Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The domestic cotton market is in the new cotton listing stage. The upside of cotton prices is restricted by hedging. In the short term, the upward space for cotton prices is limited. The supply side shows that Xinjiang cotton harvesting is over 50%, faster than last year, with a slight increase in ginning factory processing costs, while inland cotton acquisition is slow due to rain. The demand side indicates that the downstream textile enterprises' demand is weak, and the "Silver October" replenishment is not obvious. Attention should be paid to the impact of trade situations on the market [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton main contract closing price is 13,565 yuan/ton, unchanged; cotton yarn main contract closing price is 19,765 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan. - Cotton futures top 20 net positions are -110,691 lots, an increase of 2,111 lots; cotton yarn futures top 20 net positions are -141 lots, a decrease of 8 lots. - Cotton main contract positions are 579,084 lots, a decrease of 6,203 lots; cotton yarn main contract positions are 24,095 lots, a decrease of 94 lots. - Cotton warehouse receipts are 2,471 sheets, a decrease of 17 sheets; cotton yarn warehouse receipts are 6 sheets, unchanged [2] 现货市场 - China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex:3128B) is 14,830 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan; China Yarn Price Index for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 20,475 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan. - China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM:1% tariff) is 13,116 yuan/ton; China Imported Cotton Price Index (FCIndexM: sliding - duty) is 14,050 yuan/ton. - The arrival price of imported cotton yarn price index for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 21,145 yuan/ton, down 41 yuan; for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn is 22,491 yuan/ton, down 44 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area is 2,838.3 thousand hectares, an increase of 48.3 thousand hectares; the national cotton output is 6.16 million tons, an increase of 540,000 tons [2] Industry Situation - The cotton - yarn price difference is 5,645 yuan/ton, down 22 yuan. - The national industrial inventory of cotton is 861,000 tons, a decrease of 9,000 tons; the national commercial inventory of cotton is 1.0217 million tons, a decrease of 460,000 tons. - Cotton import volume is 100,000 tons, an increase of 30,000 tons; cotton yarn import volume is 130,000 tons, unchanged. - Imported cotton profit is 823 yuan/ton, an increase of 30 yuan [2] Downstream Situation - Yarn inventory days are 25.24 days, an increase of 0.39 days; grey fabric inventory days are 31.43 days, an increase of 0.31 days. - Monthly cloth output is 2.811 billion meters, an increase of 0.11 billion meters; monthly yarn output is 2.0738 million tons, an increase of 45,900 tons. - Monthly clothing and clothing accessories export value is 12,453,247,000 US dollars, a decrease of 1,692,657,000 US dollars; monthly textile yarn, fabric and product export value is 11,966,516,000 US dollars, a decrease of 426,686,000 US dollars [2] Option Market - Cotton at - the - money call option implied volatility is 6.5%, down 0.08%; cotton at - the - money put option implied volatility is 6.5%, down 0.08%. - Cotton 20 - day historical volatility is 8.2%, unchanged; cotton 60 - day historical volatility is 7.97%, down 0.03% [2] Industry News - As of October 27, 2025, the cumulative notarized inspection of cotton processed by national cotton processing enterprises in the 2025/26 season is 6,378,658 bales, totaling 1,440,701 tons, a year - on - year increase of 52.28%. The cumulative notarized inspection volume of Xinjiang cotton is 1,414,998 tons, a year - on - year increase of 52.79%. - ICE cotton futures rose on Monday, driven by a weak US dollar and optimism about the alleviation of trade tensions supporting global cotton demand. The ICE December cotton futures contract closed up 0.36 cents, or 0.40%, at 64.56 cents per pound [2]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests to buy on dips and place long orders [2] 2) Core Viewpoints - In the first half of 2025, China's wind and solar power installed capacity exceeded thermal power, marking the energy revolution entering a deeper stage. The large - scale construction and grid - connection of new energy power stations are key to achieving the "dual carbon" goal [2] - On the supply side of polysilicon, as the dry season approaches in Southwest China in November, production costs for polysilicon enterprises are rising, and some enterprises in Sichuan and Yunnan have started to reduce production. On the demand side, the photovoltaic industry chain has weak demand. Component tender prices are continuously falling, leading to delays in centralized projects and a reduction in the demand for polysilicon from silicon wafers [2] - Although N - type silicon materials maintain a certain premium due to the increasing penetration rate of TOPCon battery technology, the price of ordinary materials is approaching the cost line, and the overall industry gross margin is narrowing [2] - Internationally, high inventory in the European market suppresses import demand. The loosening of US tariff policies drives the growth of energy storage system exports but cannot fully offset the negative impact of the European market. However, emerging markets such as the Middle East and Latin America show a surge in demand, buffering the decline on the demand side [2] - Market rumors about the government's potential policy to regulate photovoltaic production capacity have boosted market confidence, but the specific details and implementation time of the policy are still unclear [2] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main polysilicon contract is 54,355 yuan/ton, down 145 yuan; the open interest of the main contract is 114,932 lots, up 9,055 lots. The basis between December and January for polysilicon is 40 yuan, down 65 yuan; the price difference between polysilicon and industrial silicon is 45,400 yuan/ton, down 135 yuan [2] Spot Market - The spot price of polysilicon is 52,980 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of N - type silicon wafers (210R) is 1.36 yuan/piece, unchanged. The weekly average price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 6.51 US dollars/kg, down 0.02 US dollars; the basis of polysilicon is - 1,520 yuan/ton, down 2,195 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The closing price of the main industrial silicon contract is 8,955 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the spot price of industrial silicon is 9,350 yuan/ton, unchanged. The monthly export volume of industrial silicon is 70,232.72 tons, down 6,409.29 tons; the monthly import volume is 1,939.85 tons, up 602.27 tons. The monthly output of industrial silicon is 402,800 tons, up 36,000 tons; the total social inventory of industrial silicon is 552,000 tons, up 10,000 tons [2] Industry Situation - The monthly output of polysilicon is 130,000 tons, up 5,000 tons; the monthly import volume of polysilicon is 1,292 tons, up 286 tons. The weekly spot price of imported polysilicon materials in China is 6.9 US dollars/kg, up 0.01 US dollars; the monthly average import price of polysilicon is 2,350 US dollars/ton, down 270 US dollars [2] Downstream Situation - The monthly output of solar cells is 70,873,000 kilowatts, up 1,016,000 kilowatts; the average price of mainstream photovoltaic modules is 0.74 yuan/watt, unchanged. The weekly comprehensive price index (SPI) of the photovoltaic industry for polysilicon is 32.82, unchanged; the average price of solar cells is 0.82 yuan/W, up 0.01 yuan. The monthly export volume of photovoltaic modules is 129,531,200 pieces, down 19,491,300 pieces; the monthly import volume is 14,733,700 pieces, down 6,706,500 pieces. The monthly average import price of photovoltaic modules is 0.3 US dollars/piece, up 0.06 US dollars [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - Next week, in the industrial silicon market, production cuts in the southwest and increased production in the northwest will occur simultaneously; there is high uncertainty in the demand for polysilicon, while the demand for organosilicon and aluminum alloy is relatively stable; costs provide support for prices at the lower end, but high inventories limit the upside potential of prices. Industrial silicon continued to fluctuate at the bottom today. If production capacity continues to decline, industrial silicon prices are expected to find support. However, the short - term main contract is near the high - price level, so it is recommended to short on rallies [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract was 8955 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the main contract's open interest was 211,670 hands, up 10,152 hands; the net position of the top 20 was - 55,846 hands, down 7,555 hands; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's warehouse receipts were 48,044 hands, down 141 hands; the closing price of the December contract for industrial silicon was - 375 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan; the spread between the November - December contracts for industrial silicon was - 375 yuan/ton, up 5 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of oxygen - blown 553 silicon was 9350 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of 421 silicon was 9650 yuan/ton, unchanged; the basis of the Si main contract was 395 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan; the DMC spot price was 11,275 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of silica was 410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of petroleum coke was 2030 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of clean coal was 1850 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of wood chips was 490 yuan/ton, unchanged; the ex - factory price of graphite electrodes (400mm) was 12,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly industrial silicon production was 402,800 tons, up 36,000 tons; the weekly industrial silicon social inventory was 552,000 tons, up 10,000 tons; the monthly industrial silicon imports were 1,939.85 tons, up 602.27 tons; the monthly industrial silicon exports were 70,232.72 tons, down 6,409.29 tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organosilicon DMC was 44,900 tons, up 700 tons; the overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon was 15.85 US dollars/kg; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot market was 21,100 yuan/ton, unchanged; the weekly average price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon was 6.51 US dollars/kg, down 0.02 US dollars/kg; the monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy was 23,495.34 tons, down 5,568.37 tons; the weekly operating rate of organosilicon DMC was 70.05%, up 0.69 percentage points; the monthly aluminum alloy production was 1.776 million tons, up 141,000 tons; the monthly aluminum alloy export volume was 23,495.34 tons, down 5,568.37 tons [2] 3.6 Industry News - In the first half of 2025, China's wind and photovoltaic power generation installed capacity exceeded that of thermal power for the first time, marking that the energy revolution has entered a critical stage. The large - scale construction and grid - connection of new energy power stations represented by wind and solar energy have become the key forces in achieving the "dual - carbon" goal. In terms of industrial silicon, on the supply side, Sichuan and Yunnan are transitioning from the wet season to the dry season in October, leading to an increase in manufacturers' production costs. Some enterprises with exhausted raw materials have chosen to stop production. As November approaches, the scale of production cuts during the dry season is expected to further expand. In Xinjiang, with stable and low - cost power supply, some manufacturers are actively increasing production, with an increase in the number of furnaces in operation and continuous release of production capacity [2] 3.7 Demand Analysis - In the organosilicon segment, inventories are lower than the historical average. The production profit of organosilicon has slightly rebounded but remains in the loss range, providing some rigid - demand procurement support for industrial silicon. Most organosilicon manufacturers still have some pre - sold orders, and many are in maintenance or plan to enter maintenance, which maintains the demand for industrial silicon to some extent. In the polysilicon segment, inventories are as high as 278,300 tons, higher than the historical average. The prices of silicon wafers are flat, and the prices of solar cells are falling, with poor downstream transmission. Leading enterprises have maintenance plans, and there is a risk of weakening demand support for industrial silicon in the future. In the aluminum alloy segment, the operating rate of aluminum alloy enterprises remains stable, with high demand for industrial silicon, showing relatively stable demand, but the marginal effect on industrial silicon prices is limited [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply pressure eases at the end of the month as the group farms slow down their slaughter rhythm and the average slaughter weight decreases slightly. The secondary fattening entry supports the stabilization of the spot market price, but its sustainability needs to be observed. The terminal demand increases with the drop in temperature, and some slaughter enterprises actively store, leading to a continuous marginal improvement in demand. Overall, the price is expected to fluctuate in the short term. However, the price rebound restricts the sustainability of secondary fattening, and the postponed supply and the expected supply pressure in the fourth quarter limit the medium - term upside space. Technically, the LH2601 contract opened low and closed lower, down 1.3%, with pressure at the previous gap and weak rebound [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for live pigs is 12,160 yuan/ton, down 170 yuan; the main contract position is 117,248 lots, up 7,747 lots; the number of warehouse receipts is 206 lots, unchanged; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 30,906 lots, up 694 lots [2] 2. Spot Market - The live pig prices in Henan Zhumadian, Jilin Siping, and Guangdong Yunfu are 12,600 yuan/ton, 12,600 yuan/ton, and 12,300 yuan/ton respectively, up 300 yuan/ton, 200 yuan/ton, and 200 yuan/ton; the main basis of live pigs is 440 yuan/ton, up 470 yuan/ton [2] 3. Upstream Situation - The live pig inventory is 42,4470,000 heads, up 7160,000 heads; the inventory of breeding sows is 4,0380,000 heads, down 40,000 heads; CPI year - on - year is - 0.3%, up 0.1 percentage points; the spot price of soybean meal in Zhangjiagang is 2,970 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the spot price of corn is 2,240.88 yuan/ton, down 1.67 yuan/ton; the DCE pig feed cost index is 881.43, up 6.95; the monthly output of feed is 31,287,000 tons, up 2,015,000 tons; the price of binary breeding sows is 1,530 yuan/head, unchanged; the breeding profit of purchased piglets is - 289.07 yuan/head, up 86.22 yuan/head; the breeding profit of self - bred and self - raised pigs is - 185.68 yuan/head, up 59.02 yuan/head; the monthly import volume of pork is 80,000 tons, unchanged; the average price of white - striped chicken in the main producing areas is 14.1 yuan/kg, down 0.2 yuan/kg [2] 4. Downstream Situation - The monthly slaughter volume of designated live pig slaughtering enterprises is 33,500,000 heads, up 1,840,000 heads; the monthly retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry is 450.86 billion yuan, up 12.9 billion yuan [2] 5. Industry News - On October 28, the daily slaughter volume of live pigs in key provincial sample slaughtering enterprises was 147,413 heads, up 0.15% from the previous day. The supply pressure eases as the group farms slow down their slaughter rhythm at the end of the month and the average slaughter weight decreases slightly. The secondary fattening entry supports the spot market price, but its sustainability needs to be observed. The terminal demand increases with the drop in temperature, and some slaughter enterprises actively store, leading to a continuous marginal improvement in demand [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Recently, the shipment of urea enterprises has improved slightly, but most of them only maintain a weak balance between production and sales. With some devices shut down for maintenance, the rising trend of enterprise inventory has slowed down, and the domestic urea enterprise inventory only increased slightly last week. However, according to the progress of agriculture, the duration of future demand is limited, and the inventory may still show an increasing trend. The UR2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 1,600 - 1,660 yuan in the short term [2]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the Zhengzhou urea main contract is 1,635 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan; the 1 - 5 spread is -73 yuan/ton, unchanged; the main contract position is 273,001 lots, a decrease of 8,953 lots; the net position of the top 20 is -32,661; the exchange warehouse receipt is 2,970 sheets, a decrease of 2,318 sheets [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The spot prices in Hebei, Henan, Jiangsu, Shandong, and Anhui are 1,630 yuan/ton (up 30 yuan), 1,590 yuan/ton (up 20 yuan), 1,610 yuan/ton (up 40 yuan), 1,610 yuan/ton (unchanged), and 1,590 yuan/ton (up 20 yuan) respectively. The basis of the Zhengzhou urea main contract is -25 yuan/ton, an increase of 5 yuan. The FOB prices in the Baltic and Chinese main ports are 348.5 US dollars/ton and 375 US dollars/ton respectively, both unchanged [2]. 3.3 Industry Situation - The port inventory is 210,000 tons, a decrease of 236,000 tons; the enterprise inventory is 1.6302 million tons, an increase of 14,800 tons. The urea enterprise operating rate is 78.03%, a decrease of 2.61 percentage points; the daily output is 182,600 tons, a decrease of 6,000 tons. The urea export volume is 1.37 million tons, an increase of 570,000 tons; the monthly output is 5,738,670 tons, a decrease of 190,010 tons [2]. 3.4 Downstream Situation - The compound fertilizer operating rate is 27.71%, an increase of 3.53 percentage points; the melamine operating rate is 48.3%, a decrease of 6.88 percentage points. The weekly profit of compound fertilizer is 153 yuan/ton, a decrease of 14 yuan; the weekly profit of melamine with externally - purchased urea is 220 yuan/ton, a decrease of 8 yuan. The monthly output of compound fertilizer is 4.6618 million tons, a decrease of 651,500 tons; the weekly output of melamine is 24,100 tons, a decrease of 3,300 tons [2]. 3.5 Industry News - As of October 22, the total inventory of Chinese urea enterprises was 1.6302 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.92%. As of October 23, the sample inventory of Chinese urea ports was 210,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 52.91%. As of October 23, the output of Chinese urea production enterprises was 1.2779 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 3.23%; the capacity utilization rate was 78.03%, a week - on - week decrease of 2.61% [2]. 3.6 Suggested Attention - Pay attention to the enterprise inventory, port inventory, daily output, and operating rate data from Longzhong on Thursday [2]

Core Insights - The futures concept sector experienced a decline of 0.36% on October 28, with the leading drop from Wuchan Zhongda [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Sector Performance - Notable gainers in the futures concept sector included: - Ruida Futures (002961) with a closing price of 24.29, up 5.75%, and a trading volume of 354,300 shares, totaling 861 million yuan [1] - Xiamen Guomao (600755) closed at 6.81, up 5.26%, with a trading volume of 1,649,200 shares, totaling 1.117 billion yuan [1] - Yuanda Environmental (600292) closed at 12.83, up 3.05%, with a trading volume of 301,900 shares, totaling 389 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - Wuchan Zhongda (600704) closed at 5.88, down 4.70%, with a trading volume of 2,257,700 shares, totaling 1.336 billion yuan [2] - Zhongjin Lingnan (000060) closed at 5.50, down 3.51%, with a trading volume of 1,289,500 shares, totaling 716 million yuan [2] - Zhongke Jincai (002657) closed at 30.78, down 2.75%, with a trading volume of 295,100 shares, totaling 903 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The futures concept sector saw a net outflow of 705 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net inflow of 296 million yuan [2][3] - Notable capital flows included: - Ruida Futures had a main fund net inflow of 150 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 91.24 million yuan [3] - Yong'an Futures (600927) had a main fund net inflow of 43.91 million yuan, with retail funds experiencing a net outflow of 22.76 million yuan [3] - Yuanda Environmental had a main fund net inflow of 37.84 million yuan, with retail funds seeing a net outflow of 26.08 million yuan [3]

Market Overview - The diversified financial sector experienced a decline of 0.52% on October 28, with Zhongyou Capital leading the drop [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the diversified financial sector included: - Ruida Futures (002961) with a closing price of 24.29, up 5.75% and a trading volume of 354,300 shares, totaling 861 million yuan [1] - ST Xiongmao (6650009) closed at 8.77, up 3.79% with a trading volume of 68,700 shares, totaling 60.19 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - Zhongyou Capital (000617) closed at 10.57, down 1.95% with a trading volume of 1.27 million shares, totaling 134.9 million yuan [2] - Bohai Leasing (000415) closed at 3.57, down 1.92% with a trading volume of 698,700 shares, totaling 251 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The diversified financial sector saw a net outflow of 219 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 207 million yuan [2][3] - Specific stock capital flows indicated: - Ruida Futures had a net inflow of 1.50 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 9.12 million yuan [3] - Yongan Futures (600927) experienced a net inflow of 43.91 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also showing a net outflow of 22.76 million yuan [3]

Core Insights - As of October 28, 2025, Ruida Futures (002961) closed at 24.29 yuan, up 5.75% with a turnover rate of 7.96% and a trading volume of 354,300 lots, amounting to a total transaction value of 861 million yuan [1][2] Fund Flow Analysis - On October 28, 2025, the net inflow of main funds was 150 million yuan, accounting for 17.38% of the total transaction value, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 91.25 million yuan, representing 10.6% of the total transaction value [1][2] - Over the past five days, the fund flow data shows fluctuations in net inflows and outflows among different investor categories, with the main funds showing a positive trend on October 28 after previous days of mixed results [2] Company Performance Metrics - Ruida Futures has a total market capitalization of 10.81 billion yuan, with a net asset value of 3.148 billion yuan and a net profit of 386 million yuan, ranking 15th in the diversified financial industry [3] - The company reported a year-on-year decline in main revenue of 2.87% for the first three quarters of 2025, while the net profit increased by 42.15% [3] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a single-quarter main revenue of 575 million yuan, down 13.91% year-on-year, but the net profit rose by 17.41% to 158 million yuan [3] Industry Ratings - In the last 90 days, four institutions have rated Ruida Futures, with three giving a "buy" rating and one an "increase" rating, while the average target price set by institutions is 28.86 yuan [4]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4005.44 points, up 0.21% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13559.57 points, up 0.52% [1] - The ChiNext Index rose by 1.35% and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increased by 0.56% [1] Stock Performance - Among the tradable A-shares, 2937 stocks rose, accounting for 57.03%, while 2001 stocks fell [1] - There were 65 stocks that hit the daily limit up, and 6 stocks hit the limit down [1] - The leading sectors for limit-up stocks included Computer, Machinery Equipment, and Construction Decoration, with 6, 5, and 5 stocks respectively [1] Notable Stocks - ST Zhongdi has achieved 8 consecutive limit-up days, the highest among all stocks [1] - The stock with the highest limit-up order volume was Yingxin Development, with 23384.46 million shares, followed by Pingtan Development and Helitai [1] - In terms of order value, Yingxin Development, Pingtan Development, and Shikong Technology had the highest amounts, with 746 million, 745 million, and 671 million respectively [1] Limit-Up Stocks Summary - A detailed table lists various stocks that hit the limit up, including their closing prices, turnover rates, limit-up order volumes, and industry classifications [1][2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The financial sector experienced a significant rally, particularly in the multi-financial and internet finance segments, with notable stock performances leading to a surge in market activity [1] Group 1: Financial Sector Performance - The multi-financial and internet finance sectors led the rally in the financial market [1] - Notable stocks included Ruida Futures, which hit the daily limit, and Tianli Technology, which rose over 10% [1] - Other companies that saw significant gains included Huijin Co., Nanhua Futures, Tonghuashun, Huaxin Co., and Dongxing Securities, all of which experienced upward momentum [1]