Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand and penetration rate of DDR5 memory interface chips, as well as strong growth in high-performance transport chips, leading to a positive outlook for 2025 [3][5] - The company achieved significant financial growth in 2024, with revenue reaching RMB 36.39 billion, a year-on-year increase of 59.20%, and net profit of RMB 14.12 billion, up 213.10% [8] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 54.83 billion, RMB 74.22 billion, and RMB 93.07 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 22.11 billion, RMB 27.65 billion, and RMB 34.38 billion [5][7] - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of RMB 1.93, RMB 2.42, and RMB 3.00 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with PE ratios of 38.9, 31.1, and 25.0 respectively [5][7] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown strong performance, with a 12-month absolute return of 59.2% and a relative return of 52.5% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [2][3] Product Development - The company has successfully launched new high-performance transport chips, generating approximately RMB 4.22 billion in sales, which is eight times higher than the previous year [8] - The penetration of DDR5 memory interface chips has surpassed that of DDR4, with the second generation of RCD chips seeing increased shipments [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][35]. Core Insights - The report highlights a sustained high demand for new energy vehicles, with March sales reaching 1.237 million units, a year-on-year increase of 40.1% [2][23]. - The photovoltaic sector remains optimistic about demand growth in the U.S. and emerging economies, with a focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements in manufacturing [1][24]. - The report emphasizes the potential for profitability recovery in wind power and suggests prioritizing investments in turbine and component sectors benefiting from offshore wind projects [1][24]. - The solid-state battery technology is expected to achieve mass production by 2027, presenting opportunities for companies involved in battery, materials, and equipment [1][24]. - The ongoing push for hydrogen energy development is highlighted, with recommendations to focus on companies with cost and technological advantages in electrolyzer production and hydrogen infrastructure [1][24]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the domestic lithium battery market is experiencing price stability, while the photovoltaic market is facing price adjustments due to declining downstream demand [14][16]. - The report mentions that the average price of P-type M10 battery cells remains stable at 0.31 CNY per watt, with expectations of price pressures in the near future [16][19]. Company Performance - Companies such as BYD are projected to achieve a net profit of 8.5 to 10 billion CNY in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 86.04% to 118.88% [26]. - Hewei Electric reported a net profit of 105 million CNY in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 90.35% [26]. - The report also highlights that several companies, including Foster and Zhongwei, are experiencing declines in net profits for 2024, indicating mixed performance across the sector [26].

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 4 月 13 日 策略周报 重视关税博弈下的自主可控行情 关税不确定性依旧，A 股有望展现相对优势；关税博弈之下，行业轮动速度 及复杂性或有短期提升，防御属性与自主可控是两大行情演绎主线。 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 证券分析师：高天然 tianran.gao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S13005 ...

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 4 月 13 日 宏观和大类资产配置周报 本周 A 股指数震荡回落 我们将后续大类资产配置顺序调整为：股票>债券>大宗>货币。 宏观要闻回顾 资产表现回顾 本周沪深 300 指数下跌 2.87%，沪深 300 股指期货下跌 3.73%；焦煤期货 本周下跌 9.97%，铁矿石主力合约本周下跌 10.77%；余额宝 7 天年化收益 率下跌 9BP 至 1.33%；十年国债收益率下行 6BP 至 1.66%，活跃十年国债 期货本周上涨 0.38%。 资产配置建议 黄金的上行逻辑仍在延续。本轮黄金上涨的重要推动者是全球央行，其增 持黄金的背后大致有两个逻辑：中长期而言，是对以美元为代表的信用货 币体系的担忧；短期而言，是对日益紧张的地缘政治局势的担忧。截至 2024 年三季度末，全球黄金储备占储备资产的比例仅为 18.2%。其中近年 来购买黄金较多的新兴市场和发展中经济体央行占比总体偏低。在全球贸 易局势未见缓和前，避险需求仍对黄金构成支撑。在当前市场形势下，美 国衰退预期的发酵以及美国金融市场的动荡已经令市场调高了美联储降 息的预期，如美联储被迫再度开始降息， ...

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 4 月 13 日 周度金融市场跟踪 受美国关税政策影响全球市场剧烈震荡 （ 4 月 7 日 -4 月 11 日） 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 宏观经济 证券分析师：郭军 (8610)66229081 jun.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519070001 证券分析师：李晨希 chenxi.li@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300525010002 股票方面，本周 A 股受中美关税不断加码影响大幅波动。全周累计看，A 股整体下 跌，小盘股下跌更多，中证 2000 指数下跌 7.0%，中证 1000 指数下跌 5.5%，沪深 300 指数下跌 2.9%。港股本周同样下跌，已是连续第五周下跌，恒生指数下跌 8.5%，恒 生科技指数下跌 7.8%。行业方面，本周 31 个一级行业指数 27 个下跌，农林牧渔、 商贸零售、国防军工和食品饮料 4 个行业上涨。周内看，周一（4 月 7 日）受中美第 一轮互加关税影响，市场大幅低开，开盘后低开低走，虽然下午两点半汇金公司开 ...

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 4 月 13 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20250413 国际油价波动，溴素价格上涨，丁二烯价格下跌 四月份，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，建议关注年报季报行情， 自主可控日益关键的电子材料公司，以及分红派息政策稳健的能源企业等。 行业动态 地缘政治因素变化引起油价大幅波动；全球经济形势出现变化。 相关研究报告 《化工行业周报 20250406》20250408 《化工行业周报 20250330》20250331 《化工行业周报 20250323》20250324 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 基础化工 证券分析师：余嫄嫄 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300517050002 联系人：赵泰 tai.zhao@bocichina.com 一般证券业务证书编号：S1300123070003 本周（04.07-04.13）均价跟踪的 100 个化工品种中，共有 14 个品种价格上涨，52 个品种价 格下跌，34 个品种价格稳定。跟踪 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In March 2025 inflation data, the year - on - year change rates of core and food CPI improved compared to the previous month. Energy price inflation in March was affected by trade friction uncertainties and is expected to face pressure in April [3][6]. - Upstream prices showed a stabilizing trend, reflecting improved domestic demand. Stable domestic demand gives China more leverage in external negotiations [3][12]. - Moderate inflation gives China's monetary policy greater flexibility, but policy rate cuts are still somewhat restricted by the low net interest margin of banks. Whether to cut rates may mainly depend on the impact of trade friction on residents' savings propensity [3][15]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Event - On April 10, 2025, the National Bureau of Statistics released March 2025 inflation data. In March, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year - on - year, with food prices down 1.4% and non - food prices up 0.2%. The CPI decreased by 0.4% month - on - month. The national industrial producer price index (PPI) decreased by 2.5% year - on - year and 0.4% month - on - month [5]. Comment - Core and food CPI: The year - on - year change rates of core and food CPI improved in March. The core CPI was flat month - on - month and up 0.5% year - on - year. The rent - related CPI increased by 0.1% month - on - month, and the year - on - year decline narrowed to 0.1%. The average daily trading area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities in March was about 291,000 square meters, higher than that in March 2024 [6]. - Food CPI: After the Spring Festival, the food CPI decreased month - on - month, but the year - on - year decline converged. In March, the food CPI decreased by 1.4% month - on - month, and the year - on - year decline also narrowed to 1.4% [9]. - Energy price inflation: Affected by trade friction uncertainties, international oil prices in March decreased compared to February, driving down domestic oil prices. In April, energy inflation is expected to continue facing pressure due to increased trade friction risks and OPEC +'s decision to accelerate production in May [12]. - Upstream prices: The price indices of edible agricultural products and production materials showed signs of stabilization at the end of March, reflecting improved domestic demand. China's counter - tariffs on the US may affect the prices of imported products such as agricultural products, but the sources of agricultural product imports have become more diversified [12]. - Monetary policy: Moderate inflation gives China's monetary policy greater flexibility, but policy rate cuts are restricted by the low net interest margin of banks. Whether to cut rates may depend on the impact of trade friction on residents' savings propensity. If the savings propensity can drive down the bank's liability cost, the logic of policy rate cuts is more reasonable [15].

证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2025 年 4 月 11 日 | 4 月金股组合 | | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | | 600428.SH | 中远海特 | | 1519.HK | 极兔速递-W | | 002648.SZ | 卫星化学 | | 688019.SH | 安集科技 | | 300750.SZ | 宁德时代 | | 600600.SH | 青岛啤酒 | | 603081.SH | 大丰实业 | | 002916.SZ | 深南电路 | 中银晨会聚焦-20250411 ■重点关注 【宏观经济】家庭户二十年变迁*张晓娇 朱启兵。从 2000 年的全国第五次 人口普查到 2020 年的全国第七次人口普查，我国家庭户规模不断下降，同 时主要家庭户类型也从二代三人户变为一代一人户，家庭户变化的背后有人 口流动、人口教育红利、少子老龄化等多方面因素的影响，但从 2020 年七 普数据细项来看，我国居民内需仍有较大释放空间。 【宏观经济】黄金价格上涨的逻辑仍在*朱启兵。近年来全球央行黄金储备 的增加是推动本轮黄金价格上涨的重要因素，而实际利率等传统因素对本轮 金价上涨的解释力不足； ...

电子 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 4 月 11 日 002938.SZ 买入 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 26.00 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 (27.0) (33.4) (31.6) 18.7 相对深圳成指 (21.5) (21.4) (27.3) 17.8 发行股数 (百万) 2,318.56 (14%) 10% 34% 59% 83% 107% Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 鹏鼎控股 深圳成指 | 流通股 (百万) | 2,305.49 | | --- | --- | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | 60,282.58 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) | 501.84 | | 主要股东(%) | | | 美港实业有限公司 | 66.17 | 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 4 月 9 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《鹏鼎控股》20241 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a mild recovery in the storage industry and structural growth, leading to significant revenue and net profit growth in 2024 [4] - The company's storage product gross margin is continuously improving, and the "Storage+" business is steadily growing, with expectations of benefiting from AI applications [5] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 21.81 billion, RMB 25.80 billion, and RMB 30.09 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 3.41 billion, RMB 4.22 billion, and RMB 4.81 billion [5][7] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 3.23, RMB 4.00, and RMB 4.56 respectively, with PE ratios of 28.6, 23.1, and 20.2 [5][7] - In 2024, the company is anticipated to achieve a revenue of RMB 18.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 60.03%, and a net profit of RMB 2.92 billion, marking a significant turnaround from losses [8] Product Performance - The company's storage series chips generated revenue of RMB 14.17 billion in 2024, with a gross margin of 34.61%, and a shipment volume of 6.772 billion units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 40.10% [8] - The "Storage+" series chips achieved revenue of RMB 3.86 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 234.58%, with a gross margin of 29.63% [8]