Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][6][7] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady growth in its second-quarter performance, with a focus on accelerating its robotics business and expanding its global market share [3][4][6] - The company has stable profitability in its structural components and is actively exploring overseas markets [3][6] - The earnings forecast for the company remains unchanged, with projected net profits of 1.787 billion, 2 billion, and 2.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 21.4%, 11.9%, and 10% [3][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Earnings Forecast - For the first half of 2025, the company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 750-820 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 16%-27% [3][4] - The second quarter net profit is projected to be between 363-433 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7%-28% [3][4] Robotics Business Development - The company is rapidly advancing its robotics business, with multiple product categories in development [4][5] - A joint venture, Kemei Innovation, has launched a lightweight harmonic reducer that reduces weight by 71% and achieves a torque-to-weight ratio of 168%, suitable for humanoid robot arms [4] - The company has established another joint venture, Yizhi Smart, focusing on the development and production of core components for intelligent robots [4][5] Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 10.511 billion yuan in 2023 to 16.927 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.1% [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 4.45 yuan in 2023 to 8.04 yuan in 2027 [8] - The company maintains a stable EBIT margin, projected to be around 15.6% in 2027 [8]

Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 750 million to 820 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.73% to 26.53% compared to 648.08 million RMB in the same period last year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 705 million to 775 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.20% to 23.35% from 628.32 million RMB [1] - The basic earnings per share are estimated to be between 2.74 RMB to 3.00 RMB, compared to 2.40 RMB in the previous year [1] Reasons for Performance Change - The performance improvement is attributed to two main factors: the continuous growth in sales of new energy vehicles, which has driven an increase in the installation of power batteries, leading to a sustained rise in orders for the company's precision structural components for power batteries [1] - The company has actively implemented cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures, focusing on tapping into cost potential and improving operational efficiency, which has significantly contributed to stable profit growth [1]

Group 1 - Jiangte Electric plans to change its control rights, with stock suspension starting from July 22, expected to last no more than 2 trading days. Additionally, its subsidiary Yichun Yinli will suspend operations for equipment maintenance for approximately 26 days, which is not expected to significantly impact annual performance [3] - Core Technology intends to sell 100% equity of its subsidiary Zhongshan Core Automation Technology for 156 million yuan and transfer related assets for a total of approximately 82 million yuan. The company aims to optimize its business structure by consolidating resources [4] - Fengmao Co. plans to invest no more than 1.5 billion yuan to establish an intelligent chassis thermal control system production base in Yuyao, while terminating the project for a parts production base in Jiaxing, which had not yet commenced [5] - Haopeng Technology's controlling shareholder voluntarily extends the lock-up period for pre-IPO restricted shares by 12 months, reflecting confidence in the company's future development [6] - Good Products has been involved in a share transfer dispute, with the court accepting the case involving 996 million yuan. The outcome may introduce uncertainties regarding the control transfer of its major shareholder [7] Group 2 - Haitan Ruisheng expects a net profit increase of 607.01% to 960.52% for the first half of 2025, driven by rapid growth in AI technology and its applications [9] - GeKao Micro anticipates a revenue growth of 22.27% to 36.51% for the first half of 2025, supported by the recognition of its high-pixel chip integration technology [10] - Jinghe Integration forecasts a net profit increase of 39.04% to 108.55% for the first half of 2025, benefiting from improved industry conditions and increased product sales [11] - Best Beauty expects a net profit increase of 100.07% to 168.38% for the first half of 2025, attributed to significant profit growth in trade products [12] - Juzan Optoelectronics reports a net profit growth of 3.43% for the first half of 2025, with a proposed stock dividend of 4.5 shares for every 10 shares held [13] - Changshu Bank reports a net profit of 1.969 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.55% [14] - Keda Li anticipates a net profit increase of 15.73% to 26.53% for the first half of 2025, driven by the growth in new energy vehicle sales [15] - *ST Sitong reports a net loss of 16.201 million yuan for the first half of 2025, despite a revenue increase of 75.88% [16] Group 3 - Gaode Infrared has signed contracts totaling 685 million yuan for overseas market orders, representing 25.59% of its projected 2024 revenue [18] - Dajin Heavy Industry has signed a contract worth approximately 430 million yuan for offshore wind farm foundation supplies, accounting for 11.38% of its projected 2024 revenue [20] - Dongfang Precision has established a strategic partnership with Leju Robotics, focusing on embodied intelligent robots [21] - Chuling Information's subsidiary has signed a framework contract with China Mobile for a total amount of 421 million yuan, involving intelligent network integration products [22] - Hongxin Technology has entered into contracts with a leading domestic flying car company for component development and procurement [23] Group 4 - Dongcai Technology's chairman plans to reduce his stake by up to 0.43% due to personal financial needs [25] - Tianchuang Fashion's shareholder Visions plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% through centralized bidding [26]

一、本期业绩预计情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日-2025 年 6 月 30 日 | 证券代码：002850 | 证券简称：科达利 | 公告编号：2025-044 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127066 | 债券简称：科利转债 | | 深圳市科达利实业股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 （二）业绩预告情况 □扭亏为盈 同向上升 □同向下降 | 项 目 | 本报告期 | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 | 盈利：75,000.00 万元–82,000.00 | 万元 | 盈利：64,808.12 | 万元 | | 东的净利润 | 比上年同期增长：15.73%–26.53% | | | | | 扣除非经常性损益 | 盈利：70,500.00 万元–77,500.00 | 万元 | 盈利：62,831.88 | 万元 | | 后的净利润 | 比上年同期增长：12.20%–23.35% ...

科达利（002850）公告，预计2025年1月1日至2025年6月30日归属于上市公司股东的净利润为7.5亿元– 8.2亿元，比上年同期的6.48亿元增长15.73%-26.53%。扣除非经常性损益后的净利润预计为7.05亿元– 7.75亿元，比上年同期的6.28亿元增长12.20%-23.35%。基本每股收益预计为2.74元/股–3元/股，上年同 期为2.4元/股。业绩增长主要得益于新能源汽车销量增长带动动力电池装机量增长，以及公司降本增效 举措的实施。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance of the Jiashi New Energy Materials Stock A fund, indicating a profit of 4.7057 million yuan in Q2 2025, with a net asset value growth rate of 0.46% and a total fund size of 2.059 billion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [2][15]. Fund Performance - As of July 18, 2025, the fund's one-year cumulative net value growth rate is 33.18%, ranking 7th out of 44 comparable funds [3]. - The fund's three-month net value growth rate is 8.86%, ranking 34th out of 44 comparable funds, and the six-month growth rate is 6.97%, ranking 22nd out of 44 [3]. - Over the past three years, the fund has experienced a net value growth rate of -44.60%, ranking 21st out of 31 comparable funds [3]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years is -0.3224, ranking 18th out of 31 comparable funds [8]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years is 63.37%, ranking 3rd out of 31 comparable funds, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q3 2022 at 24.88% [10]. Investment Strategy - The fund manager indicates that corporate profit recovery is similar to historical cycles, suggesting potential for exceeding expectations in various industries due to suppressed capital expenditures [2]. - The fund has maintained a high average stock position of 91.71% over the past three years, with a peak of 94.62% at the end of 2023 [13]. - The fund's investment focus is on sectors related to new energy lithium batteries and intelligent driving, adjusting the portfolio dynamically based on market fluctuations [2]. Holdings Concentration - The fund has a high concentration of holdings, with the top ten stocks including Ningde Times, Putailai, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others, indicating a stable selection of investment targets [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution and current state of the lithium battery industry in China, highlighting the significant growth and challenges faced by companies in this sector, particularly in the context of market saturation and the need for technological innovation. Group 1: Industry Overview - Over the past two decades, China has transformed from a negligible player in the lithium battery market to a dominant force, holding 73.7% of global lithium battery shipments and 87% of energy storage battery shipments [2][3] - The total market capitalization of Chinese lithium battery companies peaked at 5.8 trillion RMB, with 12 companies valued over 100 billion RMB [2] - The industry is now entering a new phase where rapid growth is no longer guaranteed, and companies must adapt to a more competitive landscape [2][4] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, 108 Chinese lithium battery companies are projected to see an 11.87% decline in revenue year-on-year, with net profits down 67.27%, marking a second consecutive year of significant declines [3][4] - The operating cash flow of the industry has decreased by 18.38%, and net financing has dropped by 81.91%, indicating a tightening financial environment [4][5] Group 3: Key Players - CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited) has grown from a small workshop to a global leader with revenues exceeding 360 billion RMB and total assets surpassing 780 billion RMB [8][9] - CATL's R&D investment over the past 11 years totals 76.63 billion RMB, representing 5.2% of its revenue, with a workforce of over 20,000 R&D personnel [9][10] - The company has made significant technological advancements, including the launch of several high-performance battery products [10][11] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Companies like Ningde Times and others are focusing on technological breakthroughs, global expansion, and financial health to navigate the competitive landscape [5][12] - The article emphasizes the importance of financial stability and capital strength as critical factors for survival in the increasingly competitive lithium battery market [13][22] Group 5: Future Outlook - The future of the lithium battery industry will depend on companies' abilities to innovate, maintain financial health, and adapt to global market demands [5][22] - The article suggests that only companies with strong technological capabilities, efficient operations, and robust financial structures will thrive in the evolving market [5][12]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the humanoid robot industry, highlighting significant growth potential driven by policy support and technological advancements [3][10]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing rapid development, with government policies emphasizing embodied intelligence as a key focus for future industrial growth [10]. - Major companies are investing heavily in humanoid robotics, leading to accelerated technological progress and market expansion [3][8]. - The production of humanoid robots is set to increase significantly, with projections estimating a global market size of 150 billion yuan by 2029 [3][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Emergence of the Humanoid Robot Industry - The humanoid robot sector is entering a phase of industrialization, with advancements in AI enhancing interaction and learning capabilities [6][8]. 2. Harmonic Reducers: Acceleration of Domestic Production - Domestic manufacturers are ramping up production of harmonic reducers, which are critical components for humanoid robots [22][39]. 3. Planetary Roller Screws: Breakthrough in Domestic Production - The planetary roller screw market is expanding, with increasing applications in various industries, including automotive and robotics [56][68]. 4. Frameless Torque Motors: Domestic Performance Surpassing Expectations - Domestic frameless torque motors are showing competitive advantages in performance and cost, contributing to the overall growth of the humanoid robot market [28][29]. 5. Dexterous Hands: Technological Iteration and Upgrades - The development of dexterous hands is crucial for enhancing the functionality of humanoid robots, with ongoing technological improvements [22][28]. 6. Six-Dimensional Torque Sensors: Continuous Cost Reduction - The market for six-dimensional torque sensors is expected to grow as costs decrease, making them more accessible for humanoid robot applications [22][28]. 7. Market Potential and Production Plans - Companies like Tesla and Figure AI are planning significant production increases, with Tesla aiming for 5000 units in 2025 and up to 1 million units by 2029 [17][19].

Group 1 - The retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.111 million units in June 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.7% and a month-on-month increase of 8.2% [1] - Cumulative retail sales from January to June 2025 amounted to 5.468 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 33.3% [1] - Exports of new energy passenger vehicles in June reached 198,000 units, a significant year-on-year surge of 116.6%, accounting for 41.1% of total passenger vehicle exports, marking a 17.6 percentage point increase from the same period last year [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the proportion of new energy vehicles in the total vehicle ownership in China reached 10.27% [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission highlighted the integration of artificial intelligence into daily life, with smart devices like smartphones, smart homes, and smart cars gaining popularity among consumers [1] - By the end of 2024, the total number of charging infrastructure units in China is expected to reach 12.818 million, effectively supporting the large-scale adoption of new energy vehicles [1] Group 3 - The top ten holdings of the fund "Qingguo Xuyuan Three-Year Holding Period Mixed A" are highly concentrated in the high-end manufacturing industry chain and Hong Kong technology sectors [2] - As of July 15, the fund achieved a return of 21.42% over the past year [2] - The fund's top ten stocks include leading companies in the power battery sector such as CATL and Keda Li, as well as major internet companies like Tencent and Meituan in the Hong Kong market [2] Group 4 - The Chinese new energy vehicle supply chain continues to grow rapidly, with low-end capacity being rapidly eliminated after two years of price declines, leading to marginal improvements in the industry [2] - It is recommended to focus on battery and structural component sectors that benefit from low upstream raw material prices and stable profitability [2] - The demand for electric vehicles in Europe remains strong, with June sales in eight countries reaching 207,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19% [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Leading the Market" [4] Core Viewpoints - The battery production in June 2025 reached 129.2 GWh, showing a year-on-year growth of 51.4% and a month-on-month increase of 4.6% [3] - The sales volume of batteries in June 2025 was 131.4 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.7% [3] - Exports of batteries in June 2025 increased by 22.5% year-on-year, totaling 24.4 GWh [3] - The top three companies in battery installation volume are CATL, BYD, and Zhongchuang Xinhang, with market shares of 43.67%, 21.47%, and 7.55% respectively [3] Summary by Sections Production and Sales Data - In June 2025, the total battery production was 129.2 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 51.4% and a month-on-month increase of 4.6% [3] - The production of ternary batteries was 29.5 GWh, accounting for 22.8% of total production, while lithium iron phosphate batteries produced 99.5 GWh, making up 77.0% [3] - Battery sales reached 131.4 GWh in June 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 41.7% [3] Export and Installation Data - Total battery exports in June 2025 were 24.4 GWh, with a year-on-year increase of 22.5% [3] - The installation volume of power batteries was 58.2 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.9% [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the battery demand continues to grow rapidly, indicating a market with potential for expansion [4] - It highlights the competitive advantages of leading companies in the industry, recommending attention to CATL, Zhongke Electric, and other key players [4] - The development of solid-state batteries is noted as a promising future direction, with recommendations to focus on companies involved in solid-state battery technologies [4]