证券研究报告/金融工程定期报告 2026 年 03 月 01 日 分析师：吴先兴 执业证书编号：S0740525110003 Email：wuxx02@zts.com.cn 分析师：王鹏飞 执业证书编号：S0740525060001 Email：wangpf@zts.com.cn 量化择时周报：两会来临，短期关注政策驱动 1、《净利润断层策略本周超额收益 1.31%》2026-02-23 2、《量化择时周报：缩量信号如期出 现，聚焦科技与周期》2026-02-23 3.44%》2026-02-08 报告摘要 两会来临，短期关注政策驱动 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 上周周报（20260223）提示：综合来看，市场整体在海外影响以及日历效应的影响下， 风险偏好有望抬升，同时成交金额也到达我们预期的阶段地量水平，市场有望延续节 前反弹节奏。最终 WIND 全 A 全周上涨 2.75%，并创出新高。市值维度上，本周代表 小市值股票的中证 1000 上涨 4.34%，中盘股中证 500 指数上涨 4.32%，沪深 300 上 涨 1.08%，上证 50 上涨 0.17%;本周中信一级行业中，涨幅靠前的行业包括钢铁 ...

每日经济新闻消息，2月24日，市场冲高回落，创业板指盘中一度涨超2%。截至收盘，沪指涨0.87%，深成指 涨1.36%，创业板指涨0.99%。 市场热点快速轮动，板块来看，油气股集体上涨，化工板块爆发，玻纤概念反复活跃。下跌方面，影视院线、 AI应用等板块跌幅居前。 全市场超4000只个股上涨，其中109只个股涨停。沪深两市成交额2.2万亿元，较上一个交易日放量2194亿元。 今天，你收获A股马年"开门红"了吗？ Wind数据显示，截至收盘，三大指数虽冲高回落，但仍然飘红；全市场更有超4000只个股上涨。 但，几家欢喜几家愁。 如果今天你错失了开门红包，很可能源于两件事——持仓下跌，或早盘追高被套。 尤其对节前一两天才入场埋伏的资金来说，超短线的波动今天体现得淋漓尽致。以下图所示的近几日热点板块 为例—— 全A平均股价上涨0.64%，且从分时走势来看：早盘高开后，市场立刻经历了埋伏资金的集中兑现，但该指标 短暂翻绿后就再度走强。 这意味着，多数股民今天应该是赚钱的；若能踩准节奏，短线客还能"赚两份钱"。 押中了贵金属、油气方向的，几乎无悬念大赚甚至爆赚； 选择军工、AI硬件等方向的，持有ETF可以小赚，抓住板 ...

2月24日，A股市场冲高回落，创业板指盘中一度涨超2%，截至收盘，沪指涨0.87%，深成指涨1.36%，创业板指涨0.99%。沪深两市成 交额2.2万亿，较上一个交易日放量2194亿。 综合市场消息面来看，今日A股大幅高开，是多重利好因素共振的结果： 春节假期期间，外围市场整体平稳向好，港股与富时中国A50指数稳中有升，为A股开盘营造了良好的外部环境。 国内方面，流动性保持合理充裕，节前逆回购操作有效维护市场资金面稳定，节后资金回流意愿增强，为市场上行提供资金支撑。 同时，宏观经济稳步复苏、产业政策持续落地，进一步提振了市场风险偏好，投资者对马年资本市场表现预期乐观。 盘面上，三大主线表现强势。 首先是周期股，油气开采、有色金属、化工等板块大涨。油气板块全天领涨，通源石油、中油工程、准油股份等十余股封板；贵金属、 有色金属板块拉升走高，湖南白银、白银有色封板；农药、化工、染料等集体走强，和邦生物、美邦股份等多股涨停。 其次是算力产业链。光模块、光纤光缆、MLCC、PCB等方向表现活跃，长江通信、风华高科、华工科技等多股封板。 最后是电力基建产业链。电网设备震荡上行，白云电器、保变电气等封板。 下跌方面，影视传 ...

Group 1 - The three major indices collectively rose, with the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index both increasing by over 1%, and the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 2.14 trillion yuan, an increase of 157.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The computing power industry chain experienced a collective surge, with strong performance in computing power leasing concepts, rapid gains in CPO concepts, and afternoon increases in computing power chip concepts, while the liquid cooling server concept was also active [1] - The consumer sector saw a collective decline, with significant drops in the film and television, tourism and hotel, retail, and food and beverage sectors [1] Group 2 - The computing power center sector is gaining attention due to the dual drivers of AI computing demand and policy infrastructure, entering a golden growth cycle characterized by simultaneous increases in volume and price [2] - There is a continuous explosion in global demand for AI large model training and inference, with a surge in demand for 800G/1.6T high-speed optical communication, high-density servers, and advanced liquid cooling systems, leading to rapid growth in the computing power leasing and scheduling markets [2] - The industry is experiencing a high level of prosperity, with a resonance between industry growth and capital preferences, supported by policy implementation, technological iteration, and performance realization, indicating a sustained and explosive growth potential for the computing power center [2]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight upward trend with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.05% to 4134.02, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.86% to 14283.00, and the ChiNext Index gaining 1.32% to 3328.06 [4][5] - The total trading volume reached 21,607.71 billion, with 2,108 stocks rising and 3,280 stocks falling [6] Sector Performance - The computing power industry chain saw significant gains, with companies like UCloud and Capital Online hitting the daily limit of 20% [7] - The liquid cooling server sector also performed well, with stocks such as Chuanrun and Invec achieving daily limits [9] - The CPO sector experienced notable increases, with stocks like Taicheng and Tianfu Communication rising over 10% to reach new highs [11] - The non-ferrous metals sector continued its upward momentum, with companies like Xianglu Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting the daily limit [13] Hong Kong Market Highlights - The AI sector in Hong Kong saw a remarkable surge, with stocks like Zhiyuan rising nearly 30% in a single day, pushing its market value close to 200 billion HKD [16] - Zhiyuan's recent flagship model GLM-5 has shown strong performance in coding and agent capabilities, leading to increased demand and a structural price adjustment for its GLM Coding Plan [16][17]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.05% to 4134.02 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index increased by 0.86% and 1.32% respectively, with the total trading volume reaching 2.14 trillion yuan, an increase of 157.5 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The computing power industry chain experienced a collective surge, with significant gains in computing power leasing concepts, highlighted by Dazhi Technology achieving four consecutive trading limits and companies like Capital Online and Yuke Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The CPO (Optical Module) concept saw rapid growth, with Tianfu Communication and other companies reaching historical highs, supported by a report from CITIC Securities indicating that Lumentum has secured several hundred million dollars in CPO-related orders, predicting an industry boom by mid-2027 [2] Group 2 - The electric grid equipment sector collectively strengthened, with companies like Siyuan Electric and Sifang Co. reaching historical highs, driven by the State Council's issuance of guidelines to establish a unified national electricity market by 2035 [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector showed repeated activity, with Xianglu Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten achieving consecutive trading limits, influenced by a significant reduction in nickel ore production quotas from the world's largest nickel mine, leading to a rebound in nickel and cobalt prices [3] - The commercial aerospace concept stock, Jili Rigging, faced a sharp decline, hitting the daily limit down due to a clarification that it had not signed a significant project, reflecting a broader weakness in the commercial aerospace and media sectors [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all three major indices close higher, with the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index both rising over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.14 trillion yuan, an increase of 157.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][6] Sector Performance - The computing power industry chain experienced a collective surge, with the computing power leasing concept gaining strength. Major stocks like Dazhi Technology achieved four consecutive trading limit ups, while Capital Online and Yuke Technology hit the daily limit [1] - The CPO concept saw rapid growth, with Tianfu Communication and Robot Technology both reaching historical highs [1] - The computing power chip concept rose in the afternoon, with Chipone Technology increasing by over 10% [1] - The liquid cooling server concept was active, with Chuanrun Co. achieving two limit ups in four days, and Dayuan Pump Industry hitting the daily limit [1] - The electric grid equipment sector collectively strengthened, with companies like Siyuan Electric and Sifang Co. reaching new highs, while Wangbian Electric and Shun Sodium Co. also hit the daily limit [1] Declining Sectors - The consumer sector collectively weakened, with significant declines in film and television, tourism and hotels, retail, and food and beverage sectors. Companies like Hengdian Film and Haixin Food hit the daily limit down [2]

Market Overview - The three major indices collectively rose, with the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index both increasing by over 1% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.86%, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.32% [2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.14 trillion yuan, an increase of 157.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][6] Sector Performance - The computing power industry chain experienced a collective surge, with concepts related to computing power leasing performing strongly [2] - Notable stocks included Dazhi Technology, which achieved four consecutive trading limit increases, and companies like Capital Online and Yuke Technology, which hit the daily limit [2] - The CPO concept saw rapid gains, with Tianfu Communication and Robot Technology reaching historical highs [2] - The liquid cooling server concept was active, with Chuanrun Co. achieving two trading limits in four days and Dayuan Pump Industry hitting the daily limit [2] - The electric grid equipment sector also performed well, with companies like Siyuan Electric and Sifang Co. reaching new highs, while Wangbian Electric and Shun Sodium Co. hit the daily limit [2] Declining Sectors - The consumer sector collectively weakened, with significant declines in film and television, tourism and hotels, retail, and food and beverage sectors [3] - Notable declines included Hengdian Film and Television and Haixin Food, which both hit the daily limit down [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a mixed performance in the stock market, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1% while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.14% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.85% [1] Group 2 - The agricultural planting and computing power industry chain sectors showed the highest index gains [1] - In contrast, the non-ferrous metals and oil and gas sectors experienced the largest index declines [1]

Group 1: Space Industry - The space photovoltaic and space tourism concepts showed strong performance, with stocks like Maiwei Co., Ltd. (300751), Longhua New Material (301149), and Taili Technology (301595) experiencing significant gains [1][3] - The space photovoltaic concept is particularly strong, driving a broad increase in the photovoltaic sector, including photovoltaic equipment, BC batteries, and POE film [3][4] - The technology for space solar power generation involves collecting solar energy in space via satellites and transmitting it to the ground in the form of microwaves or lasers, achieving 2-3 times the efficiency compared to ground-based systems [5][6] - The "Chuan Yue Zhe" manned spacecraft was publicly showcased, with over 20 space tourists already booked for flights expected to commence in 2028 [7] Group 2: Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27% to 4133.58, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.24% to 14360.98, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.17% to 3322.96 [2] - The commercial aerospace sector saw a significant increase, while the computing power industry chain experienced declines, with stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang (300308) and Xinyi Sheng (300502) dropping [1] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Industry - Pharmaceutical stocks rose, with sectors such as pharmaceutical commerce, family doctors, medical services, and innovative drugs showing gains, including notable increases in stocks like Renmin Tongtai (600829) and Yifeng Pharmacy (603939) [8][10] - A new policy document aimed at promoting high-quality development in the pharmaceutical retail industry was released, outlining 18 specific measures to enhance the sector's professionalism and market vitality [11] - Leading companies in the pharmaceutical retail sector are expected to benefit from ongoing policy support, with opportunities for market share expansion and diversification into non-pharmaceutical products [11]