Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector as a whole [5]. Core Insights - The actual demand in the liquor industry has significantly decreased in Q2 2025, with companies like Water Well and Jiu Gui Jiu showing early indicators of industry performance through their earnings forecasts [1][18]. - Moutai's establishment of a joint venture and Jiu Gui Jiu's collaboration with Pang Dong Lai for product launches reflect the multi-faceted strategies employed by major liquor companies to mitigate industry pressures and enhance annual performance [1][18]. - The beverage sector is expected to see leading water companies continue to capture market share, with Farmer Spring's market share rapidly recovering, leading to potential upward revisions in profit forecasts [1][18]. - The snack sector is facing short-term challenges due to rising costs and increased expenses, with a focus on new product launches and net profit margin improvements in the second half of the year [1][18]. - The pet sector presents a buying opportunity following recent corrections, with a focus on valuation shifts in the second half of the year [1][18]. Summary by Sections Core Company Tracking - Moutai is forming platform companies with provincial distributors to develop local cultural Moutai products, which is expected to stabilize pricing and support annual targets while alleviating pressure on the main product's volume growth [12]. - Water Well reported a 13% decline in revenue and a 57% drop in net profit for H1 2025, with significant Q2 revenue declines attributed to inventory reduction pressures and policy impacts [13]. - Jiu Gui Jiu's net profit for H1 2025 is expected to drop by 90%-93%, with a 43% revenue decline, as the company increases sales expenses and new product promotion efforts [14]. - Hai Tian Wei Ye anticipates rapid overseas growth and is enhancing its market share through localized strategies and channel expansion [15]. - Qia Qia Food's net profit is projected to decrease by 71%-76% in H1 2025, with expectations for improvement in H2 as costs normalize [16]. - Gan Yuan Food's net profit is expected to decline by 55%-56% in H1 2025, with plans to strengthen sales of new and core products in H2 [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on liquor companies that are adjusting their strategies in response to market pressures, particularly those with a safety margin in valuations [18][19]. - In the beverage sector, companies like Farmer Spring and Uni-President China are expected to perform well, while traditional consumer stocks like Moutai and Lu Zhou Lao Jiao are recommended for their recovery potential [19]. - The report highlights opportunities in the snack sector with companies like Qia Qia and Gan Yuan, emphasizing the importance of new product launches and margin improvements [19].

[Core Performance Indicators Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=Performance%20Forecast%20Overview) The company forecasts a significant year-over-year decline in its 2025 first-half net profit and earnings per share | Item | Jan 1, 2025 - Jun 30, 2025 (Forecast) | Prior Period (2024) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders of Listed Company** | Profit: RMB 73.00 million – RMB 75.00 million | Profit: RMB 166.5279 million | | Year-over-Year Change | Decrease: 56.16% - 54.96% | - | | **Net Profit After Deducting Non-Recurring Gains and Losses** | Profit: RMB 62.00 million – RMB 64.00 million | Profit: RMB 144.41 million | | Year-over-Year Change | Decrease: 57.07% - 55.68% | - | | **Basic Earnings Per Share** | Profit: RMB 0.80/share – RMB 0.83/share | Profit: RMB 1.83/share | - The performance forecast data is unaudited, but the company has pre-communicated significant matters with its accounting firm, with no major discrepancies[4](index=4&type=chunk)[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Analysis of Performance Changes](index=2&type=section&id=Reasons%20for%20Performance%20Changes) Performance decline is attributed to decreased revenue, rising raw material costs, and increased operating expenses from strategic investments - First-quarter 2025 operating revenue decreased by **13.99%** year-over-year, with net profit down **42.21%**; while Q2 revenue decline is expected to slow, overall first-half revenue will still decrease year-over-year[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Gross profit decreased year-over-year due to the dual impact of reduced revenue scale and increased raw material costs, such as palm oil[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Increased investment in brand and product upgrades led to higher selling and administrative expenses year-over-year, specifically for **selling expenses** (celebrity endorsements, advertising, new product promotion, online/offline channel expansion) and **administrative expenses** (recruiting excellent management personnel, optimizing management team)[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Current brand building investments are part of a long-term plan with no immediate short-term effect, and new products, while promising, are in early promotion stages, not yet scaled, impacting sales expense growth rate temporarily[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Company Outlook and Risk Warning](index=2&type=section&id=Company%20Outlook%20and%20Risk%20Warning) The company is undergoing strategic operational transformation, causing short-term performance pressure but aiming for long-term growth, while cautioning investors on the preliminary nature of this forecast - The company defines the current period as an 'operational transformation phase,' actively adjusting its business strategy (talent iteration, product development, channel optimization), leading to short-term performance pressure but expected to create greater long-term development space[6](index=6&type=chunk)[7](index=7&type=chunk) - In the second half, the company plans to actively increase sales of new and core products and continuously strengthen internal management to enhance operational efficiency[7](index=7&type=chunk) - The company explicitly states that this performance forecast is a preliminary estimate by the finance department, and final financial data will be based on the official '2025 Semi-Annual Report,' advising investors to exercise caution[8](index=8&type=chunk)

Overview - The demand for pistachios in China is increasing due to rising living standards and changing consumer preferences towards healthy snacks. In 2024, the demand for pistachios is projected to reach 235,100 tons, with a market size of 22.711 billion yuan, while the domestic production is only 81,100 tons, necessitating significant imports each year [1][10]. Market Policy - China has implemented a series of stringent food safety policies to regulate the production of pistachios, ensuring product quality and promoting the industry's development towards standardization and high quality. Key policies include guidelines for traditional food production, food safety assessment methods, and measures to enhance food enterprise standard management [4][6]. Industry Chain - The pistachio industry chain includes upstream cultivation, processing equipment, flavoring, and packaging materials. The main cultivation areas are in Xinjiang and Gansu, where the climate is suitable for pistachio growth. Due to insufficient domestic production, China heavily relies on imports. The midstream involves processing, while the downstream includes sales channels such as supermarkets, convenience stores, and e-commerce platforms [8][10]. Development Status - The market for pistachios is experiencing continuous growth, with a projected import volume of 133,700 tons and an import value of approximately 86.9 million USD in 2024. The average import price is 6.50 USD per kilogram, with major suppliers being the United States, Iran, Australia, and Turkey [12][10]. Competitive Landscape - The pistachio industry in China is characterized by a fragmented competitive landscape with numerous participants. Key players include Three Squirrels, Qiaqia Food, and Good Products, among others, with operations spread across various provinces [14][16]. Company Analysis - Three Squirrels has achieved significant sales, with total revenue reaching 10.62 billion yuan in 2024, of which the nut business accounted for 5.366 billion yuan, representing 50.5% of total revenue [16]. Good Products, established in 2006, reported total revenue of 7.159 billion yuan in 2024, with the nut business contributing 1.138 billion yuan, or 15.9% of total revenue [18]. Development Trends - The future demand for pistachios is expected to grow as consumer health awareness increases, leading to a shift towards low-fat, high-protein, and nutrient-rich products. Companies are likely to invest in product diversification and innovation, including new flavors and functional products, as well as deep-processing products like pistachio butter and oil [20].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market index [1][57]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of new product categories and channels, highlighting potential alpha opportunities within the food and beverage sector [4]. - The secondary market performance shows a decline of 0.62% in the food and beverage sector, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.92 percentage points, ranking 20th among 31 sectors [7][12]. - The report identifies key trends in various sub-sectors, including the stabilization of liquor prices, improving beer demand, and high growth potential in the snack segment [7][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Secondary Market Performance - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 0.62%, with the liquor sub-sector showing a relative increase of 1.20% [12]. - Top-performing stocks included Huang Shang Huang, Jiu Gui Jiu, and ST Tong Pu, with gains ranging from 5.12% to 11.71% [12][17]. 2. Major Consumer Goods and Raw Material Prices - Liquor prices as of July 7, 2025, show a mixed trend, with the 2024 Flying Moutai price at 1,890 RMB for scattered bottles, down 160 RMB from the previous month [21]. - Beer production in May 2025 reached 3.584 million kiloliters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.30% [27]. - Dairy prices indicate a stable trend, with fresh milk priced at 3.04 RMB per kilogram, while pork prices are at 20.58 RMB per kilogram, showing a slight increase [29]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that there are currently 65,900 beer-related enterprises in China, predominantly located in East and Northeast regions [54]. - Recent promotional activities, such as the Taobao flash sale, have significantly boosted sales in the liquor and dairy sectors [54]. 4. Core Company Dynamics - Key company updates include Kuozi Jiao's announcement of a cash dividend of 1.30 RMB per share, totaling 778 million RMB [56].

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Fundraising Overview - The company has approved the public issuance of 23.304 million shares at a price of RMB 38.76 per share, raising a total of RMB 903,263,040, with a net amount of RMB 837,038,548.69 after deducting issuance costs [2][3] - The funds will be managed in a dedicated account, and agreements have been signed with the sponsoring institution and the bank for fund supervision [2][3] Fund Management Agreements - The company has established a special account for fundraising and signed a tripartite supervision agreement with China Industrial Bank and Guosen Securities [3][4] - The special account is exclusively for the sixth phase of production construction project, with a current balance of zero as of June 10, 2025 [4][5] - The company is required to notify the sponsoring institution if withdrawals exceed RMB 50 million or 20% of the net fundraising amount [6][10] Regulatory Compliance - The agreements are in accordance with relevant laws and regulations to protect the rights of small investors [3][9] - The sponsoring institution is responsible for supervising the use of funds and must conduct semi-annual inspections [6][10] - Any violations of the agreements will result in liability for damages to the non-breaching party [7][11] Additional Agreements - A four-party supervision agreement has also been established, including the company's wholly-owned subsidiary, to manage funds for marketing network upgrades and brand promotion [9][12] - Similar conditions apply regarding the management and use of funds, including the requirement for monthly account statements [10][11]

证券代码：002991 证券简称：甘源食品 公告编号：2025-022 甘源食品股份有限公司 关于变更部分募集资金投资项目后 签订募集资金三方监管协议 和四方监管协议的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、募集资金基本情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准甘源食品股份有限公 司首次公开发行股票的批复》（证监许可〔2020〕664 号）核准， 并经深圳证券交易所同意，甘源食品股份有限公司（以下简称"公 司"）向社会公开发行人民币普通股（A 股）2,330.40 万股（每 股面值人民币 1.00 元），发行价格为每股人民币 38.76 元，本次 发行新股募集资金总额合计人民币 903,263,040.00 元，扣减发行 费用人民币（不含税）66,224,491.31 元后，募集资金净额为人民 币 837,038,548.69 元。上述募集资金到位情况已经天健会计师事 务所（特殊普通合伙）审验确认，并于 2020 年 7 月 29 日出具了 天健验【2020】3-62 号《验资报告》。公司已对募集资金采取专 户存储管理，并与保荐机构、募集资金专 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the expiration of the third lock-up period for the employee stock ownership plan (ESOP) of Ganyuan Foods, highlighting the conditions and implications of the plan's execution and stock release [1][2][8]. Group 1: Employee Stock Ownership Plan Overview - The ESOP was approved in meetings held on April 27, 2022, and May 19, 2022, with the first grant's third lock-up period set to expire on June 6, 2025 [1][2]. - The stock involved in the ESOP comes from shares repurchased by the company, with a total repurchase fund ranging from RMB 60 million to RMB 120 million [2][3]. Group 2: Stock Repurchase Details - As of January 7, 2022, the company repurchased a total of 1,255,793 shares, accounting for 1.35% of the total share capital, with a total expenditure of approximately RMB 60 million [3][4]. - The repurchased shares were transferred to the ESOP account at a price of RMB 25.66 per share [5]. Group 3: Lock-up Period and Release Conditions - The first lock-up period ended on June 6, 2023, allowing for the release of 358,288 shares, while the second period will end on June 6, 2024, releasing 358,250 shares [6]. - The third lock-up period will release 477,755 shares, which is 40% of the total shares granted in the first phase of the ESOP [7]. Group 4: Future Arrangements Post Lock-up - Due to unmet performance targets, all shares eligible for release during the lock-up periods will not be unlocked, and the rights will be reclaimed by the management committee [8]. - The company will adhere to market trading rules and regulations regarding stock trading during specified periods [8]. Group 5: Plan Duration and Changes - The ESOP has a duration of 60 months, starting from the date of the last stock transfer to the ESOP account [11]. - The plan can be extended with the approval of two-thirds of the participating holders [11][12]. Group 6: Accounting Treatment - The company will follow the accounting standards for share-based payments, with the impact on financial results to be confirmed by annual audit reports [13].

证券代码：002991 证券简称：甘源食品 公告编号：2025-021 甘源食品股份有限公司 2024 年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1.根据《中华人民共和国公司法》《深圳证券交易所上市公 司自律监管指引第 9 号——回购股份》等相关规定，上市公司回 购专户中的股份不享有利润分配等权利。甘源食品股份有限公司 （以下简称"公司"）回购专用证券账户所持有的本公司股份不 参与本次权益分派。 2.公司 2024 年年度股东大会审议通过的 2024 年年度利润分 配方案为：以公司现有总股本 93,215,831 股，扣除回购专户上已 回购股份 1,605,872 股后的股本总数 91,609,959 股为基数，拟每 10 股派发现金红利 17.84 元（含税），拟分配派发现金红利 163,432,166.86 元（含税），不送红股，不进行资本公积金转增 股本，剩余未分配利润结转至下一年度。 3.本次权益分派实施后除权除息价计算时，每 10 股现金红 利=本次实际现金分红总额÷公司总股本（含回购股份）×10 股， 即每 ...

证券代码：002991 证券简称：甘源食品 公告编号：2025-020 甘源食品股份有限公司 关于 2022 年员工持股计划 首次授予部分第三个锁定期届满的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整， 没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 甘源食品股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2022 年 4 月 27 日、2022 年 5 月 19 日分别召开了第四届董事会第三次会议、 2021 年度股东大会，审议通过了《关于<2022 年员工持股计划（草 案）>及其摘要的议案》等相关议案。于 2025 年 4 月 18 日召开 的第五届董事会第二次会议审议通过了《关于 2022 年员工持股 计划首次授予部分第三期和预留授予部分第二期解锁条件未成 就的议案》。具体内容详见公司在《证券时报》《中国证券报》 《 上 海 证 券 报 》 《 证 券 日 报 》 和 巨 潮 资 讯 网 （http://www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的相关公告。 鉴于公司 2022 年员工持股计划（以下简称"本员工持股计 划"）首次授予部分第三个锁定期于 2025 年 6 月 6 日届满，根 据《关于上市公 ...