Investment Rating - The report rates the company as "Outperform" with a target price of RMB 20 [4][13]. Core Insights - The company maintains growth in its pet food brand, particularly in the dog snack segment, and is actively expanding its overseas customer base, which is expected to drive new order growth [1][4]. - The company has achieved significant revenue growth during the 2025 Double 11 shopping festival through effective marketing strategies, solidifying its leading position in the dog snack category [4][14]. - The company focuses on developing its own brand in the mid-to-high-end pet food sector, supported by strong production, marketing, and R&D capabilities, which are rare in the industry [4][15]. - Tariff changes have temporarily pressured overseas business, but the company is optimistic about new client expansion opportunities, particularly in Europe [4][16]. Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for 2023 is RMB 1,411 million, with an expected increase to RMB 2,416 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17.2% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from a loss of RMB 11 million in 2023 to RMB 241 million by 2027, indicating a strong turnaround [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from -0.04 RMB in 2023 to 0.97 RMB in 2027 [3]. Market Position - The company is recognized as a leading player in China's pet snack food sector and has received numerous accolades for its quality and innovation [9]. - The company is actively pursuing high-end market segments, with plans to introduce a New Zealand brand targeting premium pricing in the domestic market by 2026 [4][15].

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a decline of 1.6% on November 20, with Tianma Technology leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with Hai Da Group slightly increasing by 0.02% to close at 58.55, while Tianma Technology dropped significantly by 9.90% to 15.02 [1][2]. - The total trading volume for the feed sector was substantial, with Hai Da Group recording a transaction amount of 2.12 billion, and Tianma Technology reaching 10.94 billion [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 498 million from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 239 million [2]. - Specific stocks like Hai Da Group and He Feng Co. experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig price remains weak, and the logic of destocking may gradually strengthen. The price of pigs is currently at 11.85 yuan/kg, with the industry facing losses [3][18] - The agricultural policy is undergoing a profound transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and activating enterprise innovation. The report anticipates that under the influence of capacity control policies, pig prices may stop falling and rebound earlier than expected [4][19] - The report highlights the importance of high-quality development in the industry, with a clear direction for capacity control policies. Companies that lead in cost and connect with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][19] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine sector is experiencing fluctuations, with DeKang Agriculture leading the gains at +9% week-on-week. The number of breeding sows has decreased significantly, and futures prices are rising, but the stock market has not reacted [3][18] - The report emphasizes the need for solution-oriented enterprises as the industry policy shifts towards protecting farmers' rights and promoting innovation [4][19] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector continues to face a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with the price of broiler chickens at 3.50 yuan/kg and chick prices at 3.60 yuan each. The report suggests that integrated enterprises may increase their market share due to losses forcing breeding farms to reduce capacity [5][19] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to the recovery of the domestic industry, improved management effects, and increased capacity utilization. The company is expected to achieve growth beyond expectations [6][20] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry shows a strong concentration of leading brands, with the top five brands remaining stable. The report notes that the competition among leading brands is intensifying, leading to potential pressure on profit margins, but sales growth remains high [9][21] - The report predicts that the market concentration will increase, with the CR5 expected to reach nearly 40% in the next five years [11][23] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA's November supply and demand report did not exceed expectations, leading to a significant drop in soybean prices. The report indicates that domestic soybean inventories are high, and the supply remains sufficient [13][25] 6. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index increased by 2.70% week-on-week, with agricultural product processing performing the best at +6.40% [26]

Group 1: Pet Food Industry - Petty Co., Ltd. - Petty Co., Ltd. maintains growth in its self-owned pet food brand, particularly solidifying its position in the dog snack segment [2][19] - The company is actively expanding its overseas customer base, particularly in Europe, which is expected to drive new order growth [2][20] - During the 2025 Double 11 shopping festival, the company achieved significant revenue growth for its self-owned brand through strategic marketing initiatives [2][19] - The company’s production technology is leading in the pet food sector, and it has made breakthroughs with its self-owned brands [19][20] - The company is focusing on the mid-to-high-end pet food market, supported by strong production, marketing, and R&D capabilities [20] Group 2: iQIYI, Inc. - iQIYI's revenue stabilized in Q3 2025, achieving 6.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 8% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1% [5][30] - The company’s overseas business showed strong growth, with Q3 2025 total revenue and membership income achieving the highest growth in the past two years [6][31] - AI is driving innovation in content creation and advertising efficiency, with over 70% of promotional materials generated through AI [6][31] - The company plans to expand its original content production in successful overseas markets like Thailand [6][31] - Adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 27.3 billion, 28.9 billion, and 29.9 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 0.9 billion, 1.04 billion, and 1.56 billion yuan respectively [5][30]

Core Insights - On November 19, brokerages provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for 易瑞生物 (Yirui Biotech), 中国海诚 (China Haicheng), and 健康元 (Health元), showing target price increases of 44.37%, 40.26%, and 26.01% respectively, across the medical device, professional engineering, and chemical pharmaceutical industries [1][2]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - 易瑞生物 (Yirui Biotech) received a target price of 15.00 yuan with a target increase of 44.37% from 华创证券 (Huachuang Securities) [2]. - 中国海诚 (China Haicheng) has a target price of 15.40 yuan, reflecting a 40.26% increase from 国泰海通证券 (Guotai Junan Securities) [2]. - 健康元 (Health元) was assigned a target price of 15.26 yuan, indicating a 26.01% increase from 国泰海通证券 (Guotai Junan Securities) [2]. Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 37 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 19, with 伊利股份 (Yili Group) receiving recommendations from 3 brokerages, 南方航空 (Southern Airlines) from 1, and 易瑞生物 (Yirui Biotech) from 1 [3]. - 伊利股份 (Yili Group) closed at 29.58 yuan and was recommended by 3 brokerages in the beverage and dairy industry [3]. Group 3: First Coverage - On November 19, 6 companies received initial coverage from brokerages, including 潮宏基 (Chao Hong Ji) with a "Buy" rating from 首创证券 (Shouchuang Securities) [4]. - 海容冷链 (Hairong Cold Chain) received an "Increase" rating from 兴业证券 (Industrial Securities) [4]. - 风华高科 (Fenghua High-Tech) was rated "Buy" by 中邮证券 (China Post Securities) [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating with a target price of 20.00 CNY [6][13]. Core Insights - Petty Co.'s self-owned pet food brand continues to grow, particularly solidifying its position in the dog snack segment. The company is actively expanding its overseas customer base, especially in Europe, which is expected to drive new order growth [2][13]. - The company achieved significant sales growth during the 2025 Double 11 shopping festival, with its self-owned brand experiencing high revenue growth, particularly in new staple foods and duck snacks [13]. - Petty Co. is focusing on the mid-to-high-end pet food market, leveraging its strong production capabilities, marketing skills, and leading R&D investments. The company aims to enhance its self-owned brand's market share through various strategies, including the introduction of high-end products from New Zealand [13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to decline by 18.5% in 2023, followed by a recovery with a 17.6% increase in 2024, and further growth in subsequent years, reaching 2,416 million CNY by 2027 [4][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to turn positive in 2024, with a significant increase of 1,742.8% to 182 million CNY, and further growth anticipated in the following years [4][14]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.73 CNY in 2024, with a gradual increase to 0.97 CNY by 2027 [4][14]. Market Position and Valuation - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 35x for 2025, which is slightly above the industry average, corresponding to the target price of 20 CNY [13]. - The current market capitalization stands at 4,506 million CNY, with a share price of 18.11 CNY [7][8]. Operational Highlights - The company has been actively expanding its overseas business, particularly in response to the challenges posed by U.S. tariff policies, with improvements noted in its order recovery from European clients [13]. - Petty Co. is expected to see a further increase in non-U.S. orders in its ODM business by 2026, indicating a positive outlook for international expansion [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1]. Core Views - The report highlights a continued decline in pig prices and strong performance in pet food sales during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival [1]. - The industry is currently trading at lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios compared to historical averages, indicating potential for valuation recovery [1]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In October 2025, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index rose by 0.19%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which had a return of approximately 0% [8][11]. - The pet food sector experienced a decline, while the wood processing sector showed strong gains [11]. Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices continued to decline in October 2025, with an average price of 11.52 yuan/kg, down 11.46% month-on-month and 34.77% year-on-year [16]. - The average price for white feather broilers was 3.38 yuan/jin, showing a slight decrease of 0.29% month-on-month and 7.65% year-on-year [26]. Pet Food Sales Performance - During the "Double Eleven" period in 2025, total sales of pet food reached 9.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.3% [35]. - Pet food exports in September 2025 totaled 30,500 tons, up 18.78% year-on-year, while the cumulative export amount from January to September was 1.057 billion USD, down 3.73% year-on-year [32][35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Muyuan Foods, Pulaike, QiuLe Seed Industry, GuaiBao Pet, ZhongChong Co., and Petty Co., all rated as "Buy" [1].

Core Insights - The pet consumption market in China continues to thrive, with significant sales growth reported during the 2025 "Double 11" shopping festival, particularly for domestic brands like Guibao Pet and its brands Maifudi and Fleagart [1][2] - The overall pet market in China is projected to exceed 811.4 billion yuan by 2025, with pet food being the largest segment, indicating strong demand and growth potential in the pet economy [3] Company Performance - Guibao Pet's self-owned brand sales reached nearly 1.1 billion yuan during the 2025 "Double 11," with Maifudi and Fleagart achieving sales of 688 million yuan and 335 million yuan, respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 35% and 51% [1] - Other leading companies like Zhongchong Co. and Petty Co. also reported strong sales growth during the same period, confirming the robust demand in the pet food market [1][2] - Guibao Pet maintained its leading position in the domestic pet food market, with a strong brand presence and high user recognition [2] Market Trends - The consumer base for pet products is increasingly favoring online purchasing, particularly through short videos and social media, reflecting a shift towards more informed and quality-focused buying decisions [3] - The pet industry is transitioning from basic feeding to a more refined approach, with consumers seeking higher quality and brand reputation in their purchases [3] Global and Local Strategies - Zhongchong Co. has established over 22 modern production bases globally and is actively promoting its brands internationally, achieving significant market recognition [4] - Petty Co. is focusing on the pet baking food segment and is investing in product innovation and supply chain collaboration to ensure quality and stability in new product offerings [4] - The industry is witnessing a shift from price competitiveness to technological advantages, with companies leveraging digitalization across their operations to enhance user insights and product iterations [4]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the cyclical nature of the pig farming industry, indicating that the downward cycle is nearing its end, with a potential upward turning point expected in 2026 [3][19] - The pet economy remains a key growth area, highlighting investment opportunities in niche sectors [4] Group 1: Industry Overview - The agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming segment, is experiencing a downturn, with 2025 expected to see continued losses, leading to a price bottom in the first half of 2026 [5][19] - The chicken farming sector is also under pressure, with expectations of supply-side stabilization and demand recovery in 2026 [20] - The cattle farming sector is projected to face a supply contraction starting in 2026, which may last until 2027 [21] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The pet food industry is anticipated to maintain its growth trajectory, with leading companies increasing their market share despite challenges in export performance [5][4] - The blueberry market in Yunnan is expected to see profit realization from 2024 to 2025, with growth potential continuing into 2026-2027 [5] - The artificial cultivation of Cordyceps is gaining traction as natural production declines, with early movers in this space likely to see performance improvements [5] Group 3: Key Companies to Watch - The report identifies several key companies for investment consideration, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, DeKang Agriculture, TianKang Biological, and others in the pet food sector [5]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the agricultural sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, as it is expected to outperform the overall market [46]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector index rose by 2.7% while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 1.1%, highlighting a divergence in performance [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing decline in pig prices, leading to increased losses and a potential acceleration in capacity reduction within the industry [2][3]. - The "Double Eleven" sales event showed strong performance for pet food brands, indicating growth potential for leading companies in this segment [2][3]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - Pig prices have continued to decline, with the average selling price for external three yuan pigs at 11.56 yuan/kg, down 2.9% year-on-year [2]. - Losses for self-breeding sows are significant, with a reported loss of 71.95 yuan per head, a week-on-week increase of 30.89 yuan [2]. - The report anticipates that the fourth quarter will see a lackluster peak season for pig prices, with proactive capacity reduction expected to accelerate [2][3]. Pet Food - Major e-commerce platforms reported strong sales during the "Double Eleven" event, with leading brands achieving high rankings in sales [2]. - The report highlights that domestic pet food brands are experiencing a growth trajectory, despite short-term export challenges due to trade tensions [2]. - Companies such as Guai Bao Pet, Zhong Chong Co., and Pei Di Co. are recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [2][3]. Poultry Farming - The price of white feather broiler chicks has slightly decreased to an average of 3.35 yuan per chick, while chicken prices remain stable at 3.45 yuan/kg [2]. - The report notes that the supply of white chickens is expected to remain abundant, which may impact pricing dynamics in 2025 [2]. - Recommendations include focusing on leading companies like Sheng Nong Development for long-term value [2]. Beef Cattle - Prices for beef cattle and calves have seen a slight decline, with the average price for fattened bulls at 25.6 yuan/kg, down 0.16% week-on-week [2]. - The wholesale price of beef has increased slightly to 66.73 yuan/kg, reflecting a potential upward trend in beef pricing [2].