Core Insights - The report emphasizes the dual focus on AI advancements and the deepening of domestic network capabilities in the communication industry, predicting significant growth in AI-related investments and domestic production across various segments [4][5][6] - The anticipated performance for Q4 2025 shows a robust increase in net profits for key companies, with some expected to see over 50% year-on-year growth [4][15] Group 1: AI and Network Development - The AI focus is expected to evolve around overseas mapping, optical communication trends, and changes in optoelectronic technology, with a shift from Scale out to Scale up in ecosystem development [4][5] - Domestic production trends are accelerating across four key areas: chips, cloud, network, and end devices, with significant growth potential in the chip sector due to global supply chain dynamics [4][5] - The report highlights the expected explosion in demand for optical devices and chips, driven by AI needs and the introduction of new technologies like silicon photonics [5][6] Group 2: Company Performance Predictions - Key companies are projected to experience substantial profit growth, with notable increases such as Heertai (+798%), Guangku Technology (+439%), and 5.5G Canqin Technology (+290%) [4][15] - The report outlines specific performance forecasts for major players, indicating a strong recovery in demand across various sectors, including optical communication and satellite internet [4][15] - Companies like China Mobile and ZTE are expected to benefit from increased capital expenditures directed towards AI and network investments, enhancing their revenue and profitability [6][15] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities in the AI computing network, including companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, which are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI capabilities [4][6] - The satellite internet sector is highlighted as having high barriers to entry and significant long-term investment potential, with companies like Zhenyou Technology and Xinke Mobile being key players [4][6] - The IoT sector is expected to see a surge in demand driven by AI and robotics, with companies like Lexin Technology and Guanghe Technology poised for growth [10][11]

(本文来自第一财经) 按申万一级行业来看，本周（2月2日至2月6日）五个交易日内，煤炭、综合板块获得主力资金青睐。电 子、有色金属、通信、传媒、计算机、机械设备、国防军工等板块遭净流出额居前。其中电子板块遭抛 售近360亿元。 个股方面，本周宁德时代获净流入16.23亿元居首，周涨幅达5.46%。美的集团、中超控股主力净流入分 别为14.66亿元、9.76亿元。净流出方面，中际旭创、新易盛、蓝色光标分别遭抛售108.44亿元、79.41亿 元、67.17亿元。 ...

Core Insights - The report introduces a "Five-Dimensional Industry Comparison Framework" that integrates multiple factors affecting stock price performance, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive analysis rather than relying on a single indicator [3][9] - Historical backtesting from 2016 to February 2025 shows that industries with higher scores in this framework tend to perform better, with annualized returns for the top scoring group at 11.8% compared to -10.5% for the lowest scoring group [21][23] - The report suggests a focus on growth sectors for February, particularly in high valuation industries such as electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, communications, and computers [3][34] Five-Dimensional Industry Comparison Framework - The framework consists of five dimensions: market style, fundamentals, liquidity, trading, and valuation, with subjective judgments applied to market style, liquidity, and valuation [9][12] - The scoring process involves adjusting weights based on market conditions, with equal weighting during non-earnings seasons and increased emphasis on fundamentals during earnings seasons [8][30] February Market Outlook - The report anticipates a growth-oriented market style for February, with expectations of net inflows from public funds and a focus on high valuation sectors [3][34] - Key industries identified for investment include electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, communications, and computers, which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions [34][35] Industry Recommendations - **Electronics and Communications**: Companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and ShenNan Circuit are highlighted for their strong positions in AI-related markets and expected growth in demand for high-end products [36] - **Power Equipment**: Firms such as Shenghong Co. and Yangguang Electric are recommended due to their potential benefits from overseas storage and AI power sectors [40] - **High-End Manufacturing**: Companies like Anpeilong and Jingjin Equipment are noted for their advancements in robotics and AI applications, with significant growth potential [42] - **Non-Ferrous Metals**: Companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are expected to benefit from rising copper prices and strategic stockpiling initiatives [46][47] - **Computers**: Firms such as Hikvision and Kingsoft are recognized for their strong AI capabilities and market positioning, with expectations for sustained growth [49][50]

（记者 曾健辉） 每经AI快讯，中际旭创（300308.SZ）2月8日在投资者互动平台表示，（1）由于可插拔光模块拥有成熟 的技术、大规模量产与交付能力、网络部署的灵活性以及较低的维护成本等优势，预计仍有较长的生命 周期，能够满足大客户在scale-out和scale-across网络的大规模和低成本部署需求；而在scale-up网络，可 插拔光模块也是客户可选的技术方案之一；（2）公司在NPO、CPO等领域已有技术布局，并将协助重 点客户定制化开发相关产品。综上，公司紧跟行业与客户迭代趋势，通过加大研发投入和加快技术升 级，能够应对数据中心更高带宽密度和更低功耗的需求，有信心继续保持和巩固在行业的优势与地位。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant style switch in the first week of February, with the technology sector undergoing a deep adjustment while defensive sectors like liquor and real estate showed resilience [1][4]. Group 1: Technology Sector Performance - The technology sector faced a comprehensive pullback, with the electronic industry market capitalization dropping by approximately 890 billion yuan, and leading stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng seeing weekly declines exceeding 13% [1][2]. - The electronic industry recorded a trading volume of 313.9 billion yuan, marking a new high for the year, while the industry index fell by 5.22% and the communication sector by 6.94% [2][3]. - The ChiNext 50 index, representing the technology sector, experienced its largest weekly decline since November 2025, with a drop of 5.76% [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - The market's risk appetite for technology stocks has notably decreased, with many stocks retreating 20% to 30% from their recent highs, indicating a significant sell-off [3][4]. - The upcoming Spring Festival led to increased risk aversion among investors, prompting them to shift from high-volatility sectors to those with stronger earnings certainty [1][4]. - High valuations in the technology sector, with the electronic industry's price-to-earnings ratio at 69.76, have created substantial internal adjustment pressure [4][5]. Group 3: Factors Influencing the Adjustment - Multiple factors contributed to the technology sector's deep pullback, including seasonal trading patterns, high valuations prompting profit-taking, and increased market volatility due to external macroeconomic conditions [4][5]. - The anticipation of rising interest rates in the U.S. has negatively impacted technology stock valuations, as indicated by market reactions to Federal Reserve signals [5][6]. - The shift of funds from technology stocks to defensive sectors like liquor and real estate suggests a phase of market style transition, with investors seeking stability amid uncertainty [6].

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·通信 证券分析师 欧子兴 执业证书：S0600525110002 ouzx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 通信行业点评报告 当前时点如何看光模块/CPO/NPO 投资机会 2026 年 02 月 08 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 风险提示：AI 建设不及预期、光互联技术发生重大变化、系统性风险 -18% -7% 4% 15% 26% 37% 48% 59% 70% 81% 2025/2/10 2025/6/10 2025/10/8 2026/2/5 通信 沪深300 相关研究 《我国卫星通信战略提速，建议布局 两大方向》 2026-01-11 《2026 年通信投资机会梳理：算力为 核，卫星为翼》 2026-01-04 东吴证券研究所 1 / 2 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 光模块未来需求置信度进一步提升。本周海外亚马逊、谷歌、微软和 Meta 等主要 CSP 披露最新财报，2026 年资本开支合计将达 6600 亿美 元，同比大幅增长 60%，主要投向 AI 算力的建设。我们认为，海外主 要 CSP 大厂持 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector over the next six months [1][8]. Core Insights - The demand for optical modules is expected to increase significantly, driven by major cloud service providers (CSPs) like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta, which are projected to spend a total of $660 billion on capital expenditures in 2026, a 60% year-on-year increase, primarily focused on AI computing infrastructure [5]. - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) industry is accelerating its progress, with Lumentum announcing substantial orders for high-power lasers, and Nvidia's partners set to deploy CPO systems in 2026, indicating a robust market expansion [5]. - NPO (Near-Package Optics) technology is gaining traction due to its cost-effectiveness and flexibility, making it a preferred choice among CSP clients, which could enhance the long-term growth potential of related companies [5]. - The report emphasizes that multiple optical interconnection solutions will coexist in the long term, suggesting that investors should focus on different investment priorities based on market cycles and technological advancements [5]. Summary by Sections Optical Modules - The future demand for optical modules is expected to remain strong, with a competitive edge due to the ongoing evolution of products like 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T modules, leading to quarterly revenue growth for related companies [5]. CPO Industry - The CPO sector is witnessing accelerated industrialization, with significant orders expected to materialize in 2026 and 2027, indicating a clear commercial value and expanding market space [5]. NPO Technology - NPO technology is recognized for its unique advantages, including cost and power efficiency, and is anticipated to become a long-term technical choice for CSPs, suggesting a strong growth trajectory for companies involved in this space [5]. Investment Focus - The report recommends focusing on three core investment themes: 1. Large-scale optical modules benefiting from high-speed interconnect demand, with key recommendations for companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and attention to new opportunities in the second-tier market [5]. 2. Smaller optical modules with increased customer demand, highlighting potential breakthroughs for companies like LianTe Technology and HuiLv Ecology [5]. 3. New optical technologies that are emerging, with a focus on companies like Tianfu Communication and potential opportunities in the technology upgrade cycle [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry, indicating an expectation of returns stronger than the market benchmark by over 5% [5]. Core Insights - Strong demand for computing power driven by AI applications is expected to continue, with significant investments from major cloud providers [8]. - The hardware supply-demand imbalance is spreading across various sectors, leading to price increases [8]. - New technologies such as CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) are anticipated to create additional demand [8]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include: - Semiconductor manufacturing: SMIC (688981, Buy), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347, Buy) - Testing and packaging: Changdian Technology (600584, Buy), Tongfu Microelectronics (002156, Buy), and others [9]. - Server storage: Lianqi Technology (688008, Buy) - CPUs: Haiguang Information (688041, Buy), Longxin Technology (688047, Not Rated), and others [9]. - Passive components: Sanhua Group (300408, Buy), Fenghua Advanced Technology (000636, Not Rated) [9]. - Server manufacturing: Industrial Fulian (601138, Buy), Huaqin Technology (603296, Buy) [9]. - Analog and power chips: Naxin Micro (688052, Buy), Sierui Technology (688536, Not Rated), and others [9]. - Semiconductor equipment: Zhongwei Company (688012, Buy), Northern Huachuang (002371, Buy), and others [9]. - Optical devices/chips: Zhishang Technology (301486, Not Rated), Tianfu Communication (300394, Not Rated), and others [9]. AI Applications and Edge Computing - Key targets in edge AI applications include: - AI main control chips: Amlogic (688099, Buy), Hengxuan Technology (688608, Buy) - Edge storage: Zhaoyi Innovation (603986, Buy), Bawei Storage (688525, Buy) [10]. - Terminal manufacturers: Hikvision (002415, Buy), Luxshare Precision (002475, Buy), BYD Electronics (00285, Not Rated), and others [10]. - Core components for AI edge: Huanxu Electronics (601231, Buy), Sunny Optical Technology (02382, Buy), and others [10].

Market Overview - On February 6, A-shares experienced a volume contraction and consolidation, with the ChiNext AI sector turning negative in the afternoon, leading to declines in both computing power and AI applications [1][7] - Major components in the AI application sector saw significant losses, with Kunlun Wanwei dropping over 7%, Xinyi Sheng down 5%, and Zhongji Xuchuang falling 4% [1][7] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) closed down 1.95%, marking its first decline after ten consecutive weeks of gains, with a daily trading volume of 566 million yuan [1][7] Computing Power Sector - The IDC computing power leasing sector showed relative activity, with companies like Tongniu Information and Aofei Data rising over 5% during the trading session [1][7] - The Qianwen APP from Alibaba faced service interruptions during the Spring Festival promotion, highlighting a computing power bottleneck and revealing opportunities for domestic computing power [9] - National internet giants are engaged in a "red envelope war" to capture traffic for large models, indicating that computing resources are becoming a critical constraint in AI applications [9] AI Applications - The commercial model for AI applications is evolving towards large-scale implementation, with expectations for accelerated commercialization of AI agents by 2026 as the ecosystem matures [10] - The supply of AI agents is currently concentrated among leading model manufacturers, with high usage costs, suggesting that high-value scenarios on both consumer and business sides will be the first to achieve large-scale deployment [10] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) is positioned to benefit directly from the commercialization of AI technology, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to computing power and 40% to AI applications [10]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.33%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.73% on February 6 [1] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index declined by 0.57% [1] - Among the tradable A-shares, 2,749 stocks rose, accounting for 50.29%, while 2,550 stocks fell [1] Capital Flow - The main capital saw a net outflow of 11.249 billion yuan, marking three consecutive trading days of net outflows [1] - The ChiNext experienced a net outflow of 12.318 billion yuan, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had a net outflow of 0.155 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 constituent stocks faced a net outflow of 8.381 billion yuan [1] Industry Performance - Among the 11 first-level industries, 8 saw gains, with the top performers being the petroleum and petrochemical sector, which rose by 2.55%, and the basic chemical sector, which increased by 2.05% [1] - The industries with the largest capital outflows included media, which saw a net outflow of 4.346 billion yuan and a decline of 0.84%, and defense and military industry, which had a net outflow of 3.950 billion yuan and a drop of 1.66% [2] Detailed Industry Capital Flow - The electric equipment industry led with a net inflow of 5.386 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.27% [3] - The basic chemical industry followed with a net inflow of 4.600 billion yuan and a daily increase of 2.05% [3] - Other industries with notable capital outflows included computer, communication, and food and beverage sectors [2] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 2,002 stocks experienced net inflows, with 697 stocks having inflows exceeding 10 million yuan [3] - The stock with the highest net inflow was Wuzhou Xinchun, which rose by 10.01% with a net inflow of 1.285 billion yuan [3] - Conversely, 115 stocks had net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with the highest outflows from Xinyi Sheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Aerospace Development, amounting to 2.847 billion yuan, 1.521 billion yuan, and 1.272 billion yuan respectively [3]