Group 1 - Financial technology sector shows significant gains with major stocks like Tonghuashun, Kelong Software, and Puyuan Information rising over 2% [1] - The financial technology ETF (159851) experienced a peak price increase of over 1% and saw a net subscription of 110 million shares, accumulating over 260 million yuan in the past two days [1] - Tonghuashun forecasts a net profit of 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 80%, driven by AI investments and market recovery [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities indicates that recent market adjustments are not a trend reversal but a healthy correction of overheated conditions, suggesting a gradual shift towards a slow bull market [3] - The stock market's activity level is a key indicator for the valuation and performance of the securities industry, with unexpected financial policies being crucial for valuation expansion [3] - Financial technology ETF (159851) is recommended for its strong liquidity and coverage of various themes including internet brokers and AI applications, with an average daily transaction of 800 million yuan over the past six months [3]

| 分时 多日 1分 5分 · | | | | | | | F9 盘角盘目 露加 九轮 面线 工具 (7 )> | | | | | | 金融科技ETF | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.89 | | | | 159851[企融科技ETF] 10:52 价 0.887 图表 0.004(0.45%) 均价 0.8. | | | | | | 0.887 +0.004 +0.45% | | | A STATUS IN AND A BOOK OF | | | | | | | | | | | | | | SZSE CNY 10:52:13 交易中 查看(2全國 | | | | | 通用不断 | | 0.03 | | | | | | | | 0.51% | 净值电竞 | | 华富中证金融科技主题ETF | 今年 | 4.60% 120日 | | 3.869 | | | | | | | | | | | 服比 | 40.97% 安顺 | 2340 ...

年度资本市场标杆奖项揭晓 冬日的杭州因一场思想盛宴而热闹非凡。 近日，由杭州金融科技领域头部企业"同花顺"及其旗下iFinD主办的"共同发声·价值发现"资本市场 高质量创新发展交流会暨2025年度评选颁奖典礼，在钱塘江畔隆重举行。 这场盛会吸引了超400位来自全国的上市公司高管、券商、基金、银行等金融机构代表，齐聚杭州 这座创新活力之城，围绕经济前瞻、AI赋能、企业出海等资本市场核心议题展开深度研讨，共同展 望"十五五"高质量发展的新蓝图。 活动还同步揭晓涵盖2025年度上市公司与金融机构的数百项资本市场年度奖项，为杭州打造更具国 际竞争力的金融生态圈，为中国式现代化贡献独特的"杭州金融样本"再添浓墨重彩的一笔。 杭州搭台凝聚创新力量 作为本次活动的主办地，杭州再次展现其全国金融科技与资本要素聚集地特色，为资本与产业的对 话提供了绝佳舞台。 现场，备受关注的同花顺2025年度资本市场评选结果揭晓。 在针对上市公司的评选中，综合考量了公开投票、客观数据，涵盖各上市公司企业号数据（粉丝数 量、文章发布情况、互动数据等）、IR活动（路演直播、栏目对话、调研投关活动等），以及个股和话 题热度等多维度数据。最终，"最受 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company Overview - The company discussed is Tonghuashun, which is involved in the financial technology sector, particularly focusing on AI and data services. Core Insights and Arguments - **2025 Earnings Forecast**: Tonghuashun has projected a net profit attributable to shareholders between 2.73 billion to 3.28 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 80% [1] - **Quarterly Breakdown**: If the upper limit is achieved, the company expects to realize net profits of 120 million, 380 million, 700 million, and 2.08 billion yuan for Q1 to Q4 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +15%, +47%, +144%, and +77% [1] - **Contract Liabilities**: The high level of contract liabilities as of Q3 2025, amounting to 2.52 billion yuan, is seen as a significant indicator of growth for 2025-2026 [2] Additional Important Information - **AI Data Advantage**: The company emphasizes its competitive edge in AI, attributed to substantial investment in information fees, comprehensive data interfaces, and authentic data sources for large model evaluations. This has led to the publication of six papers in top-tier conferences in 2025 [3] - **Market Position**: Tonghuashun has achieved a monthly active user base of 36.7 million, with a market share of 21%, which is twice that of its competitor, Dongfang Caifu [3] - **Future Growth Potential**: The company aims to leverage its AI capabilities to potentially convert 10% of its projected 40 million monthly active users into paying customers, which could lead to a profit of 10 billion yuan if each pays an average of 100 yuan per month [3] - **Valuation Metrics**: Currently, the company is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40x, with historical bull market averages around 70x, indicating a potential upside of 75% [3] - **Expansion Plans**: The company has announced plans to expand its AI robotics team, showcasing its commitment to integrating AI into more real-world business scenarios [3]

【兴证计算机】牛市旗手同花顺：2025利润超预期，beta和alpha有望共振-20260120 事件：公司发布2025年业绩预期，归母利润27.35-32.82亿元，同比增长50-80%；扣非归母净利润26.47-31.77亿 元，同比增长50-80%。 2025年Q4归母利润15.29-20.76亿元，同比增长30-77%；扣非归母净利润14.77-20.01亿元，同比增长30-77%。 【兴证计算机】牛市旗手同花顺：2025利润超预期，beta和alpha有望共振-20260120 事件：公司发布2025年业绩预期，归母利润27.35-32.82亿元，同比增长50-80%；扣非归母净利润26.47-31.77亿 元，同比增长50-80%。 公司利润弹性表现优于市场整体景气度表现，互联网展业模式的规模效应显著。 二、春季行情开门红，beta值得期待。 2026年以来，指数突破4000点，日均股票交易额3.09万亿元，日均两融余额2.66万亿元，市场交投活跃度进一步抬 升。 当前同花顺DAU超过2800万人，2026年有望实现高基数高增长。 三、ETF规模高增，AI商业化有望加速。 2025年末ETF总规模 ...

【重要事项】 纳指科技ETF：将于1月21日开市起至当日10:30停牌 国投白银LOF：二级市场交易价格波动较大，1月21日开市起至当日10:30停牌 凯龙高科：筹划购买金旺达控制权21日起停牌，后者主要产品包括精密行星滚柱丝杆等 【资本运作】 震裕科技：2025年第四季度来自机器人行业订单有较明显增长 百利天恒：iza-bren用于治疗复发性或转移性食管鳞癌的上市申请获受理并被纳入优先审评品种名单， 为全球首个EGFR×HER3双抗ADC上市申请获受理 上海医药：B023细胞注射液获得临床试验批准通知书 全球未有同品种同适应症的药品上市 奕帆传动：拟购买北京和利时87.07%股权，预计构成重大资产重组 康欣新材：拟3.92亿元收购宇邦半导体51%股权，实现向半导体产业的战略转型与升级 明德生物：拟共同投资设立私募基金，投向光互联、半导体等人工智能基础设施/终端产业链 中钨高新：柿竹园公司增储9.17万吨钨金属量等资源 恒瑞医药：HRS-2141片获准开展2型糖尿病适应症的临床试验 【业绩】 海康威视：2025年净利润141.88亿元，同比增长18% 建投能源：2025年净利同比预增253.38% 通富微电： ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan for the year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 80% [1]. - The company's Q4 2025 net profit is projected to be between 1.529 billion and 2.076 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 30.5% to 77.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 117.2% to 194.9% [1]. - The increase in user activity on the company's website and app, along with the growing demand from financial clients, has led to a rise in advertising and internet promotion service revenue [1]. - The number of new A-share accounts opened in 2025 has exceeded that of 2024, reaching 27.44 million, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [2]. - The A-share trading volume for 2025 is expected to grow by 63.3% year-on-year, reaching 420 trillion yuan [2]. - The company is investing in artificial intelligence and has developed a benchmark for evaluating large language models in financial scenarios, enhancing its product competitiveness [3]. Financial Projections - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.458 billion, 8.303 billion, and 10.299 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.972 billion, 3.925 billion, and 4.991 billion yuan [3][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 5.53 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 64.7 [5][6].

2、财政金融促内需一揽子政策落地，更大力度促进民间投资等关键领域发展 盘前要闻 1、日债风暴叠加格陵兰危机，"抛售美国"重现，美股债汇三杀 类型：市场 情绪影响：负面 日本长期国债市场遭遇"疯狂"抛售，同时特朗普声称必须拥有格陵兰岛。市场重现"卖出美国"交易模 式，美股、美债和美元日内均下挫。标普500录得10月以来的最大跌幅，热门中概股普跌。10年期美债 收益率上行至4.29%上方。美元一度跌破98，日内跌近0.5%，人民币盘中短线升破6.95。 2026年开年以来，沪指连续突破重要整数关口，但近期，两融市场迎来降温信号。高盛称，维持对A股 将继续演绎"慢牛"行情的预判。国内资产再配置的资金流或加速，或为股市带来约人民币3万亿的资 金，包含约2万亿个人投资者配置、逾1万亿机构资金。同时，2026年南向资金净买盘有望再创历史新 高。 类型：宏观 情绪影响：正面 1月20日，国新办举行两场重磅发布会，财政金融促内需一揽子政策公布。发改委表示，正研究制定出 台2026～2030年扩大内需战略实施方案。财政部发布优化实施个人消费贷款财政贴息政策等五项政策。 专家表示，一揽子政策通过系统性设计撬动各类资源支持，更大力 ...

Industry News - The Ministry of Finance and five other departments announced the continuation of tax and fee preferential policies for community family services such as elderly care, childcare, and housekeeping, effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027. Income from these services will be exempt from VAT and calculated at 90% for taxable income [24][26] - Recently, a surge in commercial space activities has prompted banks to participate actively. Several banks, including SPDB and CMB, successfully launched satellites aimed at enhancing their risk control capabilities. Satellite remote sensing technology will allow banks to monitor loan project progress and collateral status in real-time, addressing the limitations of traditional inspections [24][26] - Starting from January 20, 2026, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 85 yuan per ton, marking the first price hike for refined oil in 2026. The average increase for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel will be 0.07 yuan per liter [24][26] - Japan plans to invest over $330 billion in artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors [25] - A recent report indicates that the shipment share of ASIC AI servers is expected to rise to 27.8% in 2026, the highest since 2023, with growth rates surpassing those of GPU AI servers [25] - Shanghai has released an action plan to enhance the linkage between futures and spot markets for non-ferrous metals, aiming to improve resource allocation and global pricing influence [25] Company News - Hikvision reported a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.46% [26][34] - Hu Silicon Industry announced that its second-largest shareholder, the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, reduced its stake by 2% between January 7 and January 19, completing the reduction plan [26] - Liou Co. announced the completion of its suspension review and will resume trading [29] - Kailong High-Tech is planning to acquire control of Jinwangda, leading to a suspension of its stock [29] - Yifan Transmission intends to purchase 87.07% of Beijing Helish's shares, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [29] - Tonghu Microelectronics forecasts a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.34% to 99.24% [29] - Baile Tianheng's application for the listing of iza-bren for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has been accepted and included in the priority review list [29] - Guosheng Technology expects a net loss of 325 million to 650 million yuan for 2025 due to low component prices affecting revenue [29] - Kangxin New Materials plans to acquire 51% of Yubang Semiconductor for 392 million yuan, marking a strategic shift towards the semiconductor industry [29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.735 billion to 3.282 billion yuan for the year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 80% [1] - The company anticipates a significant increase in user activity on its website and app, driven by the expansion into lifestyle, consumption, and technology clients, as well as increased demand from financial clients such as securities and funds [1] - The report highlights the company's ongoing investment in artificial intelligence and the development of a large language model evaluation benchmark specifically designed for financial scenarios, which is expected to enhance product competitiveness and user experience [3] Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 6.458 billion yuan, 8.303 billion yuan, and 10.299 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 2.972 billion yuan, 3.925 billion yuan, and 4.991 billion yuan for the same years [3][5] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 54.2% in 2025, 28.6% in 2026, and 24.0% in 2027 [5] - The report indicates that the company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to reach 5.53 yuan in 2025, 7.30 yuan in 2026, and 9.28 yuan in 2027 [5] Market Trends - The number of new A-share accounts opened on the Shanghai Stock Exchange has exceeded 27.44 million in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [2] - The trading volume of A-shares is expected to grow by 63.3% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 420 trillion yuan [2] - The report suggests that the company, as a leader in financial traffic, is likely to benefit from the ongoing bull market [2]