记者丨雷晨 编辑丨朱益民 随着全球算力需求迎来爆发式增长，光模块产业站到了聚光灯下。 卡位光模块赛道 近期，华为《智能世界2035》报告描绘了一幅震撼的技术演进图景：到2035年，全球算力总 量将增长10万倍。值得关注的是，数据将成为AI发展的"新燃料"，AI存储容量需求将比2025 年增长500倍，占比超过70%。 报告还指出，通信网络的连接对象正从90亿人扩展到9000亿智能体，实现从移动互联网到智能 体互联网的世纪跃迁。 这一变革将深刻影响社会生活——到2035年，AI将助力预防超过80%的慢性病，超过90%的中 国家庭将拥有智能机器人，AI应用率超过85%，劳动生产率提升60%。 算 力 需 求 的 结 构 性 分 化 尤 为 显 著 。 IDC 数 据 显 示 ， 2025 年 中 国 智 能 算 力 规 模 将 达 1037.3EFLOPS， 2023～2028年复合增长率高达46.2%，而通用算力同期仅增长18.8%。 这 种增长的不均衡性凸显了AI训练与推理场景对高端算力的渴求。据预测，2025年全球AI算力 市场规模将达1.2万亿美元，中国占比38%，其中智能驾驶、工业AI、医疗影像三大场景 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests to continue focusing on investment opportunities within the communication industry [2] Core Insights - The communication industry showed steady revenue growth and accelerated profitability in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 1785.003 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.07%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 160.432 billion yuan, up 11.26% year-on-year [4][7] - The AI computing industry chain is expected to continue accelerating its development in 2025, benefiting the communication industry [17][19] Summary by Sections H1 2025 Performance Overview - The communication industry achieved a total revenue of 1785.003 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.07%, and a net profit of 160.432 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.26% increase [4][7] Segment Performance Changes - In H1 2025, the optical module and device segment reported revenue of 47.988 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.88%, and net profit of 10.876 billion yuan, up 111.99% [25] - The communication PCB segment achieved revenue of 57.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.66%, and net profit of 8.058 billion yuan, up 80.79% [31] - The network equipment segment generated revenue of 507.111 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.86%, with net profit of 19.184 billion yuan, up 19.57% [37] AI Industry Chain Investment - Major overseas cloud companies are expected to maintain optimistic growth in capital expenditures, with a total of 95 billion USD in Q2 2025, reflecting an 82.96% year-on-year increase [17] - Companies like Oracle and Nvidia are showing strong growth prospects in their AI-related businesses, with Oracle's unfulfilled revenue reaching 455 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 359% [22][19]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the acceleration of capital expenditure by global AI giants, with domestic players like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent entering a phase of large-scale investment in AI computing and applications [19] - The report highlights the importance of self-controlled computing power in the AI sector, suggesting that the computing power supply chain is a core focus area for investment [19] - The report recommends focusing on seven major industry directions, including network equipment, IT equipment, AIDC data center construction, computing power leasing, cloud computing platforms, AI applications, and satellite internet & 6G [19] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Investment Insights - Global AI computing power is resonating, with a focus on self-controlled computing power [10] - OpenAI has released Sora2, a video and voice generation model, marking a significant advancement in video modeling capabilities [13][14] - OpenAI's DevDay 2025 introduced several tools and updates, positioning ChatGPT as a potential "operating system" for the AI era [15] - OpenAI has formed a strategic partnership with AMD to deploy 6GW of AMD GPU computing power for its next-generation AI infrastructure [16] - The report notes the acceleration of domestic computing power development with the release of new models [17][18] 2. Communication Data Tracking - As of August 2025, China has 4.646 million 5G base stations, with a net increase of 395,000 stations since the end of 2024 [29] - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.154 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.46% [29] - In June 2025, 5G mobile phone shipments were 18.436 million units, accounting for 81.6% of total shipments, with a year-on-year decrease of 16.7% [29] 3. Operator Performance - The report highlights strong growth in innovative business development among major operators, with revenue from cloud services showing significant increases [40][44] - In the first half of 2025, China Mobile's cloud revenue reached 56.1 billion yuan, up 11.3% year-on-year [44] - China Telecom's cloud revenue was 57.3 billion yuan, up 3.8% year-on-year, while China Unicom's cloud revenue reached 37.6 billion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year [44]

Core Insights - Silicon photonics technology is transitioning from laboratory research to market applications, integrating traditional photonic devices with mature silicon semiconductor processes to achieve high-speed, low-power, and highly integrated optical signal processing and transmission [1][2] - The demand for silicon photonics is shifting from incremental to explosive growth, driven by the exponential increase in bandwidth requirements from artificial intelligence, with 200G/channel links expected to become mainstream by 2026-2027 [1][2] Industry Overview - The silicon photonics industry has established a complete value chain consisting of upstream support, midstream manufacturing, and downstream application expansion [3] - Key components in the upstream include high-quality silicon-based materials, advanced lithography equipment, and specialized electronic design automation (EDA) software, which are essential for silicon photonics chip development [3] Market Participants - Major players in the silicon photonics industry include vertical integrators like Cisco and Marvell, startups such as Xphor and Lightmatter, and research institutions like Stanford and MIT [4] Milestones - On September 11, a national innovation center in China released a fully domestic 12-inch silicon photonics process design kit (PDK), marking a significant step towards standardized mass production of silicon photonics chips in the country [5] Domestic Market Dynamics - Domestic companies are forming a competitive landscape in the silicon photonics market, leveraging technological advancements and product positioning to capture market share [6] Company Performance - NewEase achieved a revenue of 10.437 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 282.96%, driven by the demand for high-speed optical modules [8][9] - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a revenue of 14.789 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 36.95% increase year-on-year, benefiting from its early entry into the 800G optical module market [10] - Tianfu Communication generated 2.456 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 57.84% year-on-year growth, supported by the AI industry's development [11][12] - Hengtong Optic-Electric reported a revenue of 32.049 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 20.42% increase year-on-year, maintaining its competitive edge through a full industry chain layout [13][14] - Shijia Photonics achieved a revenue of 999.3 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 121.12% increase year-on-year, with significant growth in overseas markets [17][18] Challenges Ahead - The silicon photonics industry faces challenges such as technological diversity and the lack of standardization, which complicate the industrialization process and increase resource investment for customized development [19] - Reliability and lifespan testing are critical, as silicon photonics devices must meet stringent performance requirements in complex environments like data centers [20]

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 今年来科技股走出单边上涨行情，在申万一级行业中，科技板块表现亮眼，通信、电子等行业涨幅居前。今年以来截至9月底，光模块(CPO)指 数、覆铜板指数、摩尔线程指数等概念板块指数涨幅均超100%，在概念板块指数中位居涨幅前列。 值得注意的是，近期科技股迎来 "降温"信号，一方面持续的上涨带来了许多获利盘，另一方面部分科技龙头的连续上涨，触发了交易所风控规 则。 根据沪深交易所2023年修订的《融资融券交易实施细则》，静态市盈率超300倍或为负数的股票，两融折算率需归零。 10月9日，东方财富证券、国信证券等多家券商宣布 将中芯国际、佰维存储等 9只A股股票的两融折算率调整为零，主要因其静态市盈率超过300 倍，触发交易所风控规则。 消息披露后，中芯国际A股当日振幅超11%，收盘微跌0.87%；佰维存储由涨8.5%收窄至2.34%，半导体板块整体冲 高回落。 在当前科技"降温"行情下，还有哪些个股也将面临交易所风控规则？又有哪些科技股今年来备受融资客的杠杠资金青睐？ （ 点此免费领取完整 名单 ） 0 1 科技股 " 降温 " ！ 62 只科技股估值 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4][19] Core Views - The telecommunications industry is benefiting from the ongoing Digital China strategy, leading to stable growth in overall business for operators, with innovative services experiencing higher growth rates and increasing proportions [2] - The AI computing power sector continues to thrive globally, with significant investments from major companies, indicating a rapid growth period for domestic computing power targets [4] - New growth drivers such as satellite internet are injecting new momentum into the industry, providing additional performance elasticity [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Telecom Operators - China Mobile is expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 245.1 billion to CNY 246 billion, a year-on-year growth of 0.2% to 0.5%, with net profit of CNY 32.1 billion to CNY 32.4 billion, a growth of 4.6% to 5.6% [2][16] - China Telecom is projected to achieve Q3 revenue of CNY 127.2 billion to CNY 128.5 billion, a growth of 1% to 2%, with net profit of CNY 7.75 billion to CNY 8.05 billion, a growth of 3.5% to 7.5% [2][16] - China Unicom's Q3 revenue is expected to be CNY 93.7 billion to CNY 94.6 billion, with a growth of 1% to 2%, and net profit of CNY 2.41 billion to CNY 2.49 billion, a growth of 4.8% to 8.3% [3][16] - China Tower is anticipated to report Q3 revenue of CNY 24.9 billion to CNY 25.2 billion, a growth of 2.9% to 4.1%, with net profit of CNY 2.97 billion to CNY 3.05 billion, a growth of 5.2% to 8% [3][16] AI and Network Connectivity - The AI optical module sector is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 8.9 billion to CNY 9.6 billion, a growth of 37% to 47%, and net profit of CNY 2.9 billion to CNY 3.2 billion, a growth of 108% to 130% [4][16] - Tianfu Communication is projected to achieve Q3 revenue of CNY 1.8 billion to CNY 2.1 billion, a growth of 115% to 150%, with net profit of CNY 650 million to CNY 750 million, a growth of 102% to 133% [5][16] AI Applications and Data Centers - AI server demand is rapidly increasing, with ZTE expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 31 billion to CNY 32 billion, a growth of 12% to 16%, and net profit of CNY 1.95 billion to CNY 2.1 billion, a decrease of 3% to 10% [7][16] - The AIDC sector is also growing, with Keda Data expected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 24 billion to CNY 27 billion, a growth of 44% to 62%, and net profit of CNY 180 million to CNY 230 million, a growth of 1347% to 1748% [8][16] Satellite Internet and Military Communication - The military communication sector is expected to see increased investment due to regional tensions, with companies like Zhenlei Technology projected to report Q3 revenue of CNY 150 million to CNY 160 million, a growth of 125% to 141%, and net profit of CNY 45 million to CNY 50 million, a growth of 409% to 466% [10][16]

Core Insights - The global computing power is expected to increase by 100,000 times by 2035, with data becoming the "new fuel" for AI, leading to a 500-fold increase in AI storage demand [1][2] - Chinese companies are dominating the midstream market of the optical module industry, with key players like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng ranking among the top three globally [5] Industry Overview - The optical module industry is experiencing explosive growth due to the surge in global computing power demand, driven by applications in smart driving and industrial AI [1] - Huawei's report indicates that the number of connected devices will expand from 9 billion to 900 billion by 2035, marking a significant shift from mobile internet to intelligent agent internet [2] Company Performance - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a revenue of 14.789 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 36.95%, with a net profit of 3.995 billion yuan, up 69.4% [3] - Xinyi Sheng demonstrated explosive growth with a revenue of 10.437 billion yuan, a 282.64% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.942 billion yuan, up 355.68% [4] - Tianfu Communication achieved a revenue of 2.456 billion yuan, a 57.8% increase year-on-year, with a 91% growth in active optical device business [4] Technological Advancements - The optical module technology is rapidly evolving along the paths of rate iteration, material innovation, and packaging breakthroughs [6] - The transition from 800G to 1.6T optical modules is becoming a mainstream trend, with significant increases in shipment volumes expected [6][7] - Innovations in silicon photonics are driving the commercialization of high-speed optical modules, with cost advantages over traditional solutions [8] Market Dynamics - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) technology is anticipated to be commercially available by 2026, significantly reducing energy consumption while enhancing bandwidth density [9] - The competitive landscape shows that Chinese manufacturers have established a strong foothold in the global midstream market, leveraging technological breakthroughs and financial resilience [3][5]

Market Performance - As of October 10, the China AI 50 concept index fell by 4.52%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with notable declines from companies like Hengxuan Technology, Shengke Communication, and Deepin Technology [1] - The top gainers in the sector included Jinpan Technology, ZTE Corporation, and China Mobile, with increases of 6.99%, 4.04%, and 1.09% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The China AI 50 concept sector experienced a net outflow of 13.259 billion yuan, with 41 stocks seeing net outflows, and 28 stocks with outflows exceeding 1 billion yuan [2] - The largest net outflow was from SMIC, which saw 2.472 billion yuan leave, followed by Zhongke Shuguang, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Beifang Huachuang with outflows of 1.645 billion yuan, 1.210 billion yuan, and 1.019 billion yuan respectively [2] Stock Performance - The stocks with the highest net outflows included SMIC (-7.89%), Zhongke Shuguang (-7.96%), and Zhongji Xuchuang (-2.21%), with significant turnover rates [3] - Conversely, the stocks with the highest net inflows were ZTE Corporation, China Mobile, and Jinpan Technology, with net inflows of 301 million yuan, 246 million yuan, and 96.5 million yuan respectively [4]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant block trading activity on October 10, with a total transaction volume of 2.132 billion yuan, indicating robust trading interest in select stocks [1]. Group 1: Trading Activity - A total of 71 stocks underwent block trading, with the highest transaction amounts recorded for Xinquan Co., Ltd. (319 million yuan), Guangqi Technology (296 million yuan), and Tianshan Aluminum (285 million yuan) [1]. - Among the stocks traded, 23 were sold at par value, 1 at a premium, and 47 at a discount; Tianshan Aluminum was the only stock sold at a premium with a premium rate of 0.51% [1]. - The stocks with the highest discount rates included Zizhong Temple (30.72%), Chenxi Aviation (23.13%), and Qiangrui Technology (21.83%) [1]. Group 2: Institutional Buying - The top institutional buying amounts were led by Xinquan Co., Ltd. (319 million yuan), Tianshan Aluminum (285 million yuan), and Jinlong Co., Ltd. (104 million yuan) [2]. - Other notable institutional purchases included Tianli Lithium Energy (42.32 million yuan), Shuangjie Electric (39.90 million yuan), and Juheshun (33.42 million yuan) [2]. - Additional significant transactions involved Hunan Silver (30.14 million yuan), Dongfang Yuhong (28.11 million yuan), and Baili Electric (15.50 million yuan) [2].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a significant block trade on October 10, with a transaction volume of 39,200 shares and a transaction value of 15.288 million yuan, at a price of 390.00 yuan per share, indicating institutional trading activity [2] Group 1: Trading Activity - A total of 17 block trades occurred in the last three months, with a cumulative transaction value of 333 million yuan [2] - The closing price of Zhongji Xuchuang on October 10 was 390.00 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.21% [2] - The daily turnover rate was 3.48%, with a total trading volume of 15.167 billion yuan and a net outflow of 1.21 billion yuan in main funds throughout the day [2] Group 2: Financial Metrics - Over the past five days, the stock has declined by 10.26%, with a total net outflow of 4.358 billion yuan [2] - The latest margin financing balance for the stock is 15.405 billion yuan, showing a decrease of 337 million yuan, or 2.14%, over the past five days [2]