非银金融 上 市 公 司 变量 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 03 月 13 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 61.85 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8640.61 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 70.25/53.60 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 429.25 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 694.01 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0832 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -3% 17% 37% 57% HSCEI 中银航空租赁 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 研究支持 金黎丹 A0230123060002 jinld@swsresearch.com 2025 年 03 月 13 日 中银航空租赁 (02588) ——滞俄飞机减计影响出清，交付掣肘与降息放缓成关键 证 券 研 究 报 告 联系人 金黎丹 (8621)23297818× jinld@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of $8.182 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of $392 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.8% [2][4] - The board proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.9 per share, combined with an interim dividend of HKD 0.4 per share, resulting in an annual payout ratio of 69% [2] - The manufacturing business saw a strong recovery with a revenue of $5.621 billion in 2024, up 11.1% year-on-year, driven by a significant rebound in global sports footwear orders [4][5] - Retail business revenue faced pressure, declining by 8.0% year-on-year to $1.845 billion, primarily due to reduced foot traffic in physical stores and a net decrease of 75 stores [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the manufacturing business's capacity utilization rate improved to 93%, up 14 percentage points year-on-year, contributing to a gross margin increase of 0.7 percentage points to 19.9% [4] - The retail business's gross margin improved slightly to 34.2%, with a net profit of $49.2 million, a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [5] - The company expects revenue for 2025 to reach $8.493 billion, with a projected year-on-year growth of 3.8% [6] Future Outlook - For the first two months of 2025, the manufacturing business revenue grew by 7.3%, while retail revenue declined by 4.3% [5] - The company anticipates a steady recovery in manufacturing business growth and a potential positive growth in retail business by the end of 2025 [5][6] - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $465 million, $502 million, and $532 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.5%, 8.0%, and 6.1% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set at 4.15 HKD, maintaining the rating despite slight adjustments to profit forecasts [6][4]. Core Insights - The company is enhancing its product offerings with a new urban light outdoor series and innovative designs in sun protection clothing, appealing to younger consumers [1]. - The brand is transitioning from being recognized as a leading down jacket brand to a comprehensive leader in the down apparel market, focusing on brand awareness and consumer engagement [2]. - The company is leveraging smart logistics and inventory management to ensure efficient operations across its distribution channels, which is a key competitive advantage in the industry [3]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The company is introducing a new urban light outdoor series and a fashionable rain jacket line that balances style and functionality, catering to diverse consumer needs [1]. Brand Strategy - The brand aims to deepen consumer recognition and reputation through integrated marketing strategies, enhancing its position as a global leader in down apparel [2]. Supply Chain Management - The company employs a smart logistics system to manage inventory across various sales channels, ensuring quick response times and high operational efficiency [3]. Financial Forecast - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY25-27 to 25.7 billion RMB, 28.6 billion RMB, and 32.2 billion RMB, with net profits projected at 3.5 billion RMB, 3.9 billion RMB, and 4.4 billion RMB respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) with a target price of HK$34.10, indicating a potential upside of +30% from the current price of HK$26.20 [1]. Core Views - The report anticipates a low double-digit growth in net profit for 2025, driven by continued digital transformation in both domestic and overseas markets [6][7]. - Domestic revenue is expected to grow approximately 4% year-on-year in 2025, while overseas revenue is projected to increase by around 5% [6][7]. - The overall revenue growth for 2025 is estimated at about 4%, with a focus on product innovation and market expansion strategies [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025, the estimated revenue is projected to be RMB 283.4 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 4.4% [7][9]. - The net profit for 2025 is expected to reach RMB 21.2 billion, reflecting a growth of 10.7% compared to 2024 [7][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted at RMB 2.26, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 10.5 [6][7]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic sales are projected to grow by approximately 4%, with specific growth in the refrigerator and washing machine segments [4]. - The air conditioning segment is expected to see a revenue increase of around 8% due to improved sales strategies and market conditions [4]. - Overseas revenue growth is anticipated at about 5%, with significant contributions from North America and Europe [5]. Valuation - The target price of HK$34.10 corresponds to a P/E ratio of 14 times the estimated earnings for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to current market prices [6][7]. - The report maintains a 10% discount rate for Haier's A/H shares, reinforcing the target price stability [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price yet to be specified [6]. Core Insights - The company is enhancing its product offerings with innovative urban light outdoor series and stylish sun protection clothing, catering to the diverse needs of young consumers [1]. - The new line of jackets balances fashion and functionality, featuring water resistance, windproof, and breathability, suitable for both urban and outdoor settings [1]. - The brand is transitioning from being recognized as a global leader in down jackets to a comprehensive leader in the category, focusing on brand awareness and consumer perception [2]. - The company is leveraging smart logistics and inventory management to enhance operational efficiency and maintain a competitive edge in the industry [3]. - Adjustments to revenue forecasts have been made, with projected revenues for FY25-27 at RMB 25.7 billion, RMB 28.6 billion, and RMB 32.2 billion respectively, alongside net profits of RMB 3.5 billion, RMB 3.9 billion, and RMB 4.4 billion [4]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The company is launching a new urban light outdoor series and stylish sun protection clothing, which includes various designs to meet the preferences of young consumers [1]. Brand Strategy - The brand aims to solidify its position as a global leader in down jackets through integrated brand strategies and enhanced consumer engagement [2]. Operational Efficiency - The company employs a smart logistics system to manage inventory across multiple channels, ensuring quick response times and efficient stock management [3]. Financial Projections - The report revises the financial outlook, projecting revenues and net profits for the upcoming fiscal years, indicating a slight decrease from previous estimates [4].

投资建议 2024 年，受益于全球运动鞋履订单需求复苏及生产效率提升，公司制造业务订单及 盈利强劲复苏，零售业务受到国内消费环境影响，收入规模有所下滑。展望 2025 年，根 据公司披露的月度收益公告，2025 年 1-2 月，制造业务营收同比增长 7.3%，零售业务营 收同比下降 4.3%，我们预计 2025 年上半年公司制造业务恢复常态增长，零售业务或继续 有所承压，全年维度来看，预计制造业务稳健增长，零售业务有望实现正增长。预计公 司 2025-2027 年营业收入分别为 84.93/90.03/94.56 亿美元，同比增长 3.8%/6.0%/5.0%； 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 纺织制造 裕元集团（00551.HK） 买入-A(维持) 2024 年业绩弹性释放，2025 年 1-2 月制造业务营收增长 7% 2025 年 3 月 13 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 3 月 11 日，公司披露 2024 年年报，2024 年，公司实现收入 81.82 亿美元，同比增 长 3.7%，实现归母净利润 3.92 亿美元，同比增长 42.8%。公司董事会建议派发末期股息 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [3][14]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 6.646 billion RMB, a decline of 15.8% year-on-year, primarily due to the slowdown in the telecommunications industry and cost-cutting measures by operator clients [1]. - Traditional business revenue, particularly from BSS, is under pressure, with a forecasted revenue of 4.046 billion RMB for 2024, down 18.9% year-on-year [1]. - New business segments (OSS, vertical industries, and smart operations) generated 2.599 billion RMB in revenue, a decrease of 10.3%, but their contribution to total revenue increased by 2.4 percentage points to 39.1% [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its AI model delivery business, which is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 200-300 million RMB in 2025 [2]. - The company plans to replicate its domestic BSS and OSS experiences in overseas markets, engaging with operators in Hong Kong and the Philippines [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross profit of 2.484 billion RMB, a decrease of 16.5%, resulting in a gross margin of 37.4% [1]. - Net profit for 2024 is expected to be 516 million RMB, corresponding to a net profit margin of 7.8% [1]. - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit to 636 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 16.8% [3]. Revenue Forecast - Revenue is projected to increase to 7.191 billion RMB in 2025, representing an 8.2% growth from 2024 [4]. - The company expects a gradual recovery in traditional business segments, with BSS revenue potentially stabilizing in 2025 [1][3]. Dividend Policy - The company has announced a total dividend of 0.412 HKD per share for 2024, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of USD 8.182 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of USD 392 million, which is a significant increase of 42.8% year-on-year [2][4] - The board proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.9 per share, combined with an interim dividend of HKD 0.4 per share, resulting in an annual payout ratio of 69% [2] - The manufacturing business showed strong order growth in 2024, with a revenue of USD 5.621 billion, up 11.1% year-on-year, driven by improved capacity utilization and production efficiency [4] - The retail business faced challenges with a revenue decline of 8.0% year-on-year, attributed to reduced foot traffic in physical stores and a net decrease of 75 stores in mainland China [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the manufacturing business's output volume reached 255 million pairs of shoes, a 16.9% increase year-on-year, although the average selling price decreased by 5.1% to USD 20.25 per pair [4] - The manufacturing business's capacity utilization improved to 93%, up 14 percentage points year-on-year, contributing to a gross margin increase of 0.7 percentage points to 19.9% [4] - The retail business's gross margin improved slightly to 34.2%, with a net profit of USD 49.2 million, reflecting a 0.2% year-on-year growth [5] Future Outlook - For 2025, the company expects a recovery in manufacturing business revenue, with a projected growth of 3.8% to USD 8.493 billion, while retail revenue is anticipated to decline by 4.3% [5] - The company forecasts net profits of USD 465 million, USD 502 million, and USD 532 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.5%, 8.0%, and 6.1% [10][12]

[Table_Info1] [Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 港股公司报告 终端表现领先行业，盈利能力保持稳健 ---361 度 2024 年报点评 事件： [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2024 年报，全年营收同增 19.6%至 100.7 亿元，净利润同增 19.5%至 11.5 亿元。全年派发普通股股息每股 26.5 港仙，派息比率 45%。 点评： 终端表现持续领先行业。2024 年 Q1 至 Q4，主品牌零售额分别同比增长 高双位数/10%/10%/10%，在整体零售环境仍有一定压力的情况下，公司 终端表现持续领先行业。全年成人鞋类/服装收入分别同比增长 22.1%/15.1%至 42.9/30.9 亿元。此外，2024 年公司童装品牌收入同比增 长 19.5%至 23.4 亿元，占集团营收的 23.2%。童装鞋类/服装收入分别同 比增长 17.5%/22.6%至 11/12.1 亿元。 门店形象持续升级，推出超品店新业态。截至 2024 年末，361 度成人门 店同比净增 16 家至 5750 家。单店面积同比增加 11 平方米至 149 平方 米，第十代终端形象门店持续推 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年03月13日 联想集团（00992.HK） 优于大市 FY2025Q3 财报点评：ISG 业务扭亏为盈，业绩稳健增长 基础设施方案业务（ISG）扭亏为盈，AI 驱动业绩增长。FY2025 前三季度公 司实现营收 520.93 亿美元，同比+21.1%；实现净利润 12.95 亿美元，同比 +69.7%。分季度看，FY25Q3 实现营收 187.96 亿美元，同比+19.4%、环比+5.3%； 实现净利润 6.93 亿美元，同比+105.5%、环比+93.2%,主要由于单季度获得 2.82 亿美金的一次性所得税抵免。其中，FY2025 前三季度智能设备业务集 团、基础设施方案业务集团、方案服务业务集团分别实现收入 387.20、 104.04、63.07 亿美元，分别同比+13.4%、+62.8%、+11.6%。分季度看，FY25Q3 智能设备业务集团、基础设施方案业务集团、方案服务业务集团分别实现收 入 137.84、39.38、22.57 亿美元，分别同比+11.5%、+59.2%、+11.7%，其 中基础设施方案业务集团（ISG）实现经营溢利 100.2 万美元，首次单季度 扭 ...