Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate sector as "Outperform" [5] Core Insights - New home transaction area increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year, with a significant drop of 45.8% compared to the same period last year [5] - The launch of commercial real estate REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) is being piloted, indicating a new phase of development for the REITs market in China [5] - The report highlights a shift in the real estate market dynamics, with a focus on stabilizing the fundamentals and exploring new consumption scenarios in commercial real estate [6] Summary by Sections 1) New Home Market Tracking - In the week of November 22-28, 2025, new home transaction area in 40 cities was 225.3 million square meters, up 8.6% month-on-month but down 45.8% year-on-year [5][15] - Transaction volumes in first, second, and third/fourth-tier cities showed varied performance, with first-tier cities seeing a 50.3% increase month-on-month [15][21] - New home inventory in 12 cities was 11,379 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 10.7% [40][41] 2) Second-Hand Home Market Tracking - In 18 cities, second-hand home transaction area was 161.7 million square meters, down 4.4% month-on-month and 26.0% year-on-year [47][51] - First-tier cities experienced a year-on-year decline of 30.7% in transaction volumes, while second-tier cities saw a decrease of 19.3% [51][55] 3) Land Market Tracking - Total land transaction area across 100 cities was 2,050 million square meters, up 7.3% month-on-month but down 28.2% year-on-year [62][63] - The average land price was 2,282.4 yuan per square meter, reflecting an 18.5% increase month-on-month but a 16.6% decrease year-on-year [64][68] - The land premium rate was 1.3%, down 1.3 percentage points month-on-month but up 0.01 percentage points year-on-year [68] 4) Policy Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is soliciting opinions on the pilot program for commercial real estate REITs, which aims to enhance the regulatory framework and operational standards for these funds [5] 5) Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable fundamentals in core cities, smaller firms showing significant breakthroughs, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [6]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a rating of "Buy" for China National Aviation [1][6] Core Views - China National Aviation is the only flag carrier in China and has entered the first tier of global aviation companies. The growth of the civil aviation fleet in China is showing a "step-down" trend, while the continuous warming of the tourism market will help drive demand for air travel. The average price of aviation kerosene has decreased compared to the same period last year, which is beneficial for improving the company's profitability [1][4][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - China National Aviation has a broad international route network and a balanced domestic and international network, covering economically developed and densely populated areas in China. The company aims to build a global leading airline by leveraging its operational advantages in Beijing [1][18][25]. Business Model - The main business is air passenger services, which typically account for nearly 90% of total revenue. In 2024, air passenger revenue is expected to account for 91% of total revenue, while air cargo and postal services will account for only 4% [26][28]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a record total revenue of RMB 166.7 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 18.14%. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was RMB 129.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.31% [43][48]. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 1.56 billion in 2025, with an EPS of RMB 0.09 [6][8]. Market Dynamics - The aviation industry in China has seen a 172.8% increase in passenger transport volume over the past 15 years, with ticket prices gradually becoming market-oriented. The three major airlines (China National Aviation, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines) account for 62.64% of the total transport turnover in 2024 [56][58][60]. Operational Metrics - In 2024, the available seat kilometers (ASK) reached 356.11 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.74%, while the revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) reached 284.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.76%, resulting in a passenger load factor of 79.78% [28][34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the social services industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index in the next 6-12 months [1][47]. Core Insights - The social services sector experienced a decline of 1.13% in the last two trading weeks, ranking 8th among 31 industries in the Shenwan classification. Despite this, the sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.06 percentage points [1][12]. - The winter season typically sees a slowdown in cultural and tourism activities, but interest in winter snow tourism is rising, particularly in northern regions [1][4]. - The upcoming full closure of Hainan Island on December 18 is expected to positively impact the local tourism industry, with preparations already in place for this transition [1][4]. Summary by Sections Market Review & Industry Dynamics - The social services sector's performance was relatively better compared to the overall market, with the CSI 300 index down by 2.19% and the Shanghai Composite Index down by 2.55% during the same period [1][12]. - Among the sub-sectors, education saw a rise of 3.67%, while tourism and retail sectors faced declines of 4.03% and 10.48%, respectively [1][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the travel and related industries, including Tongcheng Travel, Huangshan Tourism, and Lijiang Co., among others. It also highlights hotel brands like Junting Hotel and Jinjiang Hotels that are expected to benefit from the recovery in business travel [1][4]. - The recovery of cross-border travel is anticipated to boost airport duty-free sales, with recommendations to monitor companies like China Duty Free Group and Wangfujing [1][4]. Industry Company News - Notable developments include the launch of the 2025 China Duty Free Year-End Festival, which aims to enhance sales across various duty-free outlets [1][29]. - Junting Hotel is undergoing a potential change in control, which may affect its market position [1][29]. Travel Data Tracking - Domestic travel is showing signs of recovery post-pandemic, with significant increases in passenger flow. The report notes that in the first ten months of 2025, cross-regional passenger flow reached 56.88 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [1][34].

Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI index for November is at 49.2%, showing a slight month-on-month increase of 0.2 percentage points, indicating a minor recovery within the contraction zone [6][7] - The new orders index for November is also at 49.2%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points, while the new export orders index rose by 1.7 percentage points to 47.6%, likely driven by the upcoming holiday shopping season [6][7] - The production index stands at 50.0%, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.3 percentage points, indicating stability at the threshold level [6][7] Macroeconomic Overview - Manufacturing purchasing and inventory intentions are still in the contraction zone, suggesting a need for further improvement in procurement sentiment [6][7] - Fixed asset investment projects, particularly in infrastructure and affordable housing, are expected to gain momentum towards the end of the year and the beginning of the next [6][7] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3914.01, up by 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.25% to 13146.72 [3] - The performance of various industry indices shows that non-ferrous metals and telecommunications sectors led with increases of 2.85% and 2.81%, respectively, while agriculture and forestry sectors saw declines [4] Sector Analysis - The manufacturing sector's price index showed a recovery in November, with the main raw material purchase price index rising by 1.1 percentage points to 53.6%, indicating a high level of activity [7] - The equipment manufacturing and raw materials industries are sensitive to downstream fixed asset investments, with some signs of demand recovery in November [8]

Investment Rating - The report rates the computer industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of AI applications in China, with the launch of Ant Group's AI assistant "Lingguang" achieving over 2 million downloads in just six days, indicating strong market demand for high-quality AI products [21][22] - The Chinese government is enhancing cybersecurity governance, with new regulations marking a shift towards more detailed and effective management of cybersecurity incidents [13][14] - China is leading the space computing race, with a three-phase plan for space data centers aiming for significant advancements in computational power and efficiency [16][20] - The human-shaped robot industry in Beijing is rapidly evolving, with government support aimed at commercializing and scaling production [24][26] - Singapore's shift to using Alibaba's Qwen model for its national AI program signifies a structural shift in the global AI landscape, showcasing the growing influence of Chinese AI technologies [29][31] Summary by Sections Cybersecurity - The report discusses the recent emphasis on cybersecurity governance by the Chinese government, including the implementation of the "National Cybersecurity Incident Reporting Management Measures" which aims to enhance accountability and efficiency in reporting incidents [13][14] - The new cybersecurity law set to take effect in January 2026 complements these measures, establishing a robust legal framework for cybersecurity management [15] Space Computing - A three-phase construction plan for space data centers has been outlined, with the first phase targeting a total power of 200KW and a computational capacity of 1000POPS by 2027 [16][17] - The report notes that advancements in AI and satellite technology are expected to drive down costs and enhance the scalability of space computing [20] AI Applications - The rapid adoption of AI applications in various sectors is highlighted, with "Lingguang" setting records for downloads, reflecting a shift towards practical and user-friendly AI solutions [21][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of a supportive ecosystem for AI development in China, including a robust industrial framework and a large user base [22][23] Human-Shaped Robots - The report outlines Beijing's strategic focus on developing the human-shaped robot industry, with significant government backing to foster innovation and commercialization [24][26] - Companies in this sector are already achieving substantial production milestones, indicating a promising market outlook [25][28] Global AI Landscape - The collaboration between Alibaba and Singapore's AI initiative marks a significant recognition of Chinese AI capabilities on the global stage, suggesting a shift in the competitive dynamics of AI technology [29][31] - The report notes that this partnership reflects a broader trend of countries seeking to establish sovereign AI capabilities, leveraging local technologies [30][31]

Macro Economy - The macroeconomic report indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.64% this week, with the asset allocation order being stocks > commodities > bonds > currency [1][2][4]. Asset Performance Review - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.64%, while the Shanghai Composite Index futures rose by 1.49%. In contrast, coking coal futures fell by 4.40%, and iron ore main contracts increased by 0.64%. The annualized yield of Yu'ebao decreased by 2 basis points to 1.00%, and the ten-year government bond yield rose by 2 basis points to 1.84% [2][12][37]. Asset Allocation Recommendations - The report highlights that raw material prices continue to be a significant drag on the profitability of industrial enterprises. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for production materials showed a notable year-on-year decline from January to October. The report suggests that policies may be implemented to address the issue of "price weakness" from both supply and demand sides, with expectations for incremental policies by the end of this year and early next year [3][5][21]. Key Economic Data - From January to October, China's total foreign direct investment reached USD 144.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%. The new contract amount for foreign engineering contracting business was USD 210.7 billion, up 18.6% year-on-year [6][21]. Industry Insights - The report notes that the real estate investment continues to drag down fixed asset investment performance, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 14.7% from January to October, impacting the current fixed asset investment growth rate by 3.0 percentage points [3][21]. Commodity Market Overview - The commodity futures index rose by 5.25% this week, with significant increases in non-metallic building materials (4.64%) and precious metals (3.80%). However, some commodities like coking coal saw a decline of 2.52% [49][51]. Stock Market Performance - The A-share market saw a general increase, with the ChiNext Index leading at a rise of 4.54%. The telecommunications and electronic components sectors performed well, while the oil and coal sectors experienced declines [37][38]. Bond Market Insights - The ten-year government bond yield rose to 1.84%, with a slight increase of 2 basis points. The report indicates that the "stock-bond seesaw" effect may impact the bond market in the short term [42][44]. Consumer Market Trends - The report highlights that the automobile consumption data shows a mixed performance, with wholesale and retail sales growth rates of 2% and -7% respectively. The report anticipates that automobile consumption will remain a key focus for future consumption promotion efforts [34][37].

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights an upward trend in crude oil freight rates, with the China Import Crude Oil Index (CTFI) reaching 2520.07 points, an increase of 8.4% from November 20 [3][13] - The postal industry revenue surpassed the telecommunications industry for the first time in history, reaching 1.47 trillion yuan, compared to 1.467 trillion yuan for telecommunications [3][24] - The civil aviation sector showed growth in both passenger and cargo transport volumes in October, with international routes performing particularly well [3][17] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates are rising, with the Middle East route seeing a 10.76% increase in rates [13] - Qifly Aviation signed a procurement agreement for 105 eVTOL aircraft with three companies in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, focusing on low-altitude logistics [15][16] - The postal industry revenue for January to October 2025 reached 1.47 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [24][25] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index decreased month-on-month but increased year-on-year [26] - Domestic freight flights in October 2025 increased by 0.32% year-on-year, while international flights rose by 11.12% [32] - The express delivery business volume in October 2025 increased by 7.90% year-on-year, with total revenue reaching 131.67 billion yuan [50] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [5] - Attention to low-altitude economy investment opportunities, particularly in companies like CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Consider investment opportunities in the express delivery sector, recommending SF Express and Jitu Express [5]

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Insights - The manufacturing PMI index for November is 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a minor recovery within the contraction zone[3] - The new orders index for November is also at 49.2%, up 0.4 percentage points, with the new export orders index rising 1.7 percentage points to 47.6%, likely boosted by the upcoming holiday season[3] - The production index stands at 50.0%, reflecting a 0.3 percentage point increase, while the raw material inventory index is at 47.3%, unchanged from the previous month[3] Group 2: Investment and Demand Trends - Fixed asset investment projects, particularly in infrastructure and affordable housing, are expected to gain momentum towards the end of the year[1] - The major raw material purchase price index increased by 1.1 percentage points to 53.6%, indicating a high level of purchasing activity[9] - Demand in the raw materials and equipment manufacturing sectors shows signs of recovery, with the new orders index for non-metallic mineral products significantly above the threshold[10] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector Performance - The non-manufacturing PMI index for November is 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points, indicating a decline in business activity[4] - The new orders index for the non-manufacturing sector is at 45.7%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points, while the new export orders index has improved to 47.9%, up 1.7 percentage points[12] - The construction sector's PMI is at 49.6%, with a new orders index of 46.1%, reflecting a slight recovery in demand despite remaining in contraction territory[16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Views - The fourth quarter is expected to be a peak sales season for new energy vehicles, with domestic sales in 2025 projected to maintain high growth, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting a "de-involution" strategy in the battery industry, which is expected to restore profitability across the supply chain [1]. - Solid-state battery industrialization is progressing, with a focus on related materials and equipment companies [1]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the "de-involution" strategy is seen as a key investment theme, although terminal demand is currently weak [1]. - Wind power demand is expected to continue growing, with a focus on wind turbine and offshore wind directions [1]. - Energy storage demand remains robust, with battery cells and integration still in a price increase phase [1]. - Hydrogen energy is anticipated to open up demand for green hydrogen, with a focus on downstream applications [1]. - Nuclear fusion is viewed as a long-term catalyst for energy development, with attention on core suppliers in this area [1]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector rose by 3.59% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.40% [10]. - The power generation equipment sector saw the highest increase at 5.34%, followed by wind power at 4.99% and new energy vehicles at 4.48% [13]. Key Industry Information - NIO reported a record high revenue of 21.79 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [25]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is accelerating targeted policy measures to regulate irrational competition in the battery industry [25]. - LG Chem announced a significant improvement in solid-state battery performance, with a basic capacity increase of approximately 15% and a high-rate discharge capacity increase of about 50% [25]. - As of the end of October, China's cumulative installed power generation capacity reached 3.75 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 17.3% [25]. Company Developments - Longpan Technology signed a supplementary agreement with Chuangneng New Energy, with a total sales amount exceeding 45 billion yuan [27]. - JinkoSolar expects global energy storage installation demand to exceed 400 GWh next year, with a compound annual growth rate of over 30% until 2030 [28].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The long - term bullish logic of precious metals remains solid, and the gold - silver ratio is being restored. The price elasticity of silver is better than that of gold, and it is recommended to pay attention to the rotation opportunities of the A - share non - ferrous related sectors [1]. - The short - term supplementary increase elasticity of silver in precious metals is expected to be stronger than that of gold, which has been verified. The short - term certainty of silver is stronger, with a large restoration space for the gold - silver ratio, and the demand growth in industrial fields such as photovoltaics provides support for the silver price [2]. - The A - share is expected to stabilize in the short term, and the precious metal sector is expected to become the main allocation direction during the rotation stage of the technology main line. In terms of profit, the "anti - involution" related sectors are expected to contribute to the marginal increase in A - share profits. As precious metal prices reach new highs, the A - share precious metal sector is expected to be the focus of capital rotation [2]. 3. Summary According to Related Contents 3.1 Silver Market Performance - On November 28, 2025, the Shanghai silver futures price hit a new high in nearly a year (12,800 yuan/ton), and the relative increase of Shanghai silver compared to Shanghai gold in the past month was 8.12%, indicating stronger elasticity of silver in the precious metal sector [2]. 3.2 Long - term Logic of Precious Metals - The long - term bullish logic of precious metals is still strong. In the short term, the market expects an 83.2% probability of a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Although the implementation of the interest - rate cut expectation may cause short - term fluctuations in precious metal prices, the upward trend remains unchanged. The core logic is that the start of the Federal Reserve's interest - rate cut cycle confirms the shift to a loose monetary policy, and potential concerns about the Fed's policy independence will support precious metal prices from both liquidity and risk - aversion aspects [2]. 3.3 Comparison between Gold and Silver - Gold is still in an upward channel but is in a high - level shock stage after accelerated upward movement. The key to the subsequent market is whether the "decline in real interest rates" and "weakening of the US dollar" can resonate. In contrast, silver has stronger short - term certainty. The current high "gold - silver ratio" has a large restoration space, and the demand growth in industrial fields such as photovoltaics supports the silver price. The low inventory level makes its short - term price elasticity better than that of gold [2]. 3.4 A - share Market and Investment Suggestions - The A - share is expected to stabilize in the short term and warm up the "spring rally" market. In 2026, the two main lines of technology and "anti - involution" are expected to be the main focuses of industry allocation. The precious metal sector is expected to be the main allocation direction during the rotation of the technology main line. From the profit perspective, the "anti - involution" related sectors are expected to contribute to the marginal increase in A - share profits. As precious metal prices reach new highs, the A - share precious metal sector is expected to be the focus of capital rotation. It is recommended to pay attention to industries such as non - ferrous metals and basic chemicals, especially related targets in the precious metal and small metal sectors [2]. 3.5 A - share Earnings Structure - The report analyzes the profit structure of A - shares. In 2025Q2 and 2025Q3, different sectors and industries have different profit growth rates and contribution degrees. For example, the TMT sector has a relatively high profit growth rate and contribution degree in both quarters, while some sectors such as building and real estate have a decline in profits [4].