Core Viewpoint - Microsoft reported strong financial results for Q2 of FY2026, exceeding Wall Street expectations in both revenue and profit, but concerns over slowing Azure growth and record capital expenditures led to a significant drop in stock price after hours [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the second quarter ending December 31, Microsoft achieved revenue of $81.27 billion, a year-over-year increase of approximately 17%, surpassing the market expectation of $80.3 billion. Net profit reached $38.46 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) of $5.16, significantly exceeding the expected $3.92. Adjusted EPS was $4.14, also above expectations [2]. - The substantial increase in net profit was partly due to changes in accounting treatment for the investment in OpenAI, contributing an additional $1.02 to EPS [2]. Cloud Business Performance - Microsoft's "Intelligent Cloud" segment, including Azure, generated revenue of $32.91 billion, a nearly 29% year-over-year increase, slightly above expectations. However, the growth rate of Azure and other cloud services raised concerns [3]. - Azure and other cloud services revenue grew by 38% year-over-year at constant currency, matching analyst predictions but slowing by one percentage point from the previous quarter. This deceleration disappointed investors betting on stronger cloud performance [3]. Capital Expenditures and AI Investment Concerns - Microsoft reported a significant increase in capital expenditures, reaching $37.5 billion, a 66% year-over-year rise, exceeding analyst expectations of $36.2 billion. Approximately two-thirds of this expenditure was allocated to computing chips for data centers to meet AI demand [4]. - CEO Satya Nadella noted an increase of nearly 1 gigawatt in computing capacity during the quarter. Despite the substantial investment, the company faces challenges in rapidly expanding sufficient computing capacity to meet demand [4]. - The "remaining performance obligations" (RPO), indicating future revenue from signed contracts, reached a record $625 billion, more than doubling year-over-year. Notably, 45% of this figure is attributed to agreements with OpenAI, highlighting Microsoft's reliance on the AI startup [4][5]. Other Business Segments - The productivity and business processes segment, including Office, Dynamics, and LinkedIn, generated revenue of $34.12 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations. Microsoft also reported that its AI assistant, Microsoft 365 Copilot, has gained 15 million commercial user seats, indicating initial adoption momentum [5]. - The personal computing segment, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface, and Bing, reported revenue of $14.25 billion, a slight year-over-year decline of about 3%, slightly below expectations. Game revenue decreased by 9.5% [6]. Industry Competition and Stock Pressure - Microsoft is the first of the three major cloud service companies to report quarterly financial results, serving as a key indicator of the efficiency of tech giants' AI investments. The total capital expenditure in AI by Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta is expected to exceed $500 billion this year [7]. - In contrast to Microsoft's post-earnings stock decline, Meta's stock rose significantly after announcing increased AI spending, reflecting differing market expectations regarding AI strategies. Meta's projected annual capital expenditures are between $115 billion and $135 billion, above analyst estimates [7]. - Analysts noted that Google's strong performance with its latest Gemini model and the emergence of competitors like Anthropic are putting pressure on Microsoft's AI business and traditional software [7]. - Microsoft's stock closed at $481.63, experiencing a drop of over 7% in after-hours trading following the earnings report. Over the past three months, Microsoft's stock has declined approximately 11%, underperforming the S&P 500 index, which rose by 1% during the same period [7].

Group 1 - Jack Ma emphasizes the importance of teaching children how to effectively use AI rather than debating its necessity, highlighting curiosity, imagination, and creativity as key skills for the AI era [2] - The Ma Yun Rural Teacher Program, initiated by the Jack Ma Foundation in 2015, aims to enhance rural education quality through funding and professional training, selecting 100 teachers annually for support [2] Group 2 - Hunan Mingming Henbang, China's largest snack and beverage retail chain, saw its stock surge by 88.08% upon listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, closing with a market cap of HKD 86.204 billion [4] - The company issued 14.101 million H shares, with a subscription rate exceeding 1500 times, and anticipates net proceeds of over HKD 3 billion from the offering [4] Group 3 - Tesla plans to cease production of Model S and Model X vehicles to transition towards a fully autonomous future, utilizing the "Optimus" robot factory for production [8] - Elon Musk stated that this change is part of Tesla's overall shift towards automation, although support for existing Model S and Model X vehicles will continue [8] Group 4 - SoftBank is reportedly negotiating to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI, which is seeking to raise up to $100 billion in new funding, potentially valuing the company at $830 billion [10] - OpenAI's largest shareholder, SoftBank, previously invested $22.5 billion in December, increasing its stake to approximately 11% [10] Group 5 - Meta reported Q4 revenue of $59.89 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, with advertising revenue also rising by 24% to $58.14 billion [11] - The company expects Q1 sales to range between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, with a post-earnings stock increase of over 4% [11] Group 6 - Ideal Auto is restructuring its R&D framework, splitting the autonomous driving team into three main groups, with a focus on software and hardware integration [10] - The restructuring aims to enhance the efficiency of the development process and align with the company's strategic goals [10] Group 7 - Amazon announced a reduction of nearly 16,000 jobs as part of an organizational restructuring while continuing to invest in strategic areas [17] - The company aims to balance workforce adjustments with ongoing recruitment in critical functions [17] Group 8 - Longting Technology completed a new round of financing totaling 500 million yuan, with investors including national and local AI industry funds [18] - The funds will be used to accelerate product development and enhance the company's market position [18]

当地时间1月28日，据媒体援引知情人士称，马斯克正计划将SpaceX的IPO时间安排在6月中旬——正值 罕见的行星连珠现象与他的生日期间。SpaceX计划融资规模高达500亿美元，估值约1.5万亿美元，将打 破沙特阿美2019年创下的290亿美元IPO纪录。有分析称，SpaceX公司将IPO日期放在6月份的原因之 一，或许就是马斯克的生日在6月28日，这在一定程度上凸显了马斯克对SpaceX公司的个人影响。另据 知情人士透露，该公司瞄准6月中旬上市，届时木星和金星将出现三年多来首次近距离相合。 点评：SpaceX拟于六月启动巨额IPO，潜在估值创历史新高，将引发全球资本市场高度关注。 NO.3Meta第四季度营收同比增24%，盘后一度涨超11% Meta周三盘后公布财报显示，公司第四季度营收598.9亿美元，同比增长24%，预估584.2亿美元；第四 季度广告收入581.4亿美元，同比增长24%，预估567.9亿美元；第四季度每股收益8.88美元，上年同期 8.02美元；第四季度经营利润247.5亿美元，同比增长5.9%。Meta称全年资本支出将达1150亿美元至 1350亿美元，超过分析师平均预期的1106 ...

Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Reserve decided to keep benchmark rates unchanged, with two dissenting votes and a slight upgrade in their view of the labor market [1][3] - The market reaction was muted, with the S&P 500 remaining largely unchanged and the dollar rising as measured by the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index [2] Market Reactions - Treasury yields showed little movement, while gold prices increased by approximately 4% [2] - Portfolio managers believe the Fed is likely to remain on hold until new data suggests otherwise, with potential rate cuts expected later in the year [4][5] Company Earnings Reports - Major companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla are set to report earnings, with significant market capitalization implications [14] - Microsoft reported $81.27 billion in revenue, exceeding expectations of $80.3 billion, while its cloud revenue grew by 38% [18][32] - Meta's fourth-quarter revenue was $59.89 billion, better than estimates, with a focus on AI investments [19][20] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to diversify their fixed income and equity portfolios, with a focus on shorter-duration credit markets [10][12] - The corporate credit markets are tight, with spreads approaching 250 basis points, indicating a cautious but stable investment environment [11] Tesla's Future Plans - Tesla plans to invest $2 billion in preferred shares of XAI, Elon Musk's AI venture, indicating a shift towards AI and robotics [36][59] - The company aims to deliver 20 million EVs by 2026, although there are concerns about the feasibility of these targets given recent revenue declines [62][70] Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment appears to be driven more by long-term narratives rather than short-term fundamentals, particularly for companies like Tesla [64][80] - Concerns exist regarding the sustainability of high valuations in the face of deteriorating economic fundamentals for some tech companies [73][74]

Tesla - Tesla's Q4 adjusted EPS was 0.50, beating the consensus estimate of 0.45 [1] - Q4 revenue was $24.90 billion, slightly below the estimate of $25.11 billion [1] - Q4 gross margins were 20.1%, exceeding the estimate of 17.1% [1] - Free cash flow for Q4 was $1.42 billion, compared to an estimate of $1.59 billion [1] - Tesla is utilizing 10,000 humanoid robots named Optimus in factories, with plans to ramp up production to 1 million units by 2027-2028 [1][3] - Each robot is expected to generate a profit of $20,000, potentially leading to $20 billion in profits from robot sales alone [1][3] - The humanoid robotics market is projected to grow from nearly $3 billion in 2025 to $15 billion by 2030, representing a 39% CAGR [1] - Tesla plans to unveil Optimus version 3 in Q1 of this year, with production expected to start by the end of the year [1][3] - The company is also preparing for production ramps of Tesla Semi and Cyber Cab [1] Meta - Meta's Q4 EPS was $8.88, with revenue of $59.89 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $58.42 billion [4] - Q4 ad revenue was $58.14 billion, exceeding the street estimate of $56.6 billion [4] - Meta's Q1 revenue forecast ranges from $53.5 billion to $56.5 billion, compared to a previous estimate of $51.27 billion [4] - The company plans capital expenditures of $115 to $135 billion for 2026, higher than the street estimate of $110.6 billion [4] - Meta is focusing on monetizing WhatsApp and has started selling ads on Reels, enhancing its revenue streams [4] - Analysts express confidence in Meta's long-term growth potential despite concerns over high capital expenditures [6][8] - Meta's stock trades at 18 times forward earnings, considered cheap for the growth it is achieving [9]

Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to maintain the Fed funds rate in the 3.50-3.75% range, following three consecutive cuts totaling 175 basis points since September 2024 [2][3] - The Fed noted that the economy is expanding at a solid pace, with unemployment stabilizing and inflation remaining somewhat elevated, leading to the decision not to cut rates further [3] Microsoft (MSFT) Earnings Report - Microsoft reported earnings of $4.14 per share on revenues of $81.27 billion, exceeding expectations of $3.88 per share and $80.23 billion in revenue [5] - The cloud business, Azure, generated $39.0 billion, slightly below the consensus of $39.4 billion, while Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) in AI surged by 110% to $625 billion, with 45% linked to OpenAI [6] - Capital expenditures rose by 66% to $37.5 billion, and commercial cloud revenue increased by 17% [7] Meta Platforms (META) Earnings Report - Meta reported earnings of $8.88 per share on revenues of $59.89 billion, surpassing estimates of $8.21 per share and $59.59 billion in revenue [8] - The company raised its current-quarter revenue guidance and projected capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 to be between $115-135 billion, up from the previous estimate of $110 billion [8] Tesla (TSLA) Earnings Report - Tesla's Q4 earnings were 50 cents per share, beating estimates by 5 cents, while revenues of $24.90 billion fell short of the anticipated $25.14 billion [9] - The company announced that its new Cybercab is on track for production in 2026, with shares rising by 3% following the news [10]

微软股价大幅下跌，该公司支出飙升至历史新高，而云业务销售额增长放缓，投资者担心其人工智能投 资可能需要比预期更长的时间才能获得回报。 第二财季资本支出达到375亿美元，比上年同期增长66%，超过分析师预期的362亿美元。 经汇率波动调整后，Azure云计算部门当季营收增长38%，勉强符合分析师预期。但这一增速较上一季 度放缓。该公司预计当前财季Azure销售额将增长37%至38%。 微软股价在盘后交易中下跌约7%，纽约常规交易时段收于481.63美元。 该公司周三发布称，季度总销售额增长17%至813亿美元，每股收益为5.16美元。净利润增长主要得益 于微软对OpenAI的投资收益，该投资使每股收益增加了1.02美元。 分析师此前预计销售额为803亿美元，每股收益为3.92美元。 责任编辑：王永生 微软股价大幅下跌，该公司支出飙升至历史新高，而云业务销售额增长放缓，投资者担心其人工智能投 资可能需要比预期更长的时间才能获得回报。 第二财季资本支出达到375亿美元，比上年同期增长66%，超过分析师预期的362亿美元。 经汇率波动调整后，Azure云计算部门当季营收增长38%，勉强符合分析师预期。但这一增速较上一 ...

►►上海期货交易所发布公告，再次对黄金、白银等期货涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金比例进行调整，其中，镍期货已上市合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为11%， 套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为12%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为13%；氧化铝、铅、锌期货已上市合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为9%，套保持仓交易保证 金比例调整为10%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为11%；不锈钢、铸造铝合金、螺纹钢、热轧卷板期货已上市合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为7%，套保持仓交 易保证金比例调整为8%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为9%；黄金期货AU2606、AU2608、AU2610、AU2612、AU2702合约涨跌停板幅度调整为16%，套 保持仓交易保证金比例调整为17%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为18%；白银期货AG2605、AG2606、AG2607、AG2608、AG2609、AG2610、AG2611、 AG2612、AG2701合约涨跌停板幅度调整为16%，套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为17%，一般持仓交易保证金比例调整为18%。 上海黄金交易所于同日发布公告，对白银延期合约交易保证金水平和涨跌停板比例进行调整，自2026年1月30日（星期五）收盘清 ...

Core Insights - Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla reported earnings, indicating the performance of the Magnificent Seven in early 2026, with overall positive results but varying degrees of success [1] Meta - Meta exceeded expectations for earnings per share (EPS) and revenue, with a notable increase in capital expenditures (CapEx) guidance for 2026, projected between $115 billion and $135 billion, nearly double the 2025 spending [1] - Sales for Meta increased by 24% in Q4 compared to the previous year [1] Microsoft - Microsoft surpassed Wall Street's EPS and revenue expectations for Q2 of its 2026 fiscal year, with a 17% increase in overall revenue, largely driven by its cloud computing business, which generated $51.5 billion [1] - The positive performance may indicate the success of Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI [1] Tesla - Tesla beat Wall Street estimates for EPS and revenue despite a 3.1% decline in revenue compared to Q4 of the previous year, raising concerns about sluggish auto sales [1] - CEO Elon Musk's potential political involvement may pose risks to the brand, but Musk highlighted future revenue opportunities from Robotaxis and humanoid robots, which are yet to be released [1]

Market Overview - US stock futures showed modest gains with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 both up approximately 0.2%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures increased by 0.1% as investors awaited Apple's earnings report [1] - The S&P 500 is approaching the 7,000 mark, driven by a more than 8% surge in Meta shares due to a strong quarterly revenue outlook and plans to invest up to $135 billion in data centers this year [2] - Microsoft shares fell nearly 7% despite exceeding earnings expectations, attributed to a slowdown in cloud sales growth [3] Company Earnings and Performance - Tesla's stock rose over 2% as it shifted focus from electric vehicles to robotics, despite reporting its first annual revenue decline [3] - Comcast reported a loss in broadband customers, missing analysts' estimates due to increased competition [6] - Las Vegas Sands stock dropped 10% in premarket trading after earnings fell short of expectations, while Royal Caribbean's stock rose 6% following better-than-expected earnings guidance [9] - Whirlpool's stock fell 10% after an unexpected decline in sales [9] - SAP shares plummeted 15% after reporting a cloud backlog and disappointing guidance, with cloud pre-orders at $25 billion, missing estimates by 1% [10] - IBM stock surged 8% after reporting a 12% revenue growth, driven by a 14% increase in software revenue, with total revenue reaching $19.69 billion [14][15] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, with markets anticipating two quarter-point rate cuts by the end of the year [5][6] - Investors are closely monitoring updates on jobless claims, durable goods orders, and wholesale inventory figures for economic insights [5] Commodity Market - Gold prices surged, briefly exceeding $5,500 per ounce, amid a declining dollar and rising tensions in the Middle East [4][18] - Oil prices increased, with Brent crude futures rising 2.4% to nearly $69 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate futures jumping 2.6% to above $64, following President Trump's threats to Iran [16]