Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 24.006 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.840 billion yuan, up 20.00% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 23 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a payout ratio of 69.89% [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, leading to a production capacity of 229 million pairs, a 3.3% increase year-on-year, and a utilization rate of 96.72%, up 10.06 percentage points [5][9]. Financial Performance - The company reported a quarterly revenue breakdown for 2024 as follows: 4.765 billion yuan in Q1, 6.707 billion yuan in Q2, 6.039 billion yuan in Q3, and 6.495 billion yuan in Q4, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.15%, 20.83%, 18.50%, and 11.88% respectively [3]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 improved by 1.2 percentage points to 26.8%, while the net profit margin was 16.0%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [5][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 3.29 yuan, with projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 3.69 yuan, 4.25 yuan, and 4.76 yuan respectively [6][9]. Market Position and Client Base - The company has established partnerships with major global brands, including Nike and Adidas, with the top five clients accounting for 79.13% of total sales, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [4][9]. - The revenue from sports casual shoes, outdoor boots, and sports sandals/slippers for 2024 was 20.991 billion yuan, 0.898 billion yuan, and 2.070 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.88%, -33.70%, and 125.76% [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the normalization of orders from core clients and the continued growth of new brand clients, leading to a projected increase in revenue and profit for the coming years [9]. - The report forecasts a revenue growth of 14.1% in 2025, 14.2% in 2026, and 12.1% in 2027, with net profit growth rates of 12.2%, 14.9%, and 12.2% respectively [11].

其他纺织 华利集团（300979.SZ） 买入-A(维持) 2024 年分红超预期，产能加速扩张 2025 年 4 月 14 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 4 月 10 日，公司披露 2024 年年报，2024 年，公司实现营业收入 240.06 亿元，同 比增长 19.35%，实现归母净利润 38.40 亿元，同比增长 20.00%，实现扣非净利润 37.81 亿元，同比增长 18.83%。公司拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 23 元（含税），派息 率 69.89%。 事件点评 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 市场数据：2025 年 4 月 11 日 收盘价（元）： 56.14 年内最高/最低（元）： 85.00/47.77 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 11.67/11.67 流通 A 股市值（亿元）： 655.15 2024 年公司实现量价齐升，受到基数影响，业绩增速逐季放缓。2024 年，公司实 现营收 240.06 亿元，同比增长 19.35%，销售数量方面，2024 年，公司鞋履销售量 2.23 亿双，同比增长 17.53%。销售均价方面，2024 年，人民币均价 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][34]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 24.006 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.35%, driven by the recovery of orders from sports shoe manufacturers as inventory issues ease [1][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow by 20% to 3.84 billion yuan in 2024, with a stable gross margin of 26.8% [1][8]. - The company plans to increase its annual cash dividend payout ratio to approximately 70% of net profit for 2024, up from 43.76% in 2023 [1][8]. Revenue and Profit Growth - The company sold 223 million pairs of sports shoes in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17.5%, with an average selling price of approximately 107.3 yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1.6% [2][13]. - The top five customers accounted for 79% of total revenue, a decrease of 3 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a diversification in the customer base [2][13]. - The company has established a partnership with Adidas, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth starting in 2025 [2][28]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 4.304 billion yuan, 5.002 billion yuan, and 5.746 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.1%, 16.2%, and 14.9% [3][34]. - The reasonable valuation range for the company is maintained at 73.1 to 79.5 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 20-22x for 2025 [3][34]. Operational Efficiency - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 22.0% in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.8 percentage points [17][35]. - Capital expenditures are expected to reach 1.7 billion yuan, primarily for capacity expansion, with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia commencing production [1][17]. Market Position - The company has consistently outperformed its peers in the industry, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.0% from 2022 to 2024, while competitors experienced declines [27][29]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of major clients like Nike and the new partnership with Adidas, which is anticipated to drive significant revenue growth [27][28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the textile and apparel industry, highlighting the potential for recovery and growth in domestic demand in 2025 [5][12]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the market recently, with the SW textile and apparel index dropping by 5.7% from April 7 to April 11, lagging behind the SW All A index by 1.3 percentage points [6]. - Anta's acquisition of the German brand Jack Wolfskin is seen as a strategic move to enhance its outdoor segment, with the brand expected to complement Anta's existing portfolio [11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery as a key investment theme for 2025, particularly in light of changing international trade dynamics [12]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The textile and apparel sector has shown weakness, with significant declines in both the apparel and textile manufacturing indices [6][9]. - Recent data indicates a 3.3% year-on-year increase in retail sales for clothing and textiles, totaling 262.4 billion yuan in January and February [30]. Company Developments - Anta's Q1 performance exceeded expectations, with a notable increase in sales across its brands, including a 70% increase in other brands [11]. - The report highlights the strong financial performance of Huayi Group, which reported a 19.35% increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 24 billion yuan [11]. Industry Trends - The report discusses the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the textile supply chain, noting a significant imbalance in global tariff structures, particularly affecting Chinese exports [13][14]. - The cross-border e-commerce sector is adapting to tariff challenges, with companies focusing on diversifying supply chains and reducing costs [16]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in quality domestic brands that are poised for recovery, particularly in the sports and outdoor segments, as well as in home textiles and children's clothing [5][12]. - Specific companies highlighted for potential investment include Anta Sports, Bosideng, and Huayi Group, among others [5].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 分量价来看，2024年公司销售运动鞋2.23亿双，销量同比+17.5%，推算人民币口径单价同比提升1.7%。 分品类来看，运动休闲鞋、户外靴鞋、运动凉鞋/拖鞋及其他24年收入占总收入的比重分别为 87.4%/3.7%/8.6%，收入分别同比+17.9%/-33.7%/+125.8%，其中运动凉鞋/拖鞋及其他收入大幅增加，主 要系UGG等品牌的拖鞋款型体订单大幅增加。 分地区来看（按品牌客户总部所在地划分），美国/欧洲/其他地区24年收入占总收入的比重分别为 85.0%/12.8%/2.1%，收入分别同比+18.1%/+24.3%/+44.4%。 品牌客户方面，前五大客户24年收入占比为79.1%，占比同比下降3.2PCT，收入同比增14.7%，前五大客 户收入占比依次为33.2%/21.4%/12.5%/6.3%/5.8%，其中前四大客户收入分别同比 +4.7%/+26.4%/+26.4%/+8.0%（第五名客户有变化）；除前五大客户外，其他客户收入占比为20.9%，收 入同比增长41.3%。新客户中，On Running增长较高，另外公司24年9月为adidas量产 ...

Group 1: Sales and Market Impact - The company's sales revenue from the U.S. market is estimated to account for approximately 40% of total sales, with the U.S. being the largest consumer market for athletic shoes [2] - The company has developed different response plans regarding the U.S. tariffs on imports from Vietnam and Indonesia, maintaining close communication with clients [2][3] - Despite the uncertainty in the global trade environment, the company will not adjust its strategic plans for the construction of new factories in Indonesia [3] Group 2: Raw Material Sourcing - In 2024, over 50% of raw materials for the Vietnam factory will be sourced locally, while the proportion from mainland China has decreased to about 30% [4] - The company operates a processing model in Vietnam, where raw materials are imported duty-free, and only processing fees are charged [4] Group 3: Production Capacity and Technology - The company’s supercritical physical foaming midsole technology is considered to be at a leading level in the industry, with production capacity currently tight [5] - The company plans to continue investing in expanding production capacity to meet demand for this technology [5] Group 4: Financial Performance and Profit Distribution - The company's net profit margin has remained stable at around 15%-16% since 2021, reflecting effective cost and expense management [7] - The cash dividend ratio for 2024 is set to approximately 70% of net profit, with previous years showing cash dividends of 89% in 2021, 43% in 2022, and 44% in 2023 [16] Group 5: Future Outlook and Client Relations - The company is optimistic about 2025 orders, with no significant changes expected in actual orders compared to forecasts [8] - Average selling prices will fluctuate based on client and product mix, with the company monitoring these changes closely [9] - The company maintains a multi-client model, which enhances its market adaptability and attracts new clients [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][12]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in dividend payout and is expected to gain market share from new customers in 2025 [2]. - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 24.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.4%, and a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20.0% year-on-year [2]. - The company is a leading global sports shoe manufacturer with strong growth potential and operational resilience, supported by its excellent production management and customer acquisition capabilities [6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - 2024 revenue: 24,006 million yuan, with a growth rate of 19.4% [2]. - 2024 net profit: 3,840 million yuan, with a growth rate of 20.0% [2]. - 2024 gross margin: 26.8%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024 EPS: 3.29 yuan, projected to grow to 4.91 yuan by 2027 [2][7]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio: 17 for 2024, decreasing to 11 by 2027 [2][7]. - Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio: 3.8 for 2024, decreasing to 2.8 by 2027 [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The company experienced a 17.5% year-on-year increase in sports shoe sales in 2024, driven by improved inventory levels among downstream customers [6]. - The company’s top five customers contributed to a revenue increase of 14.7%, while other customers saw a revenue increase of 41.3% [6]. - The company began collaboration with Adidas in 2024, which is expected to enhance its supply share in the future [6]. Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The company reported a healthy operating cash flow of 4.62 billion yuan in 2024, up 25.0% year-on-year [6]. - Inventory turnover days improved to 60 days, a reduction of 3 days year-on-year, indicating effective inventory management [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company has exceeded dividend expectations, indicating potential for sustainable growth in the future [1]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 24.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.4%, with a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency [6]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are forecasted to be 3.71, 4.22, and 4.83 yuan respectively, with a target price of 66.51 yuan based on an 18x PE valuation for 2025 [2][7]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 20.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2][10]. - The gross profit margin is projected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations, indicating consistent profitability [2][10]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s operating profit for 2024 is expected to be 4.97 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 16% [6][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline slightly from 22.6% in 2023 to 19.1% in 2027, reflecting a stable but slightly decreasing profitability trend [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.5 in 2023 to 11.6 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation as earnings grow [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company has exceeded dividend expectations, indicating potential for sustainable growth in the future [1]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 24.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.4%, with a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency [6]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are forecasted to be 3.71, 4.22, and 4.83 yuan respectively, with a target price of 66.51 yuan based on an 18x PE valuation for 2025 [2][7]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 20.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2][10]. - The gross profit margin is projected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations, indicating consistent profitability [6][10]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s operating profit for 2024 is expected to be 4.97 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 16% [6][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline slightly from 22.6% in 2023 to 19.1% in 2027, reflecting a stable but slightly decreasing profitability trend [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.5 in 2023 to 11.6 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation as earnings grow [10].

纺织服饰 | 纺织制造 非金融|公司点评报告 证券研究报告 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 周宸宇 zhouchenyu@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 | 04 | | 日 | 月 | 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | 56.14 | | | | | 一 年 内 最 最 低 | 高 | / | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | 65,515.38 | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | 65,514.95 | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | | 1,167.00 | | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | | 23.38 | | | | | 每股净资产（元/股） | | | | | | 14.94 | | | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | ...