业收入稳步增长，另外公司剥离非核心资 产取得较高的投资处置 ...

电子行业主力资金净流入金额居首。 A股主要指数今日（1月21日 ）集体收涨，行业板块涨多跌少，贵金属、能源金属、采掘行业、电机、 半导体、小金属、电子元件等板块涨幅居前，煤炭、酿酒、商业百货、电网设备等板块跌幅居前。 从今日主力资金情况来看，沪深两市全天主力资金净流入56.08亿元。17个行业主力资金净流入，电 子、有色金属、银行、机械设备行业主力资金净流入金额分别为52.2亿元、43.76亿元、21.59亿元、 11.36亿元；非银金融、通信、计算机、交通运输等行业主力资金净流入金额均超5亿元。 14个主力资金净流出行业中，电力设备、国防军工、传媒行业主力资金净流出金额居前，分别为44.51 亿元、28.47亿元、11.42亿元； 农林牧渔、食品饮料、家用电器、商贸零售行业主力资金净流出金额均 超6亿元。 10股获主力资金净流入均超5亿元 从个股看，56股主力资金净流入均超2亿元，10股获主力资金净流入均超5亿元。 中国长城主力资金净流入14.27亿元，居首。公司近日发布业绩预告，2025年度归母净利润亏损收窄至 3500万元至7000万元，同比减亏95.27%至97.63%，显著改善；扣非净利润亏损6.3 ...

盘后数据出炉。 1月21日，A股市场整体上涨。截至收盘，上证指数报4116.94点，上涨0.08%；深证成指报14255.13点，上涨0.7%；创业板指数报3295.52点，上涨0.54%； 北证50指数上涨0.14%。 1.A股市场主力资金净流入56.08亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出41.97亿元，尾盘净流入6.26亿元，A股市场全天主力资金净流入56.08亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | | 2026-1-21 | 56. 08 | -41.97 | 6.26 | 154. 57 | | 2026-1-20 | -764. 07 | -221.93 | -61.61 | -471.97 | | 2026-1-19 | -397.98 | -162.72 | -58. 29 | -209.12 | | 2026-1-16 | -238.85 | -106. 45 | -38. 37 | -133.83 | | 2026- ...

一、强势个股 二、强势概念板块 根据A股概念涨跌幅与所对应的股票池综合分析，涨幅靠前的三个概念板块分别为：金属铅、金属锌与黄金概念。排名前10位的概念板块相关数据见下表： | 概念名称 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 涨停用 | | --- | --- | --- | | 金属铝 | 5.01 | | | 金属锌 | 4.83 | | | 黄金概念 | 3.82 | | | 金属铜 | 3.33 | | | 先进封装 | 3.11 | | | 共封装光学 (CPO) | 3.09 | | | 存储芯片 | 2.8 | | | PCB概念 | 2.79 | | | 富士康概念 | 2.76 | | | 光刻机 | 2.76 | | （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 截至1月21日收盘，上证综指上涨0.08%，收于4116.94点，深证成指上涨0.7%，收于14255.12点，创业板指上涨0.54%，收于3295.52点。今日沪深两市A股共 计90只涨停，综合当前连板数以及当日龙虎榜数据，其中较为强势的前三只个股分别为：广电电气（601616）、湖南白银（002716）与红宝丽（002165）。 今日强势个股前10位具体数 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the A-share market, highlighting significant gains in technology stocks, particularly in the semiconductor sector, driven by supply shortages and price increases in CPUs and memory chips [1][18]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 21, the three major indices in the A-share market collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.70%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.53% [18]. - The total trading volume across the three markets was 26,240 billion, a decrease of 1,804.27 billion from the previous day, with over 300 stocks rising [18]. - A total of 91 stocks hit the daily limit up, with the maximum consecutive limit up reaching 16 [18]. Group 2: Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector saw a significant rebound, with domestic chip stocks surging. Notably, Longxin Technology hit the daily limit up, and several other stocks like Yingfang Micro and Tongfu Microelectronics also reached their daily limits [18]. - The increase in stock prices is attributed to a shortage in memory chips, with U.S. companies like Micron, Seagate, and SanDisk hitting record highs [18]. - Intel and AMD are expected to raise server CPU prices by 10%-15% in 2026, further driving interest in the semiconductor supply chain [2][18]. Group 3: CPU Demand and AI Impact - The demand for CPUs is projected to increase significantly due to the rise of AI agents, with estimates suggesting a need for up to 1,760,899 CPUs in optimistic scenarios for 2024, compared to a global shipment of 3,200 million CPUs [3]. - The article emphasizes that CPUs may become a bottleneck before GPUs in AI applications, as they are crucial for generating and evaluating tasks in reinforcement learning [11]. - A new paradigm proposed in the DeepSeek paper highlights the importance of CPU memory in handling large parameters, suggesting a shift in how AI models are structured [11][12]. Group 4: Material Costs and Industry Outlook - Japanese semiconductor material manufacturer Resonac announced a price increase of over 30% for PCB materials starting March 1, which could impact the overall cost structure in the semiconductor industry [12]. - Goldman Sachs projects a compound annual growth rate of 34% for optical modules from 2026 to 2028, with expected shipments reaching 94 million units by 2028, indicating a positive outlook for the optical communication sector [18].