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国盛证券:关注滔搏品牌伙伴去库和上新节奏 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Tabo (06110) is a leading company in the sports footwear and apparel distribution channel, with improvements in retail efficiency driven by digital transformation and optimized store structures. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.229 billion, 1.379 billion, and 1.533 billion yuan for FY2026-FY2028, with a current price corresponding to a FY2026 PE of 14 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In FY2026 Q3, the company's total sales (including retail and wholesale) are expected to decline by a high single-digit percentage, with direct store sales area decreasing by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 13.4% year-on-year [1] - The decline in sales is attributed to store closures, with a net reduction of 332 stores in FY2026 H1, bringing the total to 4,688 stores as of the end of November 2025 [1] - The company anticipates that offline sales will continue to face pressure due to fluctuating consumer environments and market competition, although retail sales are expected to outperform wholesale [1] Group 2: E-commerce Growth - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum in e-commerce, leveraging its strong operational capabilities and enhancing its e-commerce system [2] - The strategy includes extending the online reach of physical stores through platforms like Douyin, Xiaohongshu, WeChat Mini Programs, and instant retail [2] - The company aims to improve its operational capabilities in both platform e-commerce and content e-commerce [2] Group 3: Brand and Market Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its brand presence in the outdoor and running segments, collaborating with brands like Norda, Soar, Ciele, and Norr na to meet diverse consumer needs [3] - A new running ecosystem brand, Ektos, has been established, with a store opened in Shanghai and participation in the Shanghai Marathon to attract runners [3] - The company plans to leverage its marketing and retail advantages to help new brands expand their market presence and share opportunities in the running segment [3] Group 4: Financial Outlook - The company is projected to experience a decline in net profit, with a forecasted revenue decrease of 7% and a net profit drop of around 4% for FY2026 [4] - The overall consumer environment remains volatile, negatively impacting terminal sales [4] - The main brand Adidas is expected to perform relatively well in the Greater China region, with a 6% revenue growth on a currency-neutral basis for the period of July to September 2025, while Nike is still in the process of inventory reduction, with a 16% revenue decline in the same region [4]
国盛证券:关注滔搏(06110)品牌伙伴去库和上新节奏 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-12-23 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Tabo (06110) is a leading company in the downstream channel of sports footwear and apparel, with improvements in retail efficiency driven by store structure optimization and digital transformation, alongside effective membership operations that enhance user loyalty. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.229 billion, 1.379 billion, and 1.533 billion yuan for FY2026-FY2028, with a current price corresponding to a FY2026 PE of 14 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1 - In FY2026 Q3, the company experienced a high single-digit decline in total sales, with direct store sales area decreasing by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 13.4% year-on-year [1] - The decline in sales is attributed to store closures, with a net closure of 332 stores in FY2026 H1, resulting in a total of 4,688 stores as of the end of November 2025 [1] - The company anticipates that offline sales will continue to face pressure due to fluctuations in consumer traffic and market competition, although it expects a reduction in net store closures in FY2026 H2 compared to FY2026 H1 [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to maintain growth in e-commerce sales due to its strong operational capabilities, enhancing its e-commerce system by leveraging offline stores and expanding into various online channels [2] - The company is focusing on new brand and business layout in the outdoor and running segments, collaborating with brands like Norda, soar, Ciele, and Norrøna to meet differentiated consumer demands [3] - The company has established the running ecosystem brand ektos and opened a store in Shanghai, which gained attention during the Shanghai Marathon [3] Group 3 - For FY2026, the company is projected to see a decline in net profit, with an estimated revenue drop of 7% and a net profit decrease of around 4% due to a volatile consumer environment impacting terminal sales [4] - The main brand Adidas is expected to perform relatively well in the Greater China region, with a 6% revenue growth on a currency-neutral basis for the period of July to September 2025 [4] - Nike is currently undergoing inventory destocking in the Greater China region, with a 16% revenue decline on a currency-neutral basis for the period of September to November 2025, but is expected to improve its operational performance in the long term [4]
研报掘金丨国盛证券:维持青松股份“增持”评级,有望逐步迎来业绩拐点
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-23 06:29
Core Viewpoint - Qingsong Co., Ltd. has shown improvements in both revenue and profit, indicating enhanced profitability and operational efficiency [1] Financial Performance - The company's non-recurring net profit margin for Q3 2025 reached 8.0%, a significant year-on-year increase of 3.5 percentage points, reflecting a notable recovery in profitability [1] - The improvement in gross margin is attributed to increased capacity utilization driven by order and revenue growth, alongside a rise in sales of high-value products [1] Cost Management - Effective cost control measures have been implemented, contributing to the overall enhancement of the company's financial performance [1] Market Position - Nosbel, a subsidiary of the company, is recognized as a leading domestic cosmetics manufacturer, benefiting from scale advantages and continuous investment in research and development [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to gradually reach an inflection point in performance as it continues to pursue cost reduction and efficiency enhancement initiatives [1] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 26 times for 2026, with a maintained "buy" rating [1]
国盛证券:全球加码空天时代 国内火箭回收加速打破产业瓶颈
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 06:25
Group 1 - The U.S. government, under Trump's administration, has signed an executive order to enhance space policy support, aiming to ensure U.S. leadership in space exploration, security, and commercial sectors by 2028 and establishing a permanent lunar outpost by 2030 [1] - The order includes directives for deploying nuclear reactors on the Moon and in orbit, upgrading launch infrastructure, and developing commercial pathways to replace the International Space Station by 2030, stimulating private sector innovation and investment [1] Group 2 - The Starship rocket has successfully conducted multiple test flights and is validating its V2 version, which is crucial for future deep space exploration and the deployment of Starlink V3 satellites [2] Group 3 - The first large language model (LLM) trained using H100 space GPUs has been developed, showcasing the potential for AI workloads to be run in space, with plans for a 5GW orbital data center equipped with solar panels and cooling systems [3] - Starcloud's next phase includes a launch in October 2026, which will carry multiple H100 GPUs and integrate the Blackwell platform to enhance AI performance [3] Group 4 - China's commercial space sector is expected to see significant advancements by 2025, with multiple private aerospace companies completing rocket launch tests and the development of reusable rockets, which will lower launch costs and mature the commercial space profit model [4] - The recent launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket, despite a recovery test failure, is viewed as a valuable experience for China's private space industry in rocket recovery technology [4] Group 5 - Relevant companies in the space computing sector include Shunhao Co., Ltd. (002565.SZ), Putian Technology (002544.SZ), and Maiwei Co., Ltd. (300751.SZ) [5] - Companies involved in rocket technology include Western Materials (002149.SZ), Aerospace Power (600343.SH), and Aerospace Machinery (600151.SH) [5] - Satellite-related companies include China Satellite (600118.SH), Shanghai Hanxun (300762.SZ), and Zhenlei Technology (688270.SH) [6]
国盛证券:从预期到兑现 液冷迈向第二发展阶段
智通财经网· 2025-12-22 06:11
Core Insights - The liquid cooling industry is transitioning from a "first development stage" focused on concepts and expectations to a "second development stage" characterized by order confirmations, capacity realization, and performance delivery [1][4] Group 1: Industry Transition - The liquid cooling system is moving towards performance realization, with high-power cabinets (100kW+) becoming the new norm, and the GB300 series AI servers expected to start mass production by the end of 2025 [2][4] - The market focus is shifting from discussions about liquid cooling concepts to actual performance metrics and market space evaluations, marking the end of the expectation-driven phase [1][2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is evolving from individual component competition to a comprehensive thermal management system that spans servers, cabinets, and data center equipment, increasing customer reliance on solution providers [3][4] - Industry leaders are expected to benefit from their comprehensive solutions, large-scale delivery capabilities, and established relationships with major clients, reinforcing a "stronger gets stronger" dynamic in the market [3][4] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The liquid cooling market is being systematically re-evaluated as the application boundaries expand from GPU servers to switches and ASIC devices, indicating a significant growth potential [2][4] - Companies with full-stack solution capabilities and certifications from leading clients are positioned to capture the upcoming industry benefits, particularly those with extensive global delivery experience [4]
守正创新 文化铸魂:国盛证券的数字化转型实践之路
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of cultivating a distinctive Chinese financial culture, focusing on "innovation while maintaining integrity" as a guiding principle for the digital transformation of the securities industry [1] Group 1: Digital Transformation and Innovation - The company prioritizes technology innovation as a core strategic element, establishing an Information Technology Committee to enhance its technological capabilities and support digital transformation [2] - A dedicated AI application leadership group has been formed to accelerate the application of AI technologies, with a strategic plan for AI development from 2025 to 2027, aiming to create a comprehensive AI platform across various business areas [3] - The integration of AI technologies into wealth management and other business scenarios is seen as a significant opportunity for deep transformation and innovation within the company [4] Group 2: AI and Business Integration - The company has developed a multi-dimensional digital employee matrix to enhance service quality, operational efficiency, and risk management through AI applications [5] - A series of AI-driven initiatives, including an "AI Application Culture Festival," have been launched to foster innovation and collaboration among employees, resulting in numerous practical AI application cases [6] - The company is focused on creating a customer-centric service ecosystem through its core app, enhancing service quality and efficiency while integrating AI capabilities [7][8] Group 3: Customer Empowerment and Service Enhancement - The company has implemented a unified customer service platform that leverages AI technologies to provide a seamless and efficient service experience, transitioning from traditional to AI-driven customer service models [9] - An intelligent investment education platform has been developed to improve the quality and reach of investor education, managing over 4,000 educational products and reaching nearly 2 million investors [10] - The company has received multiple awards for its achievements in financial technology and innovation, highlighting its commitment to integrating technology with financial services [10][11]
国盛证券:险资加速入市,还有哪些低位优质建筑标的可以配置?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-21 05:49
Group 1 - The current policy is driving insurance capital to increase allocation in the stock market, with a significant acceleration observed in 2023, particularly in Q3 [1][2] - Insurance capital is favoring high ROE, high dividend yield, and undervalued stocks in the construction sector, with major holdings in China Power Construction, China State Construction, and Sichuan Road and Bridge [1][2] - Sichuan Road and Bridge has recently received a stake increase from Zhongyin Life, indicating a trend of insurance capital focusing on high-quality construction stocks [2] Group 2 - It is estimated that insurance capital will allocate 286 billion yuan to the construction sector by 2026, representing 3.5% of the free float market value [3] - The projected allocation for the construction sector from insurance capital is expected to be 508 billion yuan in 2025 and 794 billion yuan in 2026, with incremental increases of 271 billion yuan and 286 billion yuan respectively [3] - The construction sector is expected to attract long-term capital due to the presence of stable performance, high dividends, and low valuations among key A-share companies [4] Group 3 - The global demand for computing power is expected to grow significantly, driven by AI development, leading to a new growth cycle for cleanroom engineering [5] - Major semiconductor companies are increasing their capital expenditures, with TSMC projecting a doubling of its AI business by 2025 and a compound annual growth rate of approximately 40% over the next five years [5] - The cleanroom investment in the semiconductor industry is projected to reach approximately 168 billion yuan globally and 50.4 billion yuan in China by 2025, representing about 15% of the total industry capital expenditure [5]
国盛证券:南昌金控已减持1%公司股份
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 12:48
12月19日,国盛证券(002670)发布公告,持股5%以上股东南昌金融控股有限公司于2025年12月8日至 12月18日期间,通过集中竞价方式减持股份1935万股,占公司总股本的1%。 12月19日,国盛证券(002670)发布公告,持股5%以上股东南昌金融控股有限公司于2025年12月8日至 12月18日期间,通过集中竞价方式减持股份1935万股,占公司总股本的1%。 ...
国盛证券(002670.SZ):南昌金控累计减持1%股份
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-19 12:22
格隆汇12月19日丨国盛证券(002670.SZ)公布,公司于12月18日收到南昌金控出具的《关于减持股份比 例触及1%整数倍暨减持计划实施完成的告知函》,截至2025年12月18日,南昌金控累计减持股份 19,350,816股,占公司总股本的1%,本次减持股份比例触及1%整数倍,本次减持计划剩余股数本次减 持期间不再减持,南昌金控本次减持计划实施完成。 ...
国盛证券(002670) - 关于持股5%以上股东减持股份比例触及1%整数倍暨减持计划实施完成的公告
2025-12-19 12:18
证券代码:002670 证券简称:国盛证券 公告编号:2025-065 国盛证券股份有限公司 股东南昌金融控股有限公司保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、准确、完整, 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 特别提示: 关于持股 5%以上股东减持股份比例触及 1%整数倍暨 减持计划实施完成的公告 国盛证券股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 11 月 15 日披露了 《关于持股 5%以上股东减持股份的预披露公告》(公告编号:2025-060),持 有本公司股份 133,575,768 股(占公司总股本比例 6.90%)的股东南昌金融控股 有限公司(以下简称"南昌金控")计划自该公告披露之日起 15 个交易日后的 3 个月内(即 2025 年 12 月 8 日至 2026 年 3 月 7 日)以集中竞价或大宗交易方 式减持公司股份合计不超过 19,350,846 股(占公司总股本比例 1.00%)。 公司于 12 月 18 日收到南昌金控出具的《关于减持股份比例触及 1%整数倍 暨减持计划实施完成的告知函》,截至 2025 年 12 月 ...