Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 financial results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but significant declines in net profit due to falling prices of key products [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1 to Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue and net profit of 1.3493 billion and 28.7 million yuan, respectively, representing a year-on-year change of +6.38% and -75.27% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue and net profit of 514 million and 13.8 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +5.35% and -76.40% [1]. - The weighted average selling price of broilers decreased by 16.38% and 12.84% for Q1 to Q3 and Q3 2025, respectively, which was a major factor affecting performance [1]. Sales and Production - Broiler sales volume increased by 10.37% and 10.36% for Q1 to Q3 and Q3 2025, with total sales of 41.5 million and 15.5 million birds, respectively [1]. - The company experienced a significant increase in pig sales, with revenue of 2.705 billion and 940 million yuan for Q1 to Q3 and Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 61.01% and 11.24% [2]. - The sales volume of pigs rose by 90.22% and 55.93% for Q1 to Q3 and Q3 2025, totaling 1.5058 million and 556,200 heads, respectively [2]. Pricing and Margins - The weighted average selling price of pigs fell by 16.82% and 29.46% for Q1 to Q3 and Q3 2025, contributing to lower gross margins [2]. - Gross margin for Q1 to Q3 and Q3 2025 was 9.94% and 9.93%, down by 6.17 percentage points and 9.38 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company improved its expense ratio slightly, with a decrease of 0.30 percentage points in the expense ratio to 7.03% for Q1 to Q3 2025 [2]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 586 million, 1.474 billion, and 1.942 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year changes of -61.5%, +151.5%, and +31.8%, respectively [3]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 30.8, 12.3, and 9.3 for the same period [3]. - The company maintains a solid industry position and is strengthening its competitiveness, leading to a "buy" rating [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.3493 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 28.7 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase in revenue of 6.38% but a significant decline in net profit of 75.27% [1] - The average selling price of meat chickens has been a core factor dragging down performance, with a weighted average selling price of 11.06 yuan per kilogram for the first three quarters, down 16.38% year-on-year [2] - The company has seen a substantial increase in the sales volume of live pigs, with a year-on-year growth of 90.22% in the first three quarters, although the average selling price has decreased significantly [3] - The gross margin has declined due to the drop in prices of key products, with a gross margin of 9.94% for the first three quarters, down 6.17 percentage points year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 514 million yuan and a net profit of 13.8 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +5.35% and -76.40% respectively [1] - The company’s revenue from meat chickens for the first three quarters was 1.0059 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.48% year-on-year, while the sales volume increased by 10.37% [2] - The revenue from live pigs for the first three quarters was 2.705 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 61.01% [3] Price Trends - The average selling price of meat chickens showed a downward trend, with a recovery observed in July to September, indicating potential future support for performance [2] - The average selling price of live pigs decreased significantly, with a weighted average of 14.65 yuan per kilogram for the first three quarters, down 16.82% year-on-year [3] Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters was 9.93%, down 9.38 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to falling prices of major products [3] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025 to be 586 million yuan, a decrease of 61.5% year-on-year, with a projected PE ratio of 30.8 [4]

Group 1: Shennong Group - The latest complete cost in September is 12.5 yuan/kg, with weaning cost at 269 yuan/head and PSY at 29.5 heads [1] - The company has improved disease prevention by enhancing air filtration hardware and management, leading to a decrease in mortality rates [1] - Capital expenditure for this year is planned to be within 1 billion yuan, with a target debt-to-asset ratio of below 40% [1] Group 2: Lihua Shares - The complete cost for yellow feather broilers in Q3 is approximately 11.4 yuan/kg, influenced by feed raw material costs and high temperatures [2] - The complete cost for the pig segment in Q3 is about 12.6 yuan/kg, decreasing to 12.3 yuan/kg in September, with a target of 12 yuan/kg by year-end [2] - The annual slaughter capacity for meat chickens is 150 million, with a target of 100 million for 2025 [2] Group 3: Daotong Technology - The company's comprehensive gross margin remains above 55% in the first three quarters of 2025, benefiting from new product launches and AI integration [3] - AI and software business are growing rapidly, with an increase in annual software fees due to high-end product releases [3] - The company plans to pursue H-share listing to deepen international layout [3] Group 4: Ruichuang Weina - Contract liabilities reached 320 million yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.72%, driven by strong domestic and international demand [4] - The company achieved record high revenue in Q3, with sufficient orders and gradually released production capacity [4] - The company is expanding its infrared technology applications into new fields such as robotics and consumer electronics [4] Group 5: Obsidian Light - Robotics is a key strategic focus for the company, providing comprehensive 3D vision sensor solutions for humanoid robots [5] - The company has completed over 10 chip tape-outs, covering various sensor and computing chips, establishing a complete technology loop [5] - In 2024, overseas revenue is projected to be 60.26 million yuan, with a gross margin of 62.32% [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company has benefited from the recovery in the yellow feathered chicken market, with a turnaround in net profit from loss to profit in Q3 2025. The total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 13.493 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.38% [1][10] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 287 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, down 75.27% year-on-year, but Q3 net profit was 138 million yuan, a significant increase of 341.56% quarter-on-quarter [1][10] - The overall poultry prices remain significantly lower than the same period last year, putting pressure on profitability despite the recovery in Q3 [1][10] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q3 2025, the company realized revenue of 5.14 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.46% and a year-on-year increase of 5.35%, mainly due to increased output and improved market conditions for yellow feathered chickens [1][2] - The company maintained a strong competitive position in chicken production, with a complete cost of chicken production dropping below 11 yuan/kg in H1 2025, and expected single bird profit in Q3 to exceed 1 yuan [2] Chicken and Pig Production - The company achieved a chicken output of 415 million birds in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.37%, with Q3 output at 155 million birds, also up 10.36% year-on-year [2] - For pigs, the company realized an output of 1.5058 million heads in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 90.22%, with Q3 output at 556,200 heads, up 55.93% year-on-year [3] Financial Forecasts - The company has adjusted its 2025 net profit forecast to 557 million yuan, while maintaining profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 at 1.518 billion yuan and 1.622 billion yuan respectively. Corresponding EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.67, 1.83, and 1.96 yuan [4][18] - The company is expected to maintain steady expansion in chicken output and rapid release of pig farming capacity, with leading profitability per head in the industry [4][18]

Core Viewpoint - Lihua Co., Ltd. (300761) announced on October 28 that it has established an annual slaughter capacity of 150 million chickens and aims to enhance capacity utilization to reduce processing costs while expanding its chilled chicken channels and strengthening the "fresh and frozen linkage" strategy [1] Group 1 - The company has built an annual slaughter capacity of 150 million chickens [1] - The target slaughter volume for the slaughter segment in 2025 is set at 100 million chickens [1] - The company is focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvement along with extending the industrial chain [1]

Core Viewpoint - Lihua Co., Ltd. reported an increase in the complete cost of broiler chickens to approximately 11.4 yuan/kg in Q3 due to rising feed raw material costs and the impact of prolonged high temperatures on production metrics, but expects a potential decrease in costs with the arrival of seasonal production [1] Group 1: Cost and Production Insights - The complete cost of broiler chicken production increased to about 11.4 yuan/kg in Q3, reflecting a rise in feed raw material costs and adverse weather conditions [1] - The company anticipates a certain degree of cost reduction as seasonal production begins [1] Group 2: Market Performance - The yellow feather broiler chicken market hit a low in June and July but began to recover starting in August [1] - Since August, the yellow feather broiler chicken segment has remained profitable, indicating positive market conditions [1] Group 3: Management and Strategy - The company is focused on enhancing precision management across all operational segments to maintain cost advantages [1] - There is a sustained confidence in the market outlook for the company moving forward [1]

Group 1: Financial Performance Overview - The company achieved a revenue of 13.493 billion CNY for the first nine months of 2025, with 5.140 billion CNY in the third quarter [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months was 287 million CNY, with 138 million CNY in the third quarter [2] - The company's performance showed fluctuations due to a year-on-year decline in product prices despite stable operations in its yellow feathered chicken and pig farming segments [2] Group 2: Cost Management and Market Outlook - The complete cost of yellow feathered chicken in the third quarter rose to approximately 11.4 CNY/kg due to increased feed raw material costs and prolonged high-temperature weather [3] - The yellow feathered chicken market began to recover from a low point in June and July, with profitability maintained since August [3] - The pig farming segment's production cost was around 12.6 CNY/kg in the third quarter, decreasing to 12.3 CNY/kg in September, with a target of 12 CNY/kg by year-end [3] Group 3: Production Capacity and Strategic Goals - The company has established an annual slaughter capacity of 150 million yellow feathered chickens, aiming for a slaughter target of 100 million chickens in 2025 [3] - Efforts are being made to enhance production efficiency and reduce processing costs while expanding the fresh chicken market [3]

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Zhongmu Co., Ltd. leading the gains at 4.31% [1] - The average price of pork in China's wholesale markets increased by 1.3% to 17.96 yuan per kilogram as of October 27 [1] - Galaxy Securities indicates that losses in October may accelerate the reduction of pig farming capacity, highlighting opportunities in the pig farming industry based on the value of breeding sows and farming efficiency [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index account for 66.06% of the index, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [2]

Core Insights - Lihua Co., Ltd. (300761.SZ) reported its Q3 2025 results, revealing that 14 institutional investors hold a total of 263 million shares, accounting for 31.36% of the company's total equity [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 31.10% of the shares, which is a decrease of 0.83 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Institutional Holdings - The number of public funds that increased their holdings this period is five, with a total increase ratio of 0.60% [2] - One public fund, Qianhai Kaiyuan Hong Kong-Shenzhen Agricultural Mixed (LOF) A, reported a decrease in holdings [2] - Two new public funds disclosed their holdings for the first time, namely Yongying Qixin Mixed A and Agricultural Bank Modern Agriculture Mixed [2] - A total of 183 public funds did not disclose their holdings this period, including notable funds like E Fund Growth ETF and Southern CSI 1000 ETF [2] Social Security Fund - One new social security fund, the National Social Security Fund 411 Portfolio, disclosed its holdings in Lihua Co., Ltd. this period [2]

Economic Information - The People's Bank of China emphasizes a cautious approach towards the development of stablecoins and will continue to combat domestic virtual currency operations to maintain financial order [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued guidelines to strengthen the protection of small investors in the capital market, enhancing monitoring of abnormal trading behaviors and ensuring transparency regarding delisting risks [2][6] - October's polysilicon production is expected to reach approximately 134,000 tons, exceeding market expectations, while some leading companies plan to reduce production in November [3] Company Updates - Victory Technology reported a net profit of 1.102 billion yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of 260.52%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.88% [5] - Taicheng Light's Q3 revenue was 386 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.98%, while net profit was 86.9765 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.20% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.5% [5] - Several companies, including Tongrun Equipment and Jingji Agriculture, announced plans to reduce their shareholdings by up to 3% [7] Overseas Market Updates - International precious metal futures saw a significant decline of over 3%, with COMEX gold futures dropping 3.4% to $3,997 per ounce and silver futures falling 3.61% to $46.83 per ounce [5] - The UK government has cut the support scale for offshore wind farms by 18% to £900 million, while providing an £1.1 billion budget for renewable energy support auctions [5]