Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Shangnon Chip's enterprise-level storage product sales are expected to grow significantly by 2025, with a projected revenue increase of over 40%, exceeding 34 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - The company is forecasted to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 480 million to 620 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 81.77% to 134.78% [1] - The growth in performance is primarily driven by the high demand for storage products due to AI, leading to a sustained price increase [1] Product Development - The company's proprietary brand, Haipu Storage, is entering a phase of increased production starting from Q4 2025, contributing to profitability [1] - The combination of the ramp-up in Haipu Storage and the ongoing price increase cycle in the storage market supports the upward revision of profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [1] Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the growth opportunities in its electronic components business and the increased demand for storage products driven by AI [1] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, reflecting confidence in its future performance [1]

国盛证券研报指出，香农芯创2025年销售的企业级存储产品数量增长，主要产品价格呈现上升的态势， 预计全年收入增长超过40%，超340亿元；实现归母净利润4.8-6.2亿元，同比增长81.77%-134.78%；认 为公司业绩增长主要系AI驱动下存储产品供不应求，涨价周期持续，同时公司自主品牌海普存储进入 放量期，实现盈利。由于海普存储25Q4开始已进入放量阶段，叠加存储涨价大周期，上调2026、2027 年盈利预测，看好公司电子元器件业务起量及AI驱动下存储产品需求提升带来的营收业绩增长机遇， 维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities initiates coverage on Power Development (01277) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its high ROE and profitability driven by quality coal resources in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and South Africa [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The company operates four coal mines with a total capacity of 10.1 million tons per year and reserves of 1.005 billion tons, including the Dafenpu coal mine (6.5 million tons/year) and Yong'an coal mine (1.2 million tons/year) [2] - The main products, "Power 2" and "Power Mix," have a calorific value above 4000 kcal, with "Power 2" being a low-sulfur, high-ash melting point environmental coal that commands a brand premium [2] Group 2: Growth Strategy - The acquisition of Ningxia Power Mining in 2022 adds significant assets, with an expected increase of 2.1 million tons/year in coking coal capacity, creating a new profit growth driver [3] - The company aims to increase its stake in MCMing to 51% for consolidation, with MCMing holding several coal projects in South Africa, including Makhado and Vele, which have substantial resource reserves [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 4.834 billion, 6.013 billion, and 6.553 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 1.237 billion, 1.680 billion, and 2.404 billion yuan, leading to PE ratios of 10.0X, 7.3X, and 5.1X respectively [1] Group 4: New Ventures - A partnership with Minenet for the Roti Fonk heavy mineral project is expected to generate approximately $1.6 billion in revenue and $0.8 billion in gross profit, with a gross margin of around 50% [4] Group 5: Dividend Policy - The company has a strong dividend policy, with special dividends announced for 2023-2025, including a mid-year dividend of 0.05 HKD per share and a special dividend of 0.035 HKD per share, resulting in a semi-annual dividend yield of 5% based on a share price of 1.63 HKD [5]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is expected to experience price increases due to improved supply-demand dynamics and a shift towards "anti-involution" practices, benefiting certain construction companies that have extended their operations into the chemical sector [1][21]. Supply Side Summary - Investment growth in the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector has been declining since 2022, with a significant drop in investment growth turning negative by June 2025. The construction of new capacity in the chemical industry has notably decreased, with the share of ongoing projects in the basic chemical sector falling from 33.8% in 2022 to 24.4% in Q1-Q3 2025 [1]. - The reduction in new capacity is compounded by energy consumption controls and enhanced environmental policies set for 2025, alongside significant shutdowns of chemical facilities in Europe and Japan due to cost disadvantages, leading to an overall improvement in the global supply landscape [1]. Demand Side Summary - Despite weak traditional demand, certain factors such as manufacturing inventory replenishment, pre-Spring Festival stocking, increased exports, and growth in new manufacturing demands are providing strong support for some chemical products. The manufacturing PMI reached 50.1% in December 2025, indicating a return to expansion for the first time since April 2025 [3]. Inventory Cycle Summary - The chemical industry is transitioning from active destocking to passive destocking. Although there was a slight increase in inventory levels in the chemical raw materials and products sector in H2 2025, the inventory growth of finished products in downstream sectors has been declining since March 2025, indicating a significant inventory disparity within the supply chain [5]. - The current inventory structure shows moderate inventory levels upstream and low inventory levels downstream, suggesting that any improvement in demand could trigger rapid destocking of upstream chemical products, providing strong support for price elasticity [5]. Policy Environment Summary - The "anti-involution" policy introduced in July 2024 has shifted from a slogan to actionable industry measures, encouraging leading companies to avoid price wars and instead focus on maintaining price levels through reduced production rates [5]. Company-Specific Insights - **China Chemical (601117.SH)**: Positioned as a quality undervalued stock with strong cash flow, benefiting from the anti-involution trend. The company has a production capacity of 200,000 tons for both adiponitrile and caprolactam, with potential profit increases from price rebounds in these products [6]. - **Sandi Chemical (002469.SZ)**: Expected to see continued price improvements for existing chemical products under the anti-involution backdrop. The company has significant production capacities and is advancing new product lines that are anticipated to enhance profitability [11]. - **Donghua Technology (002140.SZ)**: The company is experiencing improved profitability in its industrial segment due to supply reductions stabilizing ethylene glycol prices. It has several high-end chemical projects in operation, contributing to revenue growth [15]. - **Southeast Net Framework (002135.SZ)**: The company produces polyester filament with a capacity of 500,000 tons. Price recovery in this segment is expected to contribute positively to performance [18]. Investment Recommendations - The chemical product price increase is supported by declining capital expenditures, environmental restrictions, and a shift in competitive dynamics. Companies such as China Chemical, Sandi Chemical, Donghua Technology, and Southeast Net Framework are highlighted as key beneficiaries of this trend [21].

Market Overview - The securities sector experienced a slight decline of 0.07% on January 23, with GF Securities leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up 0.79% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Huayin Securities (002945) with a closing price of 17.86, up 3.78% and a trading volume of 476,000 shares, totaling 846 million yuan [1] - Xiangcai Shares (600095) closed at 11.70, up 2.18% with a trading volume of 597,900 shares, totaling 701 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - GF Securities (000776) closed at 22.31, down 1.24% with a trading volume of 580,600 shares, totaling 1.3 billion yuan [2] - Tushin Securities (002736) closed at 12.56, down 1.02% with a trading volume of 586,200 shares, totaling 740 million yuan [2] Fund Flow Analysis - The securities sector saw a net outflow of 1.644 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.15 billion yuan [2][3] - Key stocks with significant fund flows included: - Guotai Junan (601211) with a net inflow of 180 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Huayin Securities (002945) had a net inflow of 86.16 million yuan from institutional investors [3] ETF Performance - Financial Technology ETF (516100) saw a decline of 5.40% over the past five days, with a current PE ratio of 76.53 and a net subscription of 21.78 million yuan [5] - Securities ETF (515010) decreased by 1.29% over the past five days, with a PE ratio of 17.02 and a net redemption of 76.32 million yuan [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities highlights AIDC and power shortages as the main investment themes leading up to 2026, driven by increasing demand for HVDC solutions due to major internet companies' investments [1] Group 1: AIDC and HVDC Market Trends - The UPS market is steadily growing, with HVDC high-voltage direct current solutions identified as a definitive industry trend, and SST technology expected to accelerate the implementation of 800V HVDC systems [2] - By 2028, the power demand for data centers in the U.S. and globally is projected to reach 81GW and 125GW, respectively [2] - Nvidia plans to promote an 800V HVDC architecture starting in 2027 to support higher power density IT racks, utilizing solid-state transformers (SST) as a future distribution solution [2][3] Group 2: Power Supply and Demand Dynamics - The U.S. is facing a power shortage, with data center electricity demand expected to surge from 200 TWh to 640 TWh by 2035, equivalent to Germany's annual electricity consumption [4] - In Texas, there are numerous applications for data center electricity demand, but the grid can only accommodate about 1GW, indicating a significant gap in supply [4] - The aging U.S. transmission lines, many over 40 years old, require urgent upgrades and renovations to meet increasing demand [4] Group 3: Gas Turbine and Transformer Opportunities - The three major gas turbine manufacturers have orders extending to 2028, with a focus on components such as turbine blades and combustion chambers, indicating strong demand for these suppliers [5] - The global upgrade of electrical grids and the rising AI electricity demand are driving continuous demand for transformers, with China holding 60% of global transformer production capacity [5] Group 4: Diesel Generator Market - Diesel generators are becoming essential for data centers to maintain power continuity during outages, with a shift towards a seller's market for diesel generation as new infrastructure develops [6] - Domestic manufacturers are poised to seize opportunities as overseas diesel generator companies adopt a more conservative expansion strategy [6]

国盛证券（002670）发布研报称，2025年宠物行业市场规模增长4.1%，食品市场仍是主要消费市场， 养宠年轻化或成为行业进入高质发展的驱动因素。国产品牌在不断夯实基础体系化研发，打造差异化产 品，提升产品竞争力，重视品牌长期建设。头部国产品牌在产品力升级及品牌表达等持续提升，看好中 长期品牌成长空间。 国盛证券主要观点如下： 行业仍然呈现持续增长态势，2025年宠物行业市场规模增长4.1% 犬猫数量及单只消费持续增长，犬猫数量同比增长1.8%，单只犬年均消费同比增长1.5%，单只猫年均 消费同比增长3.2%，同时2025年食品市场仍是主要消费市场，养宠年轻化或成为行业进入高质发展的 驱动因素。 强者恒强，持续加码新渠道 从格局看，国产持续，强者恒强，从京东宠物、淘天宠物看，宠食头部品牌集中度提升;淘天数据， 2025年双十一国货品牌份额70%+，2025年618天猫宠物食品CR10达44%(2024年618为37%)。从渠道 看，持续加码新渠道，重视线下基本盘，根据宠业家数据，线上淘天仍是第一大市场，占比达29%，抖 音渠道是确定性的增长阵地，同时需加码小红书、O2O等新渠道，线下渠道宠物店、宠物医院合计 ...

Core Insights - The annual performance of Tonghuashun exceeded expectations, with projected net profit attributable to shareholders ranging from 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 80% [1] - The active recovery of the domestic capital market has led to increased investor confidence and trading activity, benefiting the company's financial terminal leadership [1] - The company has seen a rise in user activity on its website and app, driven by expansion into lifestyle, consumer, and technology sectors, alongside increased demand from financial clients such as securities and funds [1] Financial Projections - The expected operating revenue for Tonghuashun from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 6.458 billion, 8.303 billion, and 10.299 billion yuan respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders forecasted at 2.972 billion, 3.925 billion, and 4.991 billion yuan [1] - The company's business is highly correlated with the activity level of the securities market, indicating potential for growth as market activity increases [1] Future Outlook - The HithinkGPT model is anticipated to drive the application of cutting-edge model technology, contributing to future growth [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its strong performance and market position [1]

伴随定期存款到期重定价，将有助于缓解银行息差压力，理想情形下预计将减少银行约5500亿左右的负 债端成本，推动银行付息率下降31BP，但到期存款的再配置也可能对银行负债端稳定性造成扰动。资 产方面，2026年大规模居民存款到期，有望为权益市场带来增量资金、利好股市，尤其是考虑到居民存 款到期主要集中在一季度，本轮"春季躁动"行情有超预期的可能；对债券市场而言，居民存款搬家对债 券实际配置力量、期限利差的影响则有待观察。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 格隆汇1月21日｜国盛证券称，2026年居民和企业部门中长期存款到期规模为58.3万亿、相较2025年多 增5.6万亿，其中：居民部门到期规模达37.9万亿、较2025年多增4.3万亿，为近5年最高水平。节奏上， 2026年居民和企业部门定期存款主要集中在一季度到期、占比54%，其中居民部门定期存款一季度到期 规模占比超60%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities has initiated coverage of First Pacific (0142.HK) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting the company's strong growth resilience and synergy through diversified operations in the Asia-Pacific region [1][2]. Business Overview - First Pacific operates in four main sectors: consumer food, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources, maintaining a solid competitive position in Southeast Asian markets such as Indonesia and the Philippines [1]. - The consumer food segment is the core business, with Indofood Group leading in instant noodles and flour markets in Indonesia [1]. - The infrastructure business, led by MPIC, covers various sectors including power, toll roads, water, and healthcare, showing positive growth trends in recent years [1]. - The telecommunications segment is supported by PLDT, a leading operator in the Philippines, with steady development in mobile communication, broadband services, data centers, and digital finance [1]. - The natural resources segment currently contributes less but has growth potential with the upcoming production from the new Silangan mine [1]. Financial Performance - For 2024, First Pacific is projected to achieve a revenue of $10.057 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of $600 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.77% [1]. - Guosheng Securities forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to reach $649 million, $708 million, and $767 million respectively, with an average annual growth rate of over 8% [1]. Investment Outlook - The combination of a robust business structure, sustainable profit growth, and attractive valuation has led Guosheng Securities to issue a "Buy" rating, indicating confidence in First Pacific's long-term development value in the Asia-Pacific livelihood sector [2].