Core Insights - The logistics industry is increasingly adopting unmanned vehicles to address the surge in delivery demands during the Spring Festival, significantly reducing delivery times and costs [1][4][6] Group 1: Unmanned Vehicle Implementation - Several logistics companies, including Jitu, Zhongtong, and JD Logistics, are accelerating the deployment of unmanned vehicles to assist in delivery operations, particularly during peak seasons like the Spring Festival [1][8] - Unmanned vehicles are expected to enhance delivery efficiency, with estimates indicating a reduction of over 3 hours in delivery times and a 50% decrease in transportation costs [4][7] Group 2: Increased Delivery Volume - The Spring Festival is seeing a notable increase in the volume of heavy packages and gift boxes, with some logistics points expecting daily package volumes to rise by approximately 1,000 compared to previous years [3][6] - The characteristics of this year's delivery peak include a more prolonged high volume period and a greater variety of package types, which places higher demands on logistics capabilities [3][6] Group 3: Cost Management Strategies - To manage the increased workload during the Spring Festival, logistics companies are employing strategies such as flexible scheduling and the use of unmanned vehicles for short-distance transport, which helps alleviate pressure on human resources [4][6] - Major logistics firms like SF Express and JD Logistics are implementing resource adjustment fees during the peak season to manage operational costs effectively [6] Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The trend of utilizing unmanned vehicles is expected to continue growing, with projections indicating that over 1,000 unmanned vehicles will be deployed during the Spring Festival to support various sectors, including logistics, retail, and healthcare [10] - The overall operational efficiency of logistics companies is anticipated to improve, with JD Logistics reporting a 21% reduction in transportation costs since the introduction of unmanned vehicles [9]

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry is increasingly adopting unmanned vehicles to address the challenges posed by the upcoming Spring Festival, including the surge in heavy packages and rising operational costs, with companies like Jitu, Zhongtong, and JD Logistics leading the way in this transformation [1][6]. Group 1: Unmanned Vehicle Implementation - Unmanned vehicles are being deployed to assist delivery personnel, significantly reducing delivery times by over 3 hours and cutting transportation costs by 50% [1][6]. - Companies are scaling up the use of unmanned vehicles, with Jitu, Zhongtong, and JD Logistics expanding their applications in various scenarios, including industrial zones and campuses [7][8]. - JD Logistics has reported a 21% reduction in transportation costs and a 1-hour decrease in average delivery time since implementing unmanned vehicles [7]. Group 2: Increased Demand During Spring Festival - The Spring Festival is expected to see a notable increase in package volume, with some logistics points anticipating a rise of approximately 1,000 packages per day compared to previous years [2][3]. - The characteristics of this year's Spring Festival include a more prolonged peak period and a greater variety of larger packages, which places higher demands on logistics capabilities [2][4]. - The introduction of unmanned vehicles is seen as a solution to manage the increased workload during this busy season, allowing for more efficient operations [5][6]. Group 3: Cost Management Strategies - Logistics companies are adjusting their operational strategies to manage increased costs during the Spring Festival, including hiring temporary workers and implementing resource adjustment fees for heavier packages [4][6]. - The use of unmanned vehicles is expected to alleviate some of the financial pressures by reducing the need for dedicated drivers and vehicles for short-haul tasks [5][6]. - Unmanned vehicles are projected to save approximately 0.1 yuan per package in transportation costs, contributing to overall cost efficiency [6].

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry is increasingly adopting unmanned vehicles to address the challenges posed by the upcoming Spring Festival, including the surge in heavy packages and rising operational costs, with companies like Jitu, Zhongtong, and JD Logistics leading the way in this transformation [1][8]. Group 1: Unmanned Vehicle Implementation - Unmanned vehicles are being deployed to assist delivery personnel, significantly reducing delivery times by over 3 hours and cutting transportation costs by 50% [1][5][7]. - Companies are scaling up the use of unmanned vehicles, with Jitu, Zhongtong, and JD Logistics integrating them into their operations for short-distance transportation tasks [8][9]. - JD Logistics has reported a 21% reduction in transportation costs and a 1-hour decrease in average delivery time since implementing unmanned vehicles [8]. Group 2: Increased Demand During Spring Festival - The Spring Festival is expected to see a notable increase in package volume, with some logistics points anticipating a rise of approximately 1,000 packages per day compared to previous years [3][4]. - The characteristics of this year's Spring Festival include a more prolonged peak period and a greater variety of larger packages, which places higher demands on logistics capabilities [3][4]. - E-commerce platforms are ramping up promotions leading into the Spring Festival, further intensifying the pressure on logistics networks to manage increased volumes effectively [3]. Group 3: Cost Management Strategies - Logistics companies are implementing flexible scheduling and human-vehicle collaboration strategies to manage the increased workload during the Spring Festival [4][6]. - Temporary hiring of drivers and workers is common during peak periods to handle the surge in package volume, leading to increased operational costs [6]. - Companies like SF Express and JD Logistics are introducing resource adjustment fees during the Spring Festival to manage the heightened demand and associated costs [6].

Core Viewpoint - SF Holding (002352) shows a steady growth in revenue and profit, despite a decline in quarterly net profit for Q3 2025, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability in the short term [2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, SF Holding reported a total revenue of 225.26 billion yuan, an increase of 8.89% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 8.31 billion yuan, up by 9.07% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 6.78 billion yuan, reflecting a modest increase of 0.52% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a single-quarter revenue of 78.40 billion yuan, marking an 8.21% year-on-year increase [2]. - However, the single-quarter net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.57 billion yuan, down by 8.53% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items for Q3 was 2.23 billion yuan, showing a decline of 14.17% year-on-year [2]. - The company's debt ratio stands at 49.99%, with investment income of 1.18 billion yuan and financial expenses of 1.33 billion yuan [2]. - The gross profit margin is reported at 12.96% [2]. Market Activity - As of January 22, 2026, SF Holding's stock closed at 39.67 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.43% [1]. - The trading volume was 304,200 hands, with a total transaction value of 1.21 billion yuan [1]. - The net inflow of main funds was 31.04 million yuan, accounting for 2.56% of the total transaction value, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 32.54 million yuan, also representing 2.69% [1]. - Conversely, speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 63.58 million yuan, which is 5.25% of the total transaction value [1]. Analyst Ratings - Over the past 90 days, 18 institutions have provided ratings for SF Holding, with 15 recommending a buy and 3 suggesting an increase in holdings [2]. - The average target price set by institutions in the last 90 days is 51.03 yuan [2].

Group 1 - The logistics sector experienced a rise of 0.75% on January 22, with Jushen Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] - Jushen Co., Ltd. saw a closing price of 22.21, with a significant increase of 10.00% and a trading volume of 184,300 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 406 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The logistics sector had a net inflow of 64.2 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 12.4 million yuan [2] - Major stocks in the logistics sector showed varied performance, with Guohui Logistics experiencing a net inflow of 35.43 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 26.30 million yuan [3] - The stock of SF Holding had a net inflow of 31.04 million yuan from main funds, despite a net outflow of 63.58 million yuan from speculative funds [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [3][30] Core Insights - The express delivery industry in China experienced a total delivery volume of 216.5 billion pieces in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.5%. The express delivery volume reached 199 billion pieces, growing by 13.7% year-on-year. The total revenue for the postal industry was 1.8 trillion yuan, with express delivery revenue at 1.5 trillion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 6.4% and 6.5% respectively [1][6] - In December 2025, the national express service companies completed a business volume of 18.21 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of approximately 2.3%. The express business revenue was about 138.87 billion yuan, showing a slight increase compared to the same period last year. The average revenue per piece was approximately 7.63 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 1.6% [1][6][8] Summary by Sections 1. December Industry Overview - The industry volume growth rate fell below 3%, with stable performance in average revenue per piece. The December express delivery volume growth rate decreased further compared to November, attributed to high base effects from last year's price wars and weak demand since Double Eleven [2][6][8] - Major companies saw a decline in year-on-year volume growth rates, with YTO dropping from 13.6% in November to 9.0%, Yunda from -4.2% to -7.4%, and Shentong from 14.7% to 11.1%. SF Express's growth rate fell to 9.3% [2][6][12] 2. Express Business Volume - The express delivery business volume in December 2025 was approximately 18.21 billion pieces, with a year-on-year growth of about 2.3%. The growth rate continued to decline due to the ongoing internal competition and weak demand since Double Eleven [8][10] 3. Average Revenue per Piece - The average revenue per piece in December 2025 saw a year-on-year decline of 1.6%, with a narrowing decrease in the price drop trend. The overall price indicators remained positive, indicating a supportive effect from the internal competition [7][22][28] - The revenue per piece for major companies showed mixed results, with YTO's revenue per piece increasing by 0.4%, while Yunda and Shentong saw decreases of 0.5% and 3.3% respectively. SF Express's revenue per piece increased by 2.5% month-on-month, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [23][25][27] 4. Investment Recommendations - Despite the pressure from lower-than-expected demand since Double Eleven, the stability in average revenue per piece for major companies reflects the supportive role of internal competition on pricing. The ongoing internal competition is expected to exceed expectations, indicating the industry is in the early stages of an upward cycle, with profitability likely to continue recovering [3][30] - The shift from high-growth to a focus on existing market importance suggests a change in competitive logic, emphasizing service quality for sustainable development. Key companies to watch include Zhongtong and YTO, which lead in service quality, and Shentong, which has shown significant operational improvements [3][30]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Financial Industry - The financial industry is expected to gradually return to a positive cycle by 2026, with economic sustainability improving despite not entering a significant upturn [2] - The central bank has implemented flexible interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, with a total of 7 trillion yuan in special re-loans to support small and micro technology enterprises [2][3] - December social financing data shows stable loan issuance, with a slight rebound in medium- and long-term loan growth, supporting infrastructure and helping to exit deflation [2] Automotive Industry - The automotive market in early 2026 is experiencing a downturn, with retail and wholesale sales significantly declining due to overdrawn demand for new energy vehicles and consumer hesitance regarding promotional subsidies [7][9] - A forecasted decline of 5-7% in passenger vehicle sales for Q1 2026, with an expected overall wholesale decline of 3% for the year [9] - The cost pressure in the automotive sector is increasing due to rising raw material prices, with an estimated increase in single vehicle costs by 6,000 to 8,000 yuan, impacting gross margins by 4-5 percentage points [11] Wind Power Industry - The wind power sector is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with annual new installations projected between 100-120 GW [15] Property Management Industry - The property management sector is anticipated to maintain low growth, with increasing differentiation among companies [16] - Major players like China Resources Mixc Life, Greentown Service, and Country Garden Service are expected to show strong performance due to stable cash flow and favorable dividend policies [17] Company-Specific Insights SF Express and Jitu - SF Express and Jitu have entered into a cross-shareholding agreement, with SF acquiring 10% of Jitu and Jitu acquiring 4.3% of SF, which is expected to have limited short-term EPS impact but potential long-term benefits due to resource synergy [4] - The collaboration is expected to enhance market presence in both domestic and overseas markets, particularly in cross-border logistics [5] China Resources Mixc Life - Recent stock price fluctuations for China Resources Mixc Life are attributed to slightly lower-than-expected earnings forecasts, but long-term growth potential remains intact with a projected EPS growth rate of 5-6% [18] Greentown Service and Country Garden Service - Greentown Service is expected to maintain a stable cash return due to its high-quality project structure, while Country Garden Service is anticipated to exceed shareholder return expectations with strong cash flow [17] Additional Considerations - The financial sector is benefiting from a shift in household financial asset allocation, with an annual growth rate of approximately 12% expected [3] - The automotive industry faces challenges from rising costs and cautious promotional strategies, with a need for adaptation to new policies impacting sales [8][12] - The property management sector is seeing a healthier profit structure as major companies release impairment pressures and rationalize non-core business operations [16]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [7] Core Views - December saw a slowdown in package volume growth and a narrowing of price declines, attributed to the diminishing effect of the "trade-in" subsidy and high base effects from the previous year [1][2] - The report recommends companies with strong overseas growth potential such as Jitu Express, and logistics leaders like SF Holding, while maintaining a long-term positive outlook on ZTO Express due to its strong cash flow and cost advantages [1][4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In December, retail sales growth slowed to +0.9% year-on-year, with commodity retail sales at +0.7%, primarily due to the high base effect from the previous year and the waning impact of the "trade-in" subsidy [2] - The online retail sales of physical goods also decreased to +0.5% year-on-year in December, down from +3.0% in the previous months [2] Package Volume and Pricing - The express delivery industry experienced a year-on-year package volume growth of +2.6% in December, down from +6.4% in the previous months, influenced by increased operational costs and a warm winter affecting winter clothing sales [2][3] - The average price per package saw a year-on-year decline of -1.0%, with a seasonal increase of 0.12 RMB compared to the previous months [2] Company Performance - Among major express companies, Shentong (Shunfeng) led with a package volume growth of +11.1%, followed by SF Holding at +9.3% and YTO Express at +9.0%, while Yunda Express saw a decline of -7.4% [3] - The report highlights that the price increase in express delivery has suppressed low-priced packages, benefiting leading companies in terms of market share [3] Strategic Developments - SF Holding and Jitu Express announced mutual shareholding, which is expected to enhance their cross-border business capabilities and network coverage [4] - The report emphasizes the potential for collaboration between Jitu's mature overseas delivery network and SF's resources in cross-border logistics [4] Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - SF Holding (002352 CH) with a target price of 53.10 RMB and a "Buy" rating [9] - Jitu Express (1519 HK) with a target price of 12.40 HKD and a "Buy" rating [9] - ZTO Express (2057 HK) with a target price of 185.90 HKD and a "Buy" rating [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the resilience and dedication of Hunan SF Express couriers in overcoming severe weather challenges to ensure timely delivery of packages during a cold wave [1][3]. Group 1: Courier Operations - SF Express couriers in Hunan are actively working despite harsh weather conditions, demonstrating commitment to their promise of timely delivery [1]. - Couriers are taking extra precautions, such as adding anti-skid chains to vehicles and optimizing delivery routes to navigate icy conditions [1]. - The article illustrates the personal efforts of couriers, such as carrying packages up slippery slopes to ensure customer satisfaction [1]. Group 2: Emergency Response Measures - Hunan SF Express has implemented an extreme weather emergency plan, forming a special task force to manage operations during the cold wave [3]. - The company proactively procured and distributed materials like industrial salt, anti-skid chains, and heating packs to support couriers [3]. - Safety reminders are being pushed through internal systems, and delivery routes are dynamically adjusted to account for icy areas [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Robovan sector, particularly emphasizing the potential of L4 RoboX technology in 2026 [3]. Core Insights - The 2026 smart technology landscape differs from previous years, focusing more on AI logic and software opportunities rather than hardware and consumer sales [3]. - Key catalysts for Robovan's growth include model iterations, increased RoboX deployments, and supportive policy developments [3]. - The report highlights the successful penetration of Robovan in the express delivery sector, with expectations for expansion into fast-moving consumer goods, durable goods, and chain restaurant applications [3]. - Investment recommendations suggest a strong focus on L4 RoboX as a primary investment theme for 2026 [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report draws parallels between the current AI-driven transformation in transportation and the previous 4G mobile internet wave, noting that AI will enhance hardware capabilities and replace existing transportation methods [4][12]. - The report identifies Robovan as a key player in urban logistics, with significant potential for replacing traditional delivery vehicles [4][12]. Robovan Market Dynamics - Robovan's successful deployment in express delivery has led to approximately 27,000 units delivered in the first 11 months of 2025, primarily in the express sector [3]. - The report outlines the expected growth of Robovan in various logistics scenarios, including fast-moving consumer goods and durable goods delivery [3][46]. Technological Advancements - The report discusses the technological advancements in Robovan, including hardware and algorithm improvements that reduce costs and enhance operational efficiency [23][24]. - It emphasizes the importance of a robust supply chain and the integration of AI technologies to facilitate Robovan's commercial viability [23][24]. Policy Support - The report highlights ongoing government support for Robovan technology, with numerous policies aimed at facilitating the deployment and commercialization of autonomous delivery vehicles [12][19]. - It notes that over 250 cities have opened public road rights for Robovan, indicating a favorable regulatory environment for growth [20]. Market Potential - The urban delivery market is projected to reach 1.4292 trillion yuan in 2022, with Robovan expected to capture a significant share due to its efficiency in the supply chain [56]. - The report identifies that 64% of the urban delivery market consists of scenarios suitable for Robovan, indicating substantial growth opportunities [56].