债券研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 系统重要性银行名单出炉，影响怎么看？ 2026 年 2 月 23 日，人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局发布 2025 年我国系统 重要性银行名单。该名单是监管部门对系统重要性银行进行差异化监管的依 据，旨在降低其发生重大风险的可能性。本报告将介绍我国系统重要性银行名 单概况，重点分析 2025 年名单的调整情况，并评估相关变动带来的影响。 概述：系统重要性银行名单 1、定义：代表在金融体系的重要性，要求有更高的损失吸收能力。为防范系 统性风险，人行、金监总局定期更新评估、更新系统重要性银行名单。从定义 来看，系统重要性是指金融机构对于金融体系和实体经济的重要性。系统重要 性银行需要满足附加资本要求，重要性程度越高，附加资本要求越高。 2、评估逻辑：以定量评估为主，涵盖四项一级指标。从评估方法来看，定量 评估与定性判断相结合。从评估指标来看，系统重要性涵盖 4 项一级指标、13 项二级指标。从计算方式来看，指标得分是市场份额与指标权重的乘积。 3、调整概况：历年来名单"只增不减"、组别微调。2021-2026 年，系统重要 性银行数量由 19 家增加至 21 家，涵 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [5]. Core Viewpoints - The report forecasts a social financing growth rate of 8.1% for February 2026, with a total social financing increment of 2.1 trillion CNY, which is a year-on-year decrease of 0.1 trillion CNY [4][7]. - It is expected that the total outstanding social financing will reach 451.1 trillion CNY by the end of February, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 8.1% and a month-on-month decline of 0.07 percentage points [4][7]. - The report highlights that credit growth is anticipated to be lower year-on-year due to the impact of the Spring Festival, with corporate credit demand expected to remain flat and retail loans likely to decrease year-on-year [4][7]. Summary by Sections Social Financing Estimates - The estimated social financing stock for February 2026 is 451.1 trillion CNY, up from 449.1 trillion CNY in January 2026 and 417.3 trillion CNY in February 2025, showing a month-on-month increase of 2.0% and a year-on-year increase of 33.8% [7]. - The report predicts a decrease in new RMB loans for February 2026, estimating an increment of 0.5 trillion CNY, which is a year-on-year decrease of 0.1 trillion CNY [4][7]. Credit and Bond Financing - The report anticipates a decrease in government and credit bond net financing for February, with government bonds expected to net finance 1.4 trillion CNY, down 0.3 trillion CNY year-on-year [4][7]. - The report also notes that the demand for bank bills is expected to remain strong, with a decrease of 1,000 billion CNY in discounted bank acceptance bills, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2,000 billion CNY [4][7]. Monetary Growth - The report emphasizes the importance of M2 growth, which is expected to remain high at around 9.0% in February, supported by strong government bond financing and improved corporate cash flow [4][7]. - M1 growth is projected to rise to approximately 5.1%, influenced by a low base effect and the reduced impact of deposit migration [4][7].

固定收益动态(动态) 摘要 根据 Wind 数据，折价成交个券中，"23 发展 01"债券估值价格偏离幅度较大。净价上涨成交个券中，"H3 万科 01" 估值价格偏离程度靠前。净价上涨成交二永债中，"25 长沙银行二级资本债 01"估值价格偏离幅度较大；净价上涨 成交商金债中，"25 江苏银行债 04BC"估值价格偏离幅度靠前。成交收益率高于 5%的个券中，地产债排名靠前。 信用债估值收益变动主要分布在[-5,0)区间。非金信用债成交期限主要分布在 2 至 3 年，其中 3 至 4 年期品种折价成 交占比最高；二永债成交期限主要分布在 4 至 5 年，其中 4 至 5 年期品种折价成交占比最高。分行业看，建筑装饰行 业的债券平均估值价格偏离最大。 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏，高估值个券出现信用风险 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 扫码获取更多服务 图表1：折价成交跟踪 | | 剩余期限 | 估值价格偏 | 估值净价 | 估值收益率 | 估值收益率 | 前一日估值 | 隐含评级 | 主体评级 | 行 业 | 成交规模 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 跨境流动性跟踪 20260301 汇率政策组合拳如何影响流动性？ [Table_Summary] [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-03-02 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 03/25 05/25 07/25 10/25 12/25 02/26 银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | 021-38003646 | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 林虎 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | 021-38003643 | | gflinhu@gf.com.cn | | 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 | | 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 银行行业 ...

[Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 月末票据利率反弹，大行净买入同比增量回落 ——银行资负跟踪 20260302 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-02 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师： 林虎 SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 SFC CE No. BWK411 021-38003643 gflinhu@gf.com.cn -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 03/25 05/25 07/25 10/25 12/25 02/26 银行 沪深300 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 银行行业:银行 ...

证券研究报告 2026 年 03 月 01 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 银行业周报 人民币跨境同业融资新规发布 | 1. | 《业绩底部修复，配置价值提 | | --- | --- | | 升》 | 2025.09.05 | | 2. | 《2026年银行业策略：高股息 | | | 为盾，静待价值修复》 | | | 2025.12.31 | 行业评级：增持（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 相对收益 -0.2 -14.1 -19.3 绝对收益 -0.1 -9.8 -0.6 分析师：郭怡萍 证书编号：S0500523080002 Tel：(8621) 50295327 Email：guoyp@xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号中 银行负债成本下行巩固息差稳定预期，化债等政策支持之下资产质量有望 持续巩固，从而保持经营业绩相对稳健。经过年初以来的调整，当前银行 股高股息配置价值显著，在市场风格均衡化调整情形下，银行股有望实现 估值修复。建议关注资产投放稳健的国有大行，以及经营弹性较强的股份 行和区域行，推荐工商银行、中国银行、中信银行、江苏银行、沪农商行、 渝农商行、苏州银行、常熟银行等。维持行业"增 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 华创金融红利资产月报（2026 年 2 月） 4Q25 商业银行业绩增速回正，险资权益配置 推荐（维持） 维持历史高位 银行 2026 年 03 月 01 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：林宛慧 邮箱：linwanhui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524110001 证券分析师：陈海椰 邮箱：chenhaiye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525070004 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 42 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 141,801.93 | 10.91 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 95,189.42 | 9.07 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 0.4% | -7.5% | 4.3% | | 相对表现 | 0.3% | -14.9% ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨银行 [Table_Title] 一季报开启营收增速回升周期 ——银行业周度追踪 2026 年第 8 周 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 春节后第一周银行股继续受到市场风险偏好上升的影响造成调整。个股层面，基本面预期持续 上行的 H 股外资银行上涨，A 股多数银行下跌，前期涨幅较高的青岛银行 H 股领跌。受中东地 缘冲突事件影响，市场风险偏好可能迎来大幅波动，银行股去年下半年以来估值调整充分，基 本面业绩增速平稳、息差等经营压力改善，PB-ROE 角度明显低估，建议重视防御配置价值。 继续重点推荐优质城商行，杭州银行/南京银行/厦门银行/江苏银行/青岛银行/齐鲁银行/苏州银 行/宁波银行等，同时建议关注低估值、高股息、基本面改善、可转债转股空间较大的兴业银行。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马祥云 盛悦菲 SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 1 [Table_Title 一季报开启营收增速回升周期 2] ——银行业周度追踪 2026 年第 8 周 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% % ...

Current Strategy Viewpoints - The capital market experienced fluctuations in early February but rebounded later in the month, primarily due to reduced trading activity before the Spring Festival and short-term policy guidance [1] - The market is expected to enter a phase of economic data and policy verification, with a seasonal increase in trading activity post-Spring Festival, laying a foundation for future market performance [1] - Upcoming economic and corporate profit data, along with the National People's Congress in March, will be crucial for setting the annual policy tone and economic targets, which are significant for the capital market [1] Sector Focus - Short-term focus on safe-haven assets and resource products due to tensions in the Middle East, including precious metals and oil sectors [2] - Long-term focus on growth and cyclical sectors, with particular attention to small-cap stocks that typically perform well in spring [2] - Key sectors to watch include humanoid robots, computing, and AI, benefiting from sustained industry enthusiasm and increased risk appetite among investors [2] Macro Overview - The upcoming National People's Congress will set the tone for the annual economy, with GDP growth targets expected to be set between 4.5% and 5% [8] - Fiscal policy is anticipated to include a deficit rate of 4.0% and new special bonds totaling 5 trillion yuan, indicating a significant increase in fiscal deficit compared to last year [8] Financial Engineering - The A-share market has seen a rise in industry crowding, particularly in media and resource sectors, with the media sector showing a crowding degree of 98.25% [12][14] - The resource sector continues to perform well, with price fluctuations leading to a decrease in crowding indicators, suggesting a potential for continued upward movement [13] Electronic Communication Industry - The upcoming GTC conference is expected to showcase new chip developments from NVIDIA, reinforcing AI as a core investment theme [24] - The demand for storage products is projected to rise significantly, driven by strong AI customer needs and price increases in the DRAM market [25] Computer Industry - The rapid iteration of domestic AI large models is expected to drive significant growth in computing power investments, with a focus on world model technology advancements [28] - The demand for AI-driven applications is anticipated to increase, leading to a surge in computing needs and infrastructure investments [29] New Energy Industry - Focus on hydrogen and ammonia projects, with government support for integrated energy bases expected to drive growth in this sector [32] - The electric power equipment sector is poised for growth due to ongoing global energy demands and potential easing of import restrictions in India [32] High-end Manufacturing Industry - The humanoid robot sector is entering a phase of mass production, with significant advancements showcased during the Spring Festival [35] - The North American AI supply chain remains robust, with ongoing demand for advanced equipment and materials expected to drive growth [36]

股 当前如何看待银行股投资机会 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 银行周报（2026/02/24-2026/02/27） | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 刘源(分析师) | 021-38677818 | liuyuan2@gtht.com | S0880521060001 | 本报告导读： 年初以来银行板块受投资风格转换、宽基指数 ETF大额卖出、基本面缺乏有力催化 等影响跑输大盘，但个股不乏超额收益，2026 年应注重板块内自下而上α收益挖掘。 投资要点： [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《大型银行短贷显著增加，中小银行信 贷增长放缓》2026.02.25 商业银行《25 年银行净利润增速回正—25Q4 银 行监管指标》2026.02.23 商业银行《企业短贷回暖，存款搬家趋势持续》 2026.02.23 ...