港股公司报告 | 公司点评 361 度（01361） 证券研究报告 童装、线上及超品或贡献收入增量 公司披露 2024 年业绩 24 年营业收入 100.7 亿元，同增 19.6%，24 年归母净利润 11.5 亿元，同增 19.5%。毛利率 41.5%，同增 0.4pct；归母净利率 11.4%，同比持平。 每股基本盈利 55.6 分，同增 19.5%，派息 26.5 港仙，派息比例 45%。 广告及宣传开支占比 12.8%，同增 0.1pct；员工成本占比 8.5%，同减 0.7pct； 研发成本占比 3.4%，同减 0.3pct。 分品类，鞋类收入同增 21%，服装收入同增 17%，配饰收入同增 27%；童 装收入同增 19.5%，其他收入同增 19.6%。 分渠道，线下终端零售表现良好，呈现稳健增长态势，24 年 Q1 线下终端 零售流水同比增长达到高双位数，Q2-Q4 同比增长 10%；24 年电商业务收 入 26.1 亿元，同增 12.2%。 儿童/电商业务保持韧性增长 2024 年公司儿童收入为人民币 23.4 亿，占集团总营业额的 23.2%，其中童 鞋收入 11 亿，同增 17.4%，童服收 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for AIA Group Limited (01299.HK) [8] Core Insights - AIA Group reported a strong performance with a 18% year-on-year increase in New Business Value (NBV) and announced a new share buyback plan of $1.6 billion [8] - The company achieved a net profit of $6.84 billion, reflecting an 84% year-on-year growth, with a significant increase of 133% in the second half of the year [8] - The embedded value reached $69 billion, up 4% year-on-year, with an operating return on embedded value increasing by 2.0 percentage points to 14.9% [8] - The expected final dividend per share is 130.98 Hong Kong cents, a 10% increase compared to the previous year [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total insurance revenue for 2023 was $17.514 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.32% [8] - After-tax operating profit for 2023 was $6.213 billion, showing a decline of 3.24% year-on-year [8] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was $0.35, with projections for 2024 at $0.64 [8] New Business Value (NBV) - The annualized new premium (ANP) for 2023 was $8.61 billion, up 14% year-on-year [8] - The total NBV for the year was $4.71 billion, reflecting an 18% increase [8] - The NBV margin improved by 1.9 percentage points to 54.5% [8] Regional Performance - NBV in Hong Kong increased by 23% to $1.76 billion, accounting for 34.8% of the total [8] - NBV in mainland China reached $1.22 billion, up 20% year-on-year [8] - The "New Malaysia Thailand" region also showed positive growth in NBV, with increases of 15%, 10%, and 15% respectively [8] Investment Strategy - The company has shifted its investment strategy, reducing fixed income allocation to 71.1% while increasing equity allocation to 22.3% [8] - The net investment yield for the year was 4.0%, with a total investment return of 4.9% [8] Capital Management - AIA Group has completed its previous $12 billion share buyback program and plans to implement a new $1.6 billion buyback plan within 2025 [8] - The current stock price corresponds to 1.12 times the estimated price-to-embedded value (PEV) for 2025, indicating a low valuation with a high margin of safety [8]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险(HS) 友邦保险（01299.HK） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 03 月 15 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -25% -18% -11% -4% 3% 10% 17% 24% 31% 38% 45% 2024/3/15 2024/7/14 2024/11/12 2025/3/13 友邦保险 恒生指数 市场数据 | 收盘价(港元) | 61.25 | | --- | --- | | 一年最低/最高价 | 45.25/74.60 | | 市净率(倍) | 16.39 | | 港股流通市值(百万港 | 655,019.43 | | 元) | | 2024 年年报点评：NBV 表现出色同比+18%， 加推 16 亿美元股份回购计划 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 保险 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [3][14]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 6.646 billion RMB, a decline of 15.8% year-on-year, primarily due to the slowdown in the telecommunications industry and cost-cutting measures by operator clients [1]. - Traditional business revenue, particularly from BSS, is under pressure, with a forecasted revenue of 4.046 billion RMB for 2024, down 18.9% year-on-year [1]. - New business segments (OSS, vertical industries, and smart operations) generated 2.599 billion RMB in revenue, a decrease of 10.3%, but their contribution to total revenue increased by 2.4 percentage points to 39.1% [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its AI model delivery business, which is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 200-300 million RMB in 2025 [2]. - The company plans to replicate its domestic BSS and OSS experiences in overseas markets, engaging with operators in Hong Kong and the Philippines [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross profit of 2.484 billion RMB, a decrease of 16.5%, resulting in a gross margin of 37.4% [1]. - Net profit for 2024 is expected to be 545 million RMB, with a net profit margin of 7.8% [1]. - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit to 636 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 16.8% [3]. Revenue Projections - Revenue for 2025 is estimated to reach 7.191 billion RMB, representing an 8.2% increase from 2024 [4]. - The company expects a double-digit growth in OSS business revenue in 2025, driven by trends in operator consolidation and resource integration [1][2]. Dividend Policy - The company has announced a total dividend of 0.412 HKD per share for 2024, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.18 per share [5]. Core Insights - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance its core business operations, aiming for high-quality and efficient growth [1][2]. - The deployment of the proprietary "Li Hong AI System" is expected to improve operational efficiency and customer service customization [2]. - The company has shown strong performance in overseas markets, with significant revenue growth, particularly in the overseas segment [3]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of HKD 944.01 million for FY2022, with projected revenues of HKD 1,368.11 million for FY2024 and HKD 2,049.96 million for FY2026, reflecting a growth rate of 15.3% in FY2022 and an expected 23.0% in FY2026 [4][10]. - The net profit for FY2022 was HKD 69.40 million, with projections of HKD 89.05 million for FY2024 and HKD 162.88 million for FY2026, indicating a growth rate of 16.9% in FY2022 and an expected 35.5% in FY2026 [4][10]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 42.6% by FY2026, with a net profit margin of 7.9% [4][10]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 10.90 in FY2022 to 4.76 in FY2026, indicating increasing earnings relative to the stock price [4][10]. Business Performance - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 340 million in the Greater China region for H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, while overseas revenue reached HKD 270 million, a significant increase of 47.2% [3]. - The overseas business now accounts for 47% of total revenue, highlighting the company's successful expansion strategy [3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand recognition in overseas markets, particularly in Singapore, where it has seen rapid growth [3].

2025 年 3 月 14 日 公司研究 24 年业绩较快增长，期待继续强化核心竞争力 ——361 度（1361.HK）2024 年业绩点评 买入（维持） 当前价：4.49 元港币 作者 分析师：姜浩 执业证书编号：S0930522010001 021-52523680 jianghao@ebscn.com 分析师：孙未未 执业证书编号：S0930517080001 021-52523672 sunww@ebscn.com 分析师：朱洁宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070004 021-52523842 zhujieyu@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 20.68 | | 总市值(亿港元)： | 92.84 | | 一年最低/最高(港元)： | 3.15/4.85 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 21.4% | 股价相对走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 24/01 24/02 24/03 24/04 24/05 24/06 24/07 24/08 24/09 24/10 24/11 24/12 25 ...

汽车 2025 年 03 月 14 日 小鹏汽车-W(9868.HK) 新款G6爆款潜力大，加速全场景智驾平权 推荐（维持） 股价：95.5 元(港币) 主要数据 | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.xiaopeng.com | | 大股东/持股 | | | 实际控制人 | 何小鹏 | | 总股本(百万股) | 1900.45 | | 流通 A 股(百万股) | | | 流通 B/H 股(百万股) | | | 总市值（亿元） | 1675.60 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 16.86 | | 资产负债率(%) | 58.10 | | 行情走势图 | | 证券分析师 公司举办 2025 小鹏汽车春季发布会，上市 2025 款小鹏 G6 和 2025 款小鹏 G9 两款新车，其中 2025 款小鹏 G6 共推出 3 款配置车型，售价 17.68 万~19.88 万元，2025 款小鹏 G9 同样推出 3 款配置车型，售价 24.88 万~27.88 万元。 平安观点： | | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 22 CNY per share [1][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to record a net profit of between 0.5 billion to 2.5 billion CNY for 2024, a significant decrease from 4.8 billion CNY in the previous year [7]. - The report highlights that while revenue is anticipated to decline due to weak demand, cost pressures are expected to ease, leading to improved gross and operating margins [7]. - A substantial impairment loss is projected, primarily due to the subsidiary Bellamy's expected losses and the joint venture Modern Dairy's impairments, which could impact profits by approximately 3.8 billion to 4 billion CNY [7]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in dairy product demand in 2025, supported by favorable policies and supply-demand improvements [7]. - The company is expected to maintain a stable dividend policy, with a dividend yield projected to remain above 2% [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the food and beverage industry, with a current H-share price of 18.16 CNY as of March 13, 2025 [2]. - The market capitalization is approximately 56.4 billion CNY, with major shareholder COFCO Group holding 24.14% [2]. Recent Performance - The company's stock price has seen a 15.82% increase over the past month, but a slight decline of 1.43% over the past year [2]. - The product mix is heavily weighted towards liquid milk (81.18%), with ice cream (7.55%), milk powder (3.66%), cheese (4.73%), and other products making up the remainder [3]. Financial Projections - For the years 2024 to 2026, net profits are projected to be 0.12 billion, 4.4 billion, and 5.075 billion CNY, respectively, with significant growth expected in 2025 and 2026 after a sharp decline in 2024 [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.03 CNY for 2024, 1.12 CNY for 2025, and 1.30 CNY for 2026, reflecting a recovery trajectory [9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 15 for 2025 and 13 for 2026, indicating potential value in the stock [9].

主要数据 | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.xiaopeng.com | | 大股东/持股 | | | 实际控制人 | 何小鹏 | | 总股本(百万股) | 1900.45 | | 流通 A 股(百万股) | | | 流通 B/H 股(百万股) | | | 总市值（亿元） | 1675.60 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 16.86 | | 资产负债率(%) | 58.10 | | 行情走势图 | | 证券分析师 | 王德安 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060511010006 | | | BQV509 | | | WANGDEAN002@pingan.com.cn | | 王跟海 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060523080001 | | | BVG944 | | | WANGGENHAI964@pingan.com.cn | 汽车 2025 年 03 月 14 日 小鹏汽车-W(9868.HK) 新款G6爆款潜力大，加速全场景智驾平权 推荐（维持） 股价：95.5 元(港币) ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with an initial recommendation [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the current bull market is characterized by a shift in investor behavior, with a greater reliance on professional advisory content and multimedia channels for information. This change drives industry suppliers to enhance their content professionalism and outreach channels to adapt to new market demands. The company has a clear first-mover advantage in building internet channels and has demonstrated strong Alpha attributes in this bull market due to its comprehensive business model built around an account matrix [2][5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1996, is a leading provider of online high-end investment education services in China. It was one of the first to obtain a securities investment advisory license from the China Securities Regulatory Commission in 1998. The company utilizes multimedia to provide financial information and has developed a business model that combines MCN account traffic with private domain traffic to offer advisory services [6][32]. Market Dynamics - The report notes significant changes in the capital market, including a substantial increase in the proportion of ETF trading volume and the entry of a new group of investors. These changes necessitate a more targeted approach from advisory firms. The new investor group shows a marked increase in reliance on professional advisors and internet channels for financial information [5][22]. Competitive Advantages - The company possesses several competitive advantages: 1. A rare advisory license that provides compliance advantages 2. A stable organizational structure that ensures consistent content output 3. A robust cost structure that enhances operational leverage. These advantages enable the company to translate its quality operations directly into EPS on financial statements [7][8][13]. Business Model - The company's business model is divided into two systems: a traffic system and a product system. The traffic system includes both public and private domains, utilizing a matrix of MCN accounts to attract users through engaging content. The product system focuses on providing advisory services and has recently introduced a stock learning machine product to enhance user engagement and retention [37][39]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is closely tied to market trading volumes, with order income and cost expenses providing a clearer reflection of current operational performance. The report indicates that the company's revenue and order income exhibit a semi-annual lag due to the typical six-month service period of its products [40][46]. Cost Structure - The company maintains a high gross margin, with a net margin impacted by accounting adjustments and investment fluctuations. The sales expenses constitute the majority of the company's costs, with a significant portion allocated to traffic acquisition [52][58]. Research and Development - The company emphasizes innovation and technology in its strategy, with R&D expenditures exceeding those of its peers. It has built a strong technical team focused on digital transformation and product innovation, with a notable percentage of its workforce dedicated to R&D [63][64].