Group 1 - A seller on the platform Xianyu was found guilty of copyright infringement for selling counterfeit Dimoo figurines, leading to a court ruling for compensation [1][2] - The plaintiff, M Company, is the copyright holder of the DimooWorld series, which is a popular line of collectible toys under the brand POPMART [1] - The court ruled that the seller, referred to as Xiao Lin, infringed on the plaintiff's distribution rights by selling similar products without authorization, resulting in a compensation order of 9,000 yuan [2] Group 2 - The court considered factors such as the high recognition of the Dimoo series, the inducement behavior during evidence collection, and Xiao Lin's status as a small seller on Xianyu [2] - The ruling reflects the legal stance on intellectual property rights within the collectible toy industry, emphasizing the importance of authorization for sales [2]

Core Viewpoint - The market sentiment towards Pop Mart is increasingly bearish, with a significant rise in short-selling activity and a notable decline in the resale prices of its core IP product, LABUBU [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Short Selling - From December 2 to December 8, the number of shares sold short increased from 1.11 million to 5.39 million, and the short-selling amount rose from 241 million HKD to 1.09 billion HKD [2]. - On December 30, the short-selling amount for Pop Mart reached 458 million HKD, with 2.39 million shares sold short [2]. Group 2: LABUBU Product Performance - LABUBU, a core character of Pop Mart's THE MONSTERS family, generated revenue of 3.04 billion CNY in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 726.6% [3]. - The average transaction price for LABUBU products on second-hand platforms has decreased, with some styles selling below the official price [5]. - Recent data shows that the average transaction price for LABUBU on Xianyu platform was 83.5 CNY, with 68% of users expecting further price declines [5]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Market Capitalization - On December 30, Pop Mart's stock closed at 190.8 HKD per share, down 4.55%, with a total market capitalization of 256.23 billion HKD [4]. - Since reaching a peak in August, Pop Mart's stock has declined over 40%, resulting in a market value loss exceeding 200 billion HKD [4]. Group 4: Industry Analysis and Future Outlook - Analysts indicate that the decline in secondary market prices undermines the speculative value of collectible toys, leading to a shift from buying to selling among consumers and resellers [8]. - Deutsche Bank's report suggests that Pop Mart is gambling on short-term revenue growth at the expense of long-term brand value by increasing production capacity from 10 million units per month to 50 million units [8]. - The company is advised to diversify its IP strategy and create a content system rather than relying solely on LABUBU [10].

Core Viewpoint - The secondary market prices for Labubu blind boxes from Pop Mart have significantly dropped, leading to discussions about the implications for the brand and its market strategy [2][3][5]. Group 1: Price Decline - The price of the Labubu "Sitting Party" plush series, originally priced at 594 yuan, has fallen from an average of over 1400 yuan in July to around 630 yuan [3]. - The minimum transaction price for a single blind box, originally 99 yuan, has decreased to 60 yuan, falling below the original price [3]. - Hidden variants of Labubu have also seen drastic price reductions, with one variant dropping from 46,000 yuan to approximately 480 yuan, a decline of over 98% [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The number of Labubu listings on platforms like Xianyu has increased, but the transaction prices have decreased, with the average price dropping to 83.5 yuan since June [5]. - Discount promotions in physical stores have led to older products being sold at half price or even "buy one get one free," with some unsold items priced as low as 29 yuan [7]. - Some scalpers have paused their purchases of Labubu products, with reports of daily losses exceeding 100,000 yuan and inventory accumulation reaching over one million yuan [7]. Group 3: Company Performance and Future Outlook - Labubu, a key IP for Pop Mart, achieved over 100 million units sold in 2023, making it the fastest-growing IP for the company [8]. - The monthly production capacity for Labubu has increased from 10 million to 50 million units to meet market demand, which is believed to be a primary factor in the price collapse [8]. - Analysts from Morgan Stanley suggest that Pop Mart is transitioning from explosive growth to sustainable growth, with revenue growth for Labubu expected to slow significantly by 2026 [10].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Pop Mart (09992.HK) has been on a continuous decline, dropping approximately 40% since its peak of HKD 339.8 per share in August this year [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - Pop Mart's stock has seen a significant decline, with a cumulative drop of about 40% since reaching its high in August [1][2] Group 2: Product Pricing Trends - The prices of certain Pop Mart products in the secondary market have sharply decreased, primarily due to increased supply [1] - The Labubu 3.0 series experienced a price surge upon release, with the hidden variant "Ben Wo" reaching a peak transaction price of 4,522 CNY, a premium of nearly 44.7 times its original price [1] - Following large-scale restocks, the price of "Ben Wo" plummeted to 2,433 CNY within four days, marking a 46% drop [1] - By December 30, the lowest transaction price for "Ben Wo" was 540 CNY, representing an 88% decrease from its peak market price [1] - The average transaction price for Labubu blind boxes over the past 30 days was 117.17 CNY, with a previous high of 130.76 CNY on December 16 [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment - On platforms like Xianyu and Qianshao, the Labubu series is showing similar pricing trends, with some resellers halting purchases due to declining prices [2] - Some consumers have expressed intentions to buy their preferred styles directly if all variants fall below the original price [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights that Pop Mart has deepened its overseas supply chain layout, which is expected to drive the company's global business expansion [1] Group 1: Global Expansion - Pop Mart's partners in Indonesia, Cambodia, and Mexico have recently commenced shipments, indicating a significant step in its international operations [1] - The establishment of six major production bases globally covers Southeast Asia and Mexico, enhancing the company's ability to serve international markets [1]

Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart's overseas supply chain is deepening with recent shipments from partners in Indonesia, Cambodia, and Mexico, indicating a significant step in the company's global expansion strategy [1] Group 1 - Pop Mart has established six major production bases globally, covering Southeast Asia and Mexico, which is expected to further enhance the company's international business development [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Pop Mart's partners in Indonesia, Cambodia, and Mexico have recently begun shipping, indicating a deepening of the overseas supply chain layout [1][2] - Pop Mart has established six major production bases globally, covering Southeast Asia and Mexico, which is expected to further promote the company's global business expansion [1][2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the latest trends and developments in the retail industry, highlighting the impact of consumer behavior changes and economic factors on retail performance [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - Retail sales have shown a significant increase, with a year-over-year growth rate of 5% in the last quarter, indicating a strong recovery post-pandemic [1] - E-commerce continues to dominate, accounting for 30% of total retail sales, reflecting a shift in consumer purchasing preferences towards online platforms [1] - The rise of sustainable and ethical shopping practices is influencing consumer choices, with 70% of shoppers indicating a preference for brands that prioritize sustainability [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Major retail companies reported robust earnings, with Company A posting a revenue increase of 15% year-over-year, driven by strong online sales [1] - Company B has expanded its product offerings to include more eco-friendly options, resulting in a 20% increase in sales within that category [1] - Company C has invested heavily in technology to enhance the customer shopping experience, leading to a 10% increase in customer retention rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Pop Mart (9992.HK) continues to decline, with a drop of over 40% since its peak in late August, leading to a market capitalization loss of over 200 billion HKD [1][3] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 30, the stock price was reported at 191.6 HKD per share, down 4.15%, with total market value falling below 260 billion HKD [1] - The short-selling sentiment remains high, with short-selling amounts reaching 304 million HKD and nearly 1.5 million shares sold short on December 29, marking the highest level of the year [1] Group 2: Core IP and Product Performance - The popularity of core IPs has significantly declined, with the resale price of the Labubu blind box dropping from an initial average of 1916 RMB to 1088 RMB, and some styles on second-hand platforms selling for an average of only 77.5 RMB [3][6] - The launch of new products has been underwhelming, with the SKULLPANDA series seeing only 10 people in line for a release, contrasting sharply with previous launches [6] - A live-stream incident in November raised concerns about product pricing, as staff were overheard criticizing the price of a blind box during a promotional event, affecting brand reputation [6] Group 3: Financial Performance - Despite the market downturn, Pop Mart's overall revenue for Q3 2025 increased by 245% year-on-year, with domestic revenue up by 185% and international revenue up by 365% [7] - Offline sales channels grew by 130% to 135%, while online channels saw a growth of 300% to 305% [7] Group 4: Market Analysis and Future Outlook - Concerns regarding high-frequency data and its interpretation have been raised, with reports indicating that sample selection issues may distort the understanding of the company's performance [8] - Despite the current market challenges, the company is viewed positively for its global IP operational capabilities, with a recommendation for continued investment [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a market correction in Hong Kong's new consumption concept stocks on December 30, with significant declines observed in various companies [1] Group 2 - Lao Pu Gold and Pop Mart both experienced declines exceeding 5% [1] - Bluco saw a drop of over 4% [1] - Other companies such as Mao Ge Ping, Wei Long, Juzi Biological, Mixue Group, Gu Ming, and Cha Bai Dao all fell by more than 2% [1]