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华源证券:维持金风科技“买入”评级 看好风电景气度及利润修复趋势
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 06:21
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huayuan Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Goldwind Technology (002202), highlighting strong performance in the first three quarters of the year, with revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 34.3% and 44.2% year-on-year, respectively. The growth is primarily driven by the high demand in the wind power industry, with wind turbine sales surging by 90% year-on-year, and an ongoing improvement in gross margins [1]. Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 48.15 billion yuan (up 34.3% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.58 billion yuan (up 44.2% year-on-year). In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 19.61 billion yuan (up 25.4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 1.097 billion yuan (up 170.6% year-on-year) [1]. Wind Turbine Sales and Margins - Wind turbine sales remained high, with external sales capacity reaching 18.4 GW in the first three quarters of 2025 (up 90% year-on-year), and Q3 sales alone were 7.8 GW (up 124% year-on-year), making it the main contributor to revenue. The overall gross margin for Q3 reached 13%, an increase of 0.84 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating a continued upward trend in profitability [2]. - As of September 30, the company had an order backlog of 52.5 GW (up 18.5% year-on-year), with over 7 GW of overseas orders [2]. Capacity and Utilization - From January to September, the company added 745 MW of new installed capacity and sold a wind farm of 100 MW. By the end of September, the self-operated installed capacity was 8,688 MW, with 4,062 MW under construction, and the average utilization hours reached 1,730 hours [3]. Future Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to sustain high levels of wind power installations, with an annual average of no less than 120 million kW of new capacity. The recovery in wind turbine prices over the past year is anticipated to continue, with the average bidding price for wind turbines in September being 1,610 yuan per kW, indicating a rebound from the bottom and potential for improved profitability [4]. Profit Forecast and Rating - Due to better-than-expected recovery in wind turbine gross margins and changes in the fair value of equity holdings, the profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to 3.08 billion yuan, 4.83 billion yuan, and 5.75 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 65%, 57%, and 19%. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 15, 9, and 8 times. The company is expected to see further recovery in wind turbine manufacturing profitability, leading to a maintained "buy" rating [5].
华源证券:维持金风科技(02208)“买入”评级 看好风电景气度及利润修复趋势
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 06:21
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huayuan Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Goldwind Technology (02208), highlighting strong performance in the first three quarters of the year, with revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 34.3% and 44.2% year-on-year, respectively. The growth is primarily driven by the high demand in the wind power industry, with wind turbine sales surging by 90% year-on-year, and an ongoing improvement in gross margins [1]. Group 1: Performance Overview - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 48.15 billion yuan (up 34.3% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.58 billion yuan (up 44.2% year-on-year). In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 19.61 billion yuan (up 25.4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 1.097 billion yuan (up 170.6% year-on-year) [1]. Group 2: Wind Turbine Sales and Margins - Wind turbine sales remained robust, with external sales capacity reaching 18.4 GW in the first three quarters of 2025 (up 90% year-on-year), and Q3 sales alone were 7.8 GW (up 124% year-on-year), significantly contributing to revenue [2]. - The overall gross margin for the company reached 13% in Q3 2025, an increase of 0.84 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating a continued upward trend in the gross margin for the wind turbine segment [2]. Group 3: Capacity and Utilization - From January to September 2025, the company added 745 MW of new equity grid-connected capacity and sold a wind farm of 100 MW. As of the end of September, the company's self-operated equity installed capacity was 8,688 MW, with 4,062 MW under construction, and the average utilization hours reached 1,730 hours [3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to sustain high levels of wind power installations, with an annual average of no less than 120 million kW of new wind power capacity. The recovery in wind turbine prices over the past year is anticipated to continue, enhancing profitability in the wind turbine segment [4]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Rating - Due to the better-than-expected recovery in wind turbine gross margins, the profit forecast for the company has been revised upwards for 2025-2027 to 3.08 billion yuan, 4.83 billion yuan, and 5.75 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 65%, 57%, and 19%. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 15, 9, and 8 times for the respective years. The company is expected to see further recovery in wind turbine manufacturing profitability [5].
风电齿轮箱专家交流
2025-11-24 01:46
Summary of Wind Power Gearbox Conference Call Industry Overview - The wind power gearbox industry is projected to see a demand of slightly over 20,000 units in 2025, with the company aiming for a production target of 3,700 units, potentially reaching 3,800 units [1][3] - Major competitors include South High Gear (approximately 10,000 units), Envision (around 4,000 units), CRRC Qishuyan (1,600-1,800 units), and Southern Aerospace (about 700 units) [1][3] Key Insights and Arguments - **Technological Trends**: The industry is shifting towards medium-speed permanent magnet and front integration technologies, with semi-direct drive systems gaining popularity due to their lightweight advantages [1][8] - **Pricing**: Gearbox prices for the 6-8 MW range are approximately 1.6 to 1.8 million yuan, while 10 MW units range from 1.9 to 2.3 million yuan, influenced by power, design, and configuration [1][7] - **Cost Reduction Strategies**: The company plans to lower costs through material price reductions, competitive bidding, and utilizing off-peak electricity pricing [1][19] - **Future Projections**: The target order volume for 2026 is set between 4,500 and 5,300 units, with a maximum goal of 5,700 units [1][18] Competitor Analysis - **South High Gear**: Experienced a loss last year, with strong R&D capabilities but facing internal issues. They are considered a fierce competitor [1][11] - **Envision**: Primarily self-sufficient but still procured around 50 units from the company last year [1][12] - **Mingyang Smart Energy**: Utilizes gearboxes from South High Gear, the company, and CRRC, with these three suppliers dominating the market [1][13] Market Dynamics - **Offshore vs. Onshore Wind Power**: Offshore wind power gearboxes are priced higher than onshore due to greater strength and operational requirements, with a notable difference in profitability [2][30] - **Export Market**: The export market is slightly more expensive due to a 5% allocation for after-sales service costs, but overall quality differences between domestic and export markets are minimal [2][30] Production and Capacity Plans - The company produced 2,400 units last year and aims for 3,700 units this year, with a projected capacity of 4,500 units by the end of next year [1][14][16] - The factory layout includes three phases, with a focus on optimizing production processes and enhancing capacity [1][17] Customer Feedback and Product Development - Customers have recognized the benefits of sliding bearings, with plans to increase their usage to 30-40% by 2026, primarily with major clients like Goldwind [1][22][24] - The company is also exploring cost-saving measures through standard parts price reductions and optimizing production during off-peak electricity hours [1][27] Future Outlook - The wind power industry is expected to adopt more non-traditional technologies, with a focus on efficiency and cost reduction [1][8] - The domestic bearing technology gap is narrowing, with an anticipated increase in domestic production rates due to cost advantages and government support [2][30][31] Conclusion The wind power gearbox industry is poised for growth, driven by technological advancements, strategic partnerships, and a focus on cost efficiency. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends while navigating competitive pressures and market dynamics.
金风科技涨2.17%,成交额1.76亿元,主力资金净流出1112.34万元
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-24 01:46
Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology's stock has shown significant volatility, with a year-to-date increase of 43.18%, but recent declines in the short term indicate potential market fluctuations [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 24, Goldwind Technology's stock price was 14.59 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 61.644 billion CNY [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 11.1234 million CNY from main funds, with large orders accounting for 28.46% of total buying and 21.08% of total selling [1]. - Over the past 60 days, the stock price increased by 38.16%, while it has decreased by 2.21% in the last 5 trading days and 6.29% in the last 20 days [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Goldwind Technology, established on March 26, 2001, and listed on December 26, 2007, specializes in the development, manufacturing, and sales of wind turbines, as well as wind farm investment and development [2]. - The company's revenue composition includes 76.58% from turbine and component sales, 11.12% from wind farm development, 10.15% from wind power services, and 2.16% from other sources [2]. - As of September 30, 2025, Goldwind Technology reported a revenue of 48.147 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.34%, and a net profit of 2.584 billion CNY, up 44.21% year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - Goldwind Technology has distributed a total of 11.683 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.521 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 2.66% to 202,400, with the average circulating shares per person remaining at 0 [2][3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 500 ETF, with notable changes in their holdings [3].
——电新环保行业周报20251123:看好风电及氢氨醇板块,美国缺电寻找超跌反弹机会-20251123
EBSCN· 2025-11-23 13:11
Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The hydrogen ammonia and wind power sectors are expected to benefit from China's future industrial policies and the EU's carbon tariff by 2026, leading to increased investment opportunities. The global shipping industry is accelerating its decarbonization, with green methanol prices likely to remain high due to rising demand and limited supply [3]. - In the U.S., the ongoing electricity shortage presents opportunities for rebound in related stocks, particularly in the overseas energy storage and SST sectors. Key companies to watch include Sunshine Power, Jinpan Technology, and others [3]. - Domestic energy storage is projected to grow significantly, with Heilongjiang Province aiming for over 6GW of installed capacity by 2027. The independent energy storage market is expected to maintain a good level of bidding in 2026 [4]. - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a tightening supply-demand dynamic, with significant growth expected in both domestic and overseas markets. Key investment opportunities are identified in lithium mines and the separator segment [4][20]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - In 2024, China's onshore wind power is expected to add 75.8GW of capacity, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind power is projected to add 4.0GW, a decrease of 40.85% [6]. - The public tender capacity for wind power in 2024 is 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year, with onshore wind accounting for 152.8GW [9]. Lithium Battery - The domestic production of lithium carbonate is expected to remain stable, with strong demand from the power battery sector driven by the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market [20]. - The supply of lithium hexafluorophosphate remains tight, with prices expected to continue rising due to increased demand from downstream applications [23]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Goldwind Technology, Sunshine Power, and Ningde Times, which are well-positioned to benefit from the trends in wind power and lithium battery sectors [19][24].
电力设备与新能源行业周观察:人形机器人产业催化持续,看好AIDC景气度
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-23 11:44
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to accelerate towards mass production due to rapid advancements in AI technology and increased domestic demand for core components [1][13] - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery material industry is recovering from previous demand lows, with high operating rates and strong orders for leading companies expected to last until 2026 [2][18] - The solar PV tracker market is witnessing significant growth, with a notable increase in orders from the Middle East, indicating strong competitive advantages for companies like Zhongxinbo [3][27] Humanoid Robots - The report highlights the strong domestic demand for core components in humanoid robots, driven by cost reduction needs and technological breakthroughs [1][13] - Key areas of focus include dexterous hands, lightweight designs, and advanced AI capabilities, with domestic manufacturers expected to benefit significantly [1][14] - Companies like Meihu Co. are already seeing production ramp-up in critical components, positioning them well for future growth [16] Electric Vehicles - The LFP material industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with average costs for LFP materials established between 15,714.8 to 16,439.3 RMB per ton [2][19] - The introduction of new technologies and models in the electric vehicle sector is expected to enhance performance and reduce costs, driving further growth [19][20] - The demand for LFP materials is anticipated to stabilize and potentially increase due to a combination of recovering demand and structural supply shortages [2][19] New Energy - Zhongxinbo has secured significant overseas orders for solar PV tracking systems, ranking second globally with a 16% market share [3][27] - The company is expected to benefit from the Saudi Vision 2030 initiative, which aims to increase renewable energy installations [3][29] - The report emphasizes the importance of technological advancements in the solar industry, particularly in the context of new materials and production techniques [30][32] Power Equipment & AIDC - The demand for power equipment is expected to remain high due to the urgent need for grid upgrades in Europe and North America [7][8] - The report notes that domestic power equipment manufacturers are well-positioned to capitalize on these overseas market opportunities [7][8] - The construction of ultra-high voltage projects is projected to continue, supporting stable demand for related equipment [8]
雷来了,104家央国企累计减持破百亿,A股被上市公司自己做空了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 17:42
Core Viewpoint - A significant capital withdrawal is occurring in the A-share market, with major state-owned enterprises and industry leaders reducing their holdings, indicating a potential peak in valuations [1][3][6] Group 1: Capital Withdrawal Trends - In the past month, 104 central state-owned enterprises have collectively reduced their holdings by over 10 billion yuan [1] - In October 2025, a record 247 companies announced share reductions within a week, with over 400 companies reporting significant shareholder reductions totaling 19 billion yuan [3][6] - The total amount of reductions by major shareholders in A-shares has exceeded 380 billion yuan since the beginning of 2025, marking a new high [6] Group 2: Industry-Specific Reductions - Leading companies in various sectors, including semiconductor giant Zhongwei and liquor leader Shanxi Fenjiu, have seen substantial reductions, with Zhongwei's major shareholders reducing holdings by over 1.8 billion yuan [3][4] - The chemical industry leader Wanhua Chemical has also faced reductions exceeding 1.1 billion yuan, despite a recent decline in stock price [3] - The wind power leader Goldwind Technology has seen its fourth-largest shareholder reduce holdings by over 655 million yuan [4] Group 3: Shareholder Behavior and Market Impact - The reduction trend is characterized by a "group-style" phenomenon, where multiple companies and their major shareholders are reducing holdings simultaneously [6] - The electronics, computer, and machinery sectors have been particularly affected, accounting for over 40% of total reductions, reflecting a retreat from previously favored high-growth sectors [6] - Major shareholders often cite "personal funding needs" as the reason for reductions, but deeper motivations include valuation locking and profit realization [8][10] Group 4: Market Reactions and Sentiment - The market reacts negatively to high-profile reductions, with significant declines in stock prices following announcements, particularly for small-cap companies [10][12] - The behavior of major shareholders, especially state-owned entities, sends strong signals about market confidence and future prospects [10][19] - The current market sentiment remains optimistic, with some analysts suggesting that the reductions do not alter the overall upward trend, provided that confidence and funding remain intact [16][18]
行业洞察 | 岭上起“金风” ,绿氢逐未来——专访兴安盟经开区管委会主任高天宇
Core Viewpoint - Inner Mongolia's Xingan League is emerging as a hub for green hydrogen and methanol production, leveraging its abundant wind energy resources and attracting major companies like China General Nuclear Power Group and Goldwind Technology [2][5]. Group 1: Project Development - The green hydrogen to green methanol project led by Goldwind Technology has garnered significant industry attention even before construction began [5]. - The project is set to commence construction in June 2024, with the first phase expected to be completed by October 2025, which is considered an accelerated timeline for such projects [5][6]. - The project aims to utilize local resources, including corn straw, to produce methanol, enhancing the region's agricultural advantages [7][8]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - The project integrates a technology chain that includes wind power, water electrolysis for hydrogen production, biomass gasification, and methanol synthesis, addressing the instability issues in wind power hydrogen production [9]. - The introduction of a 250,000-ton gasification furnace marks a significant advancement in the industry's scale and industrial production capabilities [9]. Group 3: Economic and Environmental Impact - The project is expected to create job opportunities and stimulate economic growth in the region, aligning with China's dual carbon goals [10]. - The green methanol produced will be utilized by major shipping companies, such as Maersk, for decarbonization efforts in the global shipping industry, showcasing the project's contribution to climate change mitigation [10]. Group 4: Strategic Vision - The Xingan League aims to position itself as a leader in the hydrogen economy by developing a comprehensive industrial ecosystem that includes hydrogen storage, transportation, and utilization [8][10]. - The region's strategy emphasizes vertical integration and resource sharing among enterprises to reduce production costs and foster long-term investment [8].
金风科技:关于回购注销部分限制性股票的公告
证券日报网讯 11月21日晚间,金风科技发布公告称,公司于2025年11月21日召开第九届董事会第八次 会议审议通过了《关于回购注销部分限制性股票的议案》,同意回购注销公司2024年限制性股票激励计 划首次授予中已离职及2024年度个人绩效考核不达标的激励对象已获授但尚未解除限售的127.90万股限 制性股票。 (编辑 任世碧) ...
金风科技(002202.SZ):股份回购期限过半尚未实施回购A股股份
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 13:09
格隆汇11月20日丨金风科技(002202.SZ)公布,截至本公告披露日,公司回购股份方案规定的回购实施 期限已过半,公司尚未实施回购A股股份。 ...