Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector is experiencing a marginal improvement in investment logic for live pigs, driven by both fundamental and policy factors, with expectations of a price increase in the second half of 2025 [26] - The pet sector is witnessing a rise in domestic brands, supported by consumption upgrades and tariff barriers, with a projected market size growth of over 10% annually from 2025 to 2027 [28][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The national pig price is under pressure due to group weight reduction and increased market supply, with an average price of 14.02 CNY/kg as of August 3, 2025, down 0.57% from the previous week [5][14] - The average weight of pigs sold has decreased to 127.98 kg, reflecting a downward trend due to weight reduction policies and slow growth in high temperatures [16] Weekly Insights - The investment logic for live pigs is improving, with expectations of price support in the second half of 2025 due to a combination of fundamental and policy factors [26] - The feed sector is benefiting from a recovery in domestic livestock and poultry production, with a total feed output expected to reach 1.4 trillion CNY in 2023 [26] Market Performance - The agricultural sector underperformed the broader market by 2.03 percentage points, with the agricultural index declining by 2.97% during the week [30][31] - The animal health sector showed the highest gains, with stocks like Shenlian Biological and Huisheng Biological leading the performance [30] Price Tracking - As of August 1, 2025, the average price for live pigs was 14.33 CNY/kg, with a slight increase of 1.27% from the previous week [42] - The average price for corn was 2,296 CNY/ton, down 0.78% week-on-week, while soybean meal was priced at 3,004 CNY/ton, down 0.69% [60] Key News - The overall situation in China's livestock industry is stable and improving, with a reported production increase of 2.8% in meat output during the first half of 2025 [38] - The number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, indicating a potential reduction in pig supply, which may stabilize prices [38]

金融界7月30日消息，有投资者在互动平台向佩蒂股份提问：请问贵公司是否有布局宠物医疗行业，未 来是否布局？另外公司更名佩蒂股份的进程怎么样了？谢谢。 公司回答表示：尊敬的投资者您好！公司坚定聚焦在宠物行业，并密切关注行业内的多个发展机会，目 前主要从事宠物食品的研发、生产和销售业务，目前未涉及宠物医疗。感谢您的关注和建议，公司会时 刻关注投资者的声音，谢谢！ ...

Market Overview - The feed sector experienced a decline of 1.07% on July 29, with Lude Environment leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3609.71, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11289.41, up 0.64% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Lude Environment (688156) closed at 20.02, down 2.58% with a trading volume of 34,800 shares and a transaction value of 69.87 million [1] - Other notable declines include: - Lusi Co. (832419) down 2.18% to 21.56 - Zhongchong Co. (002891) down 1.95% to 54.19 - Bangji Technology (603151) down 1.86% to 24.78 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 201 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 96.49 million [1] - Specific stock capital flows include: - Jin Xin Nong (002548) with a net inflow of 10.17 million from institutional investors [2] - He Feng Co. (603609) with a net inflow of 5.69 million from institutional investors [2] - Petty Co. (300673) experienced a net outflow of 54,400 from institutional investors [2]

Summary of the China Pet Food Sector Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Pet Food Sector**, discussing earnings previews and market dynamics for Q225. Key Companies Discussed 1. **Gambol** 2. **China Pet Foods (CPF)** 3. **Petpal** Core Insights and Arguments Market Performance - **Gambol** shares dropped over **15%** recently, while **China Pet Foods** fell more than **10%** due to: - **Overseas sales deceleration** attributed to tariffs, with pet food exports to the U.S. declining by **42% YoY** in April-May [2][3] - **Increased domestic competition** during the 618 festival, leading to deeper promotions and margin pressure [2] Earnings Expectations - **Gambol**: - Expected **Q225 overseas sales** to decline by **25% YoY** due to tariffs, while domestic sales are projected to grow by **30-35% YoY** [3] - Estimated **net profit** to remain flat YoY at **Rmb162 million** [3] - **China Pet Foods (CPF)**: - Anticipated **Q225 sales growth** of **13.5%**, with domestic sales up **30% YoY** and overseas sales up **10%** [4] - Projected **net profit** increase of **33% YoY** to **Rmb115 million** [4] - **Petpal**: - Expected **Q225 sales decline** of **9%**, with domestic sales down **11%** and overseas sales down **8%** due to tariffs [5] - Estimated **net profit** decrease of **11%** to **Rmb50 million** [5] Revisions and Valuations - **Gambol**: - Revenue estimates for **2025-27** revised down by **3.8-4.3%** and EPS cut by **13-14%** due to tariff uncertainties and increased promotions [6] - Price target reduced to **Rmb96.5** from **Rmb113.1**, implying a **53.5x 2025E PE** [6] - **Petpal**: - EPS for **2025-27** revised down by **6-7%** due to tariff pressures [6] - Price target lowered to **Rmb17.0** from **Rmb18.5**, implying a **30x 2025E PE** [6] Ratings - **China Pet Foods (CPF)**: Rated as **Buy** due to strong brand growth and North American capacity expansion [7] - **Gambol** and **Petpal**: Rated as **Neutral**, reflecting fair valuations and ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty [7] Additional Important Points - Potential risks for the pet sector include: - Slower-than-expected expansion of domestic brands - Pet food safety issues - Profitability challenges due to price wars and rising raw material costs [23][24][25][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring tariff impacts and competitive dynamics in the pet food market [23][24][25][26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][8][64] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the long-term value reassessment opportunities in the pig industry, with expectations of price fluctuations in the range of 14-15 CNY/kg post-Chinese New Year 2025, indicating a potential downward trend in prices due to supply pressures [4][15] - The poultry sector is experiencing price declines, with a focus on marginal improvements in the cycle, while the animal health sector is expected to see performance recovery and investment opportunities in the pet medical industry [5][6][28] - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly emerging, and the report anticipates continued improvement in industry profitability [7][58] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The average price of pigs is currently around 14.6 CNY/kg, with a slight weekly decline [14] - The report recommends companies with low costs and strong financials, specifically highlighting Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [15][64] 2. Poultry Industry - The report notes a decline in poultry prices, with a focus on the cyclical improvements expected in the future [27] - Recommendations include Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [5][28] 3. Animal Health - The animal health sector is expected to see a recovery in performance, supported by the profitability of the pig farming industry [6][38] - Investment opportunities in the pet medical sector are highlighted, with a market size of approximately 840 billion CNY [7][38] 4. Planting Industry - The report indicates a decrease in wheat and corn prices, with recommendations for companies involved in genetically modified seeds [44][50] 5. Feed Industry - The total industrial feed production in the first half of 2025 reached 15,850 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.7% [48][50] - Recommendations include Haida Group and attention to He Feng Stock [50] 6. Pet Industry - The pet consumption market is projected to reach 300.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.5% [55][58] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guai Bao Pet, Zhongchong Stock, and Petty Stock [58][64]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the investment logic for live pigs is marginally improving, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, with expectations of rising prices in the second half of 2025 [25] - The domestic pet consumption market remains stable, but trade tensions have put pressure on exports, with a notable decline in sales and export figures [20][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - Short-term supply increases have led to a decline in pig prices, but after market adjustments, prices may rise further [4][13] - As of July 18, the average price of live pigs was 14.19 yuan/kg, down 3.34% from the previous week [13][14] Weekly Market Performance - The agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.83 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.69% [30][32] - The animal health sector showed the highest gains among sub-sectors [30] Price Tracking - The average price of live pigs decreased to 14.27 yuan/kg, while the price of piglets increased slightly to 31.96 yuan/kg [41] - The price of corn decreased to 2473 yuan/ton, while soybean meal prices rose to 2928 yuan/ton [15][56] Key News - As of the end of Q2 2025, the number of breeding sows was reported at 40.43 million, with overall meat production showing a slight increase [38] - The report indicates a stable trend in domestic pet food sales, with a total of 31.87 billion yuan in sales for June, down 7.98% year-on-year [20][23] Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others, while in the feed sector, Hai Da Group and New Hope Liuhe are highlighted [25][29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][9]. Core Insights - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is currently experiencing weak market demand and low prices for livestock and poultry, particularly in the pig farming sector, which has seen a significant price drop [9][12]. - The report highlights that the industry is currently undervalued, with price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios below historical averages, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [9][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In June 2025, the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index rose by 1.13%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 2.50%, resulting in a relative underperformance of 1.37 percentage points [9][12]. - The planting sector showed the highest gains, while the animal health processing sector experienced the largest declines [12]. Livestock Farming Data Tracking - **Pig Farming**: The average trading price for pigs in June 2025 was 14.28 yuan/kg, down 2.16% month-on-month and 21.81% year-on-year. The market shifted to a surplus situation, leading to price declines [9][17]. - **Broiler Chickens**: The average price for broiler chicks in June 2025 was 2.15 yuan/chick, reflecting a slight decrease. The cautious replenishment of chicks due to declining prices further pressured the market [9][27]. Pet Food Sector - In May 2025, pet food exports totaled 28,900 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.52%. The cumulative export value for the first five months was $581 million, up 4.59% year-on-year [9][34]. Major Agricultural Product Price Tracking - The report includes tracking of key agricultural product prices, indicating fluctuations in corn, wheat, and soybean meal prices during June 2025 [9][39]. Industry Dynamics and Company News - The report outlines significant events in the industry, including a decrease in grain imports and ongoing developments in the seed industry aimed at enhancing agricultural productivity [9][46]. - Key announcements from listed companies in the sector include various asset restructuring and financing activities [9][48].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [2][51]. Core Insights - The pet industry is experiencing a significant shift from "basic subsistence" consumption to "quality upgrade" consumption, with a notable 73% year-on-year increase in sales of pet products in live streaming sessions [4][11]. - The 618 shopping festival saw total sales in the pet food sector reach 7.5 billion yuan, indicating resilience in demand and structural upgrades within the industry [5][19]. - The rise of domestic brands is evident, with a substantial increase in the number of new products launched during the 618 festival, reflecting a strong response to consumer demand for quality and innovation [16][19]. Summary by Sections Live Streaming Sales - Sales of pet products in Li Jiaqi's live streaming room increased by 73% year-on-year, with essential items like staple food, snacks, and cat litter making up 92% of total sales [10][11]. - The new generation of pet owners (67% being post-90s and post-00s) is shifting their purchasing criteria from "having food" to "prioritizing ingredient lists," emphasizing the importance of quality and health in pet food [4][10]. 618 Shopping Festival Insights - The 2025 618 shopping festival saw pet food sales reach 7.5 billion yuan, showcasing the industry's robust demand and structural upgrades [5][19]. - The competition landscape is evolving, with platforms like Taobao and Tmall shifting focus from price wars to long-term value, promoting a healthier growth model based on brand loyalty and consumer engagement [5][19]. Offline Marketing Strategies - Brands are increasingly adopting experiential marketing strategies to enhance consumer engagement and drive premiumization, with examples including themed pop-up stores and integrated service models [6][32][41]. - The "4S model" by Chaoyun Group integrates various pet services, creating a comprehensive service ecosystem that enhances customer experience and brand loyalty [41]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic brands that are rapidly emerging in the pet economy, particularly those aligned with the dual themes of "domestic substitution" and "consumption upgrade." Recommended stocks include: Guibao Pet, Petty Co., Zhongchong Co., and Lusi Co., with a watch on Chaoyun Group [6].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades Gambol from Neutral to Buy, with a revised target price (TP) of Rmb120, indicating a 25% upside from the closing price on July 10 [9][33]. Core Insights - The pet food industry is experiencing significant growth, with Gambol's domestic sales expected to rise by 32% year-on-year in 2Q25, while the overall market remains fragmented, presenting opportunities for market share gains [2][9]. - The report anticipates a 19% year-on-year growth in Gambol's topline for 2Q25, driven by strong domestic performance despite challenges in overseas markets due to tariffs [1][11]. - New product development and domestic margin expansion are critical for future growth, with Gambol's innovative product offerings expected to capture market share from long-tail brands [3][8]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - Gambol's stock price has declined by 25% since the downgrade to Neutral, but the report suggests this correction is overdone, providing a favorable entry point for investors [2]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit (NP) growth of -2% year-on-year in 2Q25, primarily due to increased expenses related to staff incentives and new factory depreciation [1][11]. Market Dynamics - The pet food market is characterized by a trend towards premiumization, with established brands like Gambol and China Pet Foods leading in sales growth [8][13]. - The report notes that long-tail brands represent 70% of the market share, indicating a potential for consolidation as consumers increasingly focus on food quality and functionality [2][9]. Financial Projections - For 2025E, Gambol's domestic revenue is projected to grow by 34% year-on-year, with a domestic net profit margin (NPM) expansion of 1.2 percentage points [32]. - The report revises the net income estimates for covered pet food companies by 0-5% to account for tariff impacts, while maintaining a positive outlook on Gambol and China Pet Foods [9][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector [4] Core Viewpoints - Recent policy guidance has led to a rapid decline in post-slaughter weight, allowing for a rebalancing of volume and price, with positive expectations for pig prices [3] - The long-term perspective indicates that the bottom of the production capacity cycle is becoming clearer, suggesting a potential long-term profit upturn for the sector [3] - The report highlights investment opportunities in various segments, including pig farming, feed, and planting chains, as well as the pet food sector [3] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - In June, 13 listed pig companies collectively slaughtered 16.2681 million pigs, a month-on-month increase of 2.65% and a year-on-year increase of 47.55% [2][13] - The average selling price of pigs decreased by approximately 3% month-on-month and about 20% year-on-year, with prices ranging from 13.23 to 15.57 yuan/kg [14][15] - The average weight of slaughtered pigs in June was 125.06 kg, down 0.77 kg from May, indicating a trend towards reducing weight [17] Market Dynamics - The national average price for live pigs was 14.81 yuan/kg as of July 11, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 3.52% [28] - The demand for pork is weakening due to high temperatures affecting consumption and rising storage costs, leading to a gradual loosening of supply-demand dynamics [28] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Juxing Agriculture, as well as companies in the feed and animal health sectors like Haida Group and Ruipu Biological [3] - In the planting chain, opportunities are highlighted for companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [3] Other Segments - The pet food industry is experiencing growth, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and continuous growth of leading companies [3]