Summary of Puyang Refractories Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Puyang Refractories (濮耐股份) - **Industry**: Refractory materials and magnesium oxide production Key Points and Arguments 1. **Strategic Partnership with Greenme**: Puyang Refractories has entered a strategic cooperation with Greenme to lock in the price of active magnesium oxide for the next three years, with annual discussions to adjust prices based on market conditions [2][6][11] 2. **Cost Reduction**: Greenme's adoption of Puyang's magnesium oxide route has led to a cost reduction of 10% to 15%, translating to a decrease of approximately 7,000 to 10,000 RMB per ton of nickel metal [2][10] 3. **Production Capacity**: The theoretical supply limit for active magnesium oxide is 450,000 tons. Current production capacity in Qinghai and Tibet is 110,000 tons, with plans to increase to 170,000 tons by the end of 2025 and 300,000 tons by mid-2026 [2][8][17] 4. **Mining Reserves**: Puyang has confirmed mining reserves of 48 million tons, with potential future reserves exceeding 100 million tons. The company plans to negotiate with local governments to expand its mining licenses [16][32] 5. **Production Efficiency**: The efficiency of Puyang's active magnesium oxide is over 20 times higher than that of liquid alkali, with a 30% overall production efficiency improvement, significantly enhancing metal recovery rates [2][10] 6. **Logistics Optimization**: Adjustments in transportation methods from Tibet to Yibin or Wuhan ports are expected to save 200 to 500 RMB per ton in shipping costs compared to previous methods from Qinghai [3][21] 7. **Market Conditions**: The refractory materials industry is currently facing low profitability, with many companies experiencing revenue growth without profit. However, potential price recovery is anticipated in the latter half of 2025 and into 2026 [5][24][25] 8. **U.S. Operations**: The U.S. factory achieved profitability in Q2 2025, with expectations for significant contributions to overall company profits as order volumes increase [5][34] 9. **Future Pricing Strategy**: The pricing mechanism with Greenme is designed to remain stable for three years, with potential adjustments based on market conditions and the introduction of new customers [6][11][23] 10. **Competitive Advantages**: Puyang's core competitive advantages include unique mining resources, long-term expansion capabilities, and the potential for price increases as new customers are onboarded [32][35] Additional Important Insights - **Impact of Large Orders**: Large orders from clients like Greenme are expected to lower production costs through economies of scale and fixed cost dilution [18][19] - **Challenges in Africa**: Puyang has faced challenges in the African market due to logistics and political instability, prompting a reassessment of strategies in that region [28][29] - **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term outlook for Puyang Refractories is positive, with expectations for recovery in the refractory materials sector and continued growth in the active magnesium oxide business [35]

Core Viewpoint - The company has signed a supplementary agreement with Greenme to purchase 500,000 tons of low-cost core precipitant products for nickel ore smelting by December 31, 2028, which is expected to significantly enhance its operational efficiency and profitability in the nickel resource sector [3]. Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The company has established a strategic cooperation framework with Greenme, which includes a commitment to supply active magnesium oxide, with projected annual supplies of 5,000 tons in 2025, 15,000 tons in 2026, and 15,000 tons in both 2027 and 2028 [4]. - The active magnesium oxide product is expected to reduce the smelting costs of Greenme's nickel resource projects by 10%-15%, thereby improving profitability and global competitiveness [5]. Group 2: Industry Context - The steel industry is undergoing a "de-involution" process, as emphasized by the Central Financial Committee, which aims to eliminate low-price competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity [7]. - As a result of this industry shift, the company's refractory materials business is anticipated to gradually recover alongside the improvement in profitability of its steel customers [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The demand for active magnesium oxide is expected to increase significantly, benefiting the domestic refractory materials sector amid the steel industry's "anti-involution" trend [4]. - The strategic agreement with Greenmeadow is projected to enhance the certainty of active magnesium oxide demand, with a forecasted net profit of 305 million, 547 million, and 759 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Strategic Cooperation - The company has signed a supplementary agreement with Greenmeadow, expecting to supply 500,000 tons of low-cost core precipitant products by December 31, 2028 [1]. - The supply schedule for active magnesium oxide is estimated at 50,000 tons in 2025, 150,000 tons in 2026, and 150,000 tons in 2027 and 2028 [2]. Cost Reduction and Competitive Advantage - Active magnesium oxide can reduce the hydrometallurgical nickel smelting costs by 10%-15%, significantly improving the profitability and global competitiveness of Greenmeadow's nickel resource projects [3]. Industry Context - The domestic refractory materials business is expected to gradually recover as the steel industry improves profitability, following the central government's emphasis on regulating low-price competition and promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity [4]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects revenues of 5.759 billion, 6.377 billion, and 6.943 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 305 million, 547 million, and 759 million yuan [5][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.30, 0.54, and 0.75 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company has signed a supplementary agreement with Grinmei to supply 500,000 tons of low-cost core precipitant products by the end of 2028, which will significantly reduce Grinmei's smelting costs by 10%-15% and enhance profitability [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the steel industry and the expansion of its efficient precipitant production capacity, leading to an acceleration in performance release [3] - The company has established a production capacity of 110,000 tons per year for efficient precipitant products, with plans for further expansion [2] Financial Data and Valuation - Projected revenue for 2023 is 5,472.92 million yuan, with a growth rate of 10.88% [4] - Expected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 298.96 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 121.36% [4] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.30 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.59 [4] Business Outlook - The company is positioned to meet the demand for precipitant products in the Indonesian nickel resource project, which will enhance its market presence and operational performance [1][2] - The recovery in the domestic steel industry is expected to improve the profitability of the company's refractory materials business [3] - The overseas production capacity in the U.S. and Serbia is anticipated to stabilize the company's performance in the refractory materials sector [3]

证券代码:002225 证券简称:濮耐股份 公告编号:2025-044 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司 关于签署《战略合作框架协议之补充协议》的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、本次签署《战略合作框架协议之补充协议》属于公司与格林美良好合作效果的延伸， 后续具体合作过程中不排除受到产品性能波动、市场环境变化、不可抗力等因素影响，公司 将依据相关法律法规及《公司章程》等有关规定，履行相应的审批决策程序和信息披露义务。 敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 法定代表人：许开华 统一社会信用代码：914403007341643035 成立日期：2001 年 12 月 28 日 2、本协议的签署不构成关联交易，亦不构成《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》规定 的重大资产重组。 一、协议签署概况 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025年1月 与格林美股份有限公司（以下简称"格林美"）签署了《战略合作框架协议》， 公司将为格林美开发一种适用于红土镍矿高压浸出HPAL工艺的高效沉淀剂产 品并保障供应，具体内容详见202 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a comprehensive valuation table for various companies in the building materials industry, indicating a range of price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025E and 2026E [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the expected growth in net profit for several companies, with notable increases such as 90 million CNY for Conch Cement in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a strong market position [1] - The PE ratios for the companies vary significantly, with Conch Cement at 15.3 for 2025E and 13.8 for 2026E, while companies like Jidong Cement show a much higher PE of 37.2 for 2025E [1] - The report emphasizes the valuation metrics, with companies like China National Building Material having a low PB ratio of 0.34, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Summary by Category Cement - Conch Cement has a total market value of 138.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 90 million CNY in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 15.3 for 2025E [1] - Huaxin Cement is valued at 31.9 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 25 million CNY in 2025E and 30 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 12.7 for 2025E [1] - Other notable companies include Tianshan Shares with a market value of 43.1 billion CNY and projected net profits of 15 million CNY in 2025E [1] Consumer Building Materials - Rabbit Baby is projected to have net profits of 7.5 million CNY in 2025E and 8.5 million CNY in 2026E, with a PE of 11.2 for 2025E [1] - China Liansu is valued at 14.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 22 million CNY in 2025E and 24 million CNY in 2026E, showing a low PE of 6.6 for 2025E [1] Glass and Fiberglass - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass has a market value of 15.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 10.5 million CNY in 2025E and 11.5 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 14.3 for 2025E [1] - China Jushi is valued at 51.5 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 35 million CNY in 2025E and 40 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 14.7 for 2025E [1] New Materials - Zhongfu Shenying has a market value of 19.3 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 0.5 million CNY in 2025E and 1.5 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a very high PE of 385.0 for 2025E [1] - Jilin Carbon Valley is valued at 8.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 1 million CNY in 2025E and 1.3 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 85.0 for 2025E [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.62% on July 22, with 22 industries experiencing gains, led by coal and building materials, which increased by 6.18% and 4.49% respectively [2] - The banking and computer industries saw the largest declines, with decreases of 0.98% and 0.73% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 37.702 billion yuan, with 10 industries seeing net inflows [2] - The coal industry had the highest net inflow of capital, amounting to 2.704 billion yuan, while the food and beverage sector followed with a net inflow of 2.137 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.73% [2] Building Materials Industry - The building materials sector increased by 4.49%, despite a net capital outflow of 1.612 billion yuan [3] - Out of 71 stocks in this sector, 52 stocks rose, with 12 hitting the daily limit, while 19 stocks declined [3] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included Tianshan Shares (116 million yuan), Beixin Building Materials (78.9527 million yuan), and Puhua Shares (73.7603 million yuan) [3] - Major stocks with net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan included Conch Cement (564.0534 million yuan), Qingsong Construction (272.7623 million yuan), and Hainan Ruize (235.7191 million yuan) [3] Individual Stock Performance - The top performers in the building materials sector included: - Conch Cement: +10.00% with a turnover rate of 6.77% and a net outflow of 564.0534 million yuan [4] - Qingsong Construction: +8.43% with a turnover rate of 22.23% and a net outflow of 272.7623 million yuan [4] - Hainan Ruize: +5.12% with a turnover rate of 25.94% and a net outflow of 235.7191 million yuan [4] - Other notable stocks with significant capital flow included: - Tianshan Shares: +9.98% with a net inflow of 1159.093 million yuan [5] - Beixin Building Materials: +4.20% with a net inflow of 789.527 million yuan [5] - Puhua Shares: +7.95% with a net inflow of 737.603 million yuan [5]

| 债券代码：127035 | 债券简称：濮耐转债 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码：002225 | 证券简称：濮耐股份 | 公告编号：2025-043 | 濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司 关于濮耐转债可能满足赎回条件的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、股票代码：002225 股票简称：濮耐股份 2、债券代码：127035 债券简称：濮耐转债 3、转股价格：人民币 4.20 元/股 4、转股时间：2021 年 12 月 01 日至 2026 年 5 月 25 日 5、自 2025 年 7 月 8 日至 2025 年 7 月 21 日，濮阳濮耐高温材料（集团）股份有限公司 （以下简称"公司"）股票已有 10 个交易日的收盘价不低于"濮耐转债"当期转股价格的 130%（因公司在此区间实施了权益分派，故 2025 年 7 月 8 日至 2025 年 7 月 10 日转股价格 为 4.25 元/股，转股价格的 130%即 5.53 元/股；2025 年 7 月 11 日至 2025 年 7 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for Beixin Building Materials and "Overweight" for Weixing New Materials [5][9]. Core Views - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, expected to boost infrastructure in Tibet [2]. - The cement industry is currently experiencing a demand downturn, but supply-side adjustments, such as staggered production halts, are anticipated to improve the situation [2][3]. - The glass manufacturing sector is facing supply-demand contradictions, but the recent self-discipline production cuts in photovoltaic glass may alleviate some of these issues [2][6]. - The consumption building materials sector is benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with significant potential for market share growth [2][6]. - The fiberglass market shows signs of recovery, particularly in wind power demand, while electronic fiberglass prices remain stable amid supply-demand differentiation [2][7]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of July 18, 2025, the national cement price index is 343.37 yuan/ton, down 0.69% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.7828 million tons, up 2.09% [3][16]. - Infrastructure remains the only positive demand driver for cement, but local government funding pressures persist [3][16]. - The cement industry is expected to see structural opportunities in key regions like Sichuan-Chongqing and the Yangtze River Delta [3][16]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1211.96 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.58% [6][31]. - Inventory levels for sample enterprises have decreased, indicating a potential for short-term replenishment demand [6][31]. - The market remains cautious, with limited order improvements expected in the near term [6][31]. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali fiberglass has shown slight weakness, while demand from wind power and thermoplastics remains relatively strong [7]. - The electronic fiberglass market is experiencing stable pricing, with high-end products seeing a notable supply-demand gap [7]. Consumption Building Materials - The consumption building materials sector is experiencing a weak recovery, supported by declining prices of upstream raw materials [6][7]. - Companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials are highlighted for their growth potential in this sector [5][9]. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market remains stable, with production costs at 106,400 yuan/ton and a negative profit margin [8]. - Demand is expected to grow in sectors like wind power and hydrogen storage, although recovery is gradual [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to various factors including demand fluctuations and credit impairment [4][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 between 66.6 million to 79.9 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 49.99% to 40% [4]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to be between 51.3 million to 64.6 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 47.53% to 33.92% [4]. - The median net profit for Q2 is projected at 18.38 million yuan, down 72.9% year-on-year [5]. Group 2: Operational Developments - The company's subsidiary, Xiangchen Magnesium Industry, has recently launched a new project with an annual production capacity of 60,000 tons of high-efficiency precipitant, increasing the total capacity to 110,000 tons per year [4][6]. - The project involved an investment of approximately 35 million yuan and includes the construction of a rotary kiln and supporting systems [6][7]. Group 3: Market Conditions - The demand for active magnesium oxide has been disrupted, leading to lower shipment volumes than expected [5]. - The domestic refractory materials sector continues to face pressure due to weak demand from steel customers and declining overall contract prices, resulting in reduced gross margins [5]. - Credit impairment has been influenced by significant country-specific differences in customer conditions, with some overseas clients facing bankruptcy, leading to a 100% impairment recognition on certain receivables [5].