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“未上调2026财年指引”不是大问题,高盛:越来越相信博通的AI业务
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-12 05:56
Core Viewpoint - Despite not raising the full-year guidance for fiscal year 2026 as some investors expected, Goldman Sachs reaffirmed a "Buy" rating for Broadcom, citing the company's strengthening dominance in the custom chip sector and robust fundamentals in its AI business [1][2]. Financial Performance - Broadcom reported a strong fourth-quarter revenue of $18 billion, exceeding market expectations of $17.5 billion. The guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 is set at $19.1 billion, significantly above the analyst forecast of $18.3 billion. This growth is primarily driven by a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue [1][5]. - The AI semiconductor revenue reached $6.5 billion, surpassing the expected $6.2 billion, while total semiconductor solutions revenue was $11.1 billion, above the anticipated $10.7 billion. Infrastructure software revenue was $6.9 billion, slightly exceeding expectations [5]. Market Reaction and Guidance - The market's reaction to the earnings report may be mixed, as there is disappointment over the lack of an updated full-year guidance for fiscal year 2026. Analysts noted that the absence of an upward revision could lead to short-term stock price pressure [1][3]. - Goldman Sachs' analysts predict that Broadcom's AI revenue growth for fiscal year 2026 will actually exceed 100%, despite management's conservative stance not reflecting the actual business momentum [3]. Customer Expansion and Orders - Broadcom has made significant progress in customer expansion, maintaining strong momentum with its largest client, Google, and announcing a new major customer. The company has secured a fifth XPU customer and received an additional $11 billion order from Anthropic for fiscal year 2026 [4]. - The backlog of AI orders has reached $73 billion for the next 18 months, indicating strong demand, with additional orders expected to increase this figure [4]. Profitability Trends - Broadcom's gross margin for the fourth quarter was 77.9%, slightly above market expectations. The adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 is set at 67% [5]. - Goldman Sachs noted that as Broadcom begins delivering full-rack solutions to Anthropic and potentially OpenAI in the second half of fiscal year 2026, there may be some dilution in gross and operating margins due to a higher proportion of direct components in these solutions [5]. Valuation Logic - Goldman Sachs raised Broadcom's 12-month price target from $435 to $450, based on an increase in AI revenue expectations and improved visibility into industry cycles. The estimated EPS was adjusted from $11.50 to $12.00, maintaining a 38x P/E multiple [2][7].
Tumbling tech stocks drag Wall Street to its worst day in 3 weeks
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-12 05:41
NEW YORK (AP) — More drops for superstar artificial-intelligence stocks knocked Wall Street off its record heights on Friday. The S&P 500 fell 1.1% from its all-time high for its worst day in three weeks. The weakness for tech stocks yanked the Nasdaq composite down by a market-leading 1.7%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gave back 245 points, or 0.5%, after setting its own record the day before. Broadcom dragged the market lower and tumbled 11.4% even though the chip company reported a stronger p ...
大行评级丨里昂:博通上季业绩表现稳健且TPU订单预测或存在上调空间 评级“跑赢大市”
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-12 05:12
里昂认为,博通上季业绩表现稳健,指引对于公司以至整个AI板块均具提振作用,又指博通长久以来 一直是谷歌TPU的合作伙伴,相信该行对下一财年约350万个TPU的订单预测可能存在上调空间,给 予"跑赢大市"评级,目标价为330美元。 格隆汇12月12日|里昂发表研究报告指,博通第四财季收入为180亿美元,按年上升28%,胜预期。按 业务划分,半导体解决方案收入按年增长35%,基础设施软件收入则按年增长19%,两者均带动收入表 现超出预期。期内非公认会计准则下净利润按年增长39%,同样高于预期。管理层对下财季收入指引预 测为191亿美元,即按年增长36%,高于里昂预估;经调整EBITDA利润率料达67%,略低于第四财季的 68%水平。 ...
杰富瑞、TD Cowen上调博通获目标价
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-12 04:52
格隆汇12月12日|杰富瑞将博通的目标价从480美元上调至500美元,TD Cowen将博通的目标价从405美 元上调至450美元。 ...
1486亿!谷歌TPU拿巨额大单,博通CEO爆料
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 04:43
Core Insights - Broadcom's CEO revealed that the company received orders worth $10 billion from Anthropic for the latest Google TPU Ironwood racks, with an additional $11 billion order in the same quarter [2] - Broadcom reported a 28.2% year-over-year revenue increase for Q4 FY2025, reaching $18.02 billion, driven by a 74% growth in AI chip sales [2] - The company has $73 billion in unfulfilled orders over the next 18 months, covering custom chips, switches, and other data center components [2] Company Performance - Broadcom's Q4 FY2025 net profit surged by 96.99% year-over-year, amounting to $8.52 billion [2] - AI chip sales contributed $8.2 billion to the revenue, highlighting the growing demand for AI-related products [2] Client Relationships - Broadcom has secured a fifth custom XPU chip client, with a $1 billion order placed in Q4, indicating ongoing growth in client demand [4] - The company has previously signed a chip purchase agreement with OpenAI, further expanding its client base in the AI sector [4] Market Dynamics - Google and Anthropic announced a cloud collaboration valued at several billion dollars, allowing Anthropic access to up to 1 million Google TPUs, expected to launch over 1 GW of AI computing capacity by 2026 [5] - Anthropic is adopting a multi-cloud, multi-chip strategy, distributing AI workloads across Google TPUs, AWS Trainium chips, and NVIDIA GPUs [5] Technological Advancements - Google's latest TPU Ironwood boasts a performance efficiency six times greater than its predecessor, achieving approximately 29.3 TFLOPS/W, which is double the computational power of NVIDIA's GB200 at the same power consumption [6] - The collaboration between Google and Broadcom in developing TPUs may significantly impact the computing market share in the future [6]
中央经济工作会议稳中求进:环球市场动态2025年12月12日
citic securities· 2025-12-12 04:38
Market Overview - A-shares opened high but closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.7% at 3,873 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 1.27% and the ChiNext Index dropped 1.41%[15] - The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong decreased by 0.04%, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.83%[10] - European markets rose, with the Stoxx 600 index up 0.55%, driven by positive sentiment from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts[8] Economic Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the need for a "strong supply and weak demand" approach, advocating for proactive fiscal policies and moderate monetary easing[5] - The U.S. initial jobless claims saw the largest increase since 2020, rising from 192,000 to 236,000, indicating potential economic stress[5] Commodity and Currency Movements - Oil futures hit their lowest level since October, with NY crude oil down 1.47% to $57.6 per barrel[28] - Gold prices increased by 2.09%, reaching $4,285.5 per ounce, as investors weighed the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook[28] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.4%, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 9.3%[27] Stock Performance - Oracle's quarterly earnings missed expectations, leading to a 10.83% drop in its stock price, which negatively impacted the tech sector and caused the Nasdaq to decline by 0.25%[8] - Broadcom reported better-than-expected earnings, boosting optimism in the AI sector, with a target price of $415 for its stock[7] Regional Market Trends - Latin American markets saw gains, with the S&P Mexico IPC index rising by 2.05%[8] - In the Asia-Pacific region, Taiwan's stock index fell by 1.3%, while Malaysia's index rose by 0.9%[22]
1486亿,谷歌TPU拿巨额大单,博通CEO爆料
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-12 04:24
Group 1 - Broadcom's CEO revealed that the company received a $10 billion order from Anthropic for the latest Google TPU Ironwood racks, with an additional $11 billion order placed in the same quarter [1] - In Q4 of fiscal year 2025, Broadcom reported a revenue increase of 28.2% year-over-year, reaching $18.02 billion, driven by a 74% growth in AI chip sales, contributing $8.2 billion to revenue [1] - Broadcom's net profit surged by 96.99% year-over-year, amounting to $8.52 billion, with a backlog of $73 billion in unfulfilled orders for custom chips and data center components over the next 18 months [1] Group 2 - Broadcom has secured a fifth custom XPU chip client, which placed a $1 billion order in Q4, indicating potential for further growth in orders [2] - Google and Anthropic announced a comprehensive cloud partnership valued at several billion dollars, allowing Anthropic access to up to 1 million Google TPUs, expected to launch over 1 gigawatt of AI computing capacity by 2026 [2] - Anthropic is employing a multi-cloud, multi-chip strategy for its AI workloads, utilizing Google TPUs, AWS Trainium chips, and NVIDIA GPUs, adjusting its models to fit the characteristics of these chips [2] Group 3 - The demand for Google's TPUs is closely linked to the stock price increase of its parent company, Alphabet, as investors view Anthropic's significant TPU purchases positively [3] - Google has begun offering TPUs as a service to cloud customers and is considering direct sales of TPUs to select clients, with ongoing discussions with Meta for potential multi-billion dollar purchases starting in 2027 [3] Group 4 - The latest generation of Google's TPU Ironwood boasts an energy efficiency ratio six times that of its predecessor, achieving approximately 29.3 TFLOPS/W, and its computational power is about twice that of NVIDIA's GB200 at the same power consumption [4] - The collaboration between Google and Broadcom in developing TPUs could significantly impact the computing market share, especially as power constraints become a critical issue for AI data centers [4]
Piper Sandler上调博通目标价至430美元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-12 04:13
格隆汇12月12日|Piper Sandler:将博通公司目标价从375美元上调至430美元。 ...