Core Viewpoint - The report from Jianyin International indicates that NetEase-S (09999) has mixed performance for Q2 2025, but strong results from Changyou games and recently launched titles, along with a robust game pipeline, support a solid outlook. Therefore, the rating is maintained at "Outperform" and the valuation year is updated from 2025 to 2026, resulting in a target price increase of 4% from HKD 226.2 to HKD 235.56 [1] Group 1 - NetEase-S (09999) shows mixed performance for Q2 2025 [1] - Strong performance from Changyou games and recent launches contributes to a positive outlook [1] - Target price increased by 4% to HKD 235.56, with valuation year updated to 2026 [1]

建银国际发布研报称，网易-S(09999)2025年第二季业绩好坏参半，但常青游戏和近期推出的游戏表现 强劲，加上丰富的游戏管线，支撑了坚挺的前景。因此维持"跑赢大市"评级，将其估值年份由2025年更 新至2026年，故上调目标价4%，由226.2港元升至235.56港元。 ...

Group 1: NetEase (NTES US) - The gaming improvement trend for the second half of the year is clear, with new games expected in 2026, leading to a target price increase from $143 to $155, reflecting a potential upside of 19.5% [3] - Q2 2025 results were in line with expectations, with gaming revenue slightly below market expectations but gross margin improvement exceeding expectations [3] - Strong performance of flagship games in July and August indicates a robust recovery in mobile gaming, with a strong year-on-year growth expected in the second half of the year [3] Group 2: NetEase Cloud Music (9899 HK) - The company reported better-than-expected profits for the first half of 2025, leading to a target price increase from HKD 240 to HKD 339, indicating a potential upside of 25.5% [4] - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was HKD 3.83 billion, a year-on-year decline of 6%, primarily due to a decrease in social entertainment revenue, while subscription revenue grew by 15% [4] - Adjusted net profit for the first half was HKD 1.1 billion, exceeding market expectations [4] Group 3: JD Logistics (2618 HK) - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in external integration revenue due to prior investments, with a target price of HKD 18.50, indicating a potential upside of 32.5% [6] - Q2 2025 results met expectations, with revenue driven by the group's food delivery service and profits aligning with forecasts [6] - The company expects continued growth trends in the second half of the year [8] Group 4: JD (JD US) - The company faced higher-than-expected losses in new businesses, but retail revenue and profits are expected to grow by approximately 10% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [9] - The target price remains at $40, reflecting a potential upside of 26.7%, with a focus on improving cross-selling efficiency between food delivery and retail [9] - The company anticipates a narrowing of losses in new businesses by Q4 2025 [9] Group 5: Youdao (DAO US) - The company turned profitable in Q2 2025, focusing on AI and high school education, with a target price of $12, indicating a potential upside of 23% [10] - Revenue growth is supported by strong demand in AI-enhanced high school products and advertising business [10] - The company expects a decline in learning services and hardware revenue but a significant increase in advertising revenue [10] Group 6: Geely Automobile (175 HK) - The company reported a 27% year-on-year revenue increase to RMB 150.3 billion in the first half of 2025, with a net profit growth of 102% to RMB 6.66 billion, exceeding market expectations [11] - The target price is raised to HKD 24.21, indicating a potential upside of 27.8%, driven by improved brand integration and sales growth [11] - The company is expected to benefit from industry trends that reduce price competition, focusing more on configuration and driving experience [11] Group 7: Hesai Group (HSAI US) - The company continues to see high growth in shipments, with a target price of $27.52, indicating a potential upside of 18% [12] - Q2 2025 revenue reached RMB 706 million, with a gross margin of 42.5% [13] - The company expects to achieve a total shipment of 1.4 million units in 2025, with significant growth in ADAS and robotics products [12][13] Group 8: QFIN Technology (QFIN US) - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 1.73 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.7%, with a target price of $58, indicating a potential upside of 74.2% [14] - The company is focusing on improving asset quality and enhancing risk control measures [15] - Despite short-term uncertainties from new regulations, the company maintains a strong competitive advantage and attractive valuation [15] Group 9: SF REIT (2191 HK) - The company reported a 1.2% year-on-year revenue increase to HKD 225 million in the first half of 2025, with a target price of HKD 3.84, indicating a potential upside of 25.5% [16] - The overall occupancy rate was 97.5% as of June 2025, with expectations for moderate revenue growth in 2025 [17] - The company anticipates potential rental pressure in 2026 following lease renewals with SF Holdings [17] Group 10: Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to see steady growth driven by multiple favorable factors in the second half of 2025, with a focus on high-growth opportunities in biotechnology and prescription drugs [18] Group 11: Internet Industry - E-commerce revenue growth in July 2025 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, driven by strong performance in communication equipment and home appliances [19] - The industry is benefiting from regulatory measures that promote healthy development and reduce aggressive subsidy strategies [19] - Investment insights suggest that Alibaba's revenue adjustments may offset the impact of flash sales subsidies, while JD's new business investments are expected to stabilize overall profit margins [19]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][26]. Core Views - The company reported a 9% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2025, with a Non-GAAP net profit of 9.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 22% year-on-year growth [2][9]. - The online gaming business generated 22.1 billion yuan in revenue for Q2 2025, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, with strong performance from titles like "Identity V" and "Marvel Contest of Champions" [3][16]. - The company is focusing on global expansion, with several games performing well in international markets, including "Forgotten Sea" and "Return to Tang" [4][19]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 27.9 billion yuan, a 9% increase year-on-year, and a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 34.2%, up 3 percentage points [2][9]. - The overall gross margin for the company was 64.7%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [4][14]. - The total operating expense ratio was 32%, a decrease of 3 percentage points year-on-year, while the sales expense ratio was 12.8%, showing a year-on-year decline of 1 percentage point [4][14]. Gaming Segment - The gaming segment is expected to perform well in Q3 2025, with multiple successful titles and a strong pipeline for global expansion [3][19]. - Deferred revenue reached 16.97 billion yuan, a 25% year-on-year increase, indicating strong future revenue potential [3][16]. Other Business Segments - Youdao's revenue for Q2 2025 was 1.4 billion yuan, a 7% year-on-year increase, driven by a 24% growth in advertising services [20]. - NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue of 2 billion yuan, a 4% year-on-year decline, but with a gross margin improvement of 4 percentage points [4][23]. Financial Projections - The company expects adjusted net profits of 39.3 billion yuan, 42.5 billion yuan, and 46.7 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [4][26]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 111.976 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.3% [5][29].

Market Overview - US stock market faced pressure due to economic data and Trump's threat of high tariffs on semiconductors, leading to a decline in chip stocks [1][2] - Despite the pressure, major US indices recorded weekly gains: Dow Jones up 1.74%, Nasdaq up 0.81%, and S&P 500 up 0.94% [3] Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - Investors are focused on the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium where Fed Chair Powell will speak, potentially providing insights on future interest rate cuts [5][14] - Powell's speech is expected to address the five-year review of the Fed's monetary policy framework, with market participants wary of any hawkish signals [14][15] Corporate Earnings and Market Reactions - Upcoming earnings reports from retail stocks and Chinese companies are anticipated, with particular attention on how tariffs impact their performance [6] - Notable companies reporting include Xiaomi, XPeng, Baidu, and Bilibili [6] Bond Market - US Treasury yields showed slight fluctuations, with the 10-year yield at 4.321% and the 2-year yield at 3.763% [8] Notable Stock Movements - Major tech stocks experienced mixed performance: Nvidia down 0.86%, Microsoft down 0.44%, Apple down 0.51%, while Intel rose 2.93% [8] - In Chinese stocks, Tencent rose 0.34%, while Alibaba fell 0.83% [10] Geopolitical Developments - Trump expressed a desire for a direct peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, indicating progress in discussions with Putin [16] - The geopolitical landscape remains a focal point for investors, particularly regarding US-Russia relations and their implications for the market [16] AI Sector Developments - Meta is undergoing its fourth restructuring of its AI team in six months, aiming to enhance its AI capabilities [17] - OpenAI plans to invest "trillions" in AI infrastructure, highlighting the sector's growth potential and importance [18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 237.1 HKD, up from the current price of 200.2 HKD [3]. Core Views - The company reported a net revenue of 27.9 billion RMB for Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.4%, although slightly below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 28.4 billion RMB [1]. - The gaming segment continues to show strong growth, with net revenue of 22.8 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 13.7%, but also below market expectations [1]. - Deferred revenue at the end of the period reached 17 billion RMB, up 24.6% year-over-year, indicating strong future revenue support [1]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, increasing them by 9.9% and 8.2% respectively, and introduced a new profit forecast for 2027 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2025 operating profit was 9.06 billion RMB, with an operating margin of 32.5%, slightly below the expected 9.35 billion RMB [1]. - Adjusted net profit for Q2 2025 was 9.5 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 21.9%, also slightly below the expected 9.6 billion RMB [1]. - The company's gross margin improved to 64.7%, up 1.8 percentage points year-over-year, exceeding expectations [1]. Business Segments - The gaming segment's online game revenue was 22.1 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 14.9%, driven by new releases [1]. - Youdao's net revenue was 1.4 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 7.3%, surpassing expectations [1]. - Cloud music revenue reached 2 billion RMB, also up 7.3% year-over-year, exceeding expectations [1]. - Innovative and other businesses saw a decline in revenue, down 17.8% year-over-year [1]. Profitability and Cost Management - Marketing expenses were 3.6 billion RMB, with a marketing expense ratio of 12.8%, indicating a recovery to historical levels [1]. - The company continues to optimize its management and R&D expenses, with management expense ratio at 3.8% and R&D expense ratio at 15.6% [1]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The report projects a 2025-2026 adjusted net profit of 39.02 billion RMB and 41.43 billion RMB respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 44.48 billion RMB [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from the high growth potential in the domestic gaming industry and improvements in profitability for its cloud music segment [1].

Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year profit increase of 27% in Q2, driven by the launch of new games and the refined operation of existing titles, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 27.9 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.3% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 16.5% [1] - The gross margin improved to 64.7%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating expense ratio decreased to 32.2%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Gaming Segment - Revenue from games and related value-added services reached 22.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.2% [1] - The gross margin for the gaming segment was 70.2%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Upcoming game releases, including "Infinite" expected to be revealed in September, and strong performance from existing titles are anticipated to drive growth [1] Cloud Music and Other Segments - Cloud music revenue was 2 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year but up 5.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin increase of 4 percentage points to 36.1% [1] - Youdao achieved a revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.2%, marking its first operational profit in Q2 [1] - Other innovative and miscellaneous businesses generated 1.7 billion yuan, down 17.8% year-on-year, but with a gross margin increase of 8 percentage points to 42.3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company's 2Q25 performance met expectations but slightly fell short of market forecasts, with revenue growth of 9% year-on-year to 27.9 billion yuan and Non-GAAP net profit increasing by 22% to 9.5 billion yuan [1][2] Revenue and Growth - 2Q25 revenue reached 27.9 billion yuan, aligning with the company's expectations (27.6 billion yuan) but below Bloomberg's consensus (28.4 billion yuan) [1] - Online gaming revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, driven by titles such as "Identity V," "Yanyun," and "Marvel Showdown," along with some licensed games [1] - The flagship product "Fantasy Westward Journey" mobile game achieved a new quarterly revenue high in 2Q25 [1] Cost and Profitability - Gross margin for 2Q25 was 65%, showing slight improvements from 1Q25 (64%) and 2Q24 (63%), primarily due to increased margins in gaming and VAS businesses [2] - Sales expense ratio in 2Q25 recovered to 13%, up from 9% in 1Q25, indicating a faster recovery than market expectations [2] Future Outlook - The company plans to launch key new mobile games, including "Destiny: Stars" on August 28, with a strong pipeline of diverse products for the coming years [2] - The flagship products continue to perform well, with "Identity V" and "Fantasy Westward Journey" maintaining strong positions in the iOS sales charts [2] Valuation and Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, with current stock prices reflecting a valuation of 16x for Hong Kong and 15x for US stocks for 25/26 years Non-GAAP EPS [3] - The target price is set at 263 HKD and 169 USD, indicating an upside potential of 27% for Hong Kong stocks and 25% for US stocks [3]

Group 1: Consumer Retail and Economic Indicators - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales were 34,931 billion yuan, growing by 4.3% [2] - For the first seven months, total retail sales amounted to 284,238 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.8%. Excluding automobiles, the figure was 257,014 billion yuan, growing by 5.3% [2] - Online retail sales for the first seven months reached 86,835 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2%, and physical goods online retail sales accounted for 24.9% of total retail sales [2] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises in July grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.38% [4] - The real estate market showed a decline in housing prices across major cities, with new residential prices in first-tier cities dropping by 0.2% month-on-month [6][7] Group 2: Company Performance and Market Trends - NetEase reported a revenue of 27.9 billion yuan for Q2, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, but below the expected 28.4 billion yuan [11] - JD.com achieved a revenue of 356.7 billion yuan in Q2, marking a year-on-year growth of 22.4%, but faced a significant drop in net profit by 51% [13] - MUJI announced the closure of several stores in China due to declining profitability, indicating challenges in maintaining market presence [15][16] - The stock market showed a rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.83%, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potential for further growth [17][18]

Group 1 - Meijin Energy is planning to issue shares overseas (H-shares) and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and international market competitiveness [1] - Marco Polo Holdings has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its initial public offering and listing on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] - SoftBank's subsidiary PayPay has submitted a draft registration statement for a proposed public offering of its American depositary shares to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission [3] Group 2 - JD.com reported Q2 revenue of 356.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, but net profit fell by 51% to 6.2 billion yuan [21] - Stone Technology achieved revenue of 7.903 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 78.96%, but net profit decreased by 39.55% to 678 million yuan [22] - Beiqi Blue Valley reported a revenue of 9.517 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 154.38%, but net profit loss was 2.308 billion yuan [23] - Ecovacs Robotics achieved a net profit of 979 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 60.84% [24] Group 3 - 360 Group announced its "All in Agent" strategy, showcasing advancements in AI technology with high success rates in task execution [25] - Zhongke Shuguang launched the Nebula 800, the first standardized super-intelligent integrated computing power platform in China, applicable in over 30 industries [26] - Zhiyuan Robotics will launch its full product line on August 18 on JD.com and its own platform [27]