31 Mar 2025 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Li Ning (2331 HK) Conservative guidance but quite expected FY24 results were inline with market expectation while 4Q24 operating numbers were slightly better than expected. Going forward, on one hand, the Company is outlining conservative FY25E guidance and the plan to invest more for the future, and on the other hand, the numbers in 1Q25E are already trending better. Therefore, we tend to think the worst should have already gon ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD Electronics is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a robust performance in 2024, with total revenue reaching 177.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.27 billion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year [7] - The consumer electronics segment showed significant growth, with revenue increasing by 45.0% to 141.23 billion yuan, driven by strong performance in components and assembly businesses [7] - The automotive electronics sector is expected to benefit from the parent company's advancements in smart technology, with revenue projected to grow by 45.5% to 20.51 billion yuan in 2024 [7] - The company is enhancing its AI and robotics capabilities, with new intelligent products contributing to growth despite a slight decline in revenue from new products [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2024 is 177.3 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 35.97% for 2025 [1][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 5.26 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 23.42% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.89 yuan for 2024, increasing to 2.34 yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to be 16.18 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation [1][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9] Core Insights - The company is a rare diversified real estate developer in China, with financial, operational, and brand advantages that have helped improve its sales ranking despite market challenges. The company has ample and high-quality land reserves, ensuring stable future sales. The pressure from impairments has been relatively well-managed, and new land acquisitions are expected to be profitable, indicating solid performance and high realization rates [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 278.8 billion (up 11.0%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 25.6 billion (down 18.5%). The core net profit was 25.42 billion (down 8.5%), with a comprehensive gross margin of 21.6% (down 3.5 percentage points) and a dividend payout ratio of 36.9%, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.6% [6][9]. Sales and Market Position - The company’s total sales for 2024 were 261.1 billion (down 15.0%), with a market share increase to 2.7%, marking its entry into the top three in the industry. In 2024, the company acquired 29 projects with a total investment of 77.58 billion (down 56.1%), indicating a conservative approach in the first half of the year but a quicker investment pace as the market improved towards the end of the year [6][9]. Operational Efficiency - As a leader in commercial real estate, the company has a strong competitive edge in various aspects such as layout, leasing, operations, and luxury retail. In 2024, the retail sales from shopping centers reached 195.3 billion (up 19.2%), with rental income of 19.3 billion (up 8.4%). The company plans to open six new shopping centers annually from 2025 to 2028, increasing the total to 116 by the end of 2028 [2][6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a stable outlook for future performance, with projected net profits attributable to shareholders of 26.2 billion, 27.0 billion, and 28.2 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 2%, 3%, and 5%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are forecasted to be 6.4, 6.2, and 6.0 [2][6].

证券研究报告 锅圈 (2517 HK) H2 同店增速回正,质价比/全渠道布局 显效 | 华泰研究 | | 公告点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 | 31 日│中国香港 | 可选消费 | 公司 24 年营收 64.7 亿元（yoy+6.2%），核心经营利润 3.1 亿元（yoy+3.1%）， 好于我们预期（2.8 亿元），主因毛利率及费控好于预期。半年度看，H1、 H2 营收同比分别-3.5%/+14.1%，核心经营利润同比分别+4.9%/+2.0%，下 半年凭借质价比及爆款套餐引流策略，公司同店已实现较快修复回升，25 年有望实现店效及开店速度的双重回升，在促消费政策持续落地背景下，看 好公司低估值+业绩提速的布局机会，维持"买入"评级。 H2 质价比策略推动同店增速转正，2B 渠道成长亮眼 H2 分渠道看，1）向加盟商销售收入同增 4.8%至 31.1 亿元。凭借 99 元毛 肚、酸菜鱼火锅等质价比爆款套餐的投放，H2 同店增速转正，我们测算 H2 加盟商平均销售贡献同增 7.0%（vs H1 -6.6%），配合多层次抖音账号运营， 年底注册会员数达 4130 万 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a revenue of 6.256 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.2%, driven primarily by cloud services [8][18] - The annual recurring revenue (ARR) from cloud subscriptions reached approximately 3.44 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 20% [9][18] - The company is in a rapid growth phase, with expectations for revenue growth of 16.9% in 2025 and 15.8% in 2026 [3][28] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net loss of 1.42 billion RMB, a significant reduction of 32% compared to the previous year [2][18] - The gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points, and the operating expense ratio decreased by 2.0 percentage points [2][18] - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 934 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 43% [9][18] Revenue Breakdown - Cloud service revenue accounted for 81.6% of total revenue, amounting to 5.107 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4% [8][18] - The company’s enterprise cloud services, small and micro financial cloud services, and industry cloud services generated revenues of 3.658 billion RMB, 1.229 billion RMB, and 220 million RMB, respectively [14][18] - The large enterprise segment saw a 30% increase in cloud subscription ARR, with a net renewal rate of 108% [14][18] Future Outlook - The company maintains a revenue CAGR guidance of 15-20% for 2024-2026, with a subscription ARR CAGR of 30% [3][28] - Expected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are projected at 7.314 billion RMB and 8.468 billion RMB, respectively [3][28] - The company is focusing on AI integration to enhance its product offerings and drive future growth [24][28]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [6][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 284.42 billion in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 10.17 billion, up 23.51% year-over-year [7]. - The express and large parcel segment accounted for 70.4% of the company's revenue, with a significant increase in volume and profit margins [2][10]. - The company is focusing on international expansion, with over 9,100 international cargo flights in 2024, a 19% increase from the previous year [7][10]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of RMB 10.17 billion for 2024, with a projected growth of 16.35% for 2025, reaching RMB 11.83 billion [9][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is RMB 2.11, with expectations to grow to RMB 2.37 in 2025 [9][11]. - The dividend payout for 2024 is expected to be approximately RMB 41.04 billion, with a dividend yield of 5.31% [7][9]. Business Segments - The express and large parcel segment generated RMB 200.16 billion in revenue, with a net profit of RMB 10.98 billion, reflecting a 29.91% increase year-over-year [7][10]. - The supply chain and international business segment saw a revenue increase of 17.72% year-over-year, although it recorded a net loss of RMB 1.32 billion due to restructuring [7][10]. - The same-city delivery segment achieved a revenue of RMB 9.01 billion, with a remarkable net profit growth of 161.80% [10]. Market Position - The company maintains a strong competitive edge with a leading fleet of 110 aircraft and over 100,000 delivery vehicles, positioning it as a dominant player in the logistics sector [10]. - The report highlights the company's robust logistics network and its strategic focus on international markets, which are expected to drive future growth [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.256 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.2%, driven primarily by cloud services [8][18] - The annual recurring revenue (ARR) from cloud subscriptions reached approximately 3.44 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 20% [8][18] - The company is in a rapid growth phase, with expectations for revenue growth to continue at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15-20% from 2024 to 2026 [3][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net loss of 1.42 billion RMB, a significant reduction of 32% compared to the previous year [2][18] - The gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points, and the operating expense ratio decreased by 2.0 percentage points [2][18] - Operating cash flow reached 934 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43% [2][18] Revenue Breakdown - Cloud service revenue accounted for 81.6% of total revenue, amounting to 5.107 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4% [8][18] - The company’s enterprise cloud services, small and micro financial cloud services, and industry cloud services generated revenues of 3.658 billion RMB, 1.229 billion RMB, and 220 million RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 17.0%, 13.8%, and -26% [14][18] - The large enterprise cloud subscription ARR grew by 30%, with a net renewal rate of 108% [14][18] Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve revenues of 7.314 billion RMB, 8.468 billion RMB, and 9.689 billion RMB in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.9%, 15.8%, and 14.4% [3][28] - The transition to cloud services and the integration of AI technologies are anticipated to drive future growth and profitability [24][28] - The company aims to leverage AI to enhance its product offerings and improve operational efficiency, with plans to accelerate AI transformation in the coming years [24][28]

事项： 证 券 研 究 报 告 思摩尔国际（06969.HK）2024 年报点评 强推（维持） 自有品牌增长亮眼，HNB 成长可期 公司公布 2024 年业绩公告。2024 年公司实现收入 117.99 亿元，同比+5.6%； 归母净利润为 13.03 亿元，同比-20.8%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 11,799 | 12,944 | 14,876 | 16,832 | | 同比增速(%) | 5.6% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 13.1% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,303 | 1,514 | 2,029 | 2,455 | | 同比增速(%) | -20.8% | 16.2% | 34.0% | 21.0% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.40 | | 市盈率(倍) | 59.2 | 50.9 | 38.0 | 31.4 | | 市净率(倍) ...

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·工业工程(HS) 中国重汽（03808.HK） 2024 年报点评：龙头韧性彰显，出海行稳致 远 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 85780 | 95062 | 106856 | 118773 | 130067 | | 同比(%) | 44.15 | 10.82 | 12.41 | 11.15 | 9.51 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 5318 | 5858 | 6837 | 8160 | 8927 | | 同比(%) | 196.01 | 10.16 | 16.71 | 19.34 | 9.40 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.93 | 2.12 | 2.48 | 2.96 | 3.23 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 11.63 | 10.56 | 9.05 | 7.58 | 6.93 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance met expectations, with insurance capital gaining a board seat, indicating recognition of the company's long-term value by state-owned insurance capital [5][7] - The company reported a revenue of 12.576 billion RMB for 2024, a decrease of 1.77% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.378 billion RMB, down 13.63% year-on-year, aligning with previous expectations [7] - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 0.09 RMB per share for 2024, which represents 52% of the total distributable profit [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2023: 12,802 million RMB - 2024: 12,576 million RMB (down 1.8%) - 2025E: 14,304 million RMB (up 13.7%) - 2026E: 15,085 million RMB (up 5.5%) - 2027E: 15,793 million RMB (up 4.7%) [6][8] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2023: 2,753 million RMB - 2024: 2,378 million RMB (down 13.6%) - 2025E: 3,006 million RMB (up 26.4%) - 2026E: 3,145 million RMB (up 4.6%) - 2027E: 3,209 million RMB (up 2.0%) [6][8] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023: 0.31 RMB - 2024: 0.26 RMB - 2025E: 0.35 RMB - 2026E: 0.37 RMB - 2027E: 0.38 RMB [6][8] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023: 8.59% - 2024: 7.16% - 2025E: 8.56% - 2026E: 8.47% - 2027E: 8.81% [6][8] - Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): - 2025E: 6.9 - 2026E: 6.6 - 2027E: 6.4 [6][8] Operational Highlights - The company experienced a decline in wind power generation due to weaker wind resources and market-driven electricity price reductions, with a reported wind power generation of 28.65 billion kWh in 2024, down 1.83% from 2023 [7] - The company added 3.43 GW of new capacity in 2024, a significant increase from 1.23 GW in 2023, with total installed capacity reaching 18.85 million kW [7] - The company has receivables exceeding 20 billion RMB, primarily from subsidies, which is approximately 1.4 times its current market value [7]