Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for China Mobile (600941.SH) [1] Core Views - In 2024, China Mobile achieved revenue of 1,040.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with a net profit of 138.4 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year [2][3] - The company is focusing on new business areas such as 5.5G, AI, and reasoning computing, which are expected to drive future growth [10] - The report anticipates steady growth in the company's overall business, with a projected net profit of 147.8 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 6.8% [12] Summary by Sections Personal Market - As of December 31, 2024, the total number of mobile customers reached 1.004 billion, with 5G network customers increasing to 552 million, a penetration rate of 55.0% [3] - The personal mobile cloud revenue grew by 12.6% year-on-year to 8.9 billion yuan, while the mobile ARPU decreased slightly by 0.8 yuan to 48.5 yuan [3][4] Family Market - The number of broadband customers reached 315 million, with gigabit broadband customers increasing by 25.0% to 99 million [4] - The family customer ARPU increased by 0.7 yuan to 43.8 yuan, indicating a positive trend in the family market [4] Business and New Markets - The enterprise market revenue reached 209.1 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, with a significant increase in mobile cloud revenue, which surpassed 100 billion yuan, growing by 20.4% [6][9] - Emerging markets, including international business and digital content, saw revenue growth of 8.7% year-on-year, with international business revenue at 22.8 billion yuan [9] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for 2024 was 164 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.0% year-on-year, with a focus on new areas such as 5.5G and AI [10] - The company plans to invest 98 billion yuan in 5G-A in 2025, reflecting a significant increase of 227% [10] Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend payout, with a total dividend of 5.09 HKD per share for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [11] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts net profits of 147.8 billion yuan, 156.2 billion yuan, and 164.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 6.85, 7.24, and 7.62 yuan [12][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 24.006 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.840 billion yuan, up 20.00% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 23 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a payout ratio of 69.89% [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its production capacity with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, leading to a production capacity of 229 million pairs, a 3.3% increase year-on-year, and a utilization rate of 96.72%, up 10.06 percentage points [5][9]. Financial Performance - The company reported a quarterly revenue breakdown for 2024 as follows: 4.765 billion yuan in Q1, 6.707 billion yuan in Q2, 6.039 billion yuan in Q3, and 6.495 billion yuan in Q4, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.15%, 20.83%, 18.50%, and 11.88% respectively [3]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 improved by 1.2 percentage points to 26.8%, while the net profit margin was 16.0%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [5][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 3.29 yuan, with projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 3.69 yuan, 4.25 yuan, and 4.76 yuan respectively [6][9]. Market Position and Client Base - The company has established partnerships with major global brands, including Nike and Adidas, with the top five clients accounting for 79.13% of total sales, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [4][9]. - The revenue from sports casual shoes, outdoor boots, and sports sandals/slippers for 2024 was 20.991 billion yuan, 0.898 billion yuan, and 2.070 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.88%, -33.70%, and 125.76% [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the normalization of orders from core clients and the continued growth of new brand clients, leading to a projected increase in revenue and profit for the coming years [9]. - The report forecasts a revenue growth of 14.1% in 2025, 14.2% in 2026, and 12.1% in 2027, with net profit growth rates of 12.2%, 14.9%, and 12.2% respectively [11].

其他纺织 华利集团（300979.SZ） 买入-A(维持) 2024 年分红超预期，产能加速扩张 2025 年 4 月 14 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 4 月 10 日，公司披露 2024 年年报，2024 年，公司实现营业收入 240.06 亿元，同 比增长 19.35%，实现归母净利润 38.40 亿元，同比增长 20.00%，实现扣非净利润 37.81 亿元，同比增长 18.83%。公司拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 23 元（含税），派息 率 69.89%。 事件点评 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 市场数据：2025 年 4 月 11 日 收盘价（元）： 56.14 年内最高/最低（元）： 85.00/47.77 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 11.67/11.67 流通 A 股市值（亿元）： 655.15 2024 年公司实现量价齐升，受到基数影响，业绩增速逐季放缓。2024 年，公司实 现营收 240.06 亿元，同比增长 19.35%，销售数量方面，2024 年，公司鞋履销售量 2.23 亿双，同比增长 17.53%。销售均价方面，2024 年，人民币均价 ...

Company Overview - The report highlights that China Telecom (601728.SH) focuses on computing power investment and expanding into emerging fields, achieving a revenue of 523.57 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [4][5] - The service revenue reached 482.03 billion yuan, up 3.7% year-on-year, with EBITDA at 140.85 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.9% increase [4][5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 33.01 billion yuan, marking an 8.4% year-on-year growth, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.36 yuan, also up 8.4% [4][5] Business Segments - The mobile communication service revenue grew to 202.5 billion yuan, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, with mobile value-added and application revenue rising by 16.1% to 29.9 billion yuan [5][6] - The fixed-line and smart home service revenue reached 125.7 billion yuan, up 2.1% year-on-year, with smart home business revenue increasing by 16.8% to 22.1 billion yuan [5][6] - The broadband user base reached 197 million, with a net increase of 7 million users, and the broadband ARPU remained stable at 47.6 yuan [5][6] Emerging Business Growth - The report indicates that the digital industry revenue reached 146.6 billion yuan, a 5.5% increase, accounting for 30.4% of service revenue [5][6] - Tianyi Cloud revenue grew by 17.1% to 113.9 billion yuan, with international business revenue reaching 16.88 billion yuan, up 15.4% year-on-year [5][6] - The company has made significant advancements in AI, quantum/safety, and satellite communication, with AI revenue increasing by 195.7% to 8.9 billion yuan [6] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - Capital expenditures are projected to decrease, with 2024 expenditures at 93.5 billion yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year, and a further decline to 83.6 billion yuan in 2025 [7][9] - The report anticipates a strong growth trajectory for revenue, EBITDA, and net profit through 2025, with a focus on maintaining high dividend payouts [9] - The company aims to achieve a payout ratio of 72% for 2024, with plans to increase cash distributions to over 75% of net profit within three years [9] Industry Insights - The GLP-1 RA market is projected to exceed 50 billion USD globally in 2024, with significant growth potential in diabetes and weight loss treatments [11][12] - The report notes that the number of diabetes patients in China is expected to reach 150 million by 2025, indicating a substantial market for GLP-1 drugs [11][12] - The introduction of domestic dual-target GLP-1 drugs is anticipated, with ongoing clinical trials showing promising results in weight loss and diabetes management [10][11]

电信运营Ⅲ 中国电信（601728.SH） 买入-A(维持) 聚焦算力投资，拓展新兴领域 2025 年 4 月 11 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述： 公司近一年市场表现 | 市场数据：2025 年 | 4 月 | 11 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | 7.93 | | 总股本（亿股）： | | | 915.07 | | 流通股本（亿股）： | | | 776.30 | | 流通市值（亿元）： | | | 6,156.04 | | 基础数据：2024 年 12 | 月 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元）： | | | 4.99 | | 每股资本公积（元）： | | | 0.76 | | 每股未分配利润（元）： | | | 2.18 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | | 分析师： 高宇洋 执业登记编码：S0760523050002 邮箱：gaoyuyang@sxzq.com 张天 执业登记编码：S0760523120001 邮箱：zhangtian@sxzq.com 赵天宇 执业登记编 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for China Telecom (601728.SH) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 523.57 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with service revenue at 482.03 billion yuan, up 3.7% [4] - The company is focusing on expanding its capabilities in emerging fields, particularly in AI and quantum technologies, which are expected to drive future growth [5][10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of April 11, 2025, the closing price was 7.93 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 615.60 billion yuan [3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported an EBITDA of 140.85 billion yuan, a 2.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 33.01 billion yuan, up 8.4% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 0.36 yuan, reflecting an 8.4% increase [4] Business Segments - Mobile communication service revenue reached 202.5 billion yuan, a 3.5% increase, with mobile value-added services growing by 16.1% [5] - Fixed-line and smart home service revenue was 125.7 billion yuan, up 2.1%, with smart home business revenue increasing by 16.8% [6] - The digital industry revenue reached 146.6 billion yuan, a 5.5% increase, with Tianyi Cloud revenue at 113.9 billion yuan, up 17.1% [8] Investment and Future Outlook - The company plans to invest 93.5 billion yuan in capital expenditures for 2024, a decrease of 5.4%, while maintaining a focus on computing power investments, which are expected to increase by 22% [10] - The company aims for steady growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit through 2025, with a projected net profit of 34.56 billion yuan [11]

研究早观点 2025 年 4 月 11 日 星期五 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,223.64 | 1.16 | | 深证成指 | | 9,754.64 | 2.25 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,735.12 | 1.31 | | 中小板指 | | 6,099.53 | 2.74 | | 创业板指 | | 1,900.53 | 2.27 | | 科创 50 | | 991.22 | 1.09 | 分析师： 李召麒 执业登记编码：S0760521050001 电话：010-83496307 【公司评论】鹏鼎控股(002938.SZ)：鹏鼎控股年报点评-24 年收入稳健增长， 积极布局 AI 产业链 PCB 产品 【公司评论】普冉股份(688766.SH)：普冉股份 2024 年年报点评-产品结构 持续优化，盈利能力稳中有升 【公司评论】【山西证券|纺织服装】安踏体育：25Q1 流水稳健增长，收购 资料来源：最闻 JACK WOLFSKIN 品牌，强化户外运动赛道的纵深布局 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [3][5] Core Views - The company achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 4.96% in 2024, reaching 5.901 billion yuan, with a net profit increase of 17.58% to 411 million yuan [3][4] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue increase of 12.68% year-on-year, totaling 1.533 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 48.11% year-on-year, amounting to 114 million yuan [3][4] - The company benefits from strong demand in the new energy vehicle market and overseas tire manufacturers' restocking needs, leading to significant sales growth in automotive silk and tire fabric [4] Financial Performance - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 16.04%, a slight decrease of 0.14 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 0.74 percentage points to 6.98% [3][4] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.055 billion yuan, 6.326 billion yuan, and 6.570 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.61%, 4.47%, and 3.86% [5][8] - The expected net profits for the same years are 446 million yuan, 494 million yuan, and 534 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 8.74%, 10.66%, and 8.10% [5][8] Market Dynamics - In 2024, China's automotive exports reached 6.41 million units, a year-on-year increase of 23%, contributing to the company's performance [4] - The company’s differentiated advantages in polyester industrial silk have led to a 19.99% increase in domestic polyester tire fabric exports, totaling 164,900 tons in 2024 [4] Research and Development - The company made significant breakthroughs in high-performance fibers such as PPS and LCP, with small batch shipments of PPS special fibers and advancements in LCP production processes [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [1][6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.901 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.96%, and a net profit of 411 million yuan, which is a 17.58% increase year-on-year [3][9]. - The strong performance is driven by the growth in automotive exports, overseas tire inventory replenishment, and full production and sales at the Vietnam base [4][6]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with projected revenues of 6.055 billion yuan, 6.326 billion yuan, and 6.570 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 446 million yuan, 494 million yuan, and 534 million yuan [6][9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 16.04%, a slight decrease of 0.14 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 0.74 percentage points to 6.98% [3][9]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.533 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.68%, and a net profit of 114 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 48.11% [3][4]. - The company’s diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 0.35 yuan, with projections of 0.38 yuan, 0.43 yuan, and 0.46 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][9]. Market Dynamics - The company benefits from a significant increase in automotive exports, which reached 6.41 million units in 2024, a 23% year-on-year growth [4]. - The demand for differentiated polyester industrial yarns is strong, particularly in the context of the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market and the replenishment needs of overseas tire manufacturers [4][5]. - The company’s production capacity in Vietnam, which reached full production and sales with an annual output of 110,000 tons of differentiated polyester industrial yarn, has contributed to its international market expansion [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [1][6]. Core Views - The company reported a stable revenue growth of 9.59% year-on-year for 2024, with total revenue reaching 35.14 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.62 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.14% increase year-on-year [4][5]. - The company is actively expanding its presence in the AI industry chain, with over 45% of its revenue coming from AI-related products in 2024 [5][6]. - The company is positioned as a key supplier for AI mobile phones, PCs, and glasses, and is enhancing its technology in AI server products [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 20.76%, a slight decrease of 0.58 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising raw material costs and changes in product structure [5]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 1.56 yuan, with projected EPS of 1.84 yuan, 2.22 yuan, and 2.79 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10][12]. - The net asset return rate (ROE) for 2024 was 11.2%, with expectations of gradual improvement in the following years [10][12]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 4.27 billion yuan, 5.15 billion yuan, and 6.46 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 17.9%, 20.6%, and 25.5% respectively [6][8]. - Revenue is expected to grow to 40.83 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 16.2% [8][12]. Market Performance - The company's stock closed at 27.95 yuan, with a year-to-date high of 44.66 yuan and a low of 20.91 yuan [3]. - The circulating A-share market value is approximately 64.44 billion yuan, with a total market value of around 64.80 billion yuan [3].