◎本报记者 一年之计在于春。1月底至2月初，各省（区、市）密集进入"两会时间"。会场内外，"科技创新"成为高 频议题。 原标题：三个关键词解码动能转换新逻辑——二〇二六年地方两会观察（上） 【科技新观察】 从传统产业的淬炼升级，到新兴产业的聚链成势，再到区域创新生态的系统优化，2025年乃至整个"十 四五"以来，各地前沿技术不断涌现，科技与产业深度融合取得新成效，驱动发展动能深刻变革，映照 出一个锐意进取、充满创造活力的新时代中国。 淬火—— 传统产业"原地升维" 传统产业不等于落后产能。现代化产业体系，不止于"去旧迎新"，更以科技淬火，让传统产业"原地升 维"——在原有基础上嫁接新质基因，让老根基长出新动能。 传统产业是山东经济的压舱石。山东省省长周乃翔作政府工作报告时亮出成绩单："十四五"时期，现代 化产业体系实现新跃升，19条标志性产业链立起先进制造业强省四梁八柱，制造业总体规模和综合实力 稳居全国第一梯队。 威海光威复合材料股份有限公司的发展颇具代表性。2025年12月，这家国内最早研发碳纤维的民营企 业，成功获评"国家级制造业单项冠军"。山东省政协委员、公司董事长卢钊钧介绍，企业已实现从T300 到 ...

Group 1 - The lithium carbonate market experienced a strong opening after the Lunar New Year, with the main futures contract opening high and reaching a peak of 165,800 yuan/ton, marking a daily increase of 10.56%, the largest since its listing [1] - The spot market also saw a rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate averaging 152,000 yuan/ton, up 8,250 yuan/ton (5.74%), and industrial-grade lithium carbonate averaging 148,500 yuan/ton, also up 8,250 yuan/ton (5.88%) [1] - The A-share lithium mining index rose by 3.77%, with major stocks like Shengxin Lithium Energy and Yongxing Materials seeing increases of over 5% [1] Group 2 - UBS raised its lithium price forecast significantly, predicting an average price of 170,000 yuan/ton for 2026, a 26% increase, and 200,000 yuan/ton for 2027, driven by growing demand from electric vehicles and energy storage [2] - A fire at a lithium salt factory in Jiangxi, a key production area, raised concerns about production stability, contributing to the upward price pressure [2] - The U.S. Supreme Court's decision to eliminate certain additional tariffs is expected to lower the overall tariff costs for Chinese energy storage products exported to the U.S. by about 5%, positively impacting the profit margins of related companies [3]

消息面上，农业农村部等四部门近日发布的《关于统筹建立常态化金融支持机制助力防止返贫致贫和乡村全面振兴的意见》提出，加大农村 地区企业上市辅导培育力度，帮助更多企业利用多层次资本市场进行融资。 今日农化板块的强势表现，既是资金对政策利好的即时响应，也是行业基本面边际改善的集中体现。作为农业生产的核心配套领域，农化行 业直接关联粮食安全与农业现代化进程，其发展高度受益于农业产业扶持政策的密集落地。 2月24日，A股农化板块上涨，带动成分股川金诺（300505.SZ）涨超13%，和邦生物（603077.SH）、美邦股份（605033.SH）、兴发集团 （600141.SH）、云图控股（002539.SZ）、云天化（600096.SH）、川发龙蟒（002312.SZ）、湖北宜化（000422.SZ）、川恒股份 （002895.SZ）、澄星股份（600078.SH）、金正大（002470.SZ）实现10CM涨停。 对新洋丰、云天化等具备全产业链布局的农化龙头而言，政策支持将进一步巩固其行业优势地位。 以磷复肥龙头新洋丰为例，公司正推进"磷矿开采－选矿－精深加工"一体化全产业链布局，2025年5月开工建设的夷陵磷系新材料 ...

值得注意的是，此前，赣锋锂业董事长李良彬也曾在2025年底公开预测，若2026年需求增速超过30%，碳酸锂价格有望突破15万元/吨甚至20万元/ 吨。 （原标题：瑞银高调唱多 狂拉超10%！碳酸锂期货创历史最大涨幅） 农历新年后的首个交易日，碳酸锂市场迎来强势"开门红"。2月24日，碳酸锂主力期货合约开盘即跳空高开，盘中最高触及165800元/吨，最高涨 幅超11%，截至收盘报164120元/吨，涨幅达10.56%，创上市以来最大单日涨幅。 现货市场同步跟涨。据上海有色网（SMM）数据，当日电池级碳酸锂均价报152000元/吨，环比上一工作日上涨8250元/吨，日内涨幅5.74%；工业 级碳酸锂均价报148500元/吨，环比同样上涨8250元/吨，日内涨幅5.88%，期现货形成联动上涨态势。 资本市场层面，A股锂矿概念亦同步发力。截至收盘，锂矿指数（884785.WI）大涨3.77%，成分股全线飘红，其中盛新锂能（002240.SZ）涨幅达 7.2%，永兴材料（002756.SZ）、盐湖股份（000792.SZ）、赣锋锂业（002460.SZ）等龙头股涨幅均超5%。市场资金对锂矿市场的关注度显著提 升。 此轮 ...

Group 1 - The lithium carbonate market experienced a strong opening after the Lunar New Year, with the main futures contract opening high and reaching a maximum of 165,800 yuan/ton, marking a daily increase of 10.56%, the largest since its listing [1] - The spot market also saw a rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate averaging 152,000 yuan/ton, up 8,250 yuan/ton (5.74%), and industrial-grade lithium carbonate averaging 148,500 yuan/ton, also up 8,250 yuan/ton (5.88%) [1] - The A-share lithium mining index surged by 3.77%, with major stocks like Shengxin Lithium Energy and Yongxing Materials seeing increases of over 5% [1] Group 2 - UBS raised its lithium price forecast significantly, predicting an average price of 170,000 yuan/ton for 2026, and 200,000 yuan/ton for 2027, driven by increasing demand from electric vehicles and global energy storage [2] - A fire at a lithium salt factory in Jiangxi, a major production area, raised concerns about production stability, contributing to the upward price pressure [2] - The U.S. Supreme Court's decision to eliminate certain tariffs is expected to lower the overall tariff costs for Chinese energy storage products exported to the U.S. by about 5%, positively impacting the profit margins of related companies [3]

Group 1 - Chemical ETF rose by 3.53%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.66 percentage points [1] - Elemental phosphorus and glyphosate were designated as critical defense materials by the U.S. government, which may benefit China's phosphate fertilizer and phosphate trade [1] - The U.S. EPA approved three glyphosate products for use on cotton and soybeans for two planting seasons [1] - The chemical fiber sector is entering a traditional peak season, with inventory depletion during the Spring Festival and rising prices for polyester and viscose fibers [1] - Tensions in the Middle East have led to an increase in oil prices, with ICE Brent crude at $71.54 per barrel, up 0.60% [1] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to promote carbon peaking, with restrictions on high-energy-consuming products expected to be implemented, indicating a turning point for the chemical industry [2] - Real estate policies are showing signs of stabilization in first-tier cities, suggesting a gradual recovery in the industry, with a focus on investment opportunities in the chemical-real estate chain [2] - The chemical industry index (000813) rose by 3.39%, with significant gains in stocks such as Andong Biological and Xingfa Group, both up over 10% [2] - The chemical ETF closely tracks the chemical industry index, which consists of large, liquid listed companies to reflect the overall performance of the sector [2] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the chemical industry index (000813) accounted for 44.82% of the index, including companies like Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Industry [3]

格隆汇2月24日｜化工板块表现亮眼，云天化涨8%，盐湖股份、万华化学分别涨4%和2%，带动化工 ETF天弘（159133）标的指数涨3.28%，盘中获资金净申购1250万份，已连续33日获资金净申购，净流 入额达20亿元。 资金持续流入得益于化工ETF天弘（159133）跟踪标的指数囊括基础化工、石油石化等主流领域及磷氟 化工、新能源材料等热门赛道，大中小市值均衡搭配，既包含万华化学、盐湖股份、天赐材料等龙头公 司，又涵盖细分领域优质中小企业，周期属性与成长动能兼备，场外联接C类：015897。 ③"金三银四"是化纤行业的传统需求旺季，每年的3月至4月期间，下游纺织企业集中采购化纤原料，以 满足春夏季节服装、家纺等产品的生产需求。 中信证券指出，化工反内卷持续加码，多行业发起行业自律，化工品价格有望底部回暖；叠加化工品行 业自身高景气，主营业务有望保持高增长。 ①2月18日，美国宣布将磷和草甘膦列入战略资源。 ②随着美国和伊朗冲突加剧，国际原油价格持续上涨，WTI原油主力合约累计涨幅达5.8%左右。 消息面上： ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the U.S. has classified phosphorus and glyphosate as strategic resources, leading to a surge in the agricultural chemical sector [1] - Domestic agricultural companies are facing intense competition in the saturated market, prompting them to seek opportunities in international markets as a necessary strategy for growth [1] - Successful international expansion of agricultural companies typically follows a pattern of product and technology export, asset investment, and mergers/joint ventures, relying on their competitive advantages [1] Group 2 - As of February 24, 2026, the National Grain Industry Index (399365) has risen by 3.23%, with significant gains in stocks such as BANG Bio (10.08%), Xingfa Group (10.01%), and Yuntu Holdings (10.01%) [1] - The Grain ETF (159698) has increased by 3.18%, with the latest price reported at 1.1 yuan, closely tracking the National Grain Industry Index [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Grain Industry Index as of January 30, 2026, include major companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech, accounting for 52.33% of the index [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a significant rally in lithium mining stocks, driven by a substantial increase in lithium carbonate prices, which rose over 9% to 162,160 yuan per ton [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hebang Biotechnology, Yuntu Holdings, and Chuanfa Longmang all hit the daily limit with a 10% increase [1]. - Yongxing Materials and Shengxin Lithium Energy rose over 6%, while Ganfeng Lithium and Salt Lake Shares increased by more than 5% [1]. - Other notable performers included Jiangte Motor, Hainan Mining, and Tibet Summit, all gaining over 4% [1]. Group 2: Market Data - The following stocks showed significant price changes: - Hebang Biotechnology: +10.08%, Market Cap: 23.1 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 15.93% [2] - Yuntu Holdings: +10.01%, Market Cap: 19.5 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 36.72% [2] - Chuanfa Longmang: +10.00%, Market Cap: 24.1 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 16.74% [2] - Yongxing Materials: +6.40%, Market Cap: 29.7 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 1.42% [2] - Shengxin Lithium Energy: +6.18%, Market Cap: 38.1 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 20.77% [2] - Ganfeng Lithium: +5.34%, Market Cap: 146.5 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 11.08% [2] - Salt Lake Shares: +5.05%, Market Cap: 187.1 billion yuan, YTD Gain: 25.57% [2]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 金融产品周报 20260207 海外市场流动性有企稳迹象，情绪或会好转 【勘误版】 [Table_Summary] 基金规模统计：（2026.2.2-2026.2.6） 市场行情展望：（2026.2.9-2026.2.13） 基金配置建议： 2026 年 02 月 24 日 《商品流动性冲击之后，哪些品种被 "错杀"？》 2026-02-04 《黄金 ETF，2026 年 1 月复盘与 2 月 证券分析师 芦哲 展望》 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 2026-02-03 执业证书：S0600524120016 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] ◼ 权益类 ETF 基金规模变化统计：规模变化排名前三名的权益类 ETF 类 型分别为：规模指数 ETF（154.06 亿元），跨境行业指数 ETF（66.24 亿 元），策略指数 ETF（53.71 亿元）；基金规模变化排名后三名的权益 类 ETF 类型分别为：跨境规模 ...